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Doug Y

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Everything posted by Doug Y

  1. Doug Y
    Gibby is looking good today. 8 Ks already!
  2. Doug Y
    Has anyone seen him play? Can he translate to MLB pitching? We have seen Chris Parmelee and Chris Collabello dominate at lower levels, but until you see him in person, you can't always tell if he can hit a MLB fastball or breaking stuff. Too early to tell?
  3. Doug Y
    I disagree that you can win without a top pitcher. I think you either need an ace or a pitcher that was a top 15 guy during a 3-5 stretch. I think most of these guys in the last 6 years meet that criteria. 2013 John Lackey, BOS Jon Lester, BOS Clay Bucholtz BOS Adam Wainwright, STL Michael Wacha, STL 2012 Matt Cain, SFG Madison Bumgarner, SFG Justin Verlander, DET Doug Fister, DET 2011 Chris Carpenter, STL C. J. Wilson, TEX 2010 Tim Lincecum, SFG Madison Bumgarner, SFG Cliff Lee, TEX C. J. Wilson, TEX 2009 Pedro Martínez, PHI Cliff Lee, PHI CC Sabathia, NYY Andy Pettitte, NYY 2008 James Shields, TBR Scott Kazmir, TBR Cole Hamels, PHI If you look at this list, http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_World_Series_starting_pitchers, almost all teams had a true #1 pitcher or a guy that had a great 3-5 year run. Unless you have a lineup similar to some of the great Yankee teams, you need Pitching, Pitching, Pitching. I agree the Twins shouldn't do it this year, but may need to in a couple years if there are close to having a World Series contending team.
  4. Doug Y
    I guess I should have clarified that they need to trade for an ace pitcher when they are contending, not necessarily this year. However, in a couple of years if the Twins are close, I would absolutely trade a Will Myers for a James Shields and try and win over the 2 years you may have Shields. You don't get many chances to win it all and sometimes you have to take chances. Yes, if the trade sets the franchise back a couple years it would hurt, but the waiting for an ace to develop in the minor leagues can take many more years.
  5. Doug Y
    Didn't have an Ace in mind for this thread, but I would give up any prospect besides Buxton and Sano for the right pitcher. Yes, "aces" are prone to injury and decline, but I don't believe you can win a World Series without one, so eventually you have to take a risk. Or you end up waiting for one to develop in your minor leagues, which doesn't happen very often.
  6. Doug Y
    If you look at every team that has won or been to a World Series they had either a HOF quality pitcher or a guy that dominated for a 5+ year span and pitched his team to the World Series, http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_World_Series_starting_pitchers. They had an Ace. ’87 Twins = Viola, Blyleven. ’91 Twins = Morris, Erickson Two HOFs and 2 guys that had great 5 years stretches. Since Santana, the Twins have not had this type of guy, and will not make it or go far in the playoffs until they do. The Twins may not be able to sign an Ace, but they can trade for one. And I for one would give up valuable prospects for a known commodity. What % of prospects actually make it in the majors vs getting a known commodity? Obviously, you may give up some good players in a trade, but you may also be giving up on top prospects such as David McCarty, BJ Garbe, Ryan Mills, Adam Johnson, Matt Moses, Kyle Waldrop, Matthew Fox. All very high drafts picks or considered top prospects.
  7. Doug Y
    Looking at the year-by-year league batting avg, since 1973 it has mostly fluctuated between .255 and .265, except for a few late 90s steroid years, while the home runs per year have gone from approx .8/game in the 70s and 80s to about 1.00/game the last 10 years. Maybe hitters are settling for a .270 avg with a few more home runs, rather than trying to hit .300.
  8. Doug Y
    Brian Dozier is having a great season hitting .245, because in many people's eyes he is hitting home runs. Yes, he is stealing bases and scoring runs, but if Chuck Knoblauch was ever hitting .245 we would be asking want is wrong. Knobby didn't hit homeruns. Even most of the Twins radio and TV announcers say Dozier is having a great season. Am I overvaluing batting average and guys that can get base hits? Should I look at OBP?
  9. Doug Y
    Has hitting evolved to such a level that will will never see the high avg player again? There are still many high average players in MLB, but many of them are also power guys. Ultimately, that is what every team dreams of (rarely find), but what happened to the high average, high contact, low to medium power, low strikeout, leadoff and #3 hitters? The Tony Gwynn, Wade Bogg, Rod Carew, Ichiro Suzuki, Mark Grace type of player. There used to be more of this type of player, but seem to be disappearing as most players try to add some power to their game.
  10. Doug Y
    Kyle Gibson is not a Top 20 pitcher right now. However, he has a BAA of .246, which is 17th best in the league. An OBP of .306, good for 19th. An OPS of .649, 9th place, and a BABIP of .265, which is 12th in the league. His WAR ranking is 23rd in the league at 1.4. Teams are not hitting the ball that often or that hard against him this year. What does he need to do to take the next step and win more games? Better consistency? More strikeouts? What does he need to do to be a Top 20 Pitcher?
  11. Doug Y
    We better just take all pitcher's in the June draft. Maybe then we can find someone that can pitch at the major league level.
  12. Doug Y
    5 runs in the 2nd inning off of Liriano so far. Is it time to turn the page on Liriano? Or still early in the year?
  13. Doug Y
    Ryan Madson $8.5M - At free agency time, we didn't know he would tear an elbow ligament Johnathan Broxton $4M Willingham $7M Burroughs $.5M Erik Bedard $1M Doumit $3M Takashi Saito $1.5M - He's 41, but a career 2.18 ERA That would be $25M spent free agents, about $4M more than the Twins spent this year, but it 3 bullpens spots would have been filled (if Madson stayed healthy) and you could have let go of Capps. There would still be room to sign Marquis $3M, Carroll $2.75M and Kerry Wood $3M. Rotation: Pavano Liriano Bedard Marquis Baker Bullpen: Madson Broxton Perkins Duensing Swarzak Saito Wood Lineup: 1B Parmelee/Morneau 2B Casilla 3B Valencia/Burroughs SS Carrol C Mauer/Doumit LF Willingham CF Revere RF Span The lineup stays pretty much the same, but you had some new and better arms to the rotation and bullpen.
  14. Doug Y
    He can't be any worse than Valencia at 3B. You are right, there is more to the game than just hitting, but his potential is exciting. Another 2-4 day today with 10 RBI already.
  15. Doug Y
    Miguel Sano hit 2 homeruns today for Beloit and already has 3 in 4 games. When do we see him move up? Or get to the Majors? The Twins are notoriously slow at bringing top prospects to the majors. I think this kid could be the exception.
  16. Doug Y
    One run can be the difference between winning and losing. I take the sure out at home in that situation.
  17. Doug Y
    1-2 mph slower at the start of the season is OK, but 4-5 mph less is scary. He was healthy during spring training and had plenty of time to get the arm back in shape. Let's hope is was just a fluke and next start he is at 88-90 again or it could be a long year for Pavano.
  18. Doug Y
    What happened to Frankie Franchise from 2006 that had a 2.16 ERA, 12 Wins, 4.1 WAR, and "Wowed" us with his 93-95 mph fastball and 88 mph slider? Did his injury or Tommy John Surgery change his motion, delivery, arm speed, mental makeup, or something else that has left him varying between effective and very hittable? Or did the Twins trying to smooth out his violent pitching motion after surgery change one of the aforementioned components of pitcher's motion. Either way, something has changed with Francisco, and I don't believe he will ever come close to 2006 again. Can Liriano "WOW" us again like 2006? Can he throw that upper 80's slider again that made even the best hitters look foolish?
  19. Doug Y
    It is very hard to develop a #1 pitcher. Most #1 pitchers show their top potential from the start or early in their minor league career. However, I agree that the Twins haven't even developed many #2 pitchers.
  20. Doug Y
    I agree. It is not Gardy or Anderson's fault that the Twins do not have strike out pitchers. The Twins do not have the ability or don't want to spend big money to sign, trade or draft power pitchers. Of which there are very few of every year in the draft or free agency.
  21. Doug Y
    If you look at this list of world series starting pitchers, http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_World_Series_starting_pitchers, virtually every team had an Ace that got them there. The Twins do not have an Ace and most likely can't go far in the playoffs without one. They have to find a #1 pitcher in the draft soon or go get one in free agency or trades. This is the one instance in which you have to give up a lot, either money or prospects, to get a true #1 pitcher. You just can't win in the MLB playoffs with a bunch of #3-5 talent level starters. Until they get an Ace it will be first round losses or no playoffs at all.
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