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Thrylos

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Everything posted by Thrylos

  1. Thrylos
    No. Hellickson is a good number 4 in a competing team and the Twins have plenty of those. I'd rather keep Gibson at this point. The first 3 years of his career Hellickson's ERA was about a point lower than his FIP and then it caught up to it. Hellickson's career FIP is 4.30, Gibson's 4.21. They are the same age. K/9 is pretty close, 6.8 to 6.1. Which actually makes me think that if Hellickson is the best FA pitcher out there, and Gibson (with 3 years of team control) looks very comparable, the Twins should be selling Gibson pretty aggressively, because there will be takers.
  2. Thrylos
    Prove that statement. After the tons of feeding crap to the press (usually to Reusse and Souhan) regarding players the Twins' FO did not like. Ryan or not, they were there and were below the belt hits. Ask Pat Neshek, if you don't believe me.
  3. Thrylos
    Beg to differ. Feel free to check % male or female of highly rated private Colleges and Universities (aka "expensive schools") entering classes. Most of them are female. (MIT and Caltech aside). Most of these schools have a need-blind admission policy, which means that if you have what it takes to get in academically, but not the financial means, they will pay for it.
  4. Thrylos
    Haverford College, and UCLA (Levin's Alma Matters) are not Ivy League. Haverford is one of the top 20 Liberal Arts Colleges, expensive and highly selective, but that's not Ivy League. Plus FWIW Levin played baseball in both College and High School. And FWIW, I'd rather have a general manager who went to a great school for College and then went on to an excellent MBA program that someone whose greatest academic achievement was to graduate from the George S. Parker High School, in Janesville, WI...
  5. Thrylos
    Great stuff! Here is the complete list of the MLB players who were born in PR. Some of them, like Jorge Posada and JC Romero were drafted after they came to the US to go to College, so the circumstances are a bit different for all of them because they were picked by US-scouts (both Posada and Romero went to College in AL, btw, of all places) and not PR-based scouts. It is the same argument one can use for Chili Davis and Devon White (both born in Jamaica but went to High School in CA and NY, respectively...) Should probably add Carlos Baerga, Javy Lopez, Danny Tartabull to the list of the impressive PR-born players. And as far as Twins' go, I know that it was forgettable, but Ruben Sierra finished his career as a Twin. Lester Oliveros was also born in PR.
  6. Thrylos
    St. Peter is holding the keys of heaven regarding which school football teams are going to destroy Target Field and what would be the preferred sausage vendor at Target Field and which is the next hick band that will play there. As far as baseball goes...
  7. Thrylos
    John Jaso? Really? The last thing the Twins need is a 33 year old catcher who cannot catch.
  8. Thrylos
    I think that the Twins need to come up North with Melotakis after 2017 Spring Training. He is ready and needs to play against MLB competition. I hope that with Ryan (and soon his company) gone, the seasons of Twins starting with journeymen at the MLB-level are over. Time for the prospects to play.
  9. Thrylos
    Cardinals are a great fit because their second baseman is Wong who is a utility guy and they have nothing in sight. I'd pass on Reyes because of the helium. I don't even think that he is their best pitching prospect. Luke Weaver is. If the Twins manage to get Luke Weaver and Carson Kelly out of the Cardinals organization, it would be a coup. I'd throw Garver their way, in addition to Dozier and Santana, if necessary...
  10. Thrylos
    Actually that is a pretty horrible comparable. At the time of his trade, Walker hit .269/.328/.427 season with 16 HRs, 4 SB, and 2.4 bWAR, with 1 yr/$10.5 million contract at 29 years old while Dozier last season hit .268/.340/.546 with 42 HRs, 28 SB, and 6.5 bWAR, with 2 yrs/$15M contract at same age. Doing the math, Dozier would demand 2-3 times the return of Walker...
  11. Thrylos
    I think that the Yankees are also quite a fit for both. They do need pitching and they do need an upgrade at the OF and Castro would make a perfect corner outfielder for them. The Rangers are not a good fit for Dozier for sure, since they have a 22 year old second baseman on the verge of being a star. I cannot think of many teams who are planning to compete that E. Santana is not a good fit for. Even teams that are supposedly "loaded" with pitching, like the Indians and Mets. Hard to tell, but I think that the Twins for once should change their attitude and instead of selling players to the highest bidder, identify players in other organizations as targets and package the appropriate assets (including MLB veterans and non-core prospects) to get them...
  12. Thrylos
    Well... The Twins need young MLB-ready arms and probably a catcher, at the 22-24 year range. Or younger. I like what I have seen from Garver this season (and before), so the catcher is secondary. In addition to Dozier, Santana has to go (both of the Santanas actually, but the other one is just a footnote.) So, if I were to go to the Dodgers, I'd ask for Jose De Leon, but also would go for the top price, Julio Urias, and would throw both Dozier and Santana in the trade. And if they want Fernardo Romero or Jorge Felix, I'd throw them in. My thinking is different. It is not what Dozier can bring, but what the Twins need and how they can get it, with their trading chips, including Dozier
  13. Thrylos
    Hard to tell now, give it 5-10 years. Number 1 overall had better career so far, but they are a bunch of 22 year olds Also the 85th pick looks like the real deal as well, as far as that pitching class went.
  14. Thrylos
    I'd love to see them hire someone who actually gets the big picture of baseball like Doogie Wolfson or Phil Mackey. Maybe Brandon Warne is interested. Or even Seth Stohs.
  15. Thrylos
    Yeah. Include me in the list of the people who was not as high as everyone else on Buxton. Rate him second to Sano forever and even below Polanco last time they were both eligible...
  16. Thrylos
    I'd add Duffey's for sure and maybe even Jay's names to the list. This has the bones of a good bullpen for the considerable future. Hopefully the likes of Kintzler and Boshers/Abad/Boyer/Thompson/insert-garbage-heap-pickup go away and never come back, allowing these players to develop. Back in the day (and several teams still do this successfully) the pen was a development assignment for pitchers who were deemed not yet just ready for an MLB rotation. Pitchers like Jay or Romero or Jorge could contribute in the pen for a couple of years starting from 2017, for example. This is what they should have done with Berrios last season. Get them up, expose them to MLB hitters and MLB noise and MLB ballparks, but ease them in. Let them have success and confidence before you throw them in to start and be responsible for the whole game outcome.
  17. Thrylos
    Levine is currently responsible for contracts, statistical, and financial analysis. Take the statistics part away and this has been Rob Antony's job. Falvey is more on the development side, he is more into data and numbers. Pretty good combination.
  18. Thrylos
    As with any profession, in baseball, and sports in general, you will find a range from criminals to saints. Of course they get a bit more exposed than most other professions, except maybe acting/TV. On the domestic abuse subject, I am glad that baseball is doing something, but it is not enough. I'd love it if they suspend the player without pay (and instead of the clubs saving the $), to deposit that pay to an MLB domestic abuse charity that would: a. pay to teach minor league kids (and some of them coming from places were machismo is the rule) about domestic abuse and what is expected from them as potential role models b. Fund shelters for domestic abuse victims c have a greater population educational program about domestic abuse. same with NFL. They should put their $ where their mouths are. Otherwise it is just going through the motions. Also, they should be treating equally all criminals. Right now they pick and chose. Domestic abuse is a no no, drunk driving is fine, not sure what armed robbery is, and betting on baseball is a lifetime ban. They need a more consistent policy...
  19. Thrylos
    I think that the Twins should try to follow the Indians' and not the Cubs' blueprint. The Indians are positioned for sustained success, the Cubs will be relying on new Free Agents when these get ineffective (and have albatross contracts.) Guess the organization feels this way too, since the new baseball head comes from the Indians and not the Cubs...
  20. Thrylos
    Pretty presumptuous of you methinks. They work with memos and faxes. Have you seen the binder the fired General Manager used to carry with him everywhere?
  21. Thrylos
    That was an answer to a hypothetical scenario about high draft picks not signing for teams like the Twins but waiting for next season for more $... The Appel situation
  22. Thrylos
    Yeah. They should get that done. Couple birds with one stone: Rob Antony & Deron Johnson. I like it.
  23. Thrylos
    a. you do realize that based on what you said (ie. that the teams with the best 2 starting pitchers and the best bullpen are most likely to make it to the World Series,) you just contradicted your argument that it is a "crapshoot". It is either luck or not. And having the best 2 SP and the best pen is not luck, but planning and building. b. Highest salaries does not equate "biggest" markets. c. there are no playoffs in baseball.
  24. Thrylos
    Depends on the price and expectations...
  25. Thrylos
    No way he is MLB-ready. He is a prospect. High A/AA level if a teams signs him. He might take a year or two to develop. So no comparison to current MLB free agents
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