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Jack Goin

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Everything posted by Jack Goin

  1. If markos is correct that a couple of Twins folks attended the conference, I hope they found their time well spent. I wish this conference hadn't flown under my radar, as I currently live about 10 miles from the BU campus. We had two people there this year. We have been a few times. It is an excellent conference. Well run. Very good presentations. Smaller than Sloan & SABR Analytics.
  2. Yes it does. But I think when most people think you need to look at the stats. When acquiring a player that is a small portion. Player development is probably one of the biggest areas of impact. I read his post to pertain to player acquisition I guess.
  3. You are exactly right John. The goal is to have a systematic decision-making process. I guess a fair comparison would be automated trading. Our job isn't to just look at statistics. That just tells us how a player is performing or has performed. The goal is to judge all players at the same time, attempting to come up with a value.
  4. The entire thing was handled within the rules of a club's ability to add a 26th man for a double header the day after a rainout. Just because it doesn't make sense to you does not mean it was poorly handled.
  5. I'm not sure why this article is titled the "Andrew Albers Circus". What occurred is pretty straight forward. We selected Albers for the second game of the double header. Designating a player occurs when the active list (25-man) or reserve list (40-man) limits have been reached and a club wants to add a player(s) to either list. Int this case Albers was designated off the active roster to make room for a fresh arm. Designated players must be either released or assigned (traded, optioned, outright) within 10 days of the assignment. Optional waivers are required for an optional assignment if the date of the option is three or more years after the date the player first reported to a Major League club during the season. There are more exceptions within the rule but for Albers purpose it had been more than three years. After his optional waivers cleared he was optioned to Rochester (the assignment part of "release or assignment"). This series of transactions happens very frequently when a player is recalled or selected for only a day or two with the intent of them being sent back to the minor leagues in one form or another. That's it.
  6. Thanks Brock. That was part of my point. Our 3A manager was the Cubs former major league manager. Our infield coordinator has 30+ years of big league experience with other organizations. We have a new hitting coordinator who has worked for several major league teams, Team USA, University of Kentucky, etc.. Even though Mientkiewicz has ties to the club he also played for BOS, NYM, KC, NYY, PIT, LAD, and Miami. I'm guessing he picked up things along the way. We have overhauled nutrition, strength training and athletic training. I know these things are difficult to judge from a fan's perspective. The results at Target Field matter MORE THAN ANYTHING. But I think a lot of areas people think we are not doing we are doing. There was an article in the Pittsburgh Tribune the other day about the Pirates use of Omegawave and Statcast data. We are doing the exact same thing as they are. We created this horrible perception. I'm just trying to shed a little light on what reality is.
  7. A couple of things about your point. I may have skipped over it in a post but I'm aware of that perception. Results matter at the Major League level. Nobody in this office is denying that. Remember, we fired Bill Smith at the end of 2011. So we already fired one GM. I think if Terry came from another organization he would have been given more leeway from the public. Brad Steil took over as Minor League Director in 2013 and made a lot of changes to how we do things in the minor leagues. He has turned over about 50% of his staff the last few seasons. Again, if Brad came from outside the organization the perception of our player development system might be slightly different. We fired a manager and a major league coaching staff. People have been held accountable for the losing. But change in baseball takes time. Look at the Pirates, Royals, Nationals, Indians rebuilds. All of those rebuilds took around 8 years. I'm not complaining but this is how I see it from my perspective. Changes have been taking place for the last four or five seasons and you are now starting to see some of the results. We deserve criticism. We've lost 95+ games in 11, 12, 13, & 14. We took a big step forward last year and now took a step back in '16. But I think you can see the entire system is not broken.
  8. Please give me some examples you want the organization to do that you believe we are not doing that would make us better?
  9. Every year an NFL team wants to hire a Patriots coach, coordinator, personnel guy hoping they are going to recreate the Patriots. And about each time it doesn't work. I'm not saying any of these outside names wouldn't be good GMs. What I am saying is you are overrating candidates based strictly on who their current employer is. Maybe Rob is biased. But the other person may come in biased and wreck some of the momentum that has been built just because and cause a bigger setback. Just keep an open mind.
  10. But it's thrown around casually and recklessly with no facts to back it up. Ignoring how many players we have listed in top 100 lists and where are system has been ranked the last few years. Our success in the minor leagues. His own site has written multiple articles on Max Kepler this past week alone. I'm not saying everything is perfect and we deserve org of the year. I think if you dig around you would be surprised at some of the things we are doing and have accomplished.
  11. And this is part of the problem. There are an awful lot of people on here who claim to know Rob can't do the job based solely off their opinion of Terry or an interview he did almost SEVEN years ago. And they also assume someone from the outside is more qualified even though they have the same job duties as Rob because they are from a different org.
  12. Based off what? I think this is pretty lazy all things considered.
  13. No. Our focus the next week is the Trade Deadline.
  14. Go back and look at Torii's UZR/150. In 2012 he was +14. In 2013 he was -5.1 which is within or close to within a range of being average. In 2015 he was essentially league average at 0.4. In 2014 he was terrible according to the metrics. But remember, most fielding data needs to be looked at through a three year lens and still be regressed probably. Was he great? Probably not. Terrible? Probably not. If you look at some Statcast data from 2015 he was roughly average among outfielders. The Torii signing was more than just the numbers.
  15. I'll definitely take some blame on Nolasco. I do not believe all of his struggles have been performance related. Some have been injury related. If you go back and look Ricky had improved his swinging strike rate, he used his SL more which helped that, and maybe was a signal that he was understanding his stuff. He always seemed to under perform his peripherals. He also had some trouble with HR vs LHH and I thought our park factors might aid in that as well. Looking back at it I didn't give enough credit on a switch from the NL East to the AL Central in our evaluations/projections and also some TrackMan data on a pitch or two.
  16. You are correct. Unfortunately perception is reality. Like I said, I will take some blame for poor messaging.
  17. Obviously a lot of our time right now is evaluating other legs systems and their strengths and weaknesses. That is a continual process but heightened the month of July. Analyzing players and groups of players. Next month we will start on our college player analysis for 2017 Draft. Working with our training staff and using Statcast data to understand injuries and workloads and when to rest players. That is just a few items.
  18. For the most part those have gone fine. Unfortunately there is always one or two who ruin the entire thing.
  19. Those seem to be lose lose situations for me.
  20. You're correct. Some of those probably didn't help.
  21. I don't know. I wonder that myself. Maybe I have not done a good enough job of messaging. I'll take the blame for that.
  22. I appreciate it. Thanks for being civil. That gets lost behind a keyboard sometimes.
  23. Argue on this topic in general? That we don't have an analytics department?
  24. This notion we don't have an analytics department has gotten out of control. By my calculations the average analytics department is roughly five people. That number can be difficult to nail down because of titles and not sure who does what inside a front office. That includes the Marlins at 1 and the Yankees and Dodgers at 11 or 12. We have approximately a 5 person department including two full-time developers. I'm not looking to get into some type of argument here, but we have a department. I'm not sure what else to say on this matter.
  25. Good to see @dwade contributing here. Very nice addition to the writing staff. Hope to see more posts from you Dan.
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