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Seth Stohs

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  1. What's intriguing about Baxendales is that he jus seems to know how to pitch. He's got four pitches that he throws from various angles, with movement. Smart and Competitive. He's got a chance, for sure.
  2. I think I would agree with that. Baxendale and Hicks possibly. The younger guys might be in this range just because of their youth and where they are so far.
  3. You can view the page at http://twinsdaily.com/content.php?r=2432-Minnesota-Twins-Top-50-Prospects-26-30
  4. Last week we worked through Minnesota Twins prospects 31-50. This week, we will be continuing our look at the team’s top prospects. Today, we will look at my choices for prospects 26-30. Be sure to leave your thoughts and comments in the comment section below. Again, if you want to look into some of the things that go into my personal rankings, click on the previous parts of this series at the bottom of today’s group. [PRBREAK][/PRBREAK]Part 5: 26-30 In this edition, we have a mix of prospect types. We have a big first baseman who put up some impressive counting numbers and even led minor league baseball in a statistic. He enters this range of prospects with four pitchers. One of the pitchers was a fast-mover while another has moved more slowly. The other two pitchers introduce us to the The Big Three who spent the whole season at Elizabethton this year. Once these guys get to a higher level, they could move up quickly… or, well, down quickly. That’s what makes these types of lists so much fun. #30 – Randy Rosario – LH SP (19) Rosario is a 6 foot tall skinny left-hander from the Dominican Republic. Just 19, he went 4-3 with a 2.82 ERA at Elizabethton this year. Blessed with a fastball in the 93 to 95 mph range, he also throws a slider and a change-up. From 2012 (GCL) to 2013 (APPY), he improved his BB/9 from 4.5 to 3.6. His season ended early with some shoulder discomfort, but he returned and pitched in the Instructional League. #29 – Dalton Hicks – 1B (23) At 6-5 and (listed at) 228 pounds, Hicks is a menacing figure in the left-handed batter’s box. The Twins 17th round pick in 2012 out of Central Florida, he has a long and powerful swing. He spent the first two-thirds of the season in Cedar Rapids and ended the year in Ft. Myers. In all, his 110 RBI led all minor league baseball, edging out Adam Walker. This year he hit 39 doubles and 17 home runs while hitting .289/.358/.468 (.826). #28 – Brett Lee – LH SP (23) Lee was the Twins 10th round pick in 2011 out of junior college. He made his pro debut by going 4-0 with a 2.68 ERA with E-Town in 2012 while pitching primarily out of the bullpen. He moved to the rotation in 2013 in Cedar Rapids and went 8-4 with a 2.95 ERA. The lefty has a good fastball with some deceptive movement. He’s got good offspeed pitches as well. His future may be in the bullpen, but he should continue to start for now. #27 – Yorman Landa – RH SP (19) Another 19-year-old from this year’s Elizabethton squad, Landa is a right-handed version of Randy Rosario. After going 1-3 with a 2.43 ERA in 33.1 innings in the Gulf Coast League in 2012, he went 3-4 with a 2.78 ERA in 55 innings in 2013 with the E-Twins. He throws hard, though he’ll need to continue to reduce his walk rate. It improved in 2013 to 4.7 from 5.4 in 2012. #26 – DJ Baxendale – RH SP (22) What Baxendale did in the season’s first two months in Ft. Myers was remarkable. Considering the 2012 10th round pick was pushed right to the Miracle, he was my choice for Twins pitcher of the month in April and May when he went 7-0 with a 1.10 ERA and a 0.79 WHIP in nine starts. He was pushed to New Britain where he certainly struggled, going 5-7, 5.63 ERA, 1.42 WHIP in 16 starts. Baxendale has a good fastball that reaches into the low-90s with movement and a full four-pitch mix. He gets a ton of movement, in part, due to throwing from a three-quarter angle. So there you have it, Part 5 of my Top 50 Twins Prospect list. We'll be back tomorrow with Part 5, prospects 21-25. Part 1: 46-50 Part 2: 41-45 Part 3: 36-40 Part 4: 31-35
  5. LaVelle is the first African American to hold the title in the organization's 105 year history.
  6. You're not going to get a Homer Bailey type for Dozier (or Kepler, Harrison, RPs). Trading Rosario is a "to-get-something-you-have-to-give-up-something." It's not at all saying Dozier will be better than Rosario will be.
  7. I would absolutely not trade Rosario for one year of Bailey, or anyone. Hence the extension. You make a good point, but I think once he would become a free agent, he could get more years and dollars because he's so young for a free agent. If there's no extension, there'd be no deal, for sure. I don't mind trading a Rosario type prospect for an ace. I'd love a second half rotation of Bailey, Gibson, Meyer, etc., etc. It'd be encouraging.
  8. Though it has been known since this time last year, today the Star-Tribune's La Velle E. Neal III was officially named the President of the Baseball Writers Association. He was Vice President (to Susan Slusser) the last year.
  9. Uh... no. It's just saying that when he was in the minors, no one cared about the minors. Now, things have changed. Mauer was the #1 overall prospect too, just like Buxton was. The Cedar Rapids media did great for him, but also national media was a presence. It it just bigger now.
  10. I'd be on board!!
  11. Mike Berardino posted a couple of information blog postings yesterday: Minnesota Twins: Prospect Alex Wimmers has surgical procedure on elbow - TwinCities.com Alex Wimmers had a surgical procedure on his elbow which is not unusual for those who have had Tommy John surgery. He says he should be ready for spring training. Trevor May has some biceps tendinitus and may be shut down, though they'll determine that after giving him some rest. Kohl Stewart didn't pitch in Instructs, just rehabbed a sore shoulder. 2.) Twins baseball: Prospect Miguel Sano sits because of sore elbow - TwinCities.com Miguel Sano "felt a little something" in his elbow and will be re-evaluated next week. None are considered serious at this time. Will be interesting to follow.
  12. Last week, I had a chance to chat with Cedar Rapids manager Jake Mauer for a story (or parts of stories) that will be in the Minnesota Twins Prospect Handbook 2014. I'll share a small part of it here. Here is what he had to say about Byron Buxton:
  13. Of course, he threw 92.2 innings with Great Lakes and 20.0 innings with Cedar Rapids, but don't worry about that small sample size. Or, that the West was much more difficult than the East division this year.
  14. I'm 100% in favor of building from within and organizational development, in the real world and in baseball. That never means don't bring in new people. It just means that people that are developing and progressing and doing the right things and getting better should have an opportunity. That's a good thing. But, if the company has holes, with no one internally to take over, they always should bring in new people who can.
  15. I completely agree with this. If they struck out 8.0/9 IP or more, they'd likely be higher. (or relievers) I would like to think that the Twins have more K guys higher up this list, and there are a few. Tim Atherton struck out a batter an inning in Cedar Rapids this year and he was in one of the last groups.
  16. I'd be willing to give up a second round pick for a top pitcher, as TR said, a guy with longevity. I just don't know that Ubaldo is a guy that I would do that for. As is pointed out above, he's not one of THOSE guys.
  17. I could do a top ten relievers article or something like that, but would you want guys who are relievers now, or guys who could be relievers in the future? As I mentioned yesterday, most big league relievers were starters in the minors. And most were failed starters at that, though they were good starters in the minors. Nathan, Aguilera, Guardado, Hawkins, Rincon, Perkins, Swarzak, etc. There are some examples, so I'm certainly not saying that minor league relievers can't be big league relievers (Crain, Neshek, Burton). But, Roger, it has been guys like Summers and so many others that have signed with the Twins as college starters and then been used out of the E-Town or Beloit/CR bullpens for the first year. They get strikeouts and dominate, but it doesn't tell the real story. Don't get me wrong. I 100% agree with the Twins philosophy on college pitchers in the year that they sign. As you can see from my rankings of a guy like Slegers, I'm much more leery in getting too excited by that. I'll wait until 2014 when he gets into the role he'll be in (starter) and see how that goes a bit.
  18. His age is maybe why he is ranked where he is, but it has zero impact on the Twins future. Maybe he gets to the big leagues at 26 (if he does), again, you get ages 26-31! He is one that needed the time. He's not Buxton who is so naturally gifted that he could debut at 20. He needed time to mature, dedicate himself to baseball, make some adjustments, find a good role, add some velocity, etc. I jus think people make too big of a deal about age sometimes. IF you're looking for future Hall of Famers, yes, 25-26 is too old to probably be that. If you're looking for solid major league contributors, it's not.
  19. You can view the page at http://twinsdaily.com/content.php?r=2430-Minnesota-Twins-Top-50-Prospects-31-35
  20. Today, we move on to Part 4 of the Minnesota Twins Top 50 Prospects. We'll look at the Twins prospects I ranked 31 through 35. The first three have brought some interesting discussions into the comments, and I suspect that as we move closer to the top of the list, discussions will continue to be terrific. If you click on the links to the previous pieces of this list at the bottom of this article, you can read some background into what I consider when making these lists. As always, feel free to discuss each of these players and the rankings of those discussed to this point. [PRBREAK][/PRBREAK] Part 3: Prospects 36-40 In this group, there is an athletic on-base machine and four pitchers. As with those on the previous list, these pitchers have experienced some success, yet at this point can't be ranked any higher. Maybe it's a lack of strikeouts despite good pitches. Maybe the reason is strictly health-related. One made the move to the bullpen before the 2013 season while the other three could wind up there as well. All five are certainly worthy of interest and attention. #35 – Matt Summers – RH SP (24) Summers led the Florida State League in both ERA and WHIP in 2013. In 21 starts, he went 6-5. He also made five starts for New Britain in which he really struggled. The 2011 fourth-round pick struck out 6.3 per nine innings in 2013, which was actually an increase from 5.9 K/9 in 2012. He does throw hard, hitting 92-94 with a two-seam fastball and occasionally hitting 97. He’s got a sharp slider and a good slow curve ball, so I can’t explain the lack of strikeouts. #34 – Tyler Jones – RH RP (24) Jones was my choice for Twins minor league relief pitcher of the year in 2013. He averaged 11.4 K/9 between Cedar Rapids and Ft. Myers. He had been a starter in 2012 in Beloit, but he made the transition to the bullpen and it went well. Having a fastball that touches 98 mph certainly helps, but a much-improved slider helped also. Jones rededicated himself last offseason and got himself in tremendous shape which he credits with some of his success. He's definitely one to watch as he could move quickly. #33 – JD Williams – OF (23) Williams was the Twins 10th round pick in 2010 out of high school in Florida. He is a tremendous athlete who needed time to develop. In 2013, he started the season by repeating in the Midwest League. He needed to do it, and he showed great improvement. In 80 games with the Kernels, he hit .281 with an impressive .391 on base percentage. He has very good speed and increasing pop in his bat. He moved up to Ft. Myers where he got off to a fast start before slowing at the end of the year. #32 – Luke Bard – RH SP (22) Bard was the Twins supplemental 1st round pick in 2012 out of Georgia Tech. He has been hurt pretty much the whole time since. He rehabbed most of the 2013 season before making four appearances in the GCL. He made seven appearances in Elizabethton. He ended the season with one game pitched in Ft. Myers. He’s got the ability to be a solid big league starter or a good big league reliever, if he can get and stay healthy. #31 – Logan Darnell – LH SP (24) The Twins 6th round pick in 2010, he moved from Beloit to Ft. Myers to New Britain in 2011. He spent all of 2012 and began 2013 with the Rock Cats where he made 15 starts and went 6-6 with a 2.51 ERA. He was then promoted to Rochester where he made 11 more starts. The lefty pitched in the Arizona Fall League after the 2012 season and is well thought of. He can eat innings and has a solid four-pitch mix. He just doesn’t strike many out. So there you have it, Part 4 of my Top 50 Twins Prospect list. We'll be back Monday with Part 5, prospects 26-30. Part 1: 46-50 Part 2: 41-45 Part 3: 36-40
  21. Please note that so far we have been looking at #s 36-50. These are "good" prospects, but they're not top prospects. Good prospects can get to the big leagues and contribute as bullpen arms, bench bats/utility players, 5th/6th/7th starters, 4/5th Outfielders, and once in awhile be more. I don't know what you're hoping for. There are only about 15 true aces in all of baseball. There are maybe 30 #2s, an then pretty much everyone else fits into the 3-5 category. Those guys throw the types of velocities that these guys throw. They throw the types of pitches these guys throw. And many of them become successful in the big leagues. There is no one way to build a rotation. There is no "perfect" pitching prospect (Mark Prior was one, right? Strasburg? Cole? Etc.) With so few obvious top pitching prospects, having a few of them is good, and the rest are guys you're hoping with based on one or two pitches, good control, etc. As for Melotakis, and Wimmers, and Duffey, it would be silly to give up on them, just like Summers from a previous list. They could continue to progress, find something that clicks. Get used to working a full season and what that means they need to do. Who knows?
  22. According to Matt Eddy (Baseball America), the Twins have re-signed C Jairo Rodriguez, 1B Reynaldo Rodriguez and 3B Deibinson Romero to minor league deals. None of them need to worry about being taken in the Rule 5.
  23. My thought is that starters are much more valuable, so if you can develop them, go for it. A reminder that most good relievers were not relievers in the minor leagues. They were starters. Consider, most relievers aren't closers. Set up guys may go one inning, but they also could go 2, even 3. So, it certainly doesn't hurt to have them 1.) work on pitches, and 2.) stretch out to be able to fill a long-relief type of role if needed when they are called up.
  24. Thrylos, I can't really disagree with you much. Certainly, he would not be on the list if he were a 10th rounder instead of a first rounder. However, he was a first-rounder, and rightfully so, just three years ago. Injuries are part of the game, and because of his injuries and struggles, he is not going to be debuting at age 23 like so many hope. In fact, he may not debut until he's 27 (if at all). However, if he comes back in 2014 at 100% and gets a full year under his belt, works 140 or so innings and and produces, it will be as a starting pitcher. Let's say he debuts at 27 and is an average big league starter (#3/4 type), for six pre-free agency years, that takes him to 33. Six years of a starter is pretty valuable. Now, I'm obviously countering that by placing him at 40 with what happened his first full season when he was healthy and the uncertainty of any TJ or surgery comeback. That's some of my thinking.
  25. So, Shane, what you are saying is that the Offseason Handbook is a great book for creating debate and discussion among family and friends. It could be printed out, bound together and set on the coffee table for family get-togethers and it could create a lot of discussion!!?? Ryan mentioned a lot of positives, and many of them were surprises. I think that was his point on Albers. As for Fryer, he was impressive in his very small sample with the Twins. He made a strong impression. I don't think he said any more than that about them. In fact, after some signings/trades, it's feasible, if not likely, that they will both be removed from the 40 man roster. But, when asked for positives, it's not hard to come up with several.
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