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Seth Stohs

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Everything posted by Seth Stohs

  1. Correct me if I'm wrong, but we met at a Twins game at Target Field probably 3 years ago, right?
  2. Yes, I admit, Pinto should probably be a little bit higher.
  3. It's a great question because he came out of nowhere. Obviously he was supposed to go to ETown, but ended up in FM and hit for high average. Since I started the rankings, I've learned more and more of him. Tiny, slap hitter with speed. Very good gloved and a very strong arm. He should probably be in the late 30s or somewhere in the 40s.
  4. When the Twins took Pedro Hernandez off the 40 man roster, I wrote that it was now obvious that they would put Edgar Ibarra on their 40 man roster. Today, they did it. Tomorrow, he would have been able to sign with any team. Dude's nasty. I've talked to several people about him, and admittedly only saw him once in Beloit a few years ago... but reports are up to 95 mph on the fastball. Good slider. Decent changeup. Lots of movement. Sometimes lacks command, but I like this move.
  5. A .400 OBP is pretty tough, but i think he can be a .280/.360/440 type and be right in that .800 OPS range... for a catcher, that's tremendous. I wouldn't expect that right away next year. He was voted the "Best Plate Discipline" (or something to that effect) in the Eastern League this year. He takes good at bats and knows the strike zone. He is strong. He's a big weight room guy who is said to outwork most. So, we'll see, but I think an .800 OPS is realistic. Maybe optimistic too, but not out of the realm of possibility.
  6. Ha! Yes, I did. The two have been together as teammates since they signed, so maybe they are as one in my mind?
  7. As Aaron and John 'dared' me to, I sent them the same link that I'll put here, Jeremy's Rosters & Payroll link from the front page of Twins Daily. http://twinsdaily.com/2291-minnesota-twins-roster-payroll-2014.html The link shows quickly that Vance Worley (and several others) are out of options. Parmelee is out of options. Hendriks is not.
  8. Worley was pretty good in the NL in a small ballpark for 2 years. So I agree with John that there had to have been something wrong with that shoulder last year (which is, of course, why he was shut down). Pelfrey really has never been a #3, so I'm not optimistic that he could become a 3... but if the Twins do choose to sign him, I'll certainly hope he becomes that.
  9. I would expect to see Sano and Meyer up by about the end of June. I'd expect to see Rosario and Sano up by early August. Couple them with top prospects who surpassed the prospect innings/at bats like Arcia, Hicks and Gibson, and you've got a good start. Theilbar and Pressly came up last year and contributed already. May will be up by July or so as well. So yeah, some won't be up for awhile, but hopefully this wave (including all mentioned in the above paragraph) takes off and can start learning to win late 2014 and into 2015. Hopefully they establish themselves the next two seasons and then that next wave of talent will be able to come up and contribute (as opposed to being completely relied upon).
  10. One of the points that Aaron made around the 55 minute mark that I think is worth talking about and discussing. I'm of the opinion that I'd rather see the Twins give another opportunity to the likes of Liam Hendriks, Scott Diamond, Vance Worley, Andrew Albers, etc. rather than sign the likes of Bruce Chen or Mike Pelfrey or Barry Zito or guys that aren't at least a #3 type of pitcher. Like Aaron mentioned, Phil Hughes or better... or don't bother. I completely agree. Wbhat
  11. Fair question... in a way, some of it is based on numbers, but at those lower levels, for me at least, it's more about projection. I think that Harrison will hit for a little more average, and I think that his power potential is pretty impressive. He's not there, and he really struggled the last 4-6 weeks. I really like Goodrum. I think he can be a solid all-around player, not flashy, just solid. I'm not sure he'll stay at SS. I'm not sure he'll hit for average. I think both do a great job of walking. I think Harrison could drop a couple of spots, and maybe Goodrum could come up a spot or two. But again, for me, it's more about projecting tools and I think Harrison has a chance to add a lot of power. We shall see.
  12. Hicks had about 280 at bats. The limit for "prospect" is 130 at bats. I like Gonsalves as well. But, to have a 4th round pick from high school this year at #14 is pretty aggressive already. He has a chance to move up quickly. Comparing Berrios' numbers in 2012 to Gonsalves is 2013 is pretty interesting. Both had terrific debuts in the GCL and E-Town.
  13. Jim H - The comments and discussion are my favorite parts about these lists as well. As I've said, there are times that the discussion sways my rankings up to a couple of spots. The other thing is that it shows a lot of guys beyond just the top prospects. There have been players who didn't appear on the Top 50 lists, so you never know. diehard - I like May. I'm with you. Drop the walk rate just a little bit, and keep that K rate close to 9 (or at least above 8), and he's exciting. As for Pinto, he might be close to those Top 100s. I don't think he should be quite in that category, but he can still be a very solid MLB player. To be somewhat honest, in my mind, my prospects 6-12 could all be somewhat interchangeable. The thing that is encouraging to me with Santana is that he is not just a slap hitter. I'd like to see more walks, but he takes a healthy swing, and although he won't have HR power, he can get doubles and triples, I think.
  14. I really like this article by Cody. I think it's a fun topic, and I'll just throw out my "bobbers" by position as well. Starting Pitchers - One Bobber (though I want Meyer and May to be starting by second half. I wouldn't sign more than one high-priced starter) Bullpen - Three Bobbers - no need to spend there. 1B - Two Bobbers - if it was me, I'd go with Mauer there, but I'm also good with giving Parmelee/Colabello another shot to start next year. 2B - Three Bobbers - Dozier and/or Rosario SS - Two Bobbers - Florimon isn't a great hitter, but the D is elite. I would not spend money there and hope Santana can take a big step ahead. 3B - Three Bobbers - Plouffe until Sano is ready. LF - Three Bobbers - Willingham will play there. I prefer Arcia in RF. Hicks can play there. CF - Three Bobbers - Short-term, no worries with Mastro/Pressley, long-term, Buxton by July/August. RF - Three Bobbers - Arcia, Hicks, there are options.
  15. I think he's absolutely a lock at 3B, and I think Cody was looking at the short-term. Even if Sano isn't the ultimate answer at 3B, he's going to be given a couple of years there. So, it's definitely not a position they should address.
  16. I wonder if Santana is Florimon, without the great defense (though great range and arm) or the HR power, but with better batting average. I hope that the Twins call up May to start. I just like the K-Rate. Worst case, he has to move to the bullpen, but I'd give him every shot. There were some improvements and still reason for hope of a #3 type of pitcher.. I agree on Pinto being the primary starting catcher. That's what I would want to do. 11-15 is an area where there is upside already, but generally speaking, it's not an elite ceiling. In any organization, there are really only about 2-3 guys that meet the high ceiling, relatively high floor category. I think the Twins have 3-4 this year.
  17. You can view the page at http://twinsdaily.com/content.php?r=2448-Minnesota-Twins-Top-50-Prospects-11-15
  18. Over the last two weeks, we've been counting down my choices for the Top 50 Minnesota Twins prospects. The series will culminate this week as we dive into the Top 15 prospects. I've talked some about what goes into my rankings, but it's certainly not a science. It is subjective. I do try to take many factors into account, but one thing I do try to consider is guys with certain tools that stand out as elite. As we get into the Top 15 prospects, you'll start to see some of those elite tools and that's why they are up this high. [PRBREAK][/PRBREAK] Part 8: Prospects 11-15 In today's installment, there is a mix of youth and some guys who have been around awhile and should be close to the big leagues. In fact, one of them had a pretty impressive big league debut in September. Two other players on the 40 man roster should debut in 2014. One lefty made an impressive pro debut in July. The other has immense power and offensive potential. Photo by Rinaldi Photos #15 – Danny Santana – SS (22) Santana is a difficult prospect to get a good read on. He was added to the 40 man roster a year ago, and certainly did enough at AA New Britain to keep that spot. He hit .297/.333/.386 (.719) with 22 doubles, ten triples and two home runs. He is incredibly fast which helps his batting average. He could afford to walk more, though at this point we may not be likely to see more than a little improvement. He stole 30 bases, though he was also caught 13 times. Defensively, Santana is tough to read. His speed gives him remarkable range and he can make a lot of highlight reel plays. He also committed 32 errors, many on more routine plays. He will turn 23 years old later this week and should spend the 2014 season in Triple-A with a shot at a late-season big league debut. #14 – Stephen Gonsalves – LH SP (19) After a very good but somewhat controversial season at Cathedral Catholic high school in San Diego, the Twins used their 4th round pick last June on the left-hander. At 6-5 and 205 pounds, he has some room to gain strength. It would be great if he could add a couple miles per hour to his fastball which currently sits between 89 and 92 and has touched 94 at times. He also has an inconsistent curveball and a pretty good changeup. Both pitches have the chance to be very good pitches. He’s still young, and he has room to improve and grow, but the Twins got a steal when he fell to them in the 4th round. #13 – Trevor May – RH SP (24) Trevor May came to the Twins about a year ago from the Phillies in the Ben Revere trade. The right-hander returned to the Eastern League for a second consecutive season. He did show minimal improvement in just about every category. His ERA and WHIP fell just a little bit. His walk rate dropped from 4.7 per nine to 4.0 per nine, while his strikeouts increased from 9.1 per nine to 9.4. He threw over 150 innings. In two more innings than a year earlier, he gave up eight fewer home runs. It wasn’t a big step forward, but he stayed healthy and did show some improvement. May throws hard and has the pitches to be a starter. In the AFL he’s been pitching out of the bullpen. He will need to begin the 2014 season in the Rochester starting rotation. He was one of three Twins's minor league full-season starters to strike out more than a batter an inning. #12 – Travis Harrison – 3B (21) Harrison was the Twins first supplemental first round pick in 2011 out of high school in California. The man has very strong hands, wrists and forearms which certainly bodes well for him becoming a very good power hitter for the Twins. He has power to all fields. On the season in Cedar Rapids he hit .253/.366/.416 (.782) with 28 doubles and 15 home runs. It did appear the length of the full season wore him down as he struggled the final six weeks of the season. Defensively, he remains a work-in-progress at third base. At all six of the games I saw Cedar Rapids, he was on the field as much as five hours before the game taking ground ball after ground ball from manager Jake Mauer. He could also eventually move to a corner outfield spot or first base. I do think that in time he will have enough bat to play those positions. #11 – Josmil Pinto – C (24) Pinto was up with the Twins for only a month, but he showed what Josmil Pinto is and can be. Starting with the positive, the guy can hit. He began the year in AA and hit .308/.411/.482 (.892). He moved up to Rochester, and in 19 games hit .314 (with an .819 OPS). Right before September, he was promoted to the Twins where he hit .342/.398/.566 (.963) in 21 games. He had five doubles and four home runs. To summarize, he can hit for average, has a very good approach at the plate and knowledge of the strike zone and very good pop in his bat for a catcher. Defensively, there is no question that he remains a work in progress. He struggled at times, but some of that is part of learning a new league. He’s a little stiff, but people talk about how hard he works, so I think he will make himself an adequate glove man. Offensively, he is ready now. ------------------------------------------------------------------ Thank you for reading part Part 8 of what will be a ten part series with my Top 50 Twins Prospects. Next up, the Top 10 Twins prospects (in my opinion). In case you missed any of the previous installments, here are those links: Part 1: 46-50 Part 2: 41-45 Part 3: 36-40 Part 4: 31-35 Part 5: 26-30 Part 6: 21-25 Part 7: 16-20
  19. I absolutely think he should be. The only thing, in my mind, that hurts him is that he isn't talked about nationally as much as he should be.
  20. Capps already signed with Cleveland. (minor league deal)
  21. Humber has been a free agent for quite awhile. The free agents that can't be signed quite yet are guys that just became free agents at the end of the World Series.
  22. Former Twin Matthew Lecroy was named the bullpen coach of the Washington Nationals.
  23. I'm pretty much good with any minor league signing. There's little downside. Thompson's a solid left. Darnell and Dean may end up ahead of him, but let it play out. Depth is a good thing.For the record, I would absolutely keep Duensing around.
  24. I like both of these signings. Thompson has some (very little) big league time and is still just 27. he's got good stuff. Like Jeremy said on Twitter, he could take Duensing's spot. Dan Rohlfing is a right-handed Chris Herrmann in that he is a very good, athletic defensive catcher who has the ability to play elsewhere. There's value in that for the Twins, but also for Rochester.
  25. I just don't get this line of thinking. I understand it in the form of a prospect list. The reason that Buxton and Sano are top prospects in baseball is, along with their amazing talent, their age to level of competition. They are the exceptions. I just don't see the value in pushing a player based on age as opposed to readiness. If they get to the big leagues at 25 instead of 23, but they're in a better position to succeed, what's the negative? Brian Dozier got to the big leagues less than 2 years after he signed, and he was 24, and yet, people thought he was old. That's just crazy to me. Age is just one piece of a prospect list.
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