Even if Morneau can stay healthy, the odds that he returns to his MVP level production are very slim. Also, Zumaya is just as questionable, especially since he hasn't pitched in the majors since 2010. Capps also isn't exactly the best of options at closer, especially with all of the free agent options there were for relievers this season. I understand having Capps in the bullpen, but there were plenty of other new options that they could have signed.
I see no reason why the Twins can't do better, but I don't think they can perform much better than .500.
Even with those expectations, though, I am a little disappointed that this is just two seasons removed from where we had JJ Hardy and Jim Thome in the lineup. I just can't get too excited for a team that has Jamey Carroll as starting SS and Ben Revere starting in the outfield.