Jnball43

I think the most likely reason teams are struggling is a renewed focus on development. Someone on here watched Enlow pitch in CR recently and said the kid threw nothing but fastballs. I would find it hard to believe that a kid whose best pitch is a curve would decide to forgo it for an entire start unless he was specifically instructed to do so. To me that shows that, especially at the lower levels (A/AA),they are prioritizing development over winning. Given how many of our big prospects seem to be lacking in some fairly basic fundamentals (fastball command, bunting, baserunning, etc) when being called up, I for one am happy to see this change.

Hey, long time lurker, first time poster, but I've always been fascinated by The Monty Hall problem so I have to correct a little misinformation. In fact, by changing your answer your odds actually climb to 66.67%. I'll try to explain as best I can, otherwise,I believe there is an entire Wikipedia article on it. The most important thing is to look at the entirety of the problem. When you are first offered a choice of 3 doors, behind one of which is a car, you have a 33.3% chance of guessing right. For argument sake, let's say you choose door #1. The game show host, who knows where the car is(a key assumption, as the probabilities change if he doesn't know), opens a door without the car. This is actually a lot of new info. Now, if the car was behind door #1, the host can open either door 2 or 3. However, if the car is behind door 2, he can only open door 3, and vice versa if it's behind door 3. The host now offers you the chance to switch doors. If you stay with door #1, the only way you get the car is if your original choice out of 3 was right (still 33.3%). However, if you change it, the only way you don't get the car is if your original guess was right (if the car is behind door 2, the host opens door 3 and you switch to door 2, if the car is behind door 3, the host opens door 2 and you change to door 3, either way you get the car). So by switching you are effectively being given the option to choose 2 out of 3 doors, thus increasing your odds to 66.67%. In relation to the given topic though, the most important thing is to show how valuable additional information can be.