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jaguareffect

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  1. I like that the BP staff makes an effort to be transparent about the meaning and scope of the PECOTA estimates. They don't hesitate to discuss the implications for someone like Julien and the reasons the system will demote him despite the fact that his on-field performance and hitting style indicate otherwise. Because he is an oddity of a player and projection algorithms are historically awful at managing outliers, there's a strong possibility PECOTA is incorrect about him this year.
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