Jump to content
Twins Daily
  • Create Account

bighat

Verified Member
  • Posts

    4,600
  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    8

Reputation Activity

  1. Like
    bighat reacted to DJL44 in Byron Buxton Agrees to a Contract Extension with the Twins   
    Odds that Pineda re-signs by the end of the week?
  2. Like
    bighat reacted to Brock Beauchamp in Byron Buxton Agrees to a Contract Extension with the Twins   
    I'm surprised about so many of the aspects of this contract. First, that the Twins were able to convince him to accept big MVP bonuses and not plate appearance bonuses, ensuring that performance, not health, will escalate the contract. Second, no opt out or anything, full no-trade clause (good for Buck!).
    Remember, Buxton *should* be a free agent *right now* but the front office hosed him very intentionally. Byron appears to be a very forgiving man and we should all be thankful for it. This is a very team-friendly contract.
  3. Like
    bighat reacted to RonCoomersOPS in Byron Buxton Agrees to a Contract Extension with the Twins   
    I'm curious what this means for Royce Lewis? Does the FO see him as a shortstop moving forward (meaning his recovery must be going very well) or is he now trade bait for some high-end pitching (Castillo? Montas?)?
  4. Like
    bighat reacted to USAFChief in Byron Buxton Agrees to a Contract Extension with the Twins   
    About GD time.
  5. Like
    bighat got a reaction from mikelink45 in Lewis, Miranda Among Six Players Added to the Twins 40-Man Roster   
    Was reading the MLBTradeRumors article, here's what unbiased baseball writers say about Charlie Barnes.
    "Barnes, 26, is a soft-tossing lefty and former fourth-rounder who made his big league debut out of necessity to help soak up some innings in an injury-ruined season for the Twins’ rotation. He was clobbered for a 5.92 ERA while striking out just 20 of the 175 batters he faced."
    I realize most here agree he's not much more than organizational depth, but I guess it's worth emphasizing just how awful so many of the Twins' "prospects" are. With Berrios long gone and Buxton soon to be shown the door, I'm not sure how this team doesn't become the Baltimore Orioles for the next 10 years.
  6. Like
    bighat got a reaction from Doctor Gast in Lewis, Miranda Among Six Players Added to the Twins 40-Man Roster   
    Was reading the MLBTradeRumors article, here's what unbiased baseball writers say about Charlie Barnes.
    "Barnes, 26, is a soft-tossing lefty and former fourth-rounder who made his big league debut out of necessity to help soak up some innings in an injury-ruined season for the Twins’ rotation. He was clobbered for a 5.92 ERA while striking out just 20 of the 175 batters he faced."
    I realize most here agree he's not much more than organizational depth, but I guess it's worth emphasizing just how awful so many of the Twins' "prospects" are. With Berrios long gone and Buxton soon to be shown the door, I'm not sure how this team doesn't become the Baltimore Orioles for the next 10 years.
  7. Like
    bighat reacted to Linus in Lewis, Miranda Among Six Players Added to the Twins 40-Man Roster   
    Well it was quite a common topic of conversation as Wade thrived after the trade and Cave is who he is.  So I can amend my comment to geez isn’t it too bad that we didn’t keep Wade over Cave. 
  8. Like
    bighat reacted to Dave The Dastardly in Get Ready for the Opposite of Joe Mauer   
    Sports fans in particular and people in general are notoriously short-sighted. This long-term blindness allows them to complain no matter what happens with Buxton so we shouldn't be surprised when the second-guessing starts.
    Players get millions, Fans get something to complain about and Front Office types get ulcers. American baseball; something for everybody.
  9. Like
    bighat reacted to tony&rodney in ROSENTHAL: Byron Buxton Trade “Likely”   
    The Twins have backed themselves into a corner. Perhaps their best option is to just sign him for 2022 and let him become a free agent. 
  10. Like
    bighat reacted to Vanimal46 in ROSENTHAL: Byron Buxton Trade “Likely”   
    If we somehow end up trading Berrios and Buxton within a calendar year of each other, I’m going to have to take some time to see if I really want to prioritize the Twins and MLB in my free time. The pain is going to be too much to handle. 
    The FO created 2 self-inflicting, horribly managed situations. There’s still time to right this ship before it’s too late and a trade occurs  
     
  11. Like
    bighat got a reaction from Mark G in What Would a Dramatic Roster Upheaval Look Like for the Twins?   
    Not sure why so many are bullish on Jeffers. Among catchers with 250 plate appearances in 2021, Jeffers ranked 38th in BA (.199) and 28th in OPS (.670). He did come in first in one category: #1 in K% - that's right, his 36.9% strikeout rate was the worst in baseball at the catcher position.
    With so many stats out there, we often like to jump to our desired conclusion first (ie: Jeffers is a solid starting catcher) and then work our way backwards, cherry picking stats to backup our positions. As you can guess, that's not really the correct way to assess a player.
    Even if we give Jeffers the benefit of the doubt that catcher is a weak-hitting position, he still ranks at the bottom of almost every category among fellow backstops. I anticipate the whole "but he's young" (25 next season) argument or "His BABIP is .269" but neither of those change his BA, OPS, or K%.
    I know cheering for our boys is just part of being a fan, and I'll look forward to Jeffers proving me wrong. But let's all do our best to stop lying to ourselves about players like Larnach and Jeffers. Yes, they deserve a chance, but we need to see them for who they are right now: below-average 25 year-olds who - unless we see drastic improvement - will not make an impact in 2022.
     
  12. Like
    bighat reacted to GeorgiaBaller in What Would a Dramatic Roster Upheaval Look Like for the Twins?   
    Do not let go of Buxton---you cannot replace his skillset without paying more than he will get.  Maybe he has finally figured out the wall is an immovable object thing.
    I don't see a catcher anywhere on the rebuild list.  Look at the playoff teams. They all have very solid defensive catchers who are DEPENDABLE WORKHORSES.  Most have also been leaders/field generals.  Up the middle defense is only satisfied with CF when Buxton is healthy.  IMO, we have to obtain a solid catcher that does not have injury history.  There are not too many Joe Mauers who are batting champs and top rate catchers (batting champ is not top criteria).  Would love to contract him to assist in a search for another catcher, but Garvin is too injury riddled to be dependable now and Jeffers is not a high level defensive presence.  
     
     
     
  13. Like
    bighat reacted to Nick Nelson in What Would a Dramatic Roster Upheaval Look Like for the Twins?   
    He also hit 14 HR as a good defensive catcher, and essentially a 24-year-old rookie. More uncommon than you imply. How many players at his age and experience level were in that sample of catchers with 250-PA this year? 
    Yes, his plate discipline needs a lot of work. IMO the best way to help him develop that is to provide more regular ABs instead of having him split time with one of the team's best hitters in Garver. Keep in mind Jeffers has less than 50 total games worth of experience above Single-A in the minors. You can't evaluate him as some sort of finished product right now.
    If the Twins were all-in on a championship next year I might agree that Jeffers is best relegated to the bench, but that's not the case. The Twins need to get a clear read on what they have in him, because Garver is only under control for two more seasons...
  14. Like
    bighat reacted to Doctor Gast in What Would a Dramatic Roster Upheaval Look Like for the Twins?   
    Thanks Nick for showing what a retooling might look like and appropriately near Halloween. It scared the **** out of me! Getting rid of Buxton and putting Kepler in CF is a nightmare. Kepler is a huge down grade from Buxton and putting Kepler in CF fulltime is creating another Polanco effect. Over extending Kepler at CF will more than likely create increase injuries and keep Kepler from breaking out with his hitting and even continue to spiral down. CF isn't his natural position keep him in RF.
    Focusing on FA and trading Buxton, tells me that you don't trust FO to be able to initiate big trades or negotiate a fair deal with Buxton. I tend to agree with you but I'm hoping that they will surprise me, since they are coming back. Also I doubt that Ray  or Baez (especially now w/o Berrios) would come here as they'd prefer a larger market and a team what they see as a contender.
    The only avenue I see is trading for top players to plug our biggest holes. This takes away the players preference of not coming here, minimize payroll, reduces redundancy and the 40 man crunch. I hate to see us lose needed undeveloped prospect potential for nothing while hording potential DH types.
    I don't see the need to shake up the core, we have a very good core. Many times we come back from a losing seasons w/o shaking up the core instead filling appropriate holes, change coaching or management. My hope is that the new hitting coach will help  facilitate our hitters coming out of their ruts. My trades would not be core for prospects but upgrading our crucial positions & depth of those positions. With packages that would include mainly non essential and redundant players at less crucial positions which we have in abundance. Which would also help give us more flexibility on our 40 man roster.
    I would not trade Donaldson because I wouldn't want to put a lot of pressure on Miranda to step up and produce right away (we saw how that worked out) that should happen very quickly if Arraez is full time 3B. Miranda is very close but still I'd like him ease in there. He'll have a lot of opportunities even with Donaldson and I like Donaldson mentoring him. At trade deadline there should be more opportunities to trade Donaldson and Sano if need be.
    It's a gutsy move to try to slide Rogers through waivers. Although I applaud the attempt, still I flinch because we haven't had that much luck doing that with good players. Oops you aren't expecting him to pass waivers, sorry. 
  15. Like
    bighat got a reaction from Doctor Gast in What Would a Dramatic Roster Upheaval Look Like for the Twins?   
    Not sure why so many are bullish on Jeffers. Among catchers with 250 plate appearances in 2021, Jeffers ranked 38th in BA (.199) and 28th in OPS (.670). He did come in first in one category: #1 in K% - that's right, his 36.9% strikeout rate was the worst in baseball at the catcher position.
    With so many stats out there, we often like to jump to our desired conclusion first (ie: Jeffers is a solid starting catcher) and then work our way backwards, cherry picking stats to backup our positions. As you can guess, that's not really the correct way to assess a player.
    Even if we give Jeffers the benefit of the doubt that catcher is a weak-hitting position, he still ranks at the bottom of almost every category among fellow backstops. I anticipate the whole "but he's young" (25 next season) argument or "His BABIP is .269" but neither of those change his BA, OPS, or K%.
    I know cheering for our boys is just part of being a fan, and I'll look forward to Jeffers proving me wrong. But let's all do our best to stop lying to ourselves about players like Larnach and Jeffers. Yes, they deserve a chance, but we need to see them for who they are right now: below-average 25 year-olds who - unless we see drastic improvement - will not make an impact in 2022.
     
  16. Like
    bighat reacted to wsnydes in What Would a Dramatic Roster Upheaval Look Like for the Twins?   
    That Donaldson guy wasn't too shabby a signing either.
  17. Like
    bighat reacted to roger in What Would a Dramatic Roster Upheaval Look Like for the Twins?   
    Very interesting.  I guess it all starts with what happens to Buxton.  So in the meantime, we wait.
  18. Like
    bighat reacted to mikelink45 in 3 Saints Relief Pitchers who can Help the Twins in 2022   
    This is great and yes it is time. The other players that we don't have always seem so good but in reality our players have the potential to be exactly what we need
  19. Like
    bighat reacted to USAFChief in Back in the Saddle: My Twins Offseason Blueprint   
    I like it. It'll take some long shots coming through (like a season of 2019 Verlander) and some gambles paying off (Galvis/Lewis at SS, Larnach in RF) for the Twins to contend in 2022. These are chances/gambles with some realistic possibilities.
    However, I can't imagine Kepler nets you Manaea.
  20. Like
    bighat reacted to chpettit19 in Back in the Saddle: My Twins Offseason Blueprint   
    Pretty realistic offseason plan I think. I think Verlander coming here is by far the biggest question mark. Not sure this is the type of situation he'd want to use a year at the end of his career in. I don't think it's impossible, but I think it's unlikely. 
    I'm not a big fan of trading Kepler. I think the biggest problem with him is that the Twins have done everything they can to force a 6-9 hole hitter into the 1-5 slots in the lineup. If you have a gold glove type RFer with some decent pop, but ends up around league average for hitters every year you have a winning player. Just stop hitting him leadoff or 4th or 5th. Put him where belongs in the order and fans will quit complaining about him so much and your lineup will be lengthened. It's a fly ball league now as everyone tries to lift the ball for power. I want as many big time gloves in the outfield as I can get. Part of the Twins run prevention problems early were defensive mistakes that the pitchers then didn't overcome and things snowballed. Kepler played a role in Milwaukee and Rooker had the worst fielding series I've ever seen in Oakland. 
    Sano doesn't have the trade value of Kepler (I'd guess), but he'd be the first person I try to move. He's another one I think would help by being dropped in the order, but he also has the weight of being Org Savior #2 after they told fans to wait for him and Buxton and watch the magic once they arrived. At this point a change in scenery is probably best for both sides as he can go hit in the bottom of somebody's order and mash 40 bombs and strike out 36% of the time without the fan base demanding he be a savior. That allows Larnach more time at the DH spot (as I said earlier I don't want negative defenders in the OF) and Kirilloff can just take over at 1B with Miranda being able to start getting his feet wet, too.
    I love the bullpen plan and would be quite happy if that's what they went into the season with. Spending big money on relief arms is just too risky for a team with the Twins financial restraints (self inflicted restraints or not). I'd honestly be ok with 3 new arms in the 10M range if they can't get a Verlander type rental. I'd even give Dobnak a spot, but only if it meant they took the money saved there and the money you have ticketed for Galvis and Dickerson and went and got one of the big SSs. I've said on TD before, but locking up Buxton, Polanco, and one of those big SSs would be my priority. Lock in the middle of the field for the next 5, 6, 7 years and attack the corners after. Especially since we have so many corner pieces already. I'd be good with a big name SS and 2 or 3 Gray type signings for the rotation while we let the young guys get their shots.
  21. Like
    bighat reacted to dxpavelka in Back in the Saddle: My Twins Offseason Blueprint   
    That's so cute.  Thinking that Verlander's gonna sign here.  Counting on neither Kiriloff or Larnach to flame out.  Thinking that Buxton's gonna settle for 5 years $84 million.  (Up  that $84 by 50% to $126 and he MIGHT answer the phone.  Don't know if he'd sign but at least he'd take the call.) Guess I shouldn't be surprised.  considering we're talking about a team whose Pitcher of the Year plays for another team.  P.S.  That's the pitcher we should be throwing $20 million a year at but if we want to go with the 39 year old guy who am I to object.  At least we might get Kate Upton in the stands.
  22. Like
    bighat reacted to RonCoomersOPS in The Twins Don’t Need a High End Utilityman   
    Totally agree! Losing Baddoo was a huge blow to the Twins' major league outfield!
    Wait, what's that? I'm being told that Akil Baddoo was not, in fact, ever a member of the Twins' major league outfield, and that losing him to the Rule 5 draft did not, in any way, impact the Twins' roster or even it's short-term roster plans.
  23. Like
    bighat got a reaction from TwinsDr2021 in The Twins Don’t Need a High End Utilityman   
    Kirilloff doesn't look like an OF to me, but if he can stay healthy and work on his defense he might be able to play a few years there. If he hits like we expect he will.
    Larnach was the worst offensive player in MLB between June 1 and his demotion in August. Defensive liability. I'm not sure there's a future for him with this organization. Hope I'm wrong.
  24. Like
    bighat got a reaction from Five minute major in The Twins Don’t Need a High End Utilityman   
    I agree! To put it simply, Luis Arraez is the Twins high-end utility man. He's not supposed to be the full time left fielder.
    Speaking of which, let's put Arraez back in his old utility role and pick up a solid corner outfielder who can hit 30 HR, drive in 100+ and play 162 games? Funny thing, didn't we have one of those guys already? I kid, I kid. I don't want them to re-sign a Eddie, but they should be looking for a guy who can give them 2019-like Eddie numbers. Players like that are a dime a dozen. 
    Amazing that the Twins need outfield help when they let Wade and Baddoo go and got nothing in return.
  25. Like
    bighat got a reaction from Karbo in The Twins Don’t Need a High End Utilityman   
    I agree! To put it simply, Luis Arraez is the Twins high-end utility man. He's not supposed to be the full time left fielder.
    Speaking of which, let's put Arraez back in his old utility role and pick up a solid corner outfielder who can hit 30 HR, drive in 100+ and play 162 games? Funny thing, didn't we have one of those guys already? I kid, I kid. I don't want them to re-sign a Eddie, but they should be looking for a guy who can give them 2019-like Eddie numbers. Players like that are a dime a dozen. 
    Amazing that the Twins need outfield help when they let Wade and Baddoo go and got nothing in return.
×
×
  • Create New...