Jump to content
Twins Daily
  • Create Account

AceWrigley

Verified Member
  • Posts

    1,268
  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    1

Reputation Activity

  1. Like
    AceWrigley got a reaction from Wax off in The Twins NEED a Shortstop   
    2014 - Nick Gordon - picked 5th - 16th in total WAR (Baseball Ref)
    2015 - Tyler Jay - picked 6th - Pfffft!
    2016 - Alex Kirilloff - picked 15th - 11th in total WAR
    2017 - Royce Lewis - picked 1st - nothing so far
    2018 - Trevor Larnach - picked 20th - 9th in total WAR
    2019 - Keoni Cavaco - picked 13th - only Andrew Vaughn & Alex Manoah have appeared in MLB
    2020 - Aaron Sabato - picked 27th - only Garrett Crochet & Reid Detmers have appeared in MLB
    2021 - Chase Petty - picked 26th - No one from this draft has appeared in MLB
    The total WAR listed above is ranked by players from that year's 1st round draft. Nick Gordon, picked 5th,  has 15 1st round picks from the 2014 draft who have produced more total WAR than he did. Only 64% of those drafted 1st round 2014-2018 have a positive WAR.
    This is just a small, limited analysis. I'm sure you could develop a Bill James style algorithm to project an estimate career WAR for minor league players and keep or trade accordingly. From quick glance here I'd say that draft picks might serve better as trade capital than not.
  2. Like
    AceWrigley got a reaction from RpR in The Twins NEED a Shortstop   
    2014 - Nick Gordon - picked 5th - 16th in total WAR (Baseball Ref)
    2015 - Tyler Jay - picked 6th - Pfffft!
    2016 - Alex Kirilloff - picked 15th - 11th in total WAR
    2017 - Royce Lewis - picked 1st - nothing so far
    2018 - Trevor Larnach - picked 20th - 9th in total WAR
    2019 - Keoni Cavaco - picked 13th - only Andrew Vaughn & Alex Manoah have appeared in MLB
    2020 - Aaron Sabato - picked 27th - only Garrett Crochet & Reid Detmers have appeared in MLB
    2021 - Chase Petty - picked 26th - No one from this draft has appeared in MLB
    The total WAR listed above is ranked by players from that year's 1st round draft. Nick Gordon, picked 5th,  has 15 1st round picks from the 2014 draft who have produced more total WAR than he did. Only 64% of those drafted 1st round 2014-2018 have a positive WAR.
    This is just a small, limited analysis. I'm sure you could develop a Bill James style algorithm to project an estimate career WAR for minor league players and keep or trade accordingly. From quick glance here I'd say that draft picks might serve better as trade capital than not.
  3. Like
    AceWrigley reacted to wsnydes in The Twins NEED a Shortstop   
    I don't think it's a coincidence that Polanco's bat took off with the move to 2B.  He was also healthier.  That's not a coincidence either.  They do need to bring in a shortstop.  I'd rather they roll with Martin or Lewis at SS than move Polanco back.  I agree entirely that that move was the best of the 2021 decisions.  Don't negate it by undoing it.
    Regarding Polanco, this seems like a "don't mess with success" scenario.  Find another solution.
  4. Haha
    AceWrigley got a reaction from MN_ExPat in Who is New Twins Pitcher Jake Faria?   
    Are flame throwers ever used for good, really?

  5. Haha
    AceWrigley got a reaction from wabene in Who is New Twins Pitcher Jake Faria?   
    Are flame throwers ever used for good, really?

  6. Like
    AceWrigley got a reaction from big dog in Who is New Twins Pitcher Jake Faria?   
    Are flame throwers ever used for good, really?

  7. Haha
    AceWrigley got a reaction from Rigby in Twins sign Dylan Bundy   
    Because we know eventually someone's head will explode and who doesn't like a good head explosion occasionally?

  8. Like
    AceWrigley got a reaction from SwainZag in Twins sign Dylan Bundy   
    Because we know eventually someone's head will explode and who doesn't like a good head explosion occasionally?

  9. Haha
    AceWrigley got a reaction from glunn in Who is New Twins Pitcher Jake Faria?   
    Are flame throwers ever used for good, really?

  10. Haha
    AceWrigley got a reaction from Murph in Twins Claim Trevor Megill, Outright Jake Cave   
    I'm just glad his name isn't Miguel Megill.
  11. Haha
    AceWrigley got a reaction from DocBauer in Who is New Twins Pitcher Jake Faria?   
    Are flame throwers ever used for good, really?

  12. Like
    AceWrigley got a reaction from PseudoSABR in Twins sign Dylan Bundy   
    Because we know eventually someone's head will explode and who doesn't like a good head explosion occasionally?

  13. Like
    AceWrigley reacted to Otto von Ballpark in Poll: Lockout and potential viewing habit changes   
    If games are lost, that means this lockout would last at least 2.5 months. (And maybe 3+ months to impact regular season games?)
    I don't know if I'd be any less of a fan in the long run, but that would be a disappointing outcome.
  14. Like
    AceWrigley reacted to luckylager in Poll: Lockout and potential viewing habit changes   
    I don't understand the question. If the lockout extends into the season how could one watch more games?
  15. Like
    AceWrigley got a reaction from bean5302 in Twins Claim Trevor Megill, Outright Jake Cave   
    Ya but . . . at 6-8 he has tremendous downward plane. Where's Bert?
  16. Like
    AceWrigley got a reaction from tarheeltwinsfan in Twins Claim Trevor Megill, Outright Jake Cave   
    Ya but . . . at 6-8 he has tremendous downward plane. Where's Bert?
  17. Haha
    AceWrigley got a reaction from Twins33 in Twins Claim Trevor Megill, Outright Jake Cave   
    I'm just glad his name isn't Miguel Megill.
  18. Like
    AceWrigley got a reaction from ashbury in Twins Claim Trevor Megill, Outright Jake Cave   
    May the Hall of Forgotten Cartoon Fame make you an honorary member of Peebles Pet Shop.
  19. Haha
    AceWrigley got a reaction from operation mindcrime in Twins Claim Trevor Megill, Outright Jake Cave   
    I'm just glad his name isn't Miguel Megill.
  20. Like
    AceWrigley reacted to ashbury in Twins Claim Trevor Megill, Outright Jake Cave   
    Megill, A Gorilla.
  21. Like
    AceWrigley got a reaction from tarheeltwinsfan in Twins Claim Trevor Megill, Outright Jake Cave   
    I'm just glad his name isn't Miguel Megill.
  22. Like
    AceWrigley got a reaction from big dog in Twins Claim Trevor Megill, Outright Jake Cave   
    I'm just glad his name isn't Miguel Megill.
  23. Haha
    AceWrigley got a reaction from h2oface in Twins Claim Trevor Megill, Outright Jake Cave   
    I'm just glad his name isn't Miguel Megill.
  24. Like
    AceWrigley got a reaction from PDX Twin in Twins Claim Trevor Megill, Outright Jake Cave   
    I'm just glad his name isn't Miguel Megill.
  25. Like
    AceWrigley got a reaction from wsnydes in Twins Claim Trevor Megill, Outright Jake Cave   
    I'm just glad his name isn't Miguel Megill.
×
×
  • Create New...