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jrod23

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  1. Like
    jrod23 got a reaction from Original_JB in TwinsFest Returns in January for First Time Since 2020   
    Happy & grateful it's back.  I'm glad it's not a victim of the pandemic.  On the flip, the fan as top priority has diminished significantly since the days of the Dome.  Now it's just being shoved further under the carpet.
  2. Like
    jrod23 reacted to DocBauer in Who are the Backup Options at Third Base?   
    I have really come around to the idea that the Twins are legitimate contenders for one of the big 4 FA at SS. IMO, it's either Correa or Bogaerts. Not saying they aren't looking at Swanson or Turner, just a hunch on the first two. Crazy to believe, but Boras as the agent for both is a plus for the Twins as they have a good relationship with him.
    Assuming that happens, Farmer is clearly the top backup. Arraez is #3 and I think he's fine there on a limited basis. 
    On the milb side, things are a bit sparse until mid season when Lewis should be back and Lee might be ready for a promotion. And I say sparse only because of more time needed, and  I'm really worried someone is going to snag Severino and stash him, though I'm really, really hoping that won't be the case. Still, like Lee, he might not be ready for AAA until mid year.
    Bechtold has never turned in to the hitter I had hoped, though he's really developed decent power. He's a very good defensive 3B who also plays 1B and catches. He could be a "break glass" option.
    Not sure about Julien. His bat is going to play and you FIND ROOM for a bat like his. He played almost solely at 2B in 2022, but has played a little 3B previously, and  unless his arm is just really poor, I'd love to see him play some 3B this coming season. Really increases his value/versatility if he can. And while a bit old for prospect status, Helman can play just about everywhere and brings a lot of overall ability offensively. But his tools and versatility might make him a rule 5 pick for someone to stash as well.
    Interesting Martin wasn't mentioned. He played a lot of 3B in college, IIRC, and if his bat keeps progressing, he might be an option as well. (I'm thinking he is a younger, better Marwin Gonzalez super utility player in the future).
    WITH a top SS, 3B is just fine with a lot of future options there. But those options aren't quite ready, and not on the 40 man at this time. But the potential and a couple "if needed" options might be available.
  3. Like
    jrod23 reacted to Devilsadvocate in Twins AFL Report (Week 5): Julien and Martin Continue Hitting   
    Julien doesn't profile as anywhere near the hitter Arraez is, so I don't see that being much of a comparison. Their OBP should be pretty similar though!
  4. Like
    jrod23 reacted to Minny505 in Twins AFL Report (Week 2): Austin Martin is Blowing Up   
    I was at one of the games in which he played all 9 innings at SS. He was rough. Poor instincts and anticipation.
    What I mean is that he essentially had 4 plays in the game. He botched 2 of them. 
    The first on a looper to RF where the batter tried to stretch it to a double. Martin was late to cover 2B and a perfect throw by the RFer to the bag, that would have gotten a precious AFL out, was wasted.
    An inning later a hot 2 hopper was hit to him and he "olayed" the ball. 
    He made one particularly impressive throw from the hole. On both plays that he did make, his arm strength surprised me, as that is usually the knock on minor leaguers being able to stick at the position.
  5. Like
    jrod23 got a reaction from msukirbycarew in The Twins New Shortstop for 2023?   
    Correa didn't blow my socks off this season.  The Twins did when they signed him, but that's about it.  He was behind Miranda in RBI, but with 80 more at bats that Jose.  He was also 2nd in dingers.  A whole 22.  His average was pretty solid, but he just didn't wow anyone.  We kept waiting for that outburst.  Sucked when it came at the end of the season, a mini one at that, when everyone else wasn't producing at the plate and we saw the division slip off into Cleveland.  He wants to cash in while he's under 30.  Good luck to him.  I really did appreciate him though until he had that atrocious comment of going into the mall and going to Dior, etc.  That made him sound terrible.
    I'm not excited about SS this year until, praying he's healthy and can still do his thing, Royce comes back.  Brooks Lee sounds like a 3B from what I hear, although I still don't get that.  Wander Javier has a 0.5% chance of helping us in an impactful way at SS.  Julien sounds like 2B.  Nick Gordon?  I'm on board with that.  Let him sink or swim.  He sinks, he goes back to super utility.  He swims, then we let the little squirt fly solo for a season at SS while Royce refurbishes.
  6. Like
    jrod23 got a reaction from MN_ExPat in The Twins New Shortstop for 2023?   
    Correa didn't blow my socks off this season.  The Twins did when they signed him, but that's about it.  He was behind Miranda in RBI, but with 80 more at bats that Jose.  He was also 2nd in dingers.  A whole 22.  His average was pretty solid, but he just didn't wow anyone.  We kept waiting for that outburst.  Sucked when it came at the end of the season, a mini one at that, when everyone else wasn't producing at the plate and we saw the division slip off into Cleveland.  He wants to cash in while he's under 30.  Good luck to him.  I really did appreciate him though until he had that atrocious comment of going into the mall and going to Dior, etc.  That made him sound terrible.
    I'm not excited about SS this year until, praying he's healthy and can still do his thing, Royce comes back.  Brooks Lee sounds like a 3B from what I hear, although I still don't get that.  Wander Javier has a 0.5% chance of helping us in an impactful way at SS.  Julien sounds like 2B.  Nick Gordon?  I'm on board with that.  Let him sink or swim.  He sinks, he goes back to super utility.  He swims, then we let the little squirt fly solo for a season at SS while Royce refurbishes.
  7. Like
    jrod23 got a reaction from Dave The Dastardly in The Twins New Shortstop for 2023?   
    Correa didn't blow my socks off this season.  The Twins did when they signed him, but that's about it.  He was behind Miranda in RBI, but with 80 more at bats that Jose.  He was also 2nd in dingers.  A whole 22.  His average was pretty solid, but he just didn't wow anyone.  We kept waiting for that outburst.  Sucked when it came at the end of the season, a mini one at that, when everyone else wasn't producing at the plate and we saw the division slip off into Cleveland.  He wants to cash in while he's under 30.  Good luck to him.  I really did appreciate him though until he had that atrocious comment of going into the mall and going to Dior, etc.  That made him sound terrible.
    I'm not excited about SS this year until, praying he's healthy and can still do his thing, Royce comes back.  Brooks Lee sounds like a 3B from what I hear, although I still don't get that.  Wander Javier has a 0.5% chance of helping us in an impactful way at SS.  Julien sounds like 2B.  Nick Gordon?  I'm on board with that.  Let him sink or swim.  He sinks, he goes back to super utility.  He swims, then we let the little squirt fly solo for a season at SS while Royce refurbishes.
  8. Like
    jrod23 reacted to RpR in Review the Debuts: Twins Rookie Position Players   
    I see little difference between Rooker and Wallner; Wallner has a strong arm, but his fielding is a cross between Keystone Cop and a bull in a China shop.
    After spring training, how much AAA he still needs will be known.
  9. Like
    jrod23 got a reaction from DocBauer in Review the Debuts: Twins Rookie Position Players   
    Royce Lewis - Everything about him screams team leader.  Please let that ACL heal properly and keep him at SS.  He'll slump at the plate, but will bounce back.
    Matt Wallner is everything we wanted Brent Rooker to be, but with a stronger arm.  I agree with trading Kepler and just letting Wallner ride.  He's good.  Not fan friendly at all, but still a solid ball player.
    Jose Miranda - I wrote him off prior to the pandemic.  A flyer of a minor leaguer after his first few years.  Then I don't know who got a hold of him or what he got a hold of, but cheese and rice did he develop into something special.  I remember sitting in our seats in St. Paul watching him make his AAA debut on his birthday.  Wow.  Bless him.  He's everything you could've ever hoped for and more.
    Brooks Lee - Why can't he be the next Alex Bregman without the scandal?  Truly.  He's bombarded the pitchers at every level.  He will fail at some point, but we have to let him learn.  He's special.  Lee and Lewis on the left side of the diamond?  Sign me up.
  10. Like
    jrod23 got a reaction from Nashvilletwin in Review the Debuts: Twins Rookie Position Players   
    Royce Lewis - Everything about him screams team leader.  Please let that ACL heal properly and keep him at SS.  He'll slump at the plate, but will bounce back.
    Matt Wallner is everything we wanted Brent Rooker to be, but with a stronger arm.  I agree with trading Kepler and just letting Wallner ride.  He's good.  Not fan friendly at all, but still a solid ball player.
    Jose Miranda - I wrote him off prior to the pandemic.  A flyer of a minor leaguer after his first few years.  Then I don't know who got a hold of him or what he got a hold of, but cheese and rice did he develop into something special.  I remember sitting in our seats in St. Paul watching him make his AAA debut on his birthday.  Wow.  Bless him.  He's everything you could've ever hoped for and more.
    Brooks Lee - Why can't he be the next Alex Bregman without the scandal?  Truly.  He's bombarded the pitchers at every level.  He will fail at some point, but we have to let him learn.  He's special.  Lee and Lewis on the left side of the diamond?  Sign me up.
  11. Like
    jrod23 got a reaction from Karbo in Review the Debuts: Twins Rookie Position Players   
    Royce Lewis - Everything about him screams team leader.  Please let that ACL heal properly and keep him at SS.  He'll slump at the plate, but will bounce back.
    Matt Wallner is everything we wanted Brent Rooker to be, but with a stronger arm.  I agree with trading Kepler and just letting Wallner ride.  He's good.  Not fan friendly at all, but still a solid ball player.
    Jose Miranda - I wrote him off prior to the pandemic.  A flyer of a minor leaguer after his first few years.  Then I don't know who got a hold of him or what he got a hold of, but cheese and rice did he develop into something special.  I remember sitting in our seats in St. Paul watching him make his AAA debut on his birthday.  Wow.  Bless him.  He's everything you could've ever hoped for and more.
    Brooks Lee - Why can't he be the next Alex Bregman without the scandal?  Truly.  He's bombarded the pitchers at every level.  He will fail at some point, but we have to let him learn.  He's special.  Lee and Lewis on the left side of the diamond?  Sign me up.
  12. Like
    jrod23 got a reaction from FlyingFinn in Review the Debuts: Twins Rookie Position Players   
    Royce Lewis - Everything about him screams team leader.  Please let that ACL heal properly and keep him at SS.  He'll slump at the plate, but will bounce back.
    Matt Wallner is everything we wanted Brent Rooker to be, but with a stronger arm.  I agree with trading Kepler and just letting Wallner ride.  He's good.  Not fan friendly at all, but still a solid ball player.
    Jose Miranda - I wrote him off prior to the pandemic.  A flyer of a minor leaguer after his first few years.  Then I don't know who got a hold of him or what he got a hold of, but cheese and rice did he develop into something special.  I remember sitting in our seats in St. Paul watching him make his AAA debut on his birthday.  Wow.  Bless him.  He's everything you could've ever hoped for and more.
    Brooks Lee - Why can't he be the next Alex Bregman without the scandal?  Truly.  He's bombarded the pitchers at every level.  He will fail at some point, but we have to let him learn.  He's special.  Lee and Lewis on the left side of the diamond?  Sign me up.
  13. Like
    jrod23 reacted to gunnarthor in Review the Debuts: Twins Rookie Position Players   
    Miranda, Lewis, and Wallner are the important ones. Miranda is probably the safest bet to be a solid ML player but he'll be - at best - average. Among first baseman with 400 PA, he was 23rd in fWAR. His bat is comparable to guys like Naylor and Seth Brown now and he could improve a bit more but he's likely a 1.5-2.5 WAR player over a full season, depending on how his defense grades out. I don't think he'll be a 30 HR threat but a consistent "professional hitter" with bad defense.
    I liked Wallner and thought he should have been brought up earlier. Again, his upside is limited by his defense but at this point, the Twins should just roll with him, trade Kepler, and give him RF from opening day. He's too old to be sent back to AAA. His defense could be bad enough where his offense doesn't matter but he could also hit 30 HR at TF. But it makes sense to give him a chance to show us what he is.
    Lewis is the best player and the highest ceiling. Looked great in limited action. My hope and guess is the Twins let him start the year as our shortstop and live with him there until they can't. Hope that his bat is real. He's still young and talented enough where we can dream a bit. 
  14. Like
    jrod23 reacted to Mark G in How Can Rocco Baldelli Regain Twins Fans Favor?   
    What can be said that hasn't been said already, I guess?  As Ted points out, Rocco was picked from Tampa for his knowledge of, and use of all of their analytics that made them successful and somewhat groundbreaking.  He brought that here, and has stuck with it through thick and thin.  Now it is easy to use any philosophy when your team hits 307 home runs, or plays a 60 game season and barely hangs on to the end of it.  But 162 game seasons without the home runs is the challenge all managers will face at one time or another, and we have all seen how those years have gone as well.  Ted points out, for example, that all teams have gone to shorter starts to one degree or another, but to do that you need a BP that is somewhat able to handle the load.  We didn't have that, and yet we didn't adjust over time.  Ryan the 3rd time through the order, or Duffy the first time through the order?  Gray or Ober the 3rd time through, or Pagan the first time through?  And so on, and so on.  It was also confusing as to the "schedule" for scheduled days off for the front line players.  Starters pitched less and the pen pitched more.  Front line players played less and the utility guys played more.  When your pen isn't strong enough to pull that load, and your bench isn't better than what we had for much of the season, due to injuries and other factors, maybe it is time to lean on your starters, both on the mound and on the field.  Yet, we never did adjust to the players we had in the clubhouse as the injuries took their toll.  We never did perform fundamentals well, and never used small ball to our advantage when it was called for.  In other words, we never used the whole tool box that was at our disposal.  It was more important to stick to the "plan".  The results the first two years were from players who hit a lot of home runs.  Take that away, and we are, what, about 20 or so games under .500 the last two years?  You have to adjust or die in this game, and I just do not see Rocco adjusting.  It is the rest of us who are told we have to adjust to the way the game is played today.  This extremely humble observer is saying no thanks.  Not if this is going to be the result.  I don't want to wait for the 3 run homer every game.  Use the whole tool box and lean on your studs.  Play a little small ball while your computer spits out more stats.  Give us something to watch.   
  15. Like
    jrod23 reacted to LastOnePicked in Minnesota Twins' New Uniforms Plan to "Take a Step Toward the Future"   
    Will the new logo be holographic? I was promised by virtually every movie as a child that the 2000s would features holograms everywhere. 
    Holograms on the uniforms. Make it happen.
  16. Like
    jrod23 reacted to DocBauer in Brooks Lee's Stock is Already Rising   
    As to the OP, I was a fan of Lee before he was drafted...never thinking so many teams would pass on him, their mistake...and I'm an even bigger fan now. Within the system, I'm still placing Lewis as #1 because his latest setback doesn't remove him from the top based on talent and potential. We've seen just how talented he is and how good he might be. So he's still #1 on my list with Lee just behind. 
    In my personal opinion, the one objection I have is something stated early in the OP. I just don't understand an immediate thought/opinion that Lee won't be a SS. He's not Martin being pushed in to SS after seldom ever playing it in hopes his athleticism MIGHT translate there. Lee IS a SS by trade and experience and ability. Some SS are athletic marvels with quickness and speed and amazing arms who are just naturals. Some have great positioning, smarts and instincts with good hands and a good arm and are just very good at SS without having a special "splash" ability, but just make play after play consistently. I can think of a lot of very good SS that fit this category over the years from Ripken to Blauser to maybe even Correa who isn't exactly some speed demon athlete. So if I'm the Twins, I'm keeping him at SS as long as possible.
    Lee should finish at CR to help the playoff push. (A couple games at AA isn't going to matter in his development.) But he's going to be at Wichita to begin 2023. How long he stays there is up to him. There's a good chance he's at St Paul mid year. 
    As a side note, it's very possible Lee's presence pushes Martin to the OF on a permanent basis, and for his benefit.
  17. Like
    jrod23 reacted to DocBauer in Brooks Lee's Stock is Already Rising   
    Not uncommon to see an A ball player jump to AAA on a temporary basis. While it's always been weird to me when it happens, it's to fill in a spot for a week or so until said injured player is back and then the A ball player goes back. I think it also depends on depth in the system. If you have a full roster at A ball, why not sneak a guy up for a week or so, everyone plays, and again, you return the deomote the young player back again. 
    It's really just a shuffling of the chairs, so to speak, for a week or so in place of signing someone off the street. 
  18. Like
    jrod23 reacted to Game7-91 in Brooks Lee's Stock is Already Rising   
    He's probably #1 Twins prospect, and should start 2023 in Wichita, then move to St Paul in a month if he does well. Put him at 3B, spend the winter teaching Miranda how to field 1B, bring in a stopgap SS to make way for Lewis next year. By 2024 infield is Miranda/Arraez platoon 1B/DH, unknown 2B, Lewis SS, Lee 3B, Gordon utility. Or move Gordon to 2B and sign a utility guy. Cant imagine they will pay Polanco 10M in 2024, trade or buyout next year with him. 
  19. Like
    jrod23 reacted to gunnarthor in Brooks Lee's Stock is Already Rising   
    I loved this pick and think he's easily our best prospect since Buxton. He'll end up #1 overall next year. 
  20. Like
    jrod23 got a reaction from wabene in 4 Fun Facts About New Twins Outfielder Billy Hamilton   
    I just can't stand how a stolen base is looked at so minimally.  Definitely reflects the game. You don't want to work too hard for your bases once you're on because we're either going to score on a double or a dinger.
    In the past 5-6 seasons, the only teams that are consistently in the top 5 each year for stolen bases are Kansas City, Miami, and Texas (in no particular order).  Not really playoff pushers.
  21. Like
    jrod23 reacted to Doctor Gast in 4 Fun Facts About New Twins Outfielder Billy Hamilton   
    Like Buxton, he brings excitement every time he gets on base. Excitement that create rallies. His only flaw is his hitting. In his debute he had a pretty good hitting game maybe he picked up something in FCL.
    It's refreshing to have to have a veteran who can steal & take an extra base since Buck had to tone it down. It's something we desperately needed. Also his defense is pretty awsome.
  22. Like
    jrod23 reacted to AlwaysinModeration in 4 Fun Facts About New Twins Outfielder Billy Hamilton   
    How does having Billy Hamilton on the Twins jive with the fact that the Twins don’t attempt steals?
  23. Like
    jrod23 reacted to FlyingFinn in Carlos Correa: Poking Holes in the Opting-Out Theory Opinion Piece   
    If Correa liked how the Twins played through July and that would affect his decision at all, I think the way the Twins played in August should have changed those thoughts. The Twins current type of baseball is unwatchable, unlistenable and almost makes me want to watch preseason NFL games.
    Who would play SS next year? Palacios would get his chance of a lifetime for 2 or 3 months until Lewis was ready. In his case, I think this would be his only chance to ever lockdown a starting SS position in the majors. Most on TD say he is a good fielder though one person says he is a bad fielding SS.
    The Twins fully expect Correa to opt out. Lewis was the plan but that is delayed. I don't see the Twins signing Correa long term as their drafts the past two years were SS heavy and Lee, Miller or someone from that SS group has to be ready in a few years.
  24. Like
    jrod23 reacted to bean5302 in Jhoan Duran Is a Miracle   
    Kopech is a perfect example. He was exclusively a starter through the minors, had to have UCL surgery and returned as a reliever due to the innings and pitch limits. He then shifted back into a starter role this year.
    Kopech has not been as dominant as a starter, but he's certainly shown promise and periods of dominance.
    2021 - 0.8 bWAR, 1.7 fWAR
    2022 - 1.8 bWAR, 1.2 fWAR with probably 5 starts left

    Even if Kopech pitches the same down the stretch as he has overall this year, he'll match his fWAR from last year and greatly exceed his bWAR.
  25. Like
    jrod23 got a reaction from howieramone3 in Jhoan Duran Is a Miracle   
    It's not what I want to point out, and they're too different people, but Kopech is making the transition this year.  Had a fantastic year as a fireballer out of the pen last year.  Huge strikeout numbers, 4/1 walk to K ratio, but really wanted to be a starter yet.  His fastball took a big hit, his K numbers went from 100 in 70 innings to 98 in 110 innings, and his injury history is much different.  Big difference is their secondary pitchers.  Fast to slider for Kopech and fastball to curveball/splitter for Duran.
    I am big on allowing starters to prove they're starters until they can't, but man Duran is special out of the pen.  Truly special.
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