Jump to content
Twins Daily
  • Create Account

gman

Verified Member
  • Posts

    353
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Reputation Activity

  1. Like
    gman got a reaction from nclahammer in Who is your favorite Twins player of all time?   
    Killebrew
  2. Like
    gman got a reaction from Heiny in Top 20 Minnesota Twins Assets of 2022: Part 4 (1-5)   
    As far as Martin goes, he appears to be a good hitting athlete looking for a position. It also appears there are only 4 players in the system rated more valuable them him. With 8 positions he could fit into including the DH(probably not catcher), I think we find a position for him. We don't need to trade our best players, considering that he can also fill in at two of the position taken by players ahead of him.
  3. Like
    gman got a reaction from Dman in International Player Profile: Bryan Acuña   
    All I to say is "keep plugging talent into the system". It may be 2030 before we see it, but the game keeps going on.
  4. Like
    gman got a reaction from 21bdp21 in International Player Profile: Bryan Acuña   
    All I to say is "keep plugging talent into the system". It may be 2030 before we see it, but the game keeps going on.
  5. Like
    gman reacted to tarheeltwinsfan in Could the Twins Weather the Blowback of a Luis Arraez Trade?   
    Put Arraez at DH. Problem of defensive deficiencies is solved. He is an "on base machine".  Then when he hits .350, and scores 100 runs, trade him for a good return  to a team that values a very good hitter at DH (which will probably include the AL and the NL teams next year). I close by asking this question: With Buck standing on first base and two outs and the game on the line, would you rather have Arraez at bat or any of the other choices the Twins currently have for DH (Sano being the current most popular choice) ? 
  6. Like
    gman reacted to In My La Z boy in Could the Twins Weather the Blowback of a Luis Arraez Trade?   
    Trading JD isn't about the bring back, it is about salary relief on a team rebuilding with youth. If we aren't signing or trading for some quality starting pitching (and it looks like we aren't), then you move the old and overpaid. If Donaldson struggles or gets hurt early, you get zero for him at the trade deadline. 
  7. Like
    gman reacted to Dave The Dastardly in Could the Twins Weather the Blowback of a Luis Arraez Trade?   
    I would argue keeping Donaldson is short-sighted. He spends almost as much time on the DL as Buxton, gets "injured" just exercising, his salary would more than cover the salaries for Arraez, Miranda and Kirilloff combined, all of whom will be under team control longer than Donaldson and with Donaldson completely out of the picture we won't have to worry about Rocco letting Miranda sit on the bench for a month without getting an opportunity to play. Sano is sort of similar, keeping him on the team blocks Arraez and Garver from DHing, both of whom I'd rather see come to bat with runners on base than Sano, and his absence opens up first for Kirilloff. As to what we could get back in trade, if we acknowledge that other teams aren't willing to accept Sano in trade, why would we want to keep him? Can the Twins be the only team that finds value in him?
    Salary dump that can be used for pitching, clearing the path for younger players that may well be the future (2023) and giving more at bats to better, more consistent, hitters.
    To me, that's long-term thinking. 
     
  8. Like
    gman reacted to Kipp35 in Could the Twins Weather the Blowback of a Luis Arraez Trade?   
    Are you watching the same player? Arraez stats are;
    '19 =  Batted .334 4HR, 1 3B and 20 2B in 92 games of fill in work
    '20 = Batted .321 although no HR's had 9 2B in 32 games of a 60 game season.
    '21 = Batted .294 2HR, 6 3B and 17 2B in 121 games!
    Maybe not a ton of power, but he gets on base. He doesn't have a starting position, but that is because the team won't give him one. Remember, he is a true 2B and stuck behind Polanco.
    Can I remind everyone that during the same timespan, Buxton played in games of: 87, 39 and 61 (187) compared to Arraez playing 245 games! Buxton is supposed to be our starting CF'er with Arraeaz, a utility man,  bouncing around giving people breaks. Buxton just got paid and we are talking about Arraez not being worth keeping...?
  9. Like
    gman reacted to Finlander in Could the Twins Weather the Blowback of a Luis Arraez Trade?   
    Arraez plays the DH better than anyone else on the roster. His contact skills approach Boggs/Gwynn/Carew territory. When is the last time the Twins had a prospect like that? Mauer likely.
    I don't know the extent of his knee issue, but I have to believe that at 24 years old there is still some physical development possible to improve his knees and maybe add power in the process. He is a proven hitter in MLB with an elite eye. Too many of the "can't miss" prospects become AAAA players. I'd keep the hitting savant.
    To shop for pitching I'd prefer seeing JD packaged with a "stud" minor league prospect who hasn't proven anything in the bigs yet, add Kepler if needed.
  10. Like
    gman reacted to In My La Z boy in Could the Twins Weather the Blowback of a Luis Arraez Trade?   
    The Berrios trade coupled with no interest in free agents this Oct/Nov tells me we are going with what we have. If we are going with what we have, we try to trade JD - and with a universal DH - I think we find a National league taker. I keep Arraez, and he bats leadoff - and he primarily DH's, and backs up 2nd and 3rd. Youth movement for us, especially if we have a partial season I think.
  11. Like
    gman reacted to Nashvilletwin in Could the Twins Weather the Blowback of a Luis Arraez Trade?   
    Oh, also btw for what it’s worth, I read a lot of comments on the TD about how valuable JD is and a lot of comments about how he won’t have any trade demand.  They seem incongruent. 
     
    Could JD truly be worth so much only to the Twins and no other team? I don’t think so. Not in 2022. JD is a really, really good baseball player who will be more valuable to a team looking for that FA pickup to get over the hump (especially with the universal DH) than he will be to the Twins at his price and position over the next two years. 
     
    I think he’s good and can be moved - and for more value ($ adjusted) than LA.  
  12. Like
    gman reacted to Nashvilletwin in Could the Twins Weather the Blowback of a Luis Arraez Trade?   
    Are these Twins realistically positioned to compete in 2022 for a WS as built? We’d all like to think so, but c’mon be truthful.
    If not, are these Twins only a player or two away from being in that position? Again, anything is possible, but, with how we appear to be rebuilding our staff, be realistic. 
    If not, should we trade declining assets or improving assets as we look to build a team to get into that position in 2023 and beyond?
    Also, as a mid market team, should we trade high priced declining assets or low priced improving assets - especially if the former at this point in time should have stronger trade demand?
    The realistic, rational answers are no, no, declining and high priced. 
     
    So the person who should be traded is JD and we keep LA unless we know his knees make him a declining asset (which I do not believe is true) in which case you trade them both.
    JD was brought in (btw in a smart, bold move IMHO), to be the key FA cog in getting us playoff victories. That’s what midmarket teams with good owners (like our beloved Twins) do when the FO feels a solid window exists. And the opposite is true as well - they shed the expensive declining assets who will not be around when the next window is open in order to save the cash for a new cog FA and provide opportunity to up and coming players whom they feel may be part of that new window. 
     
    JD should be moved - preferably during the off-season (but certainly before the trade deadline) after the universal DH is approved and off of his strong 2021 second half and before his inevitable drop off becomes more apparent. LA and Miranda platoon at 3rd base - both of them can still be considered to be likely important pieces of a new window opening as early as 2023, while JD cannot.  Btw, I think the data indicate that defensively there really isn’t much difference between LA and JD at this point (i.e., that JD is a top defensive 3B is more of a myth now), but I could be wrong about that. 
     
    And depending on how Larnach, Lewis, Martin, Celestine, and Wallner develop, Max may be next if he doesn’t up his game. 
     
     
     
  13. Like
    gman reacted to roger in Could the Twins Weather the Blowback of a Luis Arraez Trade?   
    I love everything Arraez brings to the Twins.  But your post offers very interesting questions, Nick, as usual.  Thanks!
    If the Twins were mine, I would want to keep Arraez as a primary DH who is the #1 backup at second and third.  He should be in left field, IMO, only in emergencies.  But I also want his bat at the top of the order 140 or 150 games a year.  But then I appreciate people getting on base more so than others.
    If traded will I be disappointed?  Yes.  And if they do, he better be part of a package that brings back one heck of a young starting pitcher with at least three years of team control.
  14. Like
    gman reacted to jmlease1 in Part 6: Seth's Top 30 Twins Pitching Prospects (1-5)   
    I probably would have done the order differently...and I admit I really have trouble knowing exactly how to rank Joe Ryan who is rookie-eligible, but also sort of graduated. So, I'll leave Ryan where he is?
    the other 4 guys (all of whom I really like), I probably go Balazovic, Winder, Canterino, Woods-Richardson...and then immediately feel bad for not ranking woods-richardson high enough. I think W-R got messed up by the Olympics and not pitching in japan and having all that time off, so I don't take his 2021 all that seriously as an indicator of his real ability. I think he's a terrific pitcher and it's amazing to me that some people are treating him almost as a throw-in with Martin in the Berrios deal.
    It's a nice top five and stronger than anything we've had in some time. I worry about the elbow and shoulder injuries and I worry that the lockout may impact development on guys that need normal years. these guys got skipped a year of competitive baseball in 2020, had a still semi-goofy COVID year, and now have the lockout following all of that. UGH.
  15. Yikes, Bro
    gman got a reaction from TwinsDr2021 in Remaining free agents - are the Twins in?   
    As for free agents, I wouldn't want the team to sign anyone they wouldn't want to trade or cut after May 31. I think 2022, for however many games are played, needs to be a development year. I watch more than 150 games a year in that ball park or on TV and I would much rather see rookies and second year players getting development time than wasting AB's and innings on players that won't be around when the team is relevant.
    And no, I don't think the team can trade for or sign free agents  to put themselves into a contending position. 
     
  16. Like
    gman got a reaction from MABB1959 in Remaining free agents - are the Twins in?   
    As for free agents, I wouldn't want the team to sign anyone they wouldn't want to trade or cut after May 31. I think 2022, for however many games are played, needs to be a development year. I watch more than 150 games a year in that ball park or on TV and I would much rather see rookies and second year players getting development time than wasting AB's and innings on players that won't be around when the team is relevant.
    And no, I don't think the team can trade for or sign free agents  to put themselves into a contending position. 
     
  17. Like
    gman got a reaction from theBOMisthebomb in Remaining free agents - are the Twins in?   
    As for free agents, I wouldn't want the team to sign anyone they wouldn't want to trade or cut after May 31. I think 2022, for however many games are played, needs to be a development year. I watch more than 150 games a year in that ball park or on TV and I would much rather see rookies and second year players getting development time than wasting AB's and innings on players that won't be around when the team is relevant.
    And no, I don't think the team can trade for or sign free agents  to put themselves into a contending position. 
     
  18. Like
    gman reacted to mikelink45 in 5 Sleeper Closer Candidates in the Twins Farm System   
    You are probably right, but one of the issues that the Twins have is the inability to develop top of the rotation guys which we desperately need.  And one issue is converting good arms to the BP to hasten their arrival, but at the same time few arms other than Santana find their ways back out of the pen. 
  19. Like
    gman reacted to DocBauer in 5 Sleeper Closer Candidates in the Twins Farm System   
    Duran might be better as a RP. That really stinks on one hand when you look at his potential and what he COULD be as a SP. But between 2020 as a lost year and his injury in 2021, I still maintain you "baby" him for 2022. You just don't give up on arm that talented no matter how much you want him to be ready NOW.
    He might need a full a full year, or a year and a half to be healthy and stretch his arm out, before he's ready. But I think it's worth the time and caution at this point.
    Let's give Varland a little more time before we move him to the pen as well. He's just getting started as a bona-fide pitching prospect. 
    Same with Sands. He's got some rough edges to work on, no pun intended, but he's been progressing on a natural path with solid production. I think he's at least a half year away, but I'd give him some time and leeway to develop.
    I think the guys we should be focusing on are Vallimont and Gore. Vallimont has the "stuff" to be a quality ML SP but just may never have enough control or a 3rd pitch to do so. But the potential is there to dominate. And he's "closer" than some to help the pen, just based on experience and IP. Sure would like to see more time in the rotation and a little better control to surprise...and maybe he will...but right now I just keep seeing quality RP.
    If nobody selects Gore in the eventual ML rule 5, or keeps him if they do, I believe he's part of the Twins BP 2nd half of 2022. He's old enough, and only 1 full year in his conversion, I could see teams passing. I could also see a team  taking a stash option on him. I sure hope he's part of the organization a couple months from now.
  20. Like
    gman reacted to Rosterman in 5 Sleeper Closer Candidates in the Twins Farm System   
    I like Rozek.
     
    But future closers? Whew. Always names like Slama. Remember him? Hildenberger, Curtiss, Chargois, Graterol. The Twins had a K-man named Deduno.
     
    Some of our best bullpen closers/arms were pretty bad rotation arms: Mahomes, Perkins, Hawkins, Guardado. Even Aguilera and Nathan started as starters. And if the Twins had given more of a leash to Hendriks. although that would've involved another four years on the major league team doing something.
     
    After 2020, Duffey might've been a closer possibility. The Twins never thought Crain could close. I thought Trevor May needed to be given a chance to fulfill that role. I picture Jorge Alcala having the stuff.
  21. Like
    gman reacted to mikelink45 in 5 Sleeper Closer Candidates in the Twins Farm System   
    Nice exercise - my hope is that Duran remands a starter and does not get converted unless we see that his ability to add innings is not there. 
  22. Like
    gman reacted to Blyleven2011 in 3 Prospects That Can Be Next Season's José Miranda   
    Spencer steer could be a a useful prospect to produce more ... Javier also could  just explode as well ...
     
    I like homeruns but the solo homer drives me crazy and isn't a game changer  like a homer with runners on ....
    Did the twins bunch  5 , 6 or more hits consecutively  in an inning to score runs in 2021 ,,, hey did manage 4 hits in a row against yankees on a walk off win...
    I'm a follower of every game and I don't remember 1 game of 5 hits in a row in 2021   ..
    I like games with consecutive hits,  more doubles would be nice to ,, Twins hit alot of homers but their doubles are down ,  also how many years has it been since a runner scored a 100 times in a season  , I think Dozier or Rosario was our last player to score a 100 ... 
    Get on base anyway you can  and score , that's baseball 
  23. Like
    gman got a reaction from wabene in 3 Prospects That Can Be Next Season's José Miranda   
    I think Edouard Julien  could be a player making more noise next year. This was his first season, as he was injured his draft year of 2019. He finished the year at Cedar Rapids with an 891 OPS. Most of his at bats were at Cedar Rapids and combined with his time at Ft Myers his OPS for the year was 914 with 18 homers and 34 stolen bases.His strikeout rate was 28.5% but his walk rate was 22%. I would think he'd start with the Wind Surge this year.
  24. Like
    gman got a reaction from roger in 3 Prospects That Can Be Next Season's José Miranda   
    I think Edouard Julien  could be a player making more noise next year. This was his first season, as he was injured his draft year of 2019. He finished the year at Cedar Rapids with an 891 OPS. Most of his at bats were at Cedar Rapids and combined with his time at Ft Myers his OPS for the year was 914 with 18 homers and 34 stolen bases.His strikeout rate was 28.5% but his walk rate was 22%. I would think he'd start with the Wind Surge this year.
  25. Like
    gman reacted to rv78 in 3 Prospects That Can Be Next Season's José Miranda   
    So the knock against Martin is he doesn't hit for power? Do we need everyone in the lineup to hit HRs? No!
    Maybe a little less power and a lot more contact would help the struggling hitters that are already here. 
    I don't knock Arraez for not being a power hitter. 3 hits in an inning will score as many runs as a solo HR and is more likely to happen if you have guys that can put the ball in play instead of walking back to the dugout after they swing for the fences and miss most of the time.
×
×
  • Create New...