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Tom Froemming

Twins Daily Staff
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  1. Like
    Tom Froemming reacted to Brock Beauchamp in On Narrative   
    How does this blog entry not have comments? This is really a fantastic take and nails exactly how I feel about this team. I'm frustrated as hell by the Twins' play since starting the season 5-2 but people are scapegoating way too fast and way too readily without a lot of evidence to support these takes.
    The point I keep hammering at is "how do you explain a team of veterans losing 10% of their OPS in the last third of the game?" These aren't young players being "tainted" by a coaching staff or clubhouse cancer. These are guys with thousands of PAs each, guys who have been in the league 5+ years, guys who never had this problem until roughly five minutes ago.
    The Twins are unlucky, shades of bad (seemingly different every night), and unlucky.
    Josh Donaldson, one of the best third basemen of this generation, had three errors in two nights. 
    To that I say "WTF" and there are so many instances of that kind of completely nonsensical situation in the Twins 2021 season.
  2. Like
    Tom Froemming reacted to DocBauer in Why MLB Free Agency is a Mess – and Why That Actually Helps the Twins   
    I see your point but will also have to disagree. There are a couple major points the NBA AND the NFL have over baseball. (Though popularity and viewership has been declining somewhat recently). Revenue sharing in these sports, particularly the NFL, are much more balanced than they are in MLB. That creates a more solid floor and ceiling for each franchise. And it becomes even more important for each franchise to draft and sign smartly and just run said franchise better.
     
    I refuse to take sides in MLB labor situations because I think both sides need to "smarten up" to understand the future health of the sport. If profit sharing was more equal in MLB, a salary cap actual works, because you then also have a concrete floor that all teams have to maintain.
     
    Today, forgetting covid adjustments, just think of a $200M payroll cap but a $75M floor. There might be fewer 5-7yr deals for $25-35M per, but like the NBA...who's roster size is closer to MLB...minimum contracts would be closer to $1M plus. Shorter FA regulations, which I would endorse with a new system, means players reaching FA status earlier. They might not get the HUGE contracts we talk about, but they would also gain at least as much $ in the long term by signing smaller contracts in their 20's vs the current arbitration years, etc.
     
    Both sides need to be smart enough to realize change takes place. I DO place some onus on the MLB union. What's more important? A small collection of players making BIG $, or EVERYONE seeing a rise in their potential $ earnings?
     
    I personally feel the union is absolutely focused on a power play for top earners vs a more balanced system and earnings for everyone.
  3. Like
    Tom Froemming reacted to Patrick Wozniak in End of the Rope for Schoop?   
    I knew that homer was coming!
  4. Like
    Tom Froemming got a reaction from dbminn in What gives?   
    Congratulations! You've just been elected as the official spring training game thread manager!
  5. Like
    Tom Froemming got a reaction from Miles Death in Game Length Isn't the Reason for the Decline in Attendance   
    Right. Of course MLB should be concerned about a dip in attendance, but they shouldn't assume they know what's causing it.
     
    I can only speak for myself. Above all else, it's simply cheaper and more convenient to watch the game at home, but having even one kid has dramatically impacted the number of games I go to.
     
    In the few years prior to having a baby I had a 20-game season ticket package. I've only gone to one game so far this year, but in no way is that a reflection on my interest/enjoyment of today's game. 
  6. Like
    Tom Froemming got a reaction from mikelink45 in Bring back baseball   
    I hate giving away outs on the bases, but I'd still be all for more stolen base attempts. Looks like the league average success rate right now is 73%. I like those odds.
     
    You may kill a potential rally here or there, but if you're smart about it, I'd bet an increase in stolen base attempts would create more rallies than they'd kill. Of course, you've gotta have the personnel to pull it off. Without Buxton, the current roster doesn't have many burners, though I suppose you could always call up Zack Granite.
     
    If you wanna see running in 2018, the White Sox are your club. They lead the league with 47 steals and have an impressive 82.5% success rate.
  7. Like
    Tom Froemming got a reaction from Oldgoat_MN in Updating Baseball’s Dictionary   
    If we go single/double/triple, why is a home run not a quadruple? A grand slam can be a 4x4
  8. Like
    Tom Froemming got a reaction from mikelink45 in Updating Baseball’s Dictionary   
    If we go single/double/triple, why is a home run not a quadruple? A grand slam can be a 4x4
  9. Like
    Tom Froemming got a reaction from DocBauer in Don McCormack, Tino Martinez, Lance Lynn and the 75th Pick   
    I guess those comp balance picks are protected. Lynn is signing with the Twins and everyone is confirming that info from spycake, that they'll give up the No. 95 pick. Works for me.
  10. Like
    Tom Froemming got a reaction from Deduno Abides in Don McCormack, Tino Martinez, Lance Lynn and the 75th Pick   
    I'm pretty sure you were right the first time and the Twins would lose the 75th pick.
     
    Per MLB:
     
    "A team that receives revenue sharing will lose its third-highest selection in the following year's Draft. If it signs two such players, it will also forfeit its fourth-highest remaining pick."
     
    The Twins top picks are No. 20 overall, No. 60 and No. 75, their Competitive Balance Round B pick, right? Unless those picks are protected, which I can't find anything indicating that's the case.
  11. Like
    Tom Froemming got a reaction from Bryan Borchardt in The Finance Desk: a look at 2018 attendance   
    It looked to me like single-game ticket prices increased a bit for this upcoming season, but it's difficult to track that kind of stuff now that they have the demand-based pricing system. 
  12. Like
    Tom Froemming got a reaction from rogrulz30 in Speeding up the Game of Baseball   
    Could there be a more indirect way to extend relief appearances? I don't really think we need to eliminate specialists, but it would be great to limit the number of relief pitcher changes. So how about we take a page out of hockey's roster rules?
     
    If I understand correctly, hockey teams have a roster of 23 players, but only 20 can be "dressed" and eligible to play in any particular game. What if for baseball we limit managers to using a maximum of five pitchers in a game (including the starter)?
     
    This would allow managers to play matchups if they felt the need, but would also give them incentive to get some more outs from their starters and/or carry a long man. It looks like the Twins averaged 4.17 pitchers used per game last season, so I think this rule change would have some impact.
     
    I think managers would view that fifth and final pitcher similar to how they currently view backup catchers. They only put those guys into a game when it's absolutely necessary in fear of being left with nobody to catch. So putting the cap at five would probably mean you're really only going to see managers use four pitchers tops each game.
     
    Just an idea I've had rattling around in my head for a couple months, what do you think?
  13. Like
    Tom Froemming reacted to Parker Hageman in Will the Real Kyle Gibson Please Stand Up?   
    Excellent write-up. 
     
    I also want to stress how good Gibson's slider was last year.
     
    https://twitter.com/ParkerHageman/status/952241529745231872
  14. Like
    Tom Froemming got a reaction from mikelink45 in Was a fastball the same as a quick draw   
    Thanks for this Mike. My older brother's middle name is Armstrong (partly after Custer and partly after Neil) and just a couple years ago I found out I'm named after Thomas Custer. I've done a little reading up on him, but hadn't heard that he was quite the pitcher.
  15. Like
    Tom Froemming got a reaction from MN_ExPat in Prospects for 2018   
    I'd be happy if the Twins traded Baxendale to the Marlins for Kinley. It would be a win-win in my eyes. The Twins would then be able to send Kinley down to the minors and D.J. would have a great opportunity to break into the big leagues. He seems like a great dude and has pitched well in the minors, I'd love to see him get a shot. He'd have a much better chance on a rebuilding club and could be valuable to them as a long reliever/swing man.
  16. Like
    Tom Froemming got a reaction from Richie the Rally Goat in Why Yu Darvish Will Be Cheaper Than Everyone Thinks   
    Is there any reason why he shouldn't expect to beat Zack Greinke's 6y/$206.5 or David Price's 7y/$217m?
  17. Like
    Tom Froemming got a reaction from ToddlerHarmon in Why Yu Darvish Will Be Cheaper Than Everyone Thinks   
    I enjoyed reading this. I don't have any more/better information that you would, but ...
     
    If Darvish can't get more than $135 million, the MLBPA may want to consider filing a grievance. The game is in as good a place financially as it's ever been. If contracts for the top free agents suddenly start going down, I think there should be a real concern from the player's perspective. 
     
    Again, I'm not saying there's no way Darvish signs in your predicted range, just that if he did it would be a pretty big red flag.
  18. Like
    Tom Froemming got a reaction from Matthew Lenz in 2018 Breakout Candidate: Stephen Gonsalves   
    This is awesome! It's so hard to know how a guy is gonna handle his first cup of coffee, but I could see Gonsalves as the type who could successfully battle through some struggles even if he doesn't hit the ground running. It seems like he likes to be challenged and wouldn't shy away from trying to make adjustments on the fly if any deficiencies are spotted.
     
    If the Twins make a big addition to the rotation, things are going to look pretty packed, especially with May coming back. But there are always injuries and other things that open up doors.
  19. Like
    Tom Froemming got a reaction from tarheeltwinsfan in 2018 Breakout Candidate: Stephen Gonsalves   
    This is awesome! It's so hard to know how a guy is gonna handle his first cup of coffee, but I could see Gonsalves as the type who could successfully battle through some struggles even if he doesn't hit the ground running. It seems like he likes to be challenged and wouldn't shy away from trying to make adjustments on the fly if any deficiencies are spotted.
     
    If the Twins make a big addition to the rotation, things are going to look pretty packed, especially with May coming back. But there are always injuries and other things that open up doors.
  20. Like
    Tom Froemming reacted to Parker Hageman in New Approach on Signing Yu Darvish   
    Love the out-of-the-box thinking on this. 
  21. Like
    Tom Froemming got a reaction from mikelink45 in Understanding the "Quality of Pitch" (QOP/QOPA/QOPV) Statistics   
    I enjoyed this, thank you. I've been looking at this stuff some, but I'm not certain how to best apply it. For example, it makes me awfully suspicious that Kyle Gibson ranks ahead of Clayton Kershaw in QOPA. I always like to have another data point, but I just don't know how valuable it is.
  22. Like
    Tom Froemming got a reaction from Oldgoat_MN in Understanding the "Quality of Pitch" (QOP/QOPA/QOPV) Statistics   
    I enjoyed this, thank you. I've been looking at this stuff some, but I'm not certain how to best apply it. For example, it makes me awfully suspicious that Kyle Gibson ranks ahead of Clayton Kershaw in QOPA. I always like to have another data point, but I just don't know how valuable it is.
  23. Like
    Tom Froemming reacted to Matthew Lenz in Understanding the "Quality of Pitch" (QOP/QOPA/QOPV) Statistics   
    Interesting finding.  This may be my next task at hand...to figure out some of these discrepancies.
     
    Another limitation I thought of after I posted is that it doesn't take into account certain situations.  For example, a pitcher ahead 0-2 could very likely throw a "garbage" pitch just to get the batter to chase.  This pitch, although not bad at all, would probably result on a bad QOPV.  Does that happen enough to make Gibson > Kershaw?  Probably not, but could be a partial factor.  Hope to dig in a little bit more here.
  24. Like
    Tom Froemming got a reaction from Matthew Lenz in Understanding the "Quality of Pitch" (QOP/QOPA/QOPV) Statistics   
    I enjoyed this, thank you. I've been looking at this stuff some, but I'm not certain how to best apply it. For example, it makes me awfully suspicious that Kyle Gibson ranks ahead of Clayton Kershaw in QOPA. I always like to have another data point, but I just don't know how valuable it is.
  25. Like
    Tom Froemming reacted to Steven Buhr in Mauer's Future   
    Welcome to the world of independent blog contributors at TD. We may be having jackets made.
     
    Two years ago, I'd have been 100% sure that Mauer would get the kind of 2-3 year deal being talked about here. As theBOMisthebomb said, "that is how we do things," in Minnesota.
     
    I think, though, the fact that he isn't already signed to some sort of extension is a reminder that this is not the Twins front office it used to be. Mauer is going to have to show that 2017 wasn't a fluke - that he is indeed once again the on-base machine he was this past season.
     
    This front office doesn't seem to be terribly prone to taking action based on sentiment. Not that they would want to treat a hometown hero with disrespect, but if Joe and his agent are disinclined to accept team-friendly terms and/or a reduced role - or if Mauer's productivity declines at all in 2018 - I don't think Falvine will hesitate to cut ties.
     
    There are too many unknowns for me to give odds on what happens with Mauer, yet. Rooker's  progress, the uncertainty of Sano's situation, as well as Mauer's own health and productivity.
     
    But right this moment, I don't think the chances he returns are quite as high as we might otherwise think.
     
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