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  1. Like
    RJA got a reaction from Jamie Cameron in 6 Hitters the Twins Could Target in the 2022 MLB Draft   
    Great thought piece, Jamie.  If what you say about the top five is true, and I would agree wholeheartedly they are the top 5 (with Collier, just maybe, comprising a top 6), and you add Parada to make it a top 7, then it only requires one team ahead of the Twins to make an "unusual" pick for the Twins to get one of the top 7.  If that were to happen, I would expect the Twins to choose whichever player drops down unexpectedly.  If the top 7 go as predicted, then I would agree with Dman and look carefully at Neto, or maybe Young.  I think the future of baseball is going to involve more contact, especially if shifts are banned or restricted.  I agree with Law that Berry has no position in the bigs, and while it looks like Lesko could be special, I don't think they will go with a HS righthander coming off Tommy John.  Generally, I would look for toolsy players with the defensive chops to be a good big league defender at whatever position he plays.
  2. Like
    RJA got a reaction from DocBauer in 6 Hitters the Twins Could Target in the 2022 MLB Draft   
    Great thought piece, Jamie.  If what you say about the top five is true, and I would agree wholeheartedly they are the top 5 (with Collier, just maybe, comprising a top 6), and you add Parada to make it a top 7, then it only requires one team ahead of the Twins to make an "unusual" pick for the Twins to get one of the top 7.  If that were to happen, I would expect the Twins to choose whichever player drops down unexpectedly.  If the top 7 go as predicted, then I would agree with Dman and look carefully at Neto, or maybe Young.  I think the future of baseball is going to involve more contact, especially if shifts are banned or restricted.  I agree with Law that Berry has no position in the bigs, and while it looks like Lesko could be special, I don't think they will go with a HS righthander coming off Tommy John.  Generally, I would look for toolsy players with the defensive chops to be a good big league defender at whatever position he plays.
  3. Like
    RJA got a reaction from Dman in 6 Hitters the Twins Could Target in the 2022 MLB Draft   
    Great thought piece, Jamie.  If what you say about the top five is true, and I would agree wholeheartedly they are the top 5 (with Collier, just maybe, comprising a top 6), and you add Parada to make it a top 7, then it only requires one team ahead of the Twins to make an "unusual" pick for the Twins to get one of the top 7.  If that were to happen, I would expect the Twins to choose whichever player drops down unexpectedly.  If the top 7 go as predicted, then I would agree with Dman and look carefully at Neto, or maybe Young.  I think the future of baseball is going to involve more contact, especially if shifts are banned or restricted.  I agree with Law that Berry has no position in the bigs, and while it looks like Lesko could be special, I don't think they will go with a HS righthander coming off Tommy John.  Generally, I would look for toolsy players with the defensive chops to be a good big league defender at whatever position he plays.
  4. Like
    RJA reacted to Jack Griffin in One High-Upside Reliever Candidate for Twins to Target   
    If the cost of acquisition is low enough, I don't see an issue with trading for him.
    If it works you get a solid bullpen arm, if not you DFA or non tender him this off season.
    As well as this better be in addition to other moves.
  5. Like
    RJA got a reaction from cHawk in Twins Trade Deadline Targets: Relief Pitchers   
    I think Vanimal is spot on in his lists and assessments.  For me, I would prefer two rentals who are lockdown types with high leverage situational experience to go with Duran, and Jax who I think is underrated, as the Twins can always compete for them next off season in free agency and the prospect costs would be less.  
  6. Like
    RJA got a reaction from GKuehl in What Could a Sonny Gray Extension Look Like for Minnesota?   
    I think it is too early to look at anything until we see if they add a Montas or Castillo, and see how Ober and Ryan pan out over the whole season.  Plenty of time to think about it in the fall depending on how things go.
  7. Like
    RJA got a reaction from MN_ExPat in One High-Upside Reliever Candidate for Twins to Target   
    It all depends on the cost of acquisition. Bullpen help is certainly needed, and if he could be picked up at a very low prospect cost, he is worth it methinks.  His BAbip this year is something like .500 which is like 200 points higher than any previous year.  But, his hard hit percentage is up this year as well.  His splits home and away are pretty even and his BAbip and ERA are both a tad lower away.  As his salary is 3 million this year and likely to go up in arbitration next year, the A's may be willing to deal.
  8. Like
    RJA got a reaction from Hunter48 in What Could a Sonny Gray Extension Look Like for Minnesota?   
    I think it is too early to look at anything until we see if they add a Montas or Castillo, and see how Ober and Ryan pan out over the whole season.  Plenty of time to think about it in the fall depending on how things go.
  9. Like
    RJA got a reaction from DocBauer in What Could a Sonny Gray Extension Look Like for Minnesota?   
    I think it is too early to look at anything until we see if they add a Montas or Castillo, and see how Ober and Ryan pan out over the whole season.  Plenty of time to think about it in the fall depending on how things go.
  10. Like
    RJA got a reaction from Dman in One High-Upside Reliever Candidate for Twins to Target   
    It all depends on the cost of acquisition. Bullpen help is certainly needed, and if he could be picked up at a very low prospect cost, he is worth it methinks.  His BAbip this year is something like .500 which is like 200 points higher than any previous year.  But, his hard hit percentage is up this year as well.  His splits home and away are pretty even and his BAbip and ERA are both a tad lower away.  As his salary is 3 million this year and likely to go up in arbitration next year, the A's may be willing to deal.
  11. Like
    RJA reacted to Vanimal46 in Twins Trade Deadline Targets: Relief Pitchers   
    Rentals:
    David Robertson from the Cubs
    Michael Fulmer from the Tigers
    Carl Edwards Jr. from the Nationals
    Ian Kennedy from the Diamondbacks
    Daniel Bard from the Rockies and Alex Colomé (lol)
     
  12. Like
    RJA reacted to Vanimal46 in Twins Trade Deadline Targets: Relief Pitchers   
    Non- Rentals that will cost more:
    David Bednar - PIT
    Diego Castillo - SEA
    Josh Staumont - KC
    Jeff Hoffman - CIN
    Anthony Bass - MIA
    Chris Stratton - PIT
  13. Like
    RJA reacted to Vanimal46 in Twins Trade Deadline Targets: Relief Pitchers   
    My speculation is grabbing at least 1 rental. Carl Edwards Jr may be realistic given our history of trading with Washington. And identifying someone like Diego Castillo who has a high ERA but much better peripherals. 
  14. Like
    RJA reacted to Dman in One High-Upside Reliever Candidate for Twins to Target   
    That is some interesting analysis.  The K rate is there.  The walk rate is there but the hits just keep on coming making that WHIP a real problem.  Gotta say I don't love guys that give up tons of hits like he is but with that K and walk rate it is tempting to see what it would cost to pry him from the A's.
    Still is this the kind of risk you want to take fighting for a playoff spot?  If he continues to be "unlucky" is that how you want to use a 40 spot and trade capital?  Not sure I am sold on the timing but I will say that it is certainly something to think about.
  15. Like
    RJA reacted to Karbo in What Could a Sonny Gray Extension Look Like for Minnesota?   
    I would wait until the end of this season and evaluate the whole scene then. As several have pointed out we have many young guns that are coming up through the system. Which seems to me would be good trade chips for some help now. How many of these youngsters are going to have to be exposed to the rule 5 draft this winter? I'd be looking at that now and thinking about some trades for at the very least some bullen help. Another quality starter would sure be nice.
  16. Like
    RJA reacted to Dman in What Could a Sonny Gray Extension Look Like for Minnesota?   
    I think Gray is one of those pitchers that is going to be around for a while but I wouldn't ever plan on him being healthy for a full season.  He really knows how to pitch and like Grienke will find ways to get guys out well into his 30's.  That being said I don't know that I would be in a hurry to extend him.  Certainly I would wait and see how this whole season pans out and if he remains consistent and fairly healthy then approach him with an extension.  Given his age I would think there is a good chance he would take it.  I know we have young guys coming up but you can never have too much good pitching and if for some reason you do it is the gold standard for trades so it can help in other ways as well.
  17. Like
    RJA reacted to blairpaul715 in What Could a Sonny Gray Extension Look Like for Minnesota?   
    I concur. Wait till end of season. But if extended, I would only tack on 2 extra years not 3, unless you make the last year a team option. 
  18. Like
    RJA got a reaction from LewFordLives in What Could a Sonny Gray Extension Look Like for Minnesota?   
    I think it is too early to look at anything until we see if they add a Montas or Castillo, and see how Ober and Ryan pan out over the whole season.  Plenty of time to think about it in the fall depending on how things go.
  19. Like
    RJA got a reaction from Karbo in What Could a Sonny Gray Extension Look Like for Minnesota?   
    I think it is too early to look at anything until we see if they add a Montas or Castillo, and see how Ober and Ryan pan out over the whole season.  Plenty of time to think about it in the fall depending on how things go.
  20. Like
    RJA got a reaction from TopGunn#22 in What Could a Sonny Gray Extension Look Like for Minnesota?   
    I think it is too early to look at anything until we see if they add a Montas or Castillo, and see how Ober and Ryan pan out over the whole season.  Plenty of time to think about it in the fall depending on how things go.
  21. Like
    RJA got a reaction from KGB in Pitching Coach Wes Johnson to Abruptly Leave Twins   
    The 13th Amendment has nothing to do with this situation,  This would be governed by breach of contract law.  Specific performance of employment contracts is rare as it is considered bad policy to force someone to work with someone with whom may they have issues.  But, specific performance can be granted if the party to the contract has a unique skill--say Picasso painting a portrait, or if there are other extenuating circumstances which make specific performance necessary.  One could argue that leaving a team in mid season during a pennant race when finding a substitute is nearly impossible is an extenuating circumstance, especially when LSU is not currently in season.  He could effectively recruit while he was employed by the Twins if the Twins permitted it--which I am confident they would have.  But, if that is not the case, the party would still forfeit his salary, and in a lawsuit the party would be liable for damages including for any harm caused by his breach, especially if the Twins  including the difference in salary if a replacement is hired at higher  salary, as well as any other damages the Twins could prove.  The reality of the matter is that whatever remedies exist at law are not relevant as the PR fallout of pursuing a remedy by the Twins would be disastrous.  But, it still does not mean he was not legally and morally bound to honor the terms of the contract.  If he had a clause allowing him to leave, that would be a different matter.  Enough of this topic.  It is too esoteric for a baseball site :).
  22. Like
    RJA reacted to Dman in Minor League Report (6/26): Quiet Bats, Stellar Arms, and Jake Cave Dominates Again   
    I think because we need to free Beckham, Steer, Helman and Hamilton first because they all have higher OPS's than he does at AAA.  While his average and OBP are good he is not hitting for enough power to play in right or left field IMO.  He had a better slugging percentages when he was in the minors in 2017 and 2019.  When his OPS was .985 in 2019 that is when he got called up to the Twins.  If he gets back there I could see him being an option but right now the Twins are using Mark Contreras in the Jake Cave role who technically is playing worse at AAA than Jake.
    Maybe the Twins see some trade value left for Cave and don't want to risk adding him and losing him to wavers hard to say but I think Cave will move on after this year to an org that might need a decent 4th outfielder.  I don't think the Twins are gong to have room with Larnach, Kepler, Buxton, Celestino, Kirilloff and possibly Gordon,  Not to mention they will need room to add Wallner after this year. 
    I like Cave more than most but I agree with some others who have said he was more of a break glass in case of emergency if the young guys failed to improve.  It looks like Celestino, Larnach and Kirilloff have all shown enough now that he is likely not needed after this year.  I would love to see him stay but I think he can play at the MLB level and just needs a chance to get back there.
  23. Like
    RJA got a reaction from MN_ExPat in Minor League Report (6/26): Quiet Bats, Stellar Arms, and Jake Cave Dominates Again   
    Thanks for the summary, David.  Boy, I hope the Raya situation is simply a sickness issue and not an injury.  The kid has so much promise.  Bentley is really doing well.  I am going to dig into his background a bit more as he is not someone I have been following.  Cave is trying his best to earn a promotion!
  24. Like
    RJA got a reaction from Battle ur tail off in Identifying Prospects the Twins Could Move at the Trade Dealine   
    The real question is who among the top prospects already in the major or close the Twins would have to give up.  If the Twins are serious about netting a top end starter like Castillo or Montas, none of the players mentioned will even tilt the scales.  Teams are going to ask for Larnach, Kirilloff, Miranda, Winder, Canterino, etc., especially for players with a year and a half of team control.  There will always be lottery tickets and second pieces added but teams are going to want player/s in the top 5 or 10 with lots of years of control.
  25. Like
    RJA got a reaction from GNess in Identifying Prospects the Twins Could Move at the Trade Dealine   
    The real question is who among the top prospects already in the major or close the Twins would have to give up.  If the Twins are serious about netting a top end starter like Castillo or Montas, none of the players mentioned will even tilt the scales.  Teams are going to ask for Larnach, Kirilloff, Miranda, Winder, Canterino, etc., especially for players with a year and a half of team control.  There will always be lottery tickets and second pieces added but teams are going to want player/s in the top 5 or 10 with lots of years of control.
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