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glunn

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  1. Like
    glunn got a reaction from Jeff D. in Dodgers 10, Twins 3: Joe Ryan Bullied by L.A's. Bats   
    Not my favorite trip to Dodger stadium, and some of the defensive plays were painful to watch.  As Rocco said, the Twins were outplayed in every facet of the game.
  2. Like
    glunn got a reaction from Minny505 in Dodgers 10, Twins 3: Joe Ryan Bullied by L.A's. Bats   
    Not my favorite trip to Dodger stadium, and some of the defensive plays were painful to watch.  As Rocco said, the Twins were outplayed in every facet of the game.
  3. Like
    glunn got a reaction from Hosken Bombo Disco in Dodgers 10, Twins 3: Joe Ryan Bullied by L.A's. Bats   
    Not my favorite trip to Dodger stadium, and some of the defensive plays were painful to watch.  As Rocco said, the Twins were outplayed in every facet of the game.
  4. Like
    glunn got a reaction from Doctor Gast in Dodgers 10, Twins 3: Joe Ryan Bullied by L.A's. Bats   
    Not my favorite trip to Dodger stadium, and some of the defensive plays were painful to watch.  As Rocco said, the Twins were outplayed in every facet of the game.
  5. Like
    glunn got a reaction from roger in Dodgers 10, Twins 3: Joe Ryan Bullied by L.A's. Bats   
    Not my favorite trip to Dodger stadium, and some of the defensive plays were painful to watch.  As Rocco said, the Twins were outplayed in every facet of the game.
  6. Like
    glunn reacted to RochesterDave in Dodgers 10, Twins 3: Joe Ryan Bullied by L.A's. Bats   
    I wish I had the foresight to not only dismiss tonight’s game, but  actually not fly to LA for this 2 game series . Usually Rocco soft pedals a poorly played game by the boys, but it was an embarrassing game - and there were a fair amount of Twins fans in attendance to watch this David vs Goliath spectacle. The Dodgers outclassed the Twins in every facet of the game.  In fact, the California fans were so sure of victory, they started playing with beach balls and doing the wave - by the 4th inning.  All I can say is I hope Sonny has a lot more in the tank than Joe did tonight AND the boys come to play. 
  7. Like
    glunn reacted to Matt Braun in Dodgers 10, Twins 3: Joe Ryan Bullied by L.A's. Bats   
    Why did you stay up to watch this?
    Alternate Intro: Congratulations on not staying up to watch this one, but check out what happened in the game anyway by clicking to read more. 
     
    Box Score
    Joe Ryan: 5 IP, 9 H, 5 ER, 1 BB, 4 K
    Home Runs: Byron Buxton (27)
    Bottom 3 WPA: Joe Ryan (-.378), Max Kepler (-.050), Jose Miranda (-.049)
    Win Probability Chart (via FanGraphs)

    Individual games aren’t usually supposed to mirror the greater spiritual struggle between two teams, yet here we are. The Dodgers crushed the Twins on Wednesday, never allowing a moment of doubt regarding who the better team was.
    It started with Joe Ryan: the rookie righty repeated his past Southern California struggles, allowing an elite Dodgers lineup to ring extra-base hits across the outfield. Will Smith—allegedly going by W.D. Smith as he would rather others confuse him with a spray oil company than the actor—rifled an RBI double into right-center field to kick off the scoring. 
    Ryan’s life on the mound remained challenging; the technically worse “bottom-half” of the Dodgers lineup—which includes an All-Star and an MVP—knocked balls into the corner pocket in the 2nd inning, scoring a few more runs. Trea Turner, with some help from Gilberto Celestino not being Byron Buxton, blooped in a double to end the frame at four total runs for the Dodgers. Max Muncy homered in the 3rd. So it goes.
    The Twins were not completely helpless during this onslaught; Gio Urshela muscled a triple into left-center field, and Celestino pulled him home with one of the shorter hits allowed by the rules. 
    But they weren’t much better than overpowered; Julio Urías worked through early rust to command the ball incredibly in a dominating start. Urshela’s triple would be the only extra-base hit of the game off the Dodgers’ lefty; four lonely singles constituted the remaining Twins’ offense against him. While the Dodgers’ bats parried efficiently, the Twins found no such luck against Julio Urías for the entirety of his seven-inning start.
    The game slowly morphed into a countdown, with outs acting as a formality, not an accomplishment. Trevor Megill allowed two runs after the Twins attempted to extend him for a second inning; Emilio Pagán netted two outs to end that inning.
    Buxton provided a jolt—a small one, yes, but one nonetheless. With a man on in the 8th inning, Buxton scraped a low slider off the bottom of the strike zone and deposited it just far enough beyond home plate to count for two runs. The game was still 8-3. A fan ran onto the field.
    Even the joy from that play did not last long; the Dodgers immediately struck for two runs, hitting the double-digit threshold while claiming a seven-run lead.
    What’s Next?
    The Twins and Dodgers will play again on Wednesday at 9:10 PM Central. Sonny Gray will take the mound for Minnesota while Ryan Pepiot will (probably) start for Los Angeles.
    Postgame Interview 
    Bullpen Usage Spreadsheet
     
      FRI SAT SUN MON TUE TOT               Pagan 0 0 19 0 32 51 Sands 0 0 51 0 0 51 Megill 0 12 0 0 35 47 López 30 17 0 0 0 47 Thielbar 13 0 21 0 0 34 Fulmer 15 13 0 0 0 28 Duran 17 7 0 0 0 24 Jax 11 11 0 0 0 22  
     

    View full article
  8. Like
    glunn reacted to tarheeltwinsfan in Identifying the Twins’ Top 3 Weaknesses   
    Doc, I must respectfully disagree that you can't fix poor "clutch hitting", if "clutch hitting" means advancing runners and hitting with runners in scoring position and avoiding rally sapping double plays. If some Twins players could be taught/encouraged/told to hit behind a baserunner, hit to the opposite field when a runner is in scoring position, bunt to advance a runner...then I contend the Twins would score more runs, which is my definition of "clutch hitting", when runners are on base. I do agree with all of your other really good points.  
  9. Like
    glunn reacted to TwinsDr2021 in Identifying the Twins’ Top 3 Weaknesses   
    You are correct on Alcantara, But it isn't like there are no pitches getting their team into the 7th or even finishing the 7th. If you average 6 innings or more a start, you are pretty consistently getting your team to the 7th.
    Nola has started 22 games, 9 times he pitched in the 6th, 7 times in the 7th, 3 in the 8th 2 in the 9, and 1 below 5. Over half his starts he went 7+ to me that is pretty consistent.  You can run though this exercise with at least 20 pitchers and find that in half or very close to half of all their starts they see the 7th inning, it drops down to about 1/4 of their starts they see the 8th.
    Yes, there are way more pitchers not ever getting to the 7th then there are, but to say it isn't happening just isn't a true.
     
     
  10. Like
    glunn reacted to farmerguychris in Identifying the Twins’ Top 3 Weaknesses   
    Sorry - that was supposed to be his last 30 games, not his last 30 days according to what I found on MLB.com.
  11. Like
    glunn reacted to lukeduke1980 in Identifying the Twins’ Top 3 Weaknesses   
    I think not winning any/many blowouts is a weakness, though could be imaginary or a product of offense being down in baseball.  Seemingly every game is close. The ultimate bullpen protector is putting up some crooked numbers early and letting Cole Sands pitch the final 3 innings.
  12. Like
    glunn reacted to TwinsDr2021 in Identifying the Twins’ Top 3 Weaknesses   
    Serious question why are people talking about Ober (he has/had an aponeurotic plate injury) as some savior to the Twins rotation, he hasn't averaged 5 innings a start since 2019 in A* and AA. Plus from rotowire as of 10 days ago hadn't thrown off a mound and today will begin bullpen progression in Fort Myers in hopes of a September return. Seriously even if he comes back in September the odds are they will use him in the same role (or maybe just a relief pitcher) he has been pitching the last two years, so the best we can hope for is some sort of piggy backing.  As for Winder also from rotowire he is in Fort Myers beginning bullpen progression and will needs three plus weeks to get fully ramped back up and likely wouldn't rejoin the Twins until the roster expands.
    As for Maeda he was slated to start facing hits in August, does anybody know if that has started? But I would assume the earliest he could be up is a minimum three weeks after that. Dobnak threw live batting practice last week and no timetable for his return.
    (IMO I believe as fans we can hope one or more might help the Twins, but the odds of any of them really contributing to the Twins this year is probably not very good)
  13. Like
    glunn reacted to LA VIkes Fan in Identifying the Twins’ Top 3 Weaknesses   
    I agree with the premise of the article but disagree with the comments that this is somehow the manager's fault or that the FO hasn't tried to deal with these issues. The reality is that the Twins have about 80-85% of the players necessary for a championship contender. We are short at least (1) a true workhorse starter who can consistently give us 7+ innings a game, (2) another middle of the order bat that can be a consistent run producer (that's more due to injury than anything else), and (3) sufficient bullpen depth, including a shut down left-handed relief pitcher.  If you look at the statistics, you can understand why Rocco is not letting our starters have that 3rd trip through the order; all of them, repeat all of them, have consistently poor results that 3rd trip through. Even Ryan. Gray has always been that way. You could try to develop younger pitchers like Ryan by giving him that 3rd trip through but that may be at the expense of a few wins over the course of the season. I think the front office made the right move picking up Tyler Mahle to try to give us that 7+ inning pitcher. Time will tell if he can actually do that.
    The lack of a middle of the order band is I think the bigger problem because it puts too much pressure on the 4 or 5 solid offensive guys we have and over time their performance suffers as a result. To me, this was the one thing we didn't get at the trade deadline that we should have. Thank goodness for the development of José Miranda and the emergence or career year of Nick Gordon because without them we would really be in trouble offensively. I do think the FO did a good job strengthening the bullpen at the deadline and made the right call with Tyler Duffey. I would frankly like to see them make the same call with Pagan but I understand the irresistible lure of his talent. He at least has the basic talent to be a successful pitcher, something Duffey unfortunately no longer has. There are at least attacking this weakness and the return of Maeda in the bullpen could really help if that happens.
    I think our record is very reflective of our talent level and I think Rocco has done a good job of maximizing the production of the players he has. I think the bottom line is that were just short a little bit on the talent side so it requires us to have guys do more than there really capable of to be successful. I frankly think the injuries to Larnach and Kirilloff in particular really hurt us by depriving us of that guy that could hit in the number 5 or 6 hole and really lengthen in the lineup. Guys like Kepler, Sanchez, Urshela, Celestino, and now Cave are nice players to have if they hit 7 through 9 order where occasional offensive contributions can be enjoyed. The problem is we don't have enough hitters so all of a sudden Gordon has to hit 5, Buxton has to play when he really should be on the IL, Polanco doesn't get the chance to heal his back, and the team winds up counting on guys like the 4 mentioned above to be run producers. They aren't and probably never will be(although you never know with the guys in a Celestino).
    The real issue is were just a little short of the players we need. That's not Rocco's fault. I don't know if he or the Front Office are average, good, or great. The one thing I do know since they got here the team is better, more competitive, more enjoyable to watch, and gives one hope that they could actually win the division and even potentially compete in the playoffs. That is a huge step up from where we were before they got here. 
  14. Like
    glunn reacted to Doctor Gast in Identifying the Twins’ Top 3 Weaknesses   
    Great article, Cody. It's very important to find our weakness and improve on them. I also agree w/ TopGun that another area is lack of training in small ball- bunting, stealing, hit & run, hit the other way. After the year of the "live ball" (2019) our game strategy can longer be hit "moon blasts". Now in close games the strategy has to change from SO or FO as a result from the "moon blast" strategy to small ball, getting our runners in scoring postions & capitalize.
    But our greatest problem is the innings gap between the SP to closer. Our current strategy is (on the average) 1 SP- 5 innings + 4-5 short RPs to go 1 inning each in a 9 inning game if there's overtime or doubleheaders will cause additional strain . That means we have to have IMO maybe 11 short RPs that we can interchange & at least 2 to close and that we can trust to compete. After we traded Rogers it turned out that we could only trust Duran as closer & Jax & sometimes Theilbar. So that means we have to go mostly go with short RPs which can't trust to complete games.
    Management solution was to over extend the rotation, result was having all our SPs on the IL at some time or another, tired arms and lost games, so that's not the solution. We have a great rotation but we have what we have, they can give us 5 quality innings sometimes 6 but not consecutively on a regular basis.
    At deadline we added to the short RPs that we can trust, a SP who supposingly can pitch 6+ innings regularly, released Duffy and put Pagan on the IL. This was a vast improvement but was it enough? Mahle who were depending to give us atleast 6 quality innings, in the 5th& 6th innings gave up 3 HRs & 4 runs. After 2 games we completely depleted our BP leaving high ERA Sands & LHP Theilbar to face a dominating RH batters. They used Sands in long relief and proved as w/ Cotton that they are terrible in short relief but does well in long.
    My solution is long relief and use them regularly to fill that terrible gap. We have disgruntal A Sanchez, Smeltzer and Cotton sitting in AAA, that are very capable & trust worthy as present  candidates with Winder and Ober soon returning, Why waste them all in AAA? Makes no sense to me, especially when we have a gap to fill. So the solution is not over relying on short relief or over extending our SP with added innings, it is to implement long relief to keep everyone healthy, fresh & happy to get us to & thru the post season.
  15. Like
    glunn reacted to Swing Batter-Batter in Identifying the Twins’ Top 3 Weaknesses   
    EXACTLY and this has been going on all season, almost from game #1. Rocco wore out the bullpen before we got to mid-June.
     
  16. Like
    glunn reacted to Karbo in Identifying the Twins’ Top 3 Weaknesses   
    IMHO the biggest problems are 1-starters that don't pitch long enough. Lowest IP per start of any team in contention
    2-Poorly constructed bullpen. All the relievers seem to be one and done. Need a couple of dependable 2-3 inning relievers
    3-Injuries. Yes every team has them but look at how many injury games we've lost to players expected to be heavy contributors this year.
    4- Poor management. FO didn't get the guys we needed in the spring and Rocco sometimes seems to be in over his head.
    5- Poor fundamentals. Lack of being able to adapt to the situations when needed. Don't run the bases well, can't bunt, don't seem to be able to hit behind runners to advance them.
  17. Haha
    glunn reacted to tarheeltwinsfan in Identifying the Twins’ Top 3 Weaknesses   
    I suggest that if we look at the spray charts of where the Twins' "good clutch hitters" hit the baseball in "clutch situations", that the charts will show that the "successful clutch hitters" are hitting to the opposite field at a much higher percentage than the "not very good at clutch hitting hitters".   Am I the only one who thinks this way? Yes, it is good to hit the ball as hard as you can in some situations, but it is also good to recognize the situation and sometimes follow Wee Willie Keeler's advice to "hit'em where they ain't". In extra innings, down by one run, nobody out, and a runner at 2B, Buck should have been punching the ball to the right of the infield, or bunting to advance the tying run to 3B, instead of striking out by swinging for the left field fence.  Oh, I know Buck has 26 home runs and a homer would be a walk-off victory, but how did that strategy work out? Just hit the ball to the right side of the infield or outfield and advance the runner.  I speak from experience from my days of playing intermural softball at UNC, where my single to right field (I bat right-handed) drove in the winning run, in walk-off fashion, and my team won the UNC Graduate School Intermural Softball Championship in 1972. But then, you probably already knew that.
  18. Like
    glunn reacted to Reptevia in Identifying the Twins’ Top 3 Weaknesses   
    The article above places Gordon as a poor clutch hitter. 
  19. Like
    glunn reacted to rv78 in Identifying the Twins’ Top 3 Weaknesses   
    All 3 are correct but I think you should add the Manager as #4. Doesn't use his Starters efectively which causes him to overuse the bullpen. Sticks with an ineffective pitcher too long in high leverage situations like Colome last year and Duffey and Pagan this year. Refuses to play small ball when it could win a game. Rests his better players like he did with Correa and Buxton on Sunday, the same day, when they already have Monday and Thursday off this week. Puts non-productive hitters like Sano and Kepler in the middle of the lineup, which changes daily so there is no consistancy. Has had Buxton leading off and Arraez hitting behind him, which is the exact opposite of what it should be since Arraez gets on base and Buxton hits HR. Puts a player like Garlick in the lineup against lefty pitchers yet doesn't pinch hit for him when the other team brings in a righty from the bullpen. His inconsistancy is a reflection on the team and the way they play, inconsistant.
  20. Like
    glunn reacted to RJA in Identifying the Twins’ Top 3 Weaknesses   
    I agree with all three of your points.  Good article.  The bright spots in all of this for me are the performances of Miranda and Gordon.  Gordon has established himself as a real asset with his clutch hitting, energy, and position flexibility.  Miranda looks to be one of those players who is at his best when games are on the line.  He reminds me a bit of Miguel Cabrera, and will be an all  star player in the coming years IMHO.  
  21. Like
    glunn reacted to Eris in Identifying the Twins’ Top 3 Weaknesses   
    The greatest weakness is having SP that can only go 4 or 5 innings as this means that most RP will run out of gas    
     
     
     
  22. Like
    glunn reacted to TopGunn#22 in Identifying the Twins’ Top 3 Weaknesses   
    The trade deadline addressed several of these and the bullpen got much better by the additions as well as the subtractions.  But clutch hitting as well as "situational" hitting has been a Twins weakness consistently.  We still strike out far too much, especially in situations where a strikeout kills us.  For example:  striking out with a runner on 3B and less than 2 outs.  We also appear to be incapable of moving the extra inning runner at 2B to 3B with our first hitter of the inning (even when we're fumbling to get a bunt down).  Putting that runner on 3B with one out puts incredible pressure on the defense and we consistently fail to accomplish this.
  23. Like
    glunn reacted to Cody Christie in Identifying the Twins’ Top 3 Weaknesses   
    Minnesota’s front office filled multiple needs at the trade deadline, but the team is hardly perfect. So, what are the team’s most significant weaknesses?
     
     
    Baseball’s 162-game season is a long, grueling battle to divide the contenders from the pretenders. The AL Central is one of baseball’s worst divisions this season, which helps the top teams stay in contention. Minnesota needs to solve the weaknesses below, or Chicago and Cleveland will claw their way to a division title. 

    Struggling Veteran Bats
    All hitters go through streaks, and teams hope that other players pick up the line-up when stars are slumping. Unfortunately, the Twins have seen some of their best hitters struggle since the beginning of July. Carlos Correa was brought in to bring a championship pedigree to the Twins but has hit .186/.288/.333 (.621) in his last 27 games. Only Gary Sanchez has a lower OPS (.470) among regular players during that stretch, but he has done it in a third as many plate appearances. 

    Minnesota’s only regulars with an OPS over .835 since July 1 are Jose Miranda and Nick Gordon, who were hardly expected to lead the team to the playoffs. For the Twins to win the division, the team’s veteran bats need to break their summer slump and start impacting the line-up on a daily basis. 

    Clutch Hitting
    Hitting in high leverage situations is almost impossible to predict because a player can be clutch for one moment, but it might not translate to an entire season. Also, few hitters can consistently hit in the highest leverage spots. FanGraphs uses a stat called Clutch, which measures how well a player performs in high leverage situations. Minnesota currently ranks 17th with a -0.12 Clutch ranking, which is below average. Among AL Central teams, only the White Sox rank lower than the Twins. 

    Minnesota’s best hitters, according to Clutch, include Luis Arraez, Jorge Polanco, and Jose Miranda, who all rank above average. Max Kepler is at the bottom of the team’s Clutch leaderboard with a -1.19 ranking. Other poorly ranked players include Nick Gordon ( -0.76), Carlos Correa (-0.68), and Kyle Garlick (-0.61). Down the stretch, the Twins will need more clutch hitting from all parts of the line-up. 

    Mounting Pitching Problems
    Luckily, the Twins tried to improve their pitching problems with multiple trade deadline moves, but that doesn’t take away from how bad the team has been recently. Since July 1, the Twins pitching staff ranks 26th in fWAR, with the starters only ranking higher than the last-place Washington Nationals. During that stretch, Minnesota’s starters have a 4.85 ERA, a 69.7 LOB%, and 1.53 HR/9, which all rank among baseball’s bottom ten teams.
    Tyler Duffey and Joe Smith helped the Twins at different points during the 2022 season, but both had run out of gas in recent weeks. Replacing those two players with Jorge Lopez and Michael Fulmer will help the team down the stretch. Other injured pitchers like Josh Winder, Bailey Ober, and Kenta Maeda expect to return in the weeks ahead to give the pitching staff another boost. 

    Even baseball’s best teams have weaknesses, but it’s getting close to the point in the season where the Twins need to start putting their best product on the field. If Minnesota can’t solve these issues, the AL Central race will continue to be close for the season’s remaining games. 

    Which weakness do you feel is the biggest concern? Leave a COMMENT and start the discussion.
     

    View full article
  24. Haha
    glunn reacted to ashbury in Crickets for Sano   
  25. Like
    glunn reacted to ashbury in Crickets for Sano   
    As mentioned above, I can think of 11,250,000* reasons they would look elsewhere for Kirilloff insurance than Sano  And Colorado has 7,250,000 reasons not to just cut Cron.  A trade?  Probably does neither team much good.
     
    * Salary minus buyout I see at b-r.com
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