glunn reacted to Dennesey55347 in 4 Reasons the 2022 Season is More Frustrating Than 2021
2-16 against the Yankees, Dodgers, and Astros. All bottom feeders except the Reds have more wins here (Reds better win% against these teams) Our RBI leader might finish with the lowest total in at least the last 20 years, and Miranda is outpacing everyone else's paltry sum. Who would you call in in the clutch? Zero Twins qualify. Consistency with the bat? No one but Arraez if singles are your jam. (Miranda looks legit but too early yet). Big hits were so spread out and rare I found myself in disbelief when someone finally mustered up enough courage. Yeah, I remember very few offenses in our history I've liked less
glunn reacted to tarheeltwinsfan in 4 Reasons the 2022 Season is More Frustrating Than 2021
I have enjoyed the Twins 2022 much more than 2021. Am I disappointed with the way the Twins' 2022 season has unraveled? Yes. But I try to take each game one at a time. I have enjoyed seeing the many successes during this season. At least the Twins were more competitive this year. I have enjoyed the positive attitudes of Correa, Gray, Urshela, Leon, Arraez and Cave. I have enjoyed the successes of several young players: Duran, Ryan, Miranda, Jax, Arraez and Gordon. I have marveled at Correa's fielding skills, his rocket throws and his leadership. I have been educated by Dick Bremer, Justin Morneau, LaTroy Hawkins, Roy Smally and Glen Perkins. All are men I would enjoy sharing a beer with at a ball game. It's almost like being present and watching a baseball game with them, as I listen to their insights and their extensive baseball knowledge and their humor. I have been so happy for Kitty and Tony O. What really nice men they are. And I like the way the Twins organization honors and respects Carew, Tony O. and Kitty and other Twins "old-timers". I have seen glimpses of Twins' hitters finally trying to hit against the shift, as Carlos and Gio and especially Arraez have shown can be done with success. I have enjoyed throughout most of this season, telling my "Braves loving buddies" that my Twins were still in first place. I have even more reasons to fuel my hatred for the Yankees. Covid has become a much more manageable issue thanks to vaccines. The noises of the crowds can now be heard at games, and we no longer have silly cardboard cutouts silently watching. For these reasons and the fact that I am getting older, I must honestly say, I have enjoyed the 2022 season much more than 2021. And even though today I can see her standing in the wings, ready to make an appearance, the fat lady ain't sung yet.
glunn reacted to Trov in 4 Reasons the 2022 Season is More Frustrating Than 2021
So who on our team were you expecting to contribute? You say most of the injuries are to people we were not expecting much from. Well, Buck has been basically injured all year, playing on a bad knee limiting him to 57 games in CF, yes an additional 34 at DH, but he is, when healthy best defender in CF. Pretty sure we had high hopes for him contributing. How about Polonco? He was our MVP last year, and he has been hurt on the IL a couple of times playing about 100 games, but clearly some of them he was hurt, not sure why we would not be counting him. Oh how about Royce Lewis, many expected he would do something this year at some point. How about Sano, he missed the full year. I am pretty sure we were expecting high offense from either Larnach or AK, both missing most of the year, and AK was hurt even in the games he mainly did play. Jeffers was expected to be starter, yes his offense was down even before hurt, but he was heating up.
So two of our starting OF missed large amounts of games, and a backup. Our expected starting 1b missed full year basically, and his back up. Our 2nd baseman has missed games as well. I guess you were just expecting CC to carry us all year and no of the other starters were expected to much.
Pitching, we did have large amounts of health there, but did lose two of our starters miss most of the season in Paddock and Ober. Also, Winder after doing well then missed large amounts. I will agree they were not expected to be much, and the pen did blow many games, but had our offense that was carried by a rookie and a guy that was our super utility guy that many wanted to cut coming into the year and a light hitting bat master. But the main guys that would be expected to hit in the middle of line up all missed plenty of games.
glunn reacted to Dman in 4 Reasons the 2022 Season is More Frustrating Than 2021
For as frustrating as this year has been it has been a lot more fun than last year. Being completely out of it after the first month of the season made last year really hard to be excited about Twins baseball at all. At least with the fast start and being in it until late in the season games had meaning.
So while the results were the same I enjoyed this years team much more than last years. We need much better pitching to compete in the division and the playoffs though. So I hope the arms we have stay\get healthy and that young arms develop otherwise this team is going no where next year either.
glunn reacted to RJA in 4 Reasons the 2022 Season is More Frustrating Than 2021
The injury issues with this team are really confusing, both in terms of the sheer number of injuries and the way they seem to drag on without getting better, and as you noted, the timelines for return seem to get extended and extended. Let's be clear, some injuries, like what Lewis suffered, are bound to happen, and I am not an expert by any means, but I think the FO should review what is going on with the medical and training staff to make sure everything is being done to keep and get our players healthy.
glunn reacted to killertwinfan in 4 Reasons the 2022 Season is More Frustrating Than 2021
Well, I suppose the writer is correct. However, he doesn’t touch on the reasons why I am frustrated.
Last nights game is a perfect example. We torch a guy then have a series of at bats that were almost worthless. We need a consistent effort at the plate to have good at bats. That means swing at your pitch and when you are behind, defend the plate. We have issues with this from the top of the order to the bottom.
Rocco’s use of the bullpen. During a recent loss to Cleveland, I think the Archer game. We bring in a guy who struggles and Rocco rolls with him. We end up going down 6-0 and eventually lose 6-4. Those two runs were critical. You see other managers much more on top of their bullpen. Just one of many examples of Rocco’s mystical approach.
Not running. We are giving away bases, I am assuming for health reasons. Whatever man, we are playing baseball. Play it!
glunn reacted to Doctor Gast in 4 Reasons the 2022 Season is More Frustrating Than 2021
Yeah, beginning of last season, I could see how things were going so I resigned that the team would have absolutely no chance to go anywhere although we had a good core. This year with greater depth at SS & CF, I had more hope eventhough our BP was overall lousy.
For me last season was more frustrating, although it was short lived, it was greatly more intense. This season I've always had hope that this team could turn it around.
glunn reacted to JD-TWINS in 4 Reasons the 2022 Season is More Frustrating Than 2021
The overview of more frustration this year is accurate. MUCH rather be in contention & frustrated with injuries - move on from problems, (J. Smith - T. Duffey - E. Pagan eventually) - still have a 10% chance if we go 14 - 7 down the stretch…….than to be out of it by May 15! To not be competitive over a 6 month season is torture if you’re a fan in my opinion……..I live in Cincinnati & see it & hear about it daily.
glunn reacted to Whitey333 in 4 Reasons the 2022 Season is More Frustrating Than 2021
Yes. Very frustrating season for all the reasons mentioned in the well written article. Add to it the teams pit hing philosophy of short starts and not having an adequate bullpen to back them up. I believe the bullpen has lost over two dozen games. Carlos Correa doing very little offensively until the last month of the season. Terrible base running, terrible in game managing by Baldelli. Yes the injuries have been way too high. But to be honest many of those injured players were either not projected to help much or contribute to the major league club. The injuries piled up at the end making for a convenient excuse to a dissappointing season. When the team was relatively healthy, playing with a normal lineup, they blew many winnable games. Remember those 5 disastorus losses to Cleveland earlier this year? Yes it's been frustrating because the division was very winnable. It's frustrating to see it slip away. It's also frustrating to see the health players perform so poorly with very little energy.
glunn reacted to mikelink45 in 4 Reasons the 2022 Season is More Frustrating Than 2021
It is the complete dominance of KC and the bottom dwellers and the complete incompetence against playoff caliber teams. Even bad teams are supposed to beat the good teams sometimes and good teams are supposed to play the other good teams at an even level.
glunn reacted to Ted Schwerzler in Who Benefits Most from Baseball’s New Rules?
Last week, Major League Baseball unveiled three new rules that will take effect for the 2023 season. The group includes a pitch clock, bigger bases, and banning of a traditional shift. While everyone is set to play under them, which Twins benefit from each one the most?
Image courtesy of Brad Rempel-USA TODAY Sports
As has been the case with virtually any new idea Major League Baseball has come up with, the minor leagues have served as a training ground. That means many of these new rules have already been practiced at some level by prospects that would hope to come through the system Now being implemented at the highest level, big leaguers will have their first exposure to them. When looking at each individually, it may be worth breaking down who is helped most by each new rule.
When runners are on base pitchers will have 20 seconds to deliver a pitch, and they’ll have just 15 seconds to do so when the bases are unoccupied. I have seen this firsthand plenty throughout St. Paul Saints' action this season. It seems to be integrated seamlessly and works well.
There’s no doubt that pitchers will benefit most from the pitch clock. Yes, there has been pushback in regard to routines and timing, but for the most part, the arms have adapted. Specifically, pitchers without much of a Major League track record, or those that work quickly, will benefit from the change. It was widely apparent how quickly Minnesota Twins starter Louie Varland worked against the Yankees last week, and you’ll see plenty more of that from guys who come up off the farm.
With batters only being allowed one timeout per plate appearance, there should be a substantial cut down on the ticks that emanate in the form of bat taps, adjusted batting gloves, and walks around the dish. Largely, the suggestion is now to get in the box and stay there.
While stealing hasn’t been largely impacted at the minor league level with a set time to deliver a pitch, it’s not maybe more important than ever for pitchers to change up their looks. Minnesota has done a terrible controlling the running game, and while neither Gary Sanchez or Ryan Jeffers throw many base stealers out, their pitchers have to help them as well.
Going from 15” to 18” bases isn’t all of a sudden going to increase the running games. Steals haven’t spiked with bases being larger, but the amount of bang-bang plays directly correlates. There’s also the opportunity for slightly more real estate when two players are rushing to the same base. Plays at first base should have a bit more room for the runner to step through and keep pitchers or other fielders covering a bit safer.
The bases being larger is something that fans and players won’t likely realize at all, but there will be multiple instances of different calls or spared injury that could be directly attributed to the change. Byron Buxton probably won’t start stealing 30 bases per year with the new size, but Billy Hamilton would’ve been safe at third base on his steal attempt. Oh, and while we’re here, home plate is not changing and Whit Merrifield was still out.
This change may have the greatest impact on players and the game itself. Teams will still find ways to shift, but now two infielders must be on each side of second base, and all four have to be touching the dirt when the pitcher is on the rubber. No longer will a defender be able to play a short outfield spot, and there won’t be an entire position on the infield unmanned.
Joey Gallo is the first name that comes to mind across baseball, but for the Twins, this could actually make Max Kepler good again. He’s been awful about hitting into the shift for most of his career, and the problem is largely attributed to his launch angle. Opting for ground balls and low liners, he’s been easy to steal hits from. Ground balls still probably won’t find their way through, but being able to dump the ball into short right field may be of benefit.
Ultimately, I’d expect teams to get creative with their outfielders when it comes to shifting. We may see three play on one half of the grass, and that’s probably how extreme-pull hitters are attacked.
What rule are you most in favor of? Are there any you have concerns about?
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glunn reacted to Thiéres Rabelo in Twins 4, Royals 0: Gray Tosses Seven Scoreless, and Minnesota Gets a Series Win
It had been two weeks since the last time the Twins won a series, but they finally did it again. With another brilliant game by a starting pitcher, the Twins got an easy win over the Royals and can now go for a sweep tomorrow night.
Image courtesy of Jordan Johnson-USA TODAY Sports
Starting Pitcher: Sonny Gray, 7 IP, 3H, 0R, 0ER, 1BB, 8K (91 pitches, 64 strikes, 70.3%)
Home Runs: None
Top 3 WPA: Sonny Gray (.300), Gary Sanchez (.137), Carlos Correa (.098)
Win Probability Chart (via FanGraphs)
Some early offense gives Gray support to throw seven shutout innings
In last night’s game, the Twins built a comfortable six-run lead, but they actually didn’t score a run until the third inning. Tonight, things looked different from the get-go, as the Twins wasted no time putting some runs on the board. After Sonny Gray breezed through the top of the first with only eight pitches, the offense ambushed Royals starter Zack Greinke and manufactured three runs in the bottom of the inning.
Luis Arraez and Carlos Correa opened up the inning with back-to-back singles, and suddenly, the Twins had men on the corners. Jose Miranda then grounded into a double play and scored Arráez from third. This could’ve been the moment when Greinke would get out of the jam, but five more Minnesota hitters would reach before the veteran could close out the inning. Gio Urshela drew a four-pitch walk, then was sent to third on a Nick Gordon single. Gary Sánchez then stepped up to the batter’s box and hit a long double to deep center, bringing home both, Urshela and Gordon.
While the bats were quiet down by Greinke, who retired nine consecutive batters, Gray had no trouble dominating the Royals' hitting either. By the end of the fourth inning, he had tossed only 54 pitches, striking out five and allowing only a hit and a walk. That was also when Royals hitters began to make some hard contact off him, but, fortunately, it wasn’t quality contact. The only exception was a rocket hit by Ryan O'Hearn to lead off the fifth (104.5 MPH exit velocity) that had .820 xBA, but it was caught by Gilberto Celestino in a fine defensive play at the track.
Four innings was all the Royals could get from Greinke, and the Twins offense was quick to pose a threat against the Kansas City bullpen in the fifth, despite not capitalizing. Miranda drew a walk, and Urshela got hit by a pitch, suddenly giving the Twins another scoring opportunity – and prompting a second pitching change from the Royals in the inning. Still, at that point, the Twins lineup had failed to get a hit since the first inning, when they got five of them. Gray, on the other hand, came back to pitch a couple more scoreless frames, completing seven innings of shutout ball, allowing only three hits, walking only one batter, and fanning eight.
Offense adds on in the 7th, bullpen shuts the door
After six innings without a hit, the Twins offense delivered a couple of hits in the seventh and scored an insurance run in the process. Kyle Garlick, who replaced Arráez after the first inning, hit a leadoff single and was replaced by pinch-runner Billy Hamilton. Correa sent him to third with a double, and he scored on an Urshela sac-fly, making it 4-0 Twins.
It was all up to the bullpen now, and they managed to protect the four-run lead. Caleb Thielbar pitched around a leadoff single to complete a scoreless eighth on 12 pitches, and Jorge Lopez closed out the game in the ninth with no trouble, also pitching around a leadoff single. The Twins win their first series since the final week of August when they took two out of three against the Boston Red Sox. They are now back above the .500 mark, sitting at 71-70, and they pick up a game on the Chicago White Sox.
The third game of the series is tomorrow, also starting at 6:40 pm CDT. Said game will wrap up Minnesota’s homestand, as the team takes to the road for eight games in seven days in Cleveland and Kansas City after that. Dylan Bundy (4.68 ERA) toes the rubber for Minnesota in the final game of this homestand, with Daniel Lynch (5.14 ERA) starting for Kansas City.
Bullpen Usage Spreadsheet
SAT SUN MON TUE WED TOT Moran 0 0 0 40 0 40 López 0 18 0 0 17 35 Pagán 33 0 0 0 0 33 Duran 0 27 0 0 0 27 Thielbar 0 15 0 0 12 27 Fulmer 0 18 0 0 0 18 Megill 14 0 0 0 0 14 Jax 0 8 0 0 0 8 Cotton 0 0 0 0 0 0 Sanchez 0 0 0 0 0 0
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glunn reacted to stringer bell in Randy Dobnak put on waivers
Dobnak was on the 60-day IL, but his injury had healed enough for a rehab assignment. I believe his rehab time is up, so now the choice is to reinstall him on the 40-man roster (either with the Twins or on option to St. Paul) or put him on waivers. This move makes the most sense and when he’s not claimed, he can be outrighted to St. Paul and off the 40-man roster.
glunn reacted to Squirrel in Randy Dobnak put on waivers
I don't think they are giving up on him. They are just making room on the 40-man for players that need to be added. No one is going to claim him at this point, he will more than likely get an invite to ST as a non-roster invitee and he can still pitch his way back onto the roster. Giving up on him would be releasing him.
glunn reacted to ashbury in Randy Dobnak put on waivers
Yeah, I think that's wrong. That would be the financial arrangement if the Twins released the player. A waiver claim brings the current contract, whatever it may be, intact to the claiming team. Usually that's league minimum, but not in Dobber's case.
glunn reacted to Rosterman in Randy Dobnak put on waivers
According to Darren Wolfson and others, RANDY DOBNAK has been waived off the 40-man roster. His rehad had ended and if they were forced to make a decision on his immeditae worth to the team, or remove someone from the roster. By doing so now, if he is unclaimed, he will be assigned to the minors. If they waited until the off-season, he could've declared himself a free agent.
Don't fret, he's not going anywhere with the contract he signed with the Twins, that carries thru 2025 with three more option years.
Granted, someone might take a flyer. But if no one does, Randy stays with the Twins and in St. Paul, collecting his major league salary for a few more years.
But anyone hoping to see Randy on the mound at Target Field in 2022....
glunn reacted to bean5302 in Twins 6, Royals 3: Twins Lose No-Hitter in Ninth Inning
I couldn't care less about "combined" no hitters. They're meaningless to me. Completely. Nothing more than a participation trophy.
Still, Joe Ryan was at 106 pitches. I can't see the Twins allowing him to go 135+ pitches in pursuit of a no hitter just to have him blow his shoulder out (See: Mets and Johan Santana)
glunn reacted to DJL44 in Twins 6, Royals 3: Twins Lose No-Hitter in Ninth Inning
Duran was warm? I was only watching on the Gamecast on my phone. Why didn't he let Duran get the 9th for an all-rookie combined no-hitter?
glunn reacted to Aggies7 in Twins 6, Royals 3: Twins Lose No-Hitter in Ninth Inning
316 recognized no hitters since 1876, and the manager decided his starter wouldn’t be 317.
glunn reacted to USAFChief in Twins 6, Royals 3: Twins Lose No-Hitter in Ninth Inning
I'm not sure which I like better: Rocco not sending Ryan out for the 8th, or getting himself into a situation where he has Duran warming in a game his team had a no hitter and 6-0 lead thru 7.
Also no game Twins game would be complete without incomprehensible baserunning.
Hard for me to even take any joy out of this win. Baseball needs to have some soul, not computer printouts.
glunn reacted to Jamie Cameron in Twins 6, Royals 3: Twins Lose No-Hitter in Ninth Inning
The Twins lost a combined no-hit bid with one out in the ninth inning when Bobby Witt Jr doubled off Jovani Moran. Carlos Correa, Jose Miranda, and Gio Urshela all hit home runs for the Twins in a comfortable 6-3 win.
Image courtesy of Brad Rempel - USA Today Sports Box Score
Starting Pitcher: Ryan 7.0 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 0 ER, 2 BB, 9 K
Homeruns: Correa (20), Miranda (15), Urshela (12)
Top 3 WPA: Ryan .285, Correa .243, Arraez .137
Win Probability Chart (via FanGraphs)
Here’s how the Twins lined up to face the Kansas City Royals in the opening game of a three game series at Target Field on Tuesday night.
Remaining Big Bats Bop
The Twins offense rolled against Kansas City on Monday night. Although he runs didn’t come immediately, they kept at it, and were eventually rewarded. The Twins jumped out to a 2-0 lead in the third inning with a double from Carlos Correa and a single from Jose Miranda scoring Gilberto Celestino and Luis Arraez.
The Twins added to their lead in the middle innings. Correa continued his torrid hitting, clubbing his 20th home run of the season into the left-field seats. Miranda followed with the second home run of the inning, his 15th overall. Miranda’s production (125 wRC+) and continued health have been one of the few kindnesses Twins fans have experienced in a deflating second half of the season. His performance has surely cemented his standing as an organizational lynchpin for the Twins moving forwards.
Gio Urshela added a home run, his 12th, in the sixth inning, taking the Twins tally to 11 hits on the night. Four players had at least two hits, led by Arraez and Correa with three each.
Joe Ryan Carries No-Hitter Through Seven Innings
Joe Ryan has not been the same pitcher for the Minnesota Twins since an early season bout with COVID. His velocity was down for a time afterwards, his command and control more shaky. Not tonight (insert Kurt Russell Miracle gif). Tonight, Ryan was dominant.
Ryan threw seven no-hit innings for the Twins, tallying nine strikeouts on 106 pitches. Ryan showed good command and control throughout his start, generating 13 swings and misses. The crowd let the Twins hear about it when he was pulled for Jovani Moran at the top of the eighth inning. With a 99% win probability, Ryan desperately needed in the next series against Cleveland, and having thrown over 100 pitches, it was a sensible call.
While Burnsville armchair GMs were lamenting Rocco Baldelli’s decision to pull Ryan from the game, Jovani Moran struck out two batters on his way to a scoreless eighth inning. The Twins were three outs away from a combined no-hitter. Moran returned in the ninth inning, striking out Drew Waters before walking Hunter Dozier and MJ Melendez. Moran then gave up a double to Bobby Witt Jr to get the Royals on the board and end the no-hit bid with one out in the ninth inning. Moran gave up another two runs, cutting the lead to 6-3, before finally slamming the door with his fourth strikeout.
Bullpen Usage Chart
FRI SAT SUN MON TUE TOT Sands 0 77 0 0 0 77 Lopez 0 0 18 0 0 18 Duran 0 0 27 0 0 27 Pagán 0 33 0 0 0 33 Moran 17 0 0 0 40 57 Sanchez 46 0 0 0 0 46 Fulmer 0 0 18 0 0 18 Thielbar 0 0 15 0 0 15 Davis 0 0 0 0 0 0 Jax 0 0 8 0 0 8 Megill 0 14 0 0 0 14 Next Up
On Wednesday, the Twins will continue their series against the Royals. Sonny Gray starts for Minnesota, against Zack Greinke for the Royals. First pitch is a 6:40 CT.
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glunn reacted to Nashvilletwin in In the End, the 2022 Twins Never Stood a Chance
Apologies upfront if this post may be TLDR for many.
Nick, this a well written post that describes in great detail the enormous hurdles that injuries put in front of this team. Thank you.
Your post raises two questions for me. The first, were these enormous hurdles in fact insurmountable? The second, what does this mean in terms of the future leadership of the team?
There are many, and it appears you are in this camp, that would answer yes to the first. There are many other TDers, perhaps the minority, who are tremendously sympathetic with the argument, but cannot out of hand dismiss the managerial, player and front office blunders that certainly contributed to many victories being left on the table. But, IMHO, the question is moot from a “blame” standpoint; we are where we are and what matters is where we go from here.
The Twins are a well-positioned mid market organization. We have excellent owners, facilities, farm system, and tradition. We have access to capital, albeit not unlimited, to acquire the occasional high priced FA player. We have a tremendous roster of young, up-and-coming players. So, specifically, what does it take for a mid market organization such as ours to consistently and realistically compete with the big market teams and the smart/shrewd/well-run small-mid market teams for the Pennant. Here are a few thoughts re the criteria:
1. Consistent development of big leaguers through the system.
2. FO excellence in trades, FA acquisitions, and player retention.
3, Strong fundamental baseball from players and coaches in all aspects of the game.
4. Maximizing the potential of the players who make it to the Show.
5. Health - keeping the players on the field (and it’s all not just luck).
6. Team culture of confidence, camaraderie, accountability and commitment.
The small-mid market teams that do these things well will be the ones competing for championships against the larger market clubs. If you don’t do these things well, teams like the Twins will be destined for mediocrity.
So to address the second question, perhaps it makes sense to open-mindedly evaluate how our FO and coaching staff have performed, and realistically could be expected to perform, in these areas. Perhaps other than the first, one could argue that the Twins owners should seek substantive improvement from existing or new leadership if these are truly criteria for success.
glunn reacted to Yawn Gardenhose in In the End, the 2022 Twins Never Stood a Chance
On July 5th, the Twins were 10 games over .500 and had a 4.5 game lead on the division. At that time, 11 of these 16 injured players were on the injured list then and most had been shelved for the majority of the season at that point - only Larnach's injury occurred recently to that July 5th date. And of the players whose injuries occurred after 7/5, one was Mahle who was still a Cincinnati Red at this time.
Injuries have hit them hard, but I think it's mostly quantity than quality. The most impactful injuries are the latest two - Buxton and Polanco. You could argue that some of the injuries have benefited the Twins too. If Sano doesn't get hurt, Arraez might not have taken off to the extent he did, and it's possible that Miranda doesn't get as long of a look without the opportunity that was created for him. And it's hard for me to put too much stock into Lewis's injury from a "how it affected the 2022 Minnesota Twins" standpoint, as he wasn't expected to be a major contributor to the big-league club this year anyway, particularly after they signed Correa (his injury is much more concerning from a development/big-picture organizational standpoint).
The injuries in total are definitely a factor in the collapse, but more importantly I think they've helped to expose some glaring flaws with this organization's philosophy and approach on several fronts. Acknowledging and correcting those flaws will make this season not totally for naught as good organizations adapt and learn from mistakes. Unfortunately I don't think this organization is in the hands of people that are terribly good at identifying their mistakes much less righting them. I hope I'm wrong.