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JLease

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  1. Like
    JLease got a reaction from Dman in Game Recap: Twins 6, Rangers 5   
    Yeah, I'm on the "rogers made a good pitch" train. Not super worried about him.  The bigger issue in the bullpen is finding enough guys that can be counted on right now; not sure Waddell is a solution. 
     
    Lot of walks in the bullpen right now, and a lot of guys looking very hittable. right now there's 3 relievers with the kind of WHIP that makes you comfortable seeing them come out of the bullpen: Rogers, Robles, and Alcala. Duffey is conceding too many BBs in relationship to his Ks. Stashak & Thielbar are getting the Ks, but the former is walking too many and the latter is giving up hits too easily. Colome is a complete mess right now.
     
    But it's also still very small samples for all of these guys: we're talking results over 8-11 innings. It wouldn't take much for any or all of them to get on a roll.
     
    Good to see Maeda get through it even while not sharp. I think he'll be fine, just needs to keep pitching through it. (Hopefully the warmer weather helps a little?)
  2. Like
    JLease got a reaction from wabene in Game Recap: Twins 6, Rangers 5   
    Yeah, I'm on the "rogers made a good pitch" train. Not super worried about him.  The bigger issue in the bullpen is finding enough guys that can be counted on right now; not sure Waddell is a solution. 
     
    Lot of walks in the bullpen right now, and a lot of guys looking very hittable. right now there's 3 relievers with the kind of WHIP that makes you comfortable seeing them come out of the bullpen: Rogers, Robles, and Alcala. Duffey is conceding too many BBs in relationship to his Ks. Stashak & Thielbar are getting the Ks, but the former is walking too many and the latter is giving up hits too easily. Colome is a complete mess right now.
     
    But it's also still very small samples for all of these guys: we're talking results over 8-11 innings. It wouldn't take much for any or all of them to get on a roll.
     
    Good to see Maeda get through it even while not sharp. I think he'll be fine, just needs to keep pitching through it. (Hopefully the warmer weather helps a little?)
  3. Like
    JLease got a reaction from Dantes929 in Game Recap: Twins 6, Rangers 5   
    Yeah, I'm on the "rogers made a good pitch" train. Not super worried about him.  The bigger issue in the bullpen is finding enough guys that can be counted on right now; not sure Waddell is a solution. 
     
    Lot of walks in the bullpen right now, and a lot of guys looking very hittable. right now there's 3 relievers with the kind of WHIP that makes you comfortable seeing them come out of the bullpen: Rogers, Robles, and Alcala. Duffey is conceding too many BBs in relationship to his Ks. Stashak & Thielbar are getting the Ks, but the former is walking too many and the latter is giving up hits too easily. Colome is a complete mess right now.
     
    But it's also still very small samples for all of these guys: we're talking results over 8-11 innings. It wouldn't take much for any or all of them to get on a roll.
     
    Good to see Maeda get through it even while not sharp. I think he'll be fine, just needs to keep pitching through it. (Hopefully the warmer weather helps a little?)
  4. Like
    JLease reacted to twinbythebay in Game Recap: Twins 13, Royals 4   
    This is simply not true. It has been studied by physicists, and one study I read said that only about 15% of the exit velocity is dependent on the speed of the pitch, with the remaining 85% coming from the batter. A good example is home run derbies, where most of the pitches come in at 70mph or less, yet they produce some of the furthest hit balls you'll see. Exit velocity helps us see how squarely a ball was hit, and it's a pretty good indicator of power. It's why we all knew Kirilloff was about to break out of his slump even though he started off 0-15.
  5. Like
    JLease reacted to VivaBomboRivera! in Game Recap: Twins 9, Royals 1   
    "Alex, what is best in life?"

    "To crush pitches, see runners driven in before you, hear the jubilation of the fans."
  6. Like
    JLease got a reaction from Dman in Game Recap: Twins 10, Cleveland 2   
    It's a lot more fun around here after a win. 
     
    I liked the Happ signing at the time, but didn't think he'd be this good. Glad to see at least one move that worked! (Simmons worked too)
     
    This team has been so incredibly frustrating so far. The talent is still there, but April has been such a mess of screwups and guys just flailing that you had to wonder. I still don't know why exactly the bullpen is such a mess, and until we start seeing consistent production from guys NOT named Buxton, Arraez, Donaldson, and Cruz we're just not gonna be there.
     
    But maybe, just maybe we're starting to see them get it together? Maybe some warmer weather, night games, and fans in the stands will start helping this crew get it together before the season implodes.
  7. Like
    JLease got a reaction from wabene in Game Recap: Twins 10, Cleveland 2   
    It's a lot more fun around here after a win. 
     
    I liked the Happ signing at the time, but didn't think he'd be this good. Glad to see at least one move that worked! (Simmons worked too)
     
    This team has been so incredibly frustrating so far. The talent is still there, but April has been such a mess of screwups and guys just flailing that you had to wonder. I still don't know why exactly the bullpen is such a mess, and until we start seeing consistent production from guys NOT named Buxton, Arraez, Donaldson, and Cruz we're just not gonna be there.
     
    But maybe, just maybe we're starting to see them get it together? Maybe some warmer weather, night games, and fans in the stands will start helping this crew get it together before the season implodes.
  8. Like
    JLease got a reaction from Heiny in Prospect Retrospective: Nick Gordon   
    Nick Gordon has been snakebit. I'm really happy for him that's finally getting a chance, and I think he's a quality player when healthy.  There's no doubt in my mind that he can hit well enough to be a viable MLB player. He just needs to stay healthy. The floor on him is a quality utility guy with the potential to be a quality starter.
     
    If he doesn't get hurt, I'm convinced we would have seen him in 2019; he was playing as well as Arraez at the time and Arraez seized the opportunity when Gordon went down. But I think Gordon would have been the pick if he'd been healthy. Good break for Arraez, tough beat for Gordon.
     
    Looking forward to seeing what he can do.
  9. Like
    JLease got a reaction from Seth Stohs in Prospect Retrospective: Nick Gordon   
    Nick Gordon has been snakebit. I'm really happy for him that's finally getting a chance, and I think he's a quality player when healthy.  There's no doubt in my mind that he can hit well enough to be a viable MLB player. He just needs to stay healthy. The floor on him is a quality utility guy with the potential to be a quality starter.
     
    If he doesn't get hurt, I'm convinced we would have seen him in 2019; he was playing as well as Arraez at the time and Arraez seized the opportunity when Gordon went down. But I think Gordon would have been the pick if he'd been healthy. Good break for Arraez, tough beat for Gordon.
     
    Looking forward to seeing what he can do.
  10. Like
    JLease reacted to Nine of twelve in MIN 4, BOS 3: Twins Snap Losing Streak Despite Another Blown Lead   
    On Sunday Baldelli was roundly criticized on this board (including by me) for leaving Shoemaker in too long even though he had sailed through five innings. Today he's being roundly criticized for yanking Pineda even though he had sailed through seven. Damned if you do, damned if you don't. It's a no-win situation.
  11. Like
    JLease reacted to twinbythebay in SEA 4, MIN 3: Another Loss in Extra Innings   
    Man, this take is... puzzling. I guess we should let the bats off the hook for not managing to scratch a single run across in three extra innings so far?
     
  12. Like
    JLease reacted to DocBauer in SEA 4, MIN 3: Another Loss in Extra Innings   
    Am I happy the Twins have lost 3 games, all in extra innings, that they could have and should have won? Nope! Nada! Nyet! Am I worried about the pen at this point? No. Not yet.
     
    Nor am I worried about a slow start for Sano or a healthy Polanco, who had a fine ST. I'm just going to panic or be worried after 8 games.
     
    A couple brain farts and a mis-handled ball and 2 of those 3 loses likely don't happen. Likewise, just another clutch hit or two from an offense that has generally looked solid so far and those games don't go to extra innings.
     
    If the pen was actually imploding, those 3 close games don't even go to extra innings. Think about that perspective for a moment.
     
    I think Robles could be a sneaky good signing. Thus far he's looked like such. Colome has been back and forth so far and I admit some frustration and concern, but I am not reaching for a panic button on him at this point. Same for Rogers who has also been 50/50 thus far. Sorry to play the old tune, but such a SSS, despite the frustration of the losses, does not call for decision making or desperation.
     
    Despite his inconsistency at times, my "worry" was losing May, not Clippard, Wisler or Romo. Despite some cold spells that made you want to throw your hands up, May could bring pure heat and SO potential you just need sometimes. Alcala may be that guy, but I don't think he's ready for that role just yet. But I don't think the pen is worse or less talented with the elder Romo and Clippard, or 1yr flash Wisler gone and replaced by Robles, Colome and Alcala. Someone to take that May role does give my pause at the moment.
     
    Rogers and Colome settle down over the next week or so, this becomes a non-issue and we won't even remember talking about it. Now, that doesn't happen, THEN we can talk about real issues with the pen. Until then, 3 close losses but the pen not exploding/imploding, looking like an old Irwin Allen disaster movie, after only 8 games is frustration and nothing more.
  13. Like
    JLease reacted to cHawk in SEA 4, MIN 3: Another Loss in Extra Innings   
    May is really the only arm I miss. Nobody is mourning the loss of Romo. Nobody. Did you see that guy last year? How so obviously cooked he was? Wisler might be a one shot wonder, infact, he sure looks like one now. Clippard...would've been nice to bring back, but he isn't exactly young either.
  14. Like
    JLease got a reaction from TheLeviathan in Did the Twins Give Up Too Early On Akil Baddoo?   
    Still way too early to know if it was the wrong decision. If Baddoo finishes the season hitting .215 is it still the wrong decision? It's possible that even after that outcome it was the right choice for BOTH teams to have made the right decisions. None of this is made in a vacuum and it can't be assessed based simply off of how well Baddoo does or doesn't do. From the Twins perspective, you have to also consider it against the players they chose to keep. (The most likely candidates to get left off if you protect Baddoo are Celestino and Smeltzer it seems, and I'm absolutely convinced either would have been snapped up; Celestino in Rule 5 and Smeltzer on waivers.) Baddoo had a good chance of not getting drafted in Rule 5, but the Tigers took a flyer on him.
     
    Heck, depending on hos the season goes, it's still possible Baddoo ends up back with the Twins: Detroit has to carry him on the 26 man all season or offer him back to the Twins. Who knows what will happen by July?
     
    This is a case of the Rule 5 draft working the way it's supposed to be. A guy puts in the time in the minors but hasn't made it on an 40-man roster yet (blocked, injured, struggled, etc) and this draft gives him an opportunity to make a run with another club. It's a challenge with kids who come in at 16-17 and may not be developed enough to really know what you've got when they become eligible, but thems the breaks.
     
    Good luck to Baddoo. It will be interesting to see whether he or Celestino has a bigger impact in MLB, because now they're kinda linked.
  15. Like
    JLease got a reaction from Dman in MIN 10, SEA 2: Twins Treat Returning Fans With Dominant Victory   
    Nice win in the home opener. Seattle's a bad team, but you gotta beat up on those too.
     
    Still not wild about the bullpen useage; I just think you're wasting a roster spot by carrying 14 pitchers. But happy to see Alcala out there again. I'm a big fan of his and hope he gets consistent use and in some higher leverage situations.
     
    Berrios & Buxton. Love seeing those guys carry the team, just hope we can keep both of them for the next 5 years.
     
  16. Like
    JLease got a reaction from wabene in MIN 10, SEA 2: Twins Treat Returning Fans With Dominant Victory   
    Nice win in the home opener. Seattle's a bad team, but you gotta beat up on those too.
     
    Still not wild about the bullpen useage; I just think you're wasting a roster spot by carrying 14 pitchers. But happy to see Alcala out there again. I'm a big fan of his and hope he gets consistent use and in some higher leverage situations.
     
    Berrios & Buxton. Love seeing those guys carry the team, just hope we can keep both of them for the next 5 years.
     
  17. Like
    JLease got a reaction from Brock Beauchamp in Did the Twins Give Up Too Early On Akil Baddoo?   
    Still way too early to know if it was the wrong decision. If Baddoo finishes the season hitting .215 is it still the wrong decision? It's possible that even after that outcome it was the right choice for BOTH teams to have made the right decisions. None of this is made in a vacuum and it can't be assessed based simply off of how well Baddoo does or doesn't do. From the Twins perspective, you have to also consider it against the players they chose to keep. (The most likely candidates to get left off if you protect Baddoo are Celestino and Smeltzer it seems, and I'm absolutely convinced either would have been snapped up; Celestino in Rule 5 and Smeltzer on waivers.) Baddoo had a good chance of not getting drafted in Rule 5, but the Tigers took a flyer on him.
     
    Heck, depending on hos the season goes, it's still possible Baddoo ends up back with the Twins: Detroit has to carry him on the 26 man all season or offer him back to the Twins. Who knows what will happen by July?
     
    This is a case of the Rule 5 draft working the way it's supposed to be. A guy puts in the time in the minors but hasn't made it on an 40-man roster yet (blocked, injured, struggled, etc) and this draft gives him an opportunity to make a run with another club. It's a challenge with kids who come in at 16-17 and may not be developed enough to really know what you've got when they become eligible, but thems the breaks.
     
    Good luck to Baddoo. It will be interesting to see whether he or Celestino has a bigger impact in MLB, because now they're kinda linked.
  18. Like
    JLease got a reaction from Dman in Did the Twins Give Up Too Early On Akil Baddoo?   
    Hard for me to say they gave up too early on Baddoo; it's just the 40-man is starting to fill up with better prospects and Baddoo missed last year, so the twins didn't have a lot more to go on.
     
    From the Tigers perspective this is a smart move: you're going nowhere, take a flyer on a player with some upside in the Rule 5 draft. You can afford to give him 300+ PA in MLB right now to see if you've got something and if it turns out he's not actually ready/able to play at this level (at least right now) you're out very little. He's a lottery ticket.
     
    From the Twins perspective not-protecting him was a reasonable risk: he didn't play in 2020 because of the pandemic, the most recent playing year for him wasn't great (injured and not terrible effective), and he's never taken an AB above high A. So there's a decent chance no one takes him, because the only teams that might are ones like the Tigers, who stink and aren't really trying to win this year. While there's more of those teams than there really should be...there's still not that many.
     
    I can't blame them for picking Celestino over Baddoo to protect, and that's really where I think it came down to. Celestino is the better fielder and could step in and credibly man CF defensively for the Twins right now if Buxton goes down for a lengthy period. Baddoo probably had the more advanced hit tool and definitely better power projection, but at the time it was unclear which one might end up the better hitter, especially after baddoo's injury-filled season. there's no doubt in my mind that celestino gets taken  if left unprotected: it's easier to stash a defensive specialist on a roster for a year. Even a more competitive team might take a flyer on that, especially with a 26-man roster. There's more room to work.
     
    Baddoo is making the most of his opportunity so far. good for him. He's not going to hit anywhere near this all year, of course, so check back after he's got 100 ABs or so.
  19. Like
    JLease got a reaction from DocBauer in Did the Twins Give Up Too Early On Akil Baddoo?   
    Hard for me to say they gave up too early on Baddoo; it's just the 40-man is starting to fill up with better prospects and Baddoo missed last year, so the twins didn't have a lot more to go on.
     
    From the Tigers perspective this is a smart move: you're going nowhere, take a flyer on a player with some upside in the Rule 5 draft. You can afford to give him 300+ PA in MLB right now to see if you've got something and if it turns out he's not actually ready/able to play at this level (at least right now) you're out very little. He's a lottery ticket.
     
    From the Twins perspective not-protecting him was a reasonable risk: he didn't play in 2020 because of the pandemic, the most recent playing year for him wasn't great (injured and not terrible effective), and he's never taken an AB above high A. So there's a decent chance no one takes him, because the only teams that might are ones like the Tigers, who stink and aren't really trying to win this year. While there's more of those teams than there really should be...there's still not that many.
     
    I can't blame them for picking Celestino over Baddoo to protect, and that's really where I think it came down to. Celestino is the better fielder and could step in and credibly man CF defensively for the Twins right now if Buxton goes down for a lengthy period. Baddoo probably had the more advanced hit tool and definitely better power projection, but at the time it was unclear which one might end up the better hitter, especially after baddoo's injury-filled season. there's no doubt in my mind that celestino gets taken  if left unprotected: it's easier to stash a defensive specialist on a roster for a year. Even a more competitive team might take a flyer on that, especially with a 26-man roster. There's more room to work.
     
    Baddoo is making the most of his opportunity so far. good for him. He's not going to hit anywhere near this all year, of course, so check back after he's got 100 ABs or so.
  20. Like
    JLease got a reaction from wabene in Did the Twins Give Up Too Early On Akil Baddoo?   
    Hard for me to say they gave up too early on Baddoo; it's just the 40-man is starting to fill up with better prospects and Baddoo missed last year, so the twins didn't have a lot more to go on.
     
    From the Tigers perspective this is a smart move: you're going nowhere, take a flyer on a player with some upside in the Rule 5 draft. You can afford to give him 300+ PA in MLB right now to see if you've got something and if it turns out he's not actually ready/able to play at this level (at least right now) you're out very little. He's a lottery ticket.
     
    From the Twins perspective not-protecting him was a reasonable risk: he didn't play in 2020 because of the pandemic, the most recent playing year for him wasn't great (injured and not terrible effective), and he's never taken an AB above high A. So there's a decent chance no one takes him, because the only teams that might are ones like the Tigers, who stink and aren't really trying to win this year. While there's more of those teams than there really should be...there's still not that many.
     
    I can't blame them for picking Celestino over Baddoo to protect, and that's really where I think it came down to. Celestino is the better fielder and could step in and credibly man CF defensively for the Twins right now if Buxton goes down for a lengthy period. Baddoo probably had the more advanced hit tool and definitely better power projection, but at the time it was unclear which one might end up the better hitter, especially after baddoo's injury-filled season. there's no doubt in my mind that celestino gets taken  if left unprotected: it's easier to stash a defensive specialist on a roster for a year. Even a more competitive team might take a flyer on that, especially with a 26-man roster. There's more room to work.
     
    Baddoo is making the most of his opportunity so far. good for him. He's not going to hit anywhere near this all year, of course, so check back after he's got 100 ABs or so.
  21. Like
    JLease got a reaction from DocBauer in MIN 3, DET 2: Colomé Holds on for 6-Out Save   
    solid start for what should be a good team. Can't say I love having 9 #@$^%#^%@#$# pitchers in the bullpen, though. It's just a waste.
     
    Hard to complain too much about a team that's only lost in extra innings so far.
  22. Like
    JLease got a reaction from Dantes929 in MIN 3, DET 2: Colomé Holds on for 6-Out Save   
    solid start for what should be a good team. Can't say I love having 9 #@$^%#^%@#$# pitchers in the bullpen, though. It's just a waste.
     
    Hard to complain too much about a team that's only lost in extra innings so far.
  23. Like
    JLease got a reaction from TouchEmAllGuy in MIN 15, DET 6: Cruz Leads Trouncing of Tigers   
    I hate the 8-man bullpen. Even in this day and age where starters get pulled in the 5th or 6th inning, you still end up with a guy in the 'pen who pitches once a week at best in the 8-man bullpen. Thank goodness they expanded the rosters to 26 so you can actually still have a 4-man bench.
     
    Nice to start off a Detroit series with a dominant win and nice to see Polanco get off the schnide.
  24. Like
    JLease got a reaction from wabene in MIN 8, MIL 2: Arráez Reaches 5 Times, Twins Take Series   
    Nice sunday win. It feels weird to say it, but I really hope Buxton had the trots. That's unpleasant and kinda gross, but literally passes quickly. And having had one before I wouldn't wish a migraine on anyone ever.
     
    Nice to see a few guys who had been scrabbling a bit to start the season get it going a little, and I loved what I saw out of Alcala. Him being able to lock the Brew Crew down like that was lovely and keeps the bullpen in good shape for monday.
     
    Arraez is just a hitter. he'll do great hitting leadoff and made a couple of nice plays in the field at 3B today.
     
    funny to hear Bremer & Morneau talk about the MKE radar gun being fast. Sure seemed that way to me too.
  25. Like
    JLease got a reaction from JDubs in MIN 8, MIL 2: Arráez Reaches 5 Times, Twins Take Series   
    Nice sunday win. It feels weird to say it, but I really hope Buxton had the trots. That's unpleasant and kinda gross, but literally passes quickly. And having had one before I wouldn't wish a migraine on anyone ever.
     
    Nice to see a few guys who had been scrabbling a bit to start the season get it going a little, and I loved what I saw out of Alcala. Him being able to lock the Brew Crew down like that was lovely and keeps the bullpen in good shape for monday.
     
    Arraez is just a hitter. he'll do great hitting leadoff and made a couple of nice plays in the field at 3B today.
     
    funny to hear Bremer & Morneau talk about the MKE radar gun being fast. Sure seemed that way to me too.
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