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BD57

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  1. Like
    BD57 got a reaction from chpettit19 in No, Top FA Starters Are Not Risky   
    Appreciate the analysis.
    Only problem:  it's built on an assumption which "might not be so," namely, the "top level" free agent starters would sign with the Twins if actively pursued, offered competitive money, etc.
    Based on the last few free agent cycles, I believe the Twins are at a massive disadvantage in pursuing the "top level" FA Starter compared to the largest market teams (like the Yankees & Dodgers), that the Twins won't even be considered by the "top level' FA Starters unless the Twins offer significantly better contract terms compared to those teams.
    Further, there's a good chance the Twins wouldn't be considered even if they did so.
    For whatever reason - beyond pure contract dollars - those guys appear to want to be in the "big markets":  whether it's "better chance of winning there" (the top-level guys are typically at a stage in their career where winning a World Series is higher on their list of priorities), or "More off-field earning potential," or what, I think those guys generally aren't interested in coming to Minnesota & the Twins would have to offer significantly better contract terms to "get them interested."
    Which is a hard thing for a smaller market team to do. 
  2. Like
    BD57 got a reaction from wabene in No, Top FA Starters Are Not Risky   
    Appreciate the analysis.
    Only problem:  it's built on an assumption which "might not be so," namely, the "top level" free agent starters would sign with the Twins if actively pursued, offered competitive money, etc.
    Based on the last few free agent cycles, I believe the Twins are at a massive disadvantage in pursuing the "top level" FA Starter compared to the largest market teams (like the Yankees & Dodgers), that the Twins won't even be considered by the "top level' FA Starters unless the Twins offer significantly better contract terms compared to those teams.
    Further, there's a good chance the Twins wouldn't be considered even if they did so.
    For whatever reason - beyond pure contract dollars - those guys appear to want to be in the "big markets":  whether it's "better chance of winning there" (the top-level guys are typically at a stage in their career where winning a World Series is higher on their list of priorities), or "More off-field earning potential," or what, I think those guys generally aren't interested in coming to Minnesota & the Twins would have to offer significantly better contract terms to "get them interested."
    Which is a hard thing for a smaller market team to do. 
  3. Like
    BD57 got a reaction from heresthething in No, Top FA Starters Are Not Risky   
    Agree with some of this.
     
    By & large, baseball pays guys for their track records, not their potential - not like the NFL, where guys with potential get big money early.
     
    Of course, the NFL is also dealing with younger guys who potentially have their "prime athletic years" ahead of them.  In most cases, the "big money" pitchers have already put up at least a couple of their "prime athletic year" performances in the previous team's uniform . . . "How many of those years do you have left?" is the question. 
     
    We couldn't come to terms with Johan when he was clearly one of the best pitchers . . . how'd that contract work out for the Mets?  I suspect they were hoping for "more than they wound up getting."  
     
    That's the risk of giving an established starting pitcher a "big" contract . . . . you're paying for performance you didn't receive, in the hope you'll get enough similar performance in the future to make it worthwhile.
     
    A team has to have the ability to "cover for a mistake."
     
    The Twins' income structure is nothing like the Yankees; it's much more of a challenge for the Twins to absorb a mistake.
     
    What baseball "needs" is to pool ALL revenue . . . National TV, National Radio, AND Local TV & Radio.   The big markets won't agree, of course - "We get paid for our product, people are more interested, willing to pay more, etc.'
     
    The counter to that is "Without the 'other' teams - like the Twins - you have nothing to broadcast.  Whether you like it or not, the only reason you have broadcast rights to sell is because we exist ... so we're as much a part of you getting that money as you are."
     
    Like I said, the Big Markets will never agree.
  4. Like
    BD57 got a reaction from Minny505 in No, Top FA Starters Are Not Risky   
    Appreciate the analysis.
    Only problem:  it's built on an assumption which "might not be so," namely, the "top level" free agent starters would sign with the Twins if actively pursued, offered competitive money, etc.
    Based on the last few free agent cycles, I believe the Twins are at a massive disadvantage in pursuing the "top level" FA Starter compared to the largest market teams (like the Yankees & Dodgers), that the Twins won't even be considered by the "top level' FA Starters unless the Twins offer significantly better contract terms compared to those teams.
    Further, there's a good chance the Twins wouldn't be considered even if they did so.
    For whatever reason - beyond pure contract dollars - those guys appear to want to be in the "big markets":  whether it's "better chance of winning there" (the top-level guys are typically at a stage in their career where winning a World Series is higher on their list of priorities), or "More off-field earning potential," or what, I think those guys generally aren't interested in coming to Minnesota & the Twins would have to offer significantly better contract terms to "get them interested."
    Which is a hard thing for a smaller market team to do. 
  5. Like
    BD57 got a reaction from terrydactyls in No, Top FA Starters Are Not Risky   
    Appreciate the analysis.
    Only problem:  it's built on an assumption which "might not be so," namely, the "top level" free agent starters would sign with the Twins if actively pursued, offered competitive money, etc.
    Based on the last few free agent cycles, I believe the Twins are at a massive disadvantage in pursuing the "top level" FA Starter compared to the largest market teams (like the Yankees & Dodgers), that the Twins won't even be considered by the "top level' FA Starters unless the Twins offer significantly better contract terms compared to those teams.
    Further, there's a good chance the Twins wouldn't be considered even if they did so.
    For whatever reason - beyond pure contract dollars - those guys appear to want to be in the "big markets":  whether it's "better chance of winning there" (the top-level guys are typically at a stage in their career where winning a World Series is higher on their list of priorities), or "More off-field earning potential," or what, I think those guys generally aren't interested in coming to Minnesota & the Twins would have to offer significantly better contract terms to "get them interested."
    Which is a hard thing for a smaller market team to do. 
  6. Like
    BD57 got a reaction from jkcarew in No, Top FA Starters Are Not Risky   
    Appreciate the analysis.
    Only problem:  it's built on an assumption which "might not be so," namely, the "top level" free agent starters would sign with the Twins if actively pursued, offered competitive money, etc.
    Based on the last few free agent cycles, I believe the Twins are at a massive disadvantage in pursuing the "top level" FA Starter compared to the largest market teams (like the Yankees & Dodgers), that the Twins won't even be considered by the "top level' FA Starters unless the Twins offer significantly better contract terms compared to those teams.
    Further, there's a good chance the Twins wouldn't be considered even if they did so.
    For whatever reason - beyond pure contract dollars - those guys appear to want to be in the "big markets":  whether it's "better chance of winning there" (the top-level guys are typically at a stage in their career where winning a World Series is higher on their list of priorities), or "More off-field earning potential," or what, I think those guys generally aren't interested in coming to Minnesota & the Twins would have to offer significantly better contract terms to "get them interested."
    Which is a hard thing for a smaller market team to do. 
  7. Like
    BD57 got a reaction from GoGonzoJournal in They Aren’t Making Ballplayers Like Joe Mauer Anymore   
    Joe Mauer belongs. 
     
    Catchers in this era don't win multiple batting titles, and they don't bat over .300 for a career.   
     
    But for the concussions, Joe would've caught for at least 3 or 4 more years - he might still be taking some turns behind the plate, where his defense was "All-Star" caliber.
     
     
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