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dbminn

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  1. Like
    dbminn reacted to Vanimal46 in Post something nice about The Twins or a player   
    Mike Pelfrey hasn't deserved any criticism this season.
  2. Like
    dbminn reacted to stringer bell in Post something nice about The Twins or a player   
    Two Twins players--Brian Dozier and Trevor Plouffe--have gone from from being near discards on a bad team to solid regulars on a team that is in first place.  Both have demonstrated dedication and work ethic that is commendable.  It's easy to cheer for guys like that, who have overcome hurdles and become better players.
  3. Like
    dbminn reacted to Ben Noble in Post something nice about The Twins or a player   
    Aaron Hicks has looked like a completely different player in the field and as a hitter from the left side of the plate, and I'm proud of him for facing adversity and changing his approach. When he mashed that home run on Wednesday, I yelled so loud that my dog went and hid under the bed.
  4. Like
    dbminn reacted to Bill Tanner in Where's Hu?   
    I spoke with Hu before yesterday's game in Clearwater was rained out.  He said the plan was to start this Saturday.  Really nice guy - signed a ball for my kids.
  5. Like
    dbminn reacted to jokin in Where's Hu?   
    Who's Ware?
     
     
     
     
    http://www.tradingcarddb.com/Images/Cards/Baseball/194/194-546Fr.jpg
     
     
     
     
  6. Like
    dbminn reacted to alexlegge in Team Pitching Efficiency: Interesting Revelation   
    Take a look at this list of pitches thrown per game. Teams in playoff spots are highlighted. 

    Obviously, this sort of statistic takes a lot of things into account, but it seems to be a good measure of overall team pitching efficiency. Maybe this is one metric where the Twins' old organizational philosophy of 'pitch to contact' is kind of a good thing. Of note: there are a small handful of pitchers whose stats I did not incorporate because they've pitched for more than one team already - including Nick Masset, who has pitched for both the Marlins and Braves this year. Accounting for his 195 pitches, both of those teams are probably worse than the Twins and Royals.
  7. Like
    dbminn got a reaction from Vance_Christianson in Rosario, Vargas, Arcia, Santana   
    Next Moves:
    Stauffer DFA'd / Fien to the bullpen. Tonkin or Pressley to AAA / Vargas to DH. Extended AAA for Arcia. Santana stays with Twins for now. Shafer DFA'd when healthy. As long as the Twins are a contender:
    Robinson stays until Buxton proves he's major-league ready. Better to have a very good veteran defender as your outfield reserve. Nunez stays as pinch hitter, second utility man. Nunez can hit and he fills a role not suited to a prospect. Polanco to Twins if Santana continues to struggle at the end of June.  
     
     
     
  8. Like
    dbminn got a reaction from Target Field of Dreams in Rosario, Vargas, Arcia, Santana   
    Next Moves:
    Stauffer DFA'd / Fien to the bullpen. Tonkin or Pressley to AAA / Vargas to DH. Extended AAA for Arcia. Santana stays with Twins for now. Shafer DFA'd when healthy. As long as the Twins are a contender:
    Robinson stays until Buxton proves he's major-league ready. Better to have a very good veteran defender as your outfield reserve. Nunez stays as pinch hitter, second utility man. Nunez can hit and he fills a role not suited to a prospect. Polanco to Twins if Santana continues to struggle at the end of June.  
     
     
     
  9. Like
    dbminn reacted to Kirby_waved_at_me in Rosario, Vargas, Arcia, Santana   
    I like Arcia a lot, but there's something about the way he's been taking his at bats this season that has rubbed me the wrong way. Arcia is exactly the bat the Twins need, a lefty masher. Vargas can also do that, but he's a switch hitter, so there are (in theory) better match ups for the Twins that way. If Arcia can show that he can take some of the bad pitches, and punish opposing pitchers for their mistakes, I'd love to see him batting 5th or 6th. Same thing with Vargas - the two of them plus Sano will be a very formidable middle of the lineup in years to come.
     
    If the situation were that Hunter was not hitting right now, I think the Twins would be in more trouble - Arcia and Vargas have time to fix their issues, and can do so in AAA or in limited playing time with the big league club. I've been pleasantly surprised by how well Hunter has hit early on. Before the season started, I wanted to see Arcia in RF, Rosario in LF and Hunter as the DH, splitting time with Vargas and Mauer. Hunter has earned his spot this year; so far, Arcia hasn't.
     
    I hope Arcia can show the Twins he's ready to come back and hit like he's capable of hitting.
  10. Like
    dbminn reacted to USAFChief in Rosario, Vargas, Arcia, Santana   
    I would agree with all of this, except I'll be surprised if Staufer is DFA'd any time soon.
     
    Be glad to be surprised, though, if it happens.
  11. Like
    dbminn got a reaction from gunnarthor in How Many Lookouts Have a MLB Future?   
    Kepler is not walking much (6.0%) but he isn't striking out either (7.7%), which means he's seeing pitches. His isolated power is .209, which puts him in 6th place in the Southern League (100 PA min).
     
    I agree with Seth. Kepler is already on the 40-man roster. If he keeps raking, he'll probably get a cup of coffee with the Twins this year.
     
    I think Kepler's future is bright. He is barely 22 years old. At 6'4" and 210 pounds, he's sure to add, as Torii Hunter calls them, "man muscles" as he gets older.
  12. Like
    dbminn got a reaction from Hosken Bombo Disco in How Many Lookouts Have a MLB Future?   
    Kepler is not walking much (6.0%) but he isn't striking out either (7.7%), which means he's seeing pitches. His isolated power is .209, which puts him in 6th place in the Southern League (100 PA min).
     
    I agree with Seth. Kepler is already on the 40-man roster. If he keeps raking, he'll probably get a cup of coffee with the Twins this year.
     
    I think Kepler's future is bright. He is barely 22 years old. At 6'4" and 210 pounds, he's sure to add, as Torii Hunter calls them, "man muscles" as he gets older.
  13. Like
    dbminn reacted to tobi0040 in How Many Lookouts Have a MLB Future?   
    I will just rank my top 5 by confidence level.
     
    1. Buxton. Elite defense and speed alone would set a floor as an every day CF.  Those are skills he will have for the next 6-8 years.  He has to be near a lock.
     
    2. Sano.  His bat will force a spot on this team.
     
    3. Polanco.  The position is so thin around the league. He can play SS and has done nothing but hit, steals bases too.  I think he edges out Santana.
     
    4. Berrios.  Has good enough stuff to crack the top five starters. No doubt a reliever if that failed.  I think he is a #2.
     
    5. Burdi - His stuff is too good.  Will play in the MLB for some time.
  14. Like
    dbminn reacted to Seth Stohs in How Many Lookouts Have a MLB Future?   
    He's not really raw any more. He was more raw than most, but he appears to have figured some things about and put his crazy tools into good practice. Obviously if he falls flat the rest of the season, they won't call him up, but I think if he performs well, he'll be a pretty easy choice.
  15. Like
    dbminn reacted to TRex in How Many Lookouts Have a MLB Future?   
    I love this kind of discussion, but I think that 'have a chance to play in the MLB' is setting the bar a little low.
     
    Instead, how about giving your best guess (i.e. 50.1% chance) for best case career. I would put the categories as: D= doesn't make it at all, C= cup of coffee, A= makes arbitration, F= makes Free agency, and R= earns retirement benefits (i.e. 10 yrs), and HOF= Hall of Fame (obviously).
     
    Example: Joe Mauer -  HOF

    D.J. Baxendale - C
    Jose Berrios - R
    Madison Boer - D
    Nick Burdi - A
    Dallas Gallant - D
    David Hurlbut - D
    Cole Johnson - C
    D.J. Johnson - D
    Zack Jones - A
    Greg Peavey - D
    Jake Reed - A
    Adrian Salcedo (suspended) - C
    Tim Shibuya - D
    Alex Wimmers - D
    Carlos Paulino - D
    Jairo Rodriguez - D
    Stuart Turner - F
    Mike Gonzales - D
    Dalton Hicks - C
    Heiker Meneses - D
    Levi Michael - C
    Jorge Polanco -  R
    Miguel Sano - R
    Stephen Wickens - D
    Byron Buxton - H
    Travis Harrison - A
    Max Kepler - F
    Adam Brett Walker II - A
  16. Like
    dbminn reacted to Parker Hageman in Article: How Is Mike Pelfrey Doing This?   
    "Pelfrey has thrown a splitter for years - he used it with similar frequency way back in 2010. He throws it with less velocity now (despite his fastball velocity being the same), which may be helping it work better as a change-up."
     
    Yes. He threw a split-finger fastball with the Mets and on rare occasions with the Twins but this version has far less rotation, more movement and behaves differently. For all intents and purposes it is a new pitch.
  17. Like
    dbminn reacted to gunnarthor in Is this Hunters last year?   
    Too early to think about it.  He's hitting well and on pace for a 4 WAR year so he probably wants to play again.  They'll cross that bridge when it happens.  For now, let's hope that he continues to have a great year and leads the Twins to meaningful games in Sept.
  18. Like
    dbminn reacted to Blackjack in Article: Twins Keep It Simple, Defeat Red Sox 2-1   
    I think some credit also needs to go to Terry Ryan, he realized the starting pitching was a big factor in the Twins swoon and went out and signed Hughes, Nolasco, and Pelfrey.   Unfortunately only Hughes lived up to expectations before this year.   Santana probably wouldn't have been signed if Nolasco and Pelfrey had even been average.
     
    Now it will be interesting to see what TR does with his 'excess' pitching.
  19. Like
    dbminn got a reaction from brvama in Article: Reasons For Optimism   
    After four years of home-team horrors, it is fun to watch the Twins again. Three keys:
    The starting rotation has provided a decent proportion of quality starts.  I no longer cringe when our outfielders have to make a play. Generally smart, aggressive base running. This is a flawed team with a bright future. Prospects at nearly every position, potential trade chips and a solid corps at the major league level. There will be another year of growing pains as the youngsters gain experience, but from here on out, I'm going to enjoy the ride.
     
  20. Like
    dbminn reacted to MileHighTwinsFan in Seriously, what do we do with Plouffe once Sano gets called up?   
    This is a next year problem at the earliest.   I don't see Sano up before September - he needs to play everyday at 3B and Plouffe is the better player right now - both offensively and especially defensively.  
     
    While we would all like to see Sano with the big club sooner, I don't think it will happen before September unless Plouffe gets hurt or the team falls off the face of the earth and out of contention before then. 
     
    The real question is what happens during the off season.   The team needs to make a decision and I don't think anyone should assume that Plouffe's days at 3B for the Twins are over.  
  21. Like
    dbminn got a reaction from Vanimal46 in Realistic trade return ideas   
    Teams that win over many seasons build from within the organization. Once they are contending, they add free agents or trade prospects to fill specific needs. The Twins are still in the construction phase. From the past six weeks, we can see the start of a solid foundation. It's an exciting change from recent years. Still, it's only six weeks! How about a little patience while the next building blocks sort themselves out?
     
    By mid-July, we'll know if this team can contend. Until then, we can watch the Twins try to solve some fun problems:
    Who will win the DH and SS positions: Arcia or Vargas and Santana or Polanco? Will Sano and/or Buxton deserve an opportunity by the All-Star Break? Between Rosario and Kepler - who is the better long-term prospect? Will the rotation stay healthy and in form? We'll have better information about both the major league team and the prospects by the trading deadline. We could easily become sellers instead of buyers - or maybe a bit of both. In any case, I'd rather not spend like a drunken sailor on old men making $20+ million per year based on one month of success.
     
  22. Like
    dbminn reacted to Seth Stohs in KLAW on Berrios   
    They are trying to preach a culture of winning through the entire organization. I never have a problem with a guy spending an extra 3-4 weeks at a level to help his team try to make the playoffs. This isn't new and the Twins certainly aren't the only team to do that. If they get to the playoffs, they get extra games. It's a good thing.
     
    There is no rush to get JO Berrios from AA to AAA. If he's in Rochester on May 25 or June 25, is there a big developmental difference?
     
    There should be no rush to get Chih-Wei Hu from Hi-A to AA. 
     
    There should be no rush to get Stephen Gonsalves from Lo-A to Hi-A. 
     
    It's not hurting their development to spend another 2-3 weeks at a level. For pitchers, that's like 3-4 more starts. 
     
    Now, if a guy is ready for the big league promotion, I'm all in favor of getting them there as needed. But, there should be no rush to get a guy to Ft. Myers. 
  23. Like
    dbminn reacted to stringer bell in Realistic trade return ideas   
    I would be hesitant to trade any pitching prospects.  There is some redundancy in the hitting prospects, especially corner OF/1B/DH types.  It would be risky, but at some point parting with one or two of those guys (perhaps one of Arcia/Vargas) might be something to do to get help this season and beyond. 
  24. Like
    dbminn reacted to Craig Arko in Realistic trade return ideas   
    I wouldn't change much yet. The two areas this team needs filled are reliability in the bullpen and left-handed power hitting. The first can be filled from within the organization and I'm willing to give Arcia and Vargas one more look before trading for the second.
     
    Clearly one of the starters (probably Pelfrey) will have to go somewhere to make room for Santana, and Milone is definitely forcing the issue about a second one; which may turn out to be Milone himself.
     
    But I see no reason to rush things.
  25. Like
    dbminn reacted to DaveW in Realistic trade return ideas   
    If Hamels and/or Tulo are actually available there will be a significant bidding war, one that would cost Sano, or other top prospects to win.
     
    Pass. It's not that time for the Twins IMO to do something silly that they will regret.
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