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PDX Twin

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  1. Like
    PDX Twin got a reaction from luckylager in Does Seiya Suzuki Fit in Minnesota?   
    Both Nishioka and Park got a good chance to succeed, and failed. But of course, many people from warmer climates might characterize Minnesota springs and falls as "cold days in hell."
  2. Like
    PDX Twin got a reaction from Karbo in Does Seiya Suzuki Fit in Minnesota?   
    Both Nishioka and Park got a good chance to succeed, and failed. But of course, many people from warmer climates might characterize Minnesota springs and falls as "cold days in hell."
  3. Like
    PDX Twin got a reaction from TopGunn#22 in Does Seiya Suzuki Fit in Minnesota?   
    Both Nishioka and Park got a good chance to succeed, and failed. But of course, many people from warmer climates might characterize Minnesota springs and falls as "cold days in hell."
  4. Like
    PDX Twin got a reaction from gil4 in Does Seiya Suzuki Fit in Minnesota?   
    Both Nishioka and Park got a good chance to succeed, and failed. But of course, many people from warmer climates might characterize Minnesota springs and falls as "cold days in hell."
  5. Like
    PDX Twin got a reaction from Hunter48 in Does Seiya Suzuki Fit in Minnesota?   
    Both Nishioka and Park got a good chance to succeed, and failed. But of course, many people from warmer climates might characterize Minnesota springs and falls as "cold days in hell."
  6. Like
    PDX Twin got a reaction from tarheeltwinsfan in Does Seiya Suzuki Fit in Minnesota?   
    Both Nishioka and Park got a good chance to succeed, and failed. But of course, many people from warmer climates might characterize Minnesota springs and falls as "cold days in hell."
  7. Like
    PDX Twin reacted to RonCoomersOPS in Finding MLB Draft Changes that Stop Tanking   
    I think the German Bundesliga has it exactly right (or as close to exactly right as you're ever going to get).
    Like every other European football league, they have promotion and relegation. The two worst teams in the league are automatically relegated (and the two best teams in the 2. Bundesliga are automatically promoted), and the third worst team in the 1. Bundesliga plays a home-and-away match against the third best team in the 2. Bundesliga (the winner is either promoted or retained, and the loser is either relegated or retained). Their television deals are set at the league level, not the team level. If you want the television revenue, you're going to need to field a team that is capable of staying in the league.
    The German Bundesliga also has a 50+1 rule in place where 50+1% of each team must be owned by fans and not more than 49% can be owned by investors, corporations, etc. Yeah, they have teams like Bayern, Leipzig, and Wolfsburg who get a ton of money from outside parties (Leipzig actually breaks the 50+1 rule, to most teams' fans' consternation), but for the most part fans retain the controlling interest in their respective teams..
    Like other European football leagues, there is no draft at all in the German Bundesliga. There is also no minor league system. Each team has its own academy that it signs youth players to and promotes from, and the academy teams normally play against smaller senior teams, semiprofessional teams, and/or other academy teams. The academy teams can be promoted if they win the league they play in -- unless promotion in the league puts them in the league immediately below the senior team.
    There is no salary cap in the German Bundesliga, but they do limit contracts to not more than 5 years in length. Unless I'm mistaken, this includes extensions. So if we had something like this in MLB, then the longest extension we'd be able to offer Byron Buxton right now would be four years. Likewise, the longest extension we would have been able to offer Berrios last summer would have been three years. Players with six months or less remaining on their contracts are free to sign pre-agreements with other teams (again, not longer than 5 year deals). If we had something like that in MLB, then we'd really only have until around the all-star break to figure out the Buxton situation or we might be left with literally no compensation if he left.
    It would be a huge, huge departure from the current system MLB uses, and none of the current team owners would take kindly to it at first, but I'd love to see what would happen if it adopted something like the German system. As it is, the German Bundesliga is an entertaining and competitive league (even if there is a competitive imbalance at the top). The stadiums are always full, none of the teams really spend their way into the poor house nor try to completely cheap out on player expense, the tickets are always cheap, the crowds are always highly engaged, and the top teams (not Bayer Leverkusen) generally make a good show of it when they play the elite teams from Europe's other leagues.
  8. Like
    PDX Twin reacted to 21bdp21 in Finding MLB Draft Changes that Stop Tanking   
    I did some digging on baseball reference.
    https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/19VfDcfllzN6AsgZouf829ldQ9eO3ZGRU/edit?usp=sharing&ouid=113796250486978022042&rtpof=true&sd=true
    It appears the # 1 pick is roughly worth twice what the #5 pick in terms of WAR. In addition is roughly has a 20% increase in odds of making the major leagues. 
    I am still compiling data and eventually I will maybe might do an blog post here on what I find.
     
  9. Like
    PDX Twin reacted to LastOnePicked in Twins Front Office Getting Burnt on Both Ends   
    "There’s no denying that this front office has done a great job establishing a strong culture and organizational structure."
    Um, can I deny this?
    Great article, but I would actually like to question this assertion. Basically, have they? What does "strong culture" mean here? Their teams aren't particularly tough, they don't play fundamental baseball, young players don't play particularly well here when they start and homegrown players now don't seem to want to sign here. Plus, they don't evaluate talent well, and have lost a ton of value in prospects for absolutely zero return.
    I see this as on often-cited reason why we're supposed to be patient with their moves, but I do not see it. What about this organizational structure is so strong? 
  10. Like
    PDX Twin reacted to old nurse in Sorting Through MLB Trade Rumors Free Agent Predictions   
    A Wood or Kluber signing to me would show that the FO thinks a minor leaguer is near ready but not quite, They would hopefully hold together long enough to get through the early part of the season. If they last longer, great. It is more of an expense than they made last year but hopefully they learned about too much of a bargain isn’t a bargain. 
    Oft injured pitchers tend to continue to be oft injured. They are filler and hope rather than building blocks. Stroganoff (got to love auto correct) Stroman  would be a building block that they need.. Stroganoff on the other hand might be a good post game meal 
  11. Like
    PDX Twin reacted to mikelink45 in Where Can the Twins Improve Defensively in 2022?   
    I appreciate the overview. I am constantly shocked by Simmons ratings. He just does not meet my eye test but I guess I've learning that I'm not a good judge.
    I saw some really good plays by Arraez at third base and maybe that's his best position in the field. The log jam with him Donaldson and Miranda will be an interesting challenge for the team to figure out.
    Sano consistently has a bad Fielding Mark whether third base or first base and it appears to me that he is more logical for DH than Rooker.  
    The outfield is a real question mark Kepler's bat might not be enough to keep him in right field, Buxton's contract might eliminate him from centerfield and we haven't seen anybody play enough left field. In an era or launch angles and fly balls are much more frequent than ground balls The outfield is an essential defensive area that we need to look at as well. 
  12. Like
    PDX Twin reacted to PopRiveter in Can Twins Fans Handle Another Pitch to Contact Starter?   
    Sign me up for any efficient, effective out-getter. Strikeouts are great when they come in 3 or 4 pitches but I am not in love with strings of long, drawn out at bats. For my dollar, a 2-pitch weak groundout or pop-up is a welcome result for a starter. Before anyone gets on base, it is more valuable than a 7 pitch strikeout.
    “Pitch to Contact” is a misleading term. It should be called “Pitch to induce weak contact, early in the count, when there are no runners on base.”
    Just hard to use that name to taunt your fellow fans.
  13. Like
    PDX Twin reacted to Dantes929 in All Eyes on Free Agent Target Jon Gray   
    Honestly, the idea that we will sign two top free agent pitchers is floated every single year in memory and its just a fantasy.    Resign Pineda and sign a guy like Gray and a good bullpen arm and I will be more than satisfied because it is more than what history and probability says we will end up doing.   
  14. Like
    PDX Twin got a reaction from TopGunn#22 in Qualifying Offers Will Impact Twins Offseason Targets   
    When does the "system" change due to the expiration of the current labor agreement? Does that affect these potential signings?
  15. Like
    PDX Twin got a reaction from mikelink45 in Qualifying Offers Will Impact Twins Offseason Targets   
    When does the "system" change due to the expiration of the current labor agreement? Does that affect these potential signings?
  16. Like
    PDX Twin got a reaction from TopGunn#22 in Should the Twins Trade for Salary Relief?   
    I think that I agree with the non-trade sentiment, if only because the returns will be paltry. A central problem is, I think, that many Twins fans tend to think of both as players who should be stars. If I think of them as (overpaid) "squad players" who contribute to the team but are not the superstars (or even necessarily regular starters) we hoped that they would be (and that Donaldson formerly was), then I am very comfortable having them on the team. 
    This helps me relegate my disappointment to the organization for signing Donaldson for more than his worth and for failing to help Sano reach the heights that were expected of him (though he is probably at fault as much as the organization).
  17. Like
    PDX Twin reacted to tarheeltwinsfan in Top 50 MLB Free Agents for 2022: Who May the Twins Target This Winter?   
    If the Twins will sign Seager and Scherzer, I'll buy season tickets...and I live in North Carolina.
  18. Like
    PDX Twin reacted to Doctor Gast in Oliva and Kaat Running Out of Chances to Make the Hall   
    Totally agree with Karbo. Tony Oliva is my all time favorite MLB player, he could it all. One time I told him this, he said I was his favorite fan. He should've been a politician
  19. Like
    PDX Twin got a reaction from Seth Stohs in 2021 Minnesota Twins Minor League All Stars   
    Surely you mean 2022 rather than 2023 as ETA for Miranda? (Unless of course the 2022 season is canceled due to labor strife.)
  20. Like
    PDX Twin reacted to Linus in 3 Potential Twins Breakout Prospects in 2022   
    You’re kidding right?  Steer maybe. Strotman was not good after acquisition and Sabato is nearing bust status. 
  21. Like
    PDX Twin got a reaction from HrbieFan in Houston and Minnesota Both Made Drafting Mistakes   
    Are there any teams in any years for which you couldn't make this argument? Baseball's draft is subject to much greater uncertainty than most sports because the players are drafted so young. There will always be decisions that appear to be mistakes in retrospect.
  22. Like
    PDX Twin got a reaction from adorduan in Houston and Minnesota Both Made Drafting Mistakes   
    Are there any teams in any years for which you couldn't make this argument? Baseball's draft is subject to much greater uncertainty than most sports because the players are drafted so young. There will always be decisions that appear to be mistakes in retrospect.
  23. Like
    PDX Twin got a reaction from glunn in Houston and Minnesota Both Made Drafting Mistakes   
    Are there any teams in any years for which you couldn't make this argument? Baseball's draft is subject to much greater uncertainty than most sports because the players are drafted so young. There will always be decisions that appear to be mistakes in retrospect.
  24. Like
    PDX Twin got a reaction from DocBauer in Houston and Minnesota Both Made Drafting Mistakes   
    Are there any teams in any years for which you couldn't make this argument? Baseball's draft is subject to much greater uncertainty than most sports because the players are drafted so young. There will always be decisions that appear to be mistakes in retrospect.
  25. Like
    PDX Twin reacted to singlesoverwalks in Houston and Minnesota Both Made Drafting Mistakes   
    My personal hobby horse is that the Twins' problem isn't that they don't draft good players. It's that they don't usually do a good job developing the players they do draft. Too many players get better after they leave the Twins.
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