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Mill1634

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  1. Like
    Mill1634 reacted to Greglw3 in Grading Mill1634's Offseason Blueprint   
    I like your net roster much better than Falvey’s You covered some needed areas where they failed to act. Cave in LF was something I didn’t want but the ascension of Larnach and Kirilloff and the improvements in Buxton and Refsnyder have made it a moot point. However, I think the Twins record would be better with a competent MLB OF like Michael Brantley in LF before Larnach took over. 
  2. Like
    Mill1634 reacted to BaseballGenius123 in Grading Mill1634's Offseason Blueprint   
    I really like what you have for the roster for your offseason blueprint and it’s a much better roster than Falvey and Levine put together. Myself along with a lot of other Twins fans thought the Twins were going to compete for the playoffs with the roster we had. In my opinion to begin the season we had depth on the offensive side of the ball we had Arraez who was the “10th man” and that is a pretty good player to have as your “10th man.” Arraez can play LF, 3B, and 2nd, but we have had so many injuries this year to both the starting positions and the depth we had for the start of the season. Something I would’ve done differently was to not sign Shoemaker and kept Dobnak as the 5th starter. I believe that’s why Dobnak isn’t having a good season. Where he isn’t pitching every 5th day like he was used to. All in all good blog. 
  3. Like
    Mill1634 reacted to DocBauer in Let the Kids Play - Relievers   
    I don't want to trumpet Cano as any bullpen savior, but to be fair, he was seen as a fast riser when signed. A lost season shouldn't affect any trajectory as to what he could be. I would dare to say his reports at signjng and limited time and projection and performance would say his floor is a solid middle man and a potential set-up guy. Anything more than that is gravy. But age, stuff and numbers and experience indicate he should be a pretty quick promotion to AAA. From there, we will see. But he clearly has arm talent. It's the reason he was signed in the first place.
    Selfishly, I WANT Chalmers to stay in the rotation. I WANT better control...which he has flashed at times...and a 3rd pitch that is at least decent to remain a SP. But I think we've all known for a while now that his projection is a RP. Now, he still needs to work on control, but being a little wild as a RP is not a killer with big SO numbers and poor contact. Some kind of 3rd pitch is still beneficial and I hope he can still find/maintain at least a decent offering there. But his projection is floor as a solid arm to ceiling as quality set-up to potential closer. It's up to him, but he was a great flier no matter what.
    Hackimer follows a great tradition of ML and Twins RP who throw side-arm, or lower, who produce and flash. So very few have had great or long careers. I hope he defies the odds. He has to be able to throw 90+ consistently with control and also have a couple other pitches. He doesn't have to throw mid 90's due to deception and arm angle. But arm angle alone doesn't do it. He needs to "drop in" breaking stuff and change of speed to be anything other than another milb arm.
  4. Like
    Mill1634 got a reaction from DocBauer in Let the Kids Play - Relievers   
    I agree that none of these names are all that exciting, but I do think Cano can be a successful MR right this second and should be given the chance. Chalmers has closer like stuff as well, but just struggles with the walks. Get him up and see if the stuff plays. As for the top pitching prospects, I see no reason to bring those guys up right now. If the twins were 28-15 instead of 15-28 I would have a different view on the issue, but with a lost season it’s more beneficial for them to continue to develop as starters in the minor leagues. 
  5. Like
    Mill1634 got a reaction from glunn in Revisiting Falvine Trades: Part 2, The Jaime García Saga   
    In retrospect, the trade hurts after seeing Ynoa come up and have success with the Braves. However, at the time I don't think it was an outrageous move, as Ynoa was a teenager lottery ticket arm who fail a whole lot more than they hit. This one just happened to hit (or throw?). As far as Littell, he had some good outings with the Twins and looked like he could possibly be a consistent middle reliever, but turns out it was all smoke and mirrors.
     
    Really liking this series!
  6. Like
    Mill1634 reacted to 4twinsJA in Let the Kids Play - Relievers   
    I am Cano and Hackimer fan, but Chalmers has been wild. Chalmers has MLB arm but not MLB control. Hope he figures it out soon, time running out for him. Winder on my list, Canterino has further to go, at high A now, but looks good. Ober did not look overmatched in MLB start. Twins really need to develop some of their own pitching, can't rely on FA market and cast offs every year.
  7. Like
    Mill1634 got a reaction from Otto von Ballpark in Revisiting Falvine Trades: Part 2, The Jaime García Saga   
    In retrospect, the trade hurts after seeing Ynoa come up and have success with the Braves. However, at the time I don't think it was an outrageous move, as Ynoa was a teenager lottery ticket arm who fail a whole lot more than they hit. This one just happened to hit (or throw?). As far as Littell, he had some good outings with the Twins and looked like he could possibly be a consistent middle reliever, but turns out it was all smoke and mirrors.
     
    Really liking this series!
  8. Like
    Mill1634 got a reaction from DocBauer in Let the Kids Play - Starting Pitchers   
    Agreed on this point. A few of those guys will be features in other sections of this piece. I think Chalmers is probably a reliever with his control issues, and he's probably up as a reliever at some point this season. Duran may be up this year, but I'm not 100% confident in that. Balazovic I would be somewhat shocked to see unless they think he plays a major role in the rotation for 2022. 
     
    As for your Dobnak point, I do agree that sometimes the sinker does seem to have too much movement on it, where it would be on the edge of the zone if it broke just like a normal sinker, but instead has extra movements and comes back into a hitters bat path. Either way, I expect to see a ton of Dobnak in the second half of the season (and maybe sooner) as you don't extend a guy with no clear plan. If this season continues to go off the rails, figuring out what you have in Dobnak should be fairly up the priority list. 
  9. Thanks
    Mill1634 got a reaction from DocBauer in Revisiting Falvine Trades: Part 1, Ryan Pressly   
    Good read. I wasn’t a huge fan of the trade at the time, but I think this is a case where both teams come out as “winners”. Pressly has been good for the Astros, and Alcala is a decent MR with room to grow forward. Celestino is a wild card here, and at the floor is a 4th OF. 
  10. Like
    Mill1634 got a reaction from glunn in Ranking Twins Top Trade Pieces - Part 3   
    Anytning is possible, but with each passing day (and loss) it gets less and less likely. Eventually you have to shift your focus and expectations onto the future, and I think we’re nearly, if not already, to that point. I think Robles will be traded. Same with Pineda. There’s nothing stopping you from trading them and then resigning them if there’s truly interest in bringing them back. 
  11. Like
    Mill1634 got a reaction from glunn in Ranking Twins Top Trade Pieces - Part 3   
    I disagree on Simmons not being overly valuable. He’s not going to get a top 5 prospect from a good system, but he’s going to get a top 10 prospect or two. He doesn’t hit a ton, but like I said he doesn’t have to to have a winning impact on a team. That’s more valuable than most fans realize, I think. After what you and Brock have said on Cruz, I think it may be likely to see him traded, but I seriously doubt it’s to an NL team. There aren’t many NL teams rostering a man who’s hasn’t played in the field in years. I just don’t see it. I could see it to an AL team like I said, but I still lean no. 
  12. Like
    Mill1634 got a reaction from Tyy1117 in Revisiting Falvine Trades: Part 1, Ryan Pressly   
    Good read. I wasn’t a huge fan of the trade at the time, but I think this is a case where both teams come out as “winners”. Pressly has been good for the Astros, and Alcala is a decent MR with room to grow forward. Celestino is a wild card here, and at the floor is a 4th OF. 
  13. Like
    Mill1634 reacted to twinfan in Ranking Twins Top Trade Pieces - Part 3   
    Right now our biggest trade chip might be Kepler. The Yankees may be looking for a center fielder if Hicks needs surgery and they also need a lefty hitter with power. The question is- what can we get from them? That will determine if Kepler gets traded. Otherwise, all free agents after the season are in play and Cruz is definitely in play for the best return if traded to a playoff team needing a DH. I don't know if Garver is a free agent after this season but, if he is not, I would never trade him. Simmonds can maybe be signed for 3 years fairly cheap and could be an important piece going forward as you gotta have a good shortstop. Keep the 3 main starters together if you can. Don't trade Pineda as he has been consistently good for us.
  14. Like
    Mill1634 got a reaction from Brandon in Ranking Twins Top Trade Pieces - Part 2   
    Thus far I have the following being traded:
     
    Pineda (expiring)
    Happ (expiring)
    Duffey (1 year of arb remaining)
    Garver (2 years of arb remaining, I am not super confident in him being moved but lean more towards yes than no)
    Colome (expiring)
    Robles (expiring)
     
    If the Twins do decide that they are not competitive come July, I think all expiring guy would be moved, besides maybe Pineda if they take this as a retooling year and want to extend him. 
  15. Like
    Mill1634 got a reaction from beckmt in Ranking Twins Top Trade Pieces - Part 2   
    I agree that the white sox will get better in the next 2-3 years, but that doesn’t mean that the twins should just fold and call it a day. There is enough individual talent on this team, and prospects either already up, or on the brink that I think that they can retool and make something of a mix of current players, prospects they’ve developed, and players they target in trades or free agency. With the new CBA coming up, it is very likely that we some form of expanded playoffs that we saw last year, in which I would give the twins a very good chance at making in 2022. I do agree that they front office needs to change their mold of players they target and go for more electric arms like alcala in the bullpen, and diversify the lineup with a mixture of power and OBP guys. The good news it that AK is a great average hitter, and Larnach isn’t a boom or bust hitter like sano or garver. Lewis should be a 5 tool player as well. Add in Arraez and Polanco, and you have a more well rounded lineup than the bomba squad. I do think that an extension on berrios should be given, assuming it’s around 100-110 over 4 years. I’d sign that and not blink. Buxton I hesitate to give huge money to because of the injuries, and think they should consider a trade for young MLB ready talent. 
     
    it will be interesting to see what type of player the twins draft in a few months, as we’ve seen them target power college hitters. I’d like to see them take a bit more of a toolsy player, but it’s clear they have their type. 
  16. Like
    Mill1634 got a reaction from Vanimal46 in Ranking Twins Top Trade Pieces - Part 2   
    I agree that this is the most likely scenario, but I'm writing this as if we're 8+ games back at the trade deadline and there isn't any hope of making a comeback in the last 2 months. If that's the case, I think there will be more trades. If the Twins are selling off pieces (Happ, Pineda, Robles), then Simmons will certainly be moved as well. 
  17. Like
    Mill1634 reacted to ashbury in Ranking Twins Top Trade Pieces - Part 2   
    Fire sale, if all these forecasts come true.
  18. Like
    Mill1634 reacted to East Coast Twin in Ranking Twins Top Trade Pieces - Part 1   
    The post title says "Part 1."  I assume there is a "Part 2" on it way.
  19. Like
    Mill1634 reacted to TopGunn#22 in Milldaddy's 2021 Offseason Blueprint   
    Nicely laid out and reasoned.  I have a couple of changes, one of them big.
     
    C   Gaver & Jeffers
    1B  Kiriloff
    2B  Arraez   Schoop
    SS  Polanco   Adrianza
    3B   Donaldson 
    OF   Kepler, Buxton, Rooker, Cave
    DH   Cruz
    SP   Maeda, Berrios, Pineda, Ray, Dobnak
    RP   Hand, Duffey, Rogers, Alcala, Wisler, Stashak, Clippard, Ed. Colina
     
    In this scenario I trade Sano and put Kiriloff at 1B.  I save 11.5 million.  I'm not going to say WHO we trade Sano for, that could make for some good discussion elsewhere.  But in not having Pillar, Sano and Soria we free up an additional 24.5 million.  Rooker and Kiriloff are about 1.2 million total   Brad Hand costs us 7.5 million.  We still have about 7 million to play with.  We could have a better backup SS, we could add another veteran piece to the bullpen or look for a bigger piece than Robbie Ray in the rotation.  Having Rogers and Duffey for high leverage situations and a proven closer in Hand makes for a great bullpen.   
     
  20. Like
    Mill1634 reacted to tvagle in Milldaddy's 2019 Off-season Blueprint   
    I like the offense in this plan...concerned on the trade price for Iglesias (btw you have Gordon being part of the trade package and as your fallback at 2B and the same rotation plus Pineda
     
    IF the starters progress and offense rakes this could be enough to worry the Indians
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