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tarheeltwinsfan

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    tarheeltwinsfan reacted to Doctor Gast in 4 Plausible Developments That Would Dramatically Alter the Twins' Fortunes   
    FO signs Buxton, he remains healthy and becomes the MVP. This is most plausible if he get signed.
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    tarheeltwinsfan reacted to roger in 4 Plausible Developments That Would Dramatically Alter the Twins' Fortunes   
    So much talk about Jax being at best a bullpen arm.  Others continue to downplay his potential.  Come on folks, lets remember how little this young man has pitched and that he didn't pitch in 2020....at all.
    My point being that he needs innings and experience to continue his development.  Should that be as a starter or in the pen, I don't have a clue.  What I do know is that this young man may, yes, I said MAY, just be scratching the surface of what he can become.  And age means nothing with this young man because when everyone else from his draft year was beginning their careers, he was finishing his education at the AFA before serving his (and our) country for a two year stint in the Air Force.
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    tarheeltwinsfan reacted to Vanimal46 in 4 Plausible Developments That Would Dramatically Alter the Twins' Fortunes   
    I’m reposting this excellent analysis from @Otto von Ballpark because we’re going to read a narrative about Jax’s success the first time through the order that is not true. 

    “Jax, 1st 5 MLB starts, first time through the order:
    5 GS, 4 H, 0 XBH, 0 R, 3 BB, 0 HBP, 11 K
    Jax, next 9 MLB starts, first time through the order:
    9 GS, 12 H, 8 XBH (6 HR), 12 R, 6 BB, 2 HBP, 14 K
    His 4 relief appearances don't help either, first time through the order:
    4 G, 9 H, 3 XBH (2 HR), 5 R, 4 BB, 7 K
    All told, he had a 5.39 FIP/xFIP the first time through the order this season, 5.10/5.36 after moving into the rotation.
    Still a fairly small sample, and obviously it can't account for the potential of his stuff playing up in the pen, but it doesn't appear that he has shown any particular first time through the order ability thus far.”
    Original post here
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    tarheeltwinsfan reacted to Karbo in 4 Plausible Developments That Would Dramatically Alter the Twins' Fortunes   
    I'll add #5. Buxton and the Twins agree on a new contract.
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    tarheeltwinsfan reacted to Unwinder in 4 Plausible Developments That Would Dramatically Alter the Twins' Fortunes   
    Plus he just needs to prove he can do it at an mlb level. He's not a struggling player like Jax or a hypothetical like Lewis.
    I really want to see Jax thrive as a long reliever. While he had a rocky season, he showed some exciting flashes and had a terrific attitude. It's tough not to root for him.
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    tarheeltwinsfan reacted to Major League Ready in 4 Plausible Developments That Would Dramatically Alter the Twins' Fortunes   
    Hard to argue of these points.  All quite plausible.  There has been some chatter here about Jax to the BP because of how effective he has been the first time through the lineup.  Let’s hope we see that to start 2022.  Allow me to add a couple more.
    Perhaps the most impactful development would be if the Twins produced several quality SPs from the current deep crop of prospects outside of Ryan/Ober.  Of course, this is a really generic statement that would be true of any team but the Twins have a bunch of guys that could be very good major league SPs.  The influence would go beyond the obvious impact starting pitching makes.  It would also free up dollars the Twins have been investing in SPs and redirect it to other needs or extending our core.  Our future is going to look very bright if just two of Duran / Balazovic / Winder / Canterino / Enlow / Sands and SWR get established at the ML level this year.  
    Jose Miranda could also have a huge impact.  I like Donaldson but his influence is short term.  Miranda could be an anchor in that lineup for the next decade.  Buxton / Polanco / Kirilloff and Miranda would be formidable at the top of the line-up.  
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    tarheeltwinsfan reacted to TopGunn#22 in 4 Plausible Developments That Would Dramatically Alter the Twins' Fortunes   
    It would be great if all or most of those things pan out.  I'll add two more:
    Austin Martin makes the team out of spring training with his defensive versatility and well rounded offensive game giving the Twins an on base machine at the top of their order to replace the traded Luis Arraez who brings back a solid starting pitcher with multiple years of team control.  Martin eventually settles in at Left Field where his defense invokes memories of the Royals Alex Gordon.
    Jordan Balazovic discovers how great it is to be healthy all the time and wows in April and May, first in AA and then at AAA for St. Paul.  After his first June start for the Saints in which he throws 7 shut out 2-hit innings striking out 12 he is moved to the Big Team where he impresses with a performance that earns him Rookie of the Year votes while flashing #1 starter stuff.   With a couple of solid veterans fronting the Twins rotation and Balazovic, Ryan and Ober holding down the #3, #4, and #5 spots the Twins reclaim the division from a talented White Sox outfit who fire Tony Larussa after another 1st round playoff exit.  The Twins meanwhile, exorcise all their Playoff winless demons and cruise thru the post season without losing a game in route to winning the the World Series over the mighty L.A. Dodgers in a 4-game sweep. 
    "How Sweet it IS !!!" 
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    tarheeltwinsfan reacted to Brock Beauchamp in Projected Arbitration Numbers From MLBTradeRumors   
    In the case of Buxton, I'd go as high with incentives that he'd make $35m, maybe even $40m, if he maxes out games played. And then I'd consider tacking on like $5m for an MVP award.
    Do whatever it takes to extend the guy, the upside is just too great. If Buxton maxes out his incentives, the team should not be anything but thrilled no matter how much they have to pay him.
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    tarheeltwinsfan reacted to Brock Beauchamp in Projected Arbitration Numbers From MLBTradeRumors   
    People talk about how difficult the Buxton decision is but I feel it's the easiest decision the Twins make this offseason. They need to just take their baseline offer and keep offering more until he says yes.
    Problem solved.
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    tarheeltwinsfan got a reaction from roger in Projected Arbitration Numbers From MLBTradeRumors   
    They did not agree on the incentive bonuses and that is the holdup now. 
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    tarheeltwinsfan got a reaction from roger in Projected Arbitration Numbers From MLBTradeRumors   
    According to prior reports, I think the Twins and Buxton agreed on $80,000,000 for 5 years (I think it was 5 years) with incentive bonuses added. Therefore it will  it will need to be at least $43,835.62 per day for 5 years plus the incentives to be agreed upon.  Maybe an extra $3,000 per day for meal money plus a team paid nutritionist assigned to Buck..  
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    tarheeltwinsfan reacted to ashbury in Projected Arbitration Numbers From MLBTradeRumors   
    With the exception of Gant, salary should not be a deciding factor on keeping or jettisoning any of these players, and hopefully the team will find a satisfactory way to avoid arbitration on each.  E.g. I would not discard Duffey in hopes of getting someone equivalent but for less, nor would I keep Refsnyder just because he'll work cheaply.
    Even Gant is merely marginal at that price, and if his agent understands that his client will likely come out behind if he is cut and forced to find another team, the parties may be able to come to an agreement slightly under the listed value.
    That number sounds low for Garver, but I'm not going to invest effort trying to understand why it's fair nor what additional factors there may be.  Don't play hardball on this guy's contract, Twins, there's something to be said for being known as a desirable organization to get drafted by and then succeed with!
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    tarheeltwinsfan reacted to Tim in Projected Arbitration Numbers From MLBTradeRumors   
    Not loving Gant at 3.7 million, it was fun while it lasted .. I'd try and fill his spot with a similar player, maybe more upside. Something along the lines of a 24 year old righty that can pump it up to 100 and has a nasty slider .. wait.
    Roll the dice with Moran or Cano and use that 4 mil (or less) to try and sign someone with somewhat of a proven track record having success out of the 'pen. 
  17. Like
    tarheeltwinsfan reacted to Vanimal46 in Projected Arbitration Numbers From MLBTradeRumors   
    MLBTradeRumors link
    Buxton $7.3M
    Rogers $6.7M
    Duffey $3.7M
    Gant $3.7M
    Garver $3.1M
    Arraez $2.0M
    Thielbar $1.2M
    Astudillo $1.2M
    Cave $1.1M
    Minaya $1.1M
    Coulombe $800k
    Refsnyder $800k
  18. Like
    tarheeltwinsfan got a reaction from USAFChief in One Fan's Opinion: Cleaning the Clubhouse in Three Steps   
    I agree with Ashbury.  SS needs range and a rocket arm. By the way, I don't know how to measure this but, looking at the games on my computer at MLB.COM,  I thought Simmons' arm was very good. But then I'm having a cataract removed Thursday, so that may have affected my judgment. When the doctor told me I had a cataract, I told him there must be a mistake, I drive a Jeep.
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    tarheeltwinsfan got a reaction from Twins33 in One Fan's Opinion: Cleaning the Clubhouse in Three Steps   
    Wait a minute folks. Simmons had the 6th highest fielding percentage in the American league at SS in 2021. . He made some awesome plays at SS. He also made some heads up plays at SS. However his batting was pathetic. His swings looked like my high school teammates.  I don't want him back either, but my reasons have nothing todo with his fielding percentage. 
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    tarheeltwinsfan reacted to Tom Froemming in Velocity Is (Still) a Problem for the Minnesota Twins   
    That's true, but the Twins also had one of the worst pitching staffs in baseball last year. Doesn't seem like a great model to continue to strive for. 
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    tarheeltwinsfan reacted to Minny505 in Velocity Is (Still) a Problem for the Minnesota Twins   
    It's not that velo is the end-all, but it allows for a much larger margin of error when pitching. This is why it is important. 
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    tarheeltwinsfan reacted to joefish in Velocity Is (Still) a Problem for the Minnesota Twins   
    Watch the playoff bullpen arms. The teams still playing. Go get us some of them. I could feel the energy as Chicago marched their bullpen arms in. I am 3000 miles away. The fans were energized too. 
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    tarheeltwinsfan reacted to Sousy in Velocity Is (Still) a Problem for the Minnesota Twins   
    Missing velocity has been pretty evident in where the team is with closers. It seems we haven't had a really strong swing-and-miss closer for a long time.
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    tarheeltwinsfan got a reaction from kenbuddha in One Fan's Opinion: Cleaning the Clubhouse in Three Steps   
    Wait a minute folks. Simmons had the 6th highest fielding percentage in the American league at SS in 2021. . He made some awesome plays at SS. He also made some heads up plays at SS. However his batting was pathetic. His swings looked like my high school teammates.  I don't want him back either, but my reasons have nothing todo with his fielding percentage. 
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    tarheeltwinsfan got a reaction from Tom Froemming in Velocity Is (Still) a Problem for the Minnesota Twins   
    This was an interesting article. Thank you for writing this article, Tom. I believe you are on to something here. The Twins have traded away, given away, lost a lot of flame throwers over the past 5 years. The big question is "Why ?".  A flame throwing swing and miss gives the team and fans more energy than a swing and miss change-up, which fools the batter. I really think many of the the Twins pitchers lack energy on the mound. Gardy used to say, "It's a long season."  That is true, however I say, "It may be a long season, but you can only live one second  at a time. Do all you can to win now, whether it is a cold April day, a drizzly June night, a sweltering day game in Tampa, or the last games in September.. Go all out...every time...every bunt...every batter's ground out to the shortstop. Run to first base, damnit, run. Play with energy. Pump each other up.  Get excited and share the energy. Make every game a "playoff game" in actions and energy. 
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