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DocBauer

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  1. Like
    DocBauer got a reaction from darwin22 in For The Future: A Possible 2025 Roster   
    Definitely something to look forward to and contemplate. And there's enough depth at each spot that a couple guys just don't turn out, or are traded, there's another prospect to potentially step in. Would be nice if another LH could step up in the pen.
    A couple guys you didn't list that I think should be added are Steer and Julian as utility types. I'm excited by them as potential contributors.
    A lot of fun!
     
  2. Like
    DocBauer reacted to cjm0926 in For The Future: A Possible 2025 Roster   
    Yea it definitely could be exciting. I don't know of many guys in the system that are lefties. That could certainly be helped through free agency, I just didn't include any in the post. Steer and Julien could certainly be good major leaguers, I just didn't include them for some reason.
  3. Like
    DocBauer reacted to ashbury in For The Future: A Possible 2025 Roster   
    We're now past Wait 'Til Next Year mode, and are jumping straight to 2025.
    Plausible roster, though.  Hope some of these arms pan out.
  4. Like
    DocBauer got a reaction from Minny505 in A Letter to the Twins Front Office and to Buxton's Agent   
    Appreciate the hard work done here, but as stated, the incentives here are realistic based on what is in place.
    I honestly don't recall if it was ever reported what the initial guaranteed AAV. But it was in the double digit category for sure. The issue was the incentives, obviously not reported, that was the issue. They either weren't enough, OR, were too hard to achieve.
    That's lead to speculation that the best option is to offer $15-17M AAV and have GP or PA or AB be the benchmark for incentives. As far as I know, incentives/bonuses can also be in play for All Star appearances, Gold Gloves, MVP, etc. He could earn anywhere from $25-30M. 
    For a player of Buxton's ability and potential, he could easily achieve those kind of $ value IF he's just on the field. 
    IF he's healthy enough to earn his incentives, NOBODY, including the Twins and their ownership, would object to paying that kind of money because he's paving the way to an MVP season and the team should be following him toward a playoff type season.
  5. Like
    DocBauer reacted to mike8791 in Mill's Off-Season Blueprint: Part 3 - Betting on Bats, Finishing the Rotation   
    Mills, not sure where your final budget lies, but quick glance at your roster shows much imagination and realism.  Particularly like your addition of Canha to replace Kepler in Rf, thereby enhancing trade package for Lopez.  Don't think he's ready to assume ace status, but he would be a prime catch if Marlins willing to trade him.  He would be a more movable piece than Rogers or Alcantara, either of whom would be my first choice.  While Stroman or Rodon would be a better bet for a #1 Starter they admittedly will be a much harder get than Rodriguez.  Can't favor Wacha - he had a terrible year.  Rather spend a little more for someone like Pineda or Hill to give rotation better depth.
    The lineup looks good, but only if Kirillof, Bux, and JD remain healthy most of the season.  It should be an above average offense, but not top tier unless everything broke favorably.  The bullpen would be helped by Knebel as stopper, but I'd pass on Ottavino and go for Tepera or Yates.  Barring injuries to Rogers or Duffey and with continued improvement from Alcala this could be a much improved pen compared to the trash heap of 2021.
    All in all, a very good roster!  Let's hope the FO hires you as trade consultant!
  6. Like
    DocBauer got a reaction from MN_ExPat in Checking in on the Twins 2021 Draft Class: Part 1   
    Thank you for a great write up and wonderful review. Well done!
    What I find so interesting about this draft, which I haven't really heard anyone else talk about, is the Twins first 4 picks all came from northern climate schools. There has long been a prejudice against players from northern climate as they don't have year round opportunities to play, and those schools don't always get the same attention in recruiting from southern prospects. (Petty is a HS kid of course and wasn't a recruit). But I think recent history has begun to change that perspective. Talent is talent and if someone needs an extra half season or so to develop, so what if he's ultimately as good or better.
    Very happy to see 3 LH pitchers selected. I know you don't draft for need, but some solid LH arms ARE a need in the system, really excited about Hajjar and his frame. Guarantee his velocity goes up, and with a great change, I see a ton of potential. Ditto for Macleod, though with a curve and needing a change. Not sure about physical growth and velocity with Povich, but the control certainly seems to be there. He seems to have a nice assortment of pitches it's just a question how well his repertoire plays with at least a little better velocity. Is he another Barnes? Or is there more there?
    The bat and power of Encarnacion-strand plays. From all reports, the arm is excellent. What I care about is does he have decent feet? Does he have hands of stone, or are they pliable? His range may be limited. But with decdnt feet and a good arm I'd keep him at 3B as long as possible. 
    Drafting 2 catchers in the top 10 with potential is always a good idea to me.
     
  7. Like
    DocBauer reacted to Seth Stohs in Matt Wallner hit by pitch   
    Just heard from Wallner. He got a couple of stitches, but said he's "good to go." That's certainly encouraging. Anytime you hear about a guy getting hit near the head, it's scary. 
  8. Haha
    DocBauer reacted to USAFChief in Matt Wallner hit by pitch   
    YOU LEFT OUT THE MOST IMPORTANT PARTS: You attended the game with Chief, and Wallner got an RBI from the HBP! Jeez, get your act together, Mr high-falutin' blogger.
  9. Like
    DocBauer got a reaction from Doctor Gast in Checking in on the Twins 2021 Draft Class: Part 1   
    Thank you for a great write up and wonderful review. Well done!
    What I find so interesting about this draft, which I haven't really heard anyone else talk about, is the Twins first 4 picks all came from northern climate schools. There has long been a prejudice against players from northern climate as they don't have year round opportunities to play, and those schools don't always get the same attention in recruiting from southern prospects. (Petty is a HS kid of course and wasn't a recruit). But I think recent history has begun to change that perspective. Talent is talent and if someone needs an extra half season or so to develop, so what if he's ultimately as good or better.
    Very happy to see 3 LH pitchers selected. I know you don't draft for need, but some solid LH arms ARE a need in the system, really excited about Hajjar and his frame. Guarantee his velocity goes up, and with a great change, I see a ton of potential. Ditto for Macleod, though with a curve and needing a change. Not sure about physical growth and velocity with Povich, but the control certainly seems to be there. He seems to have a nice assortment of pitches it's just a question how well his repertoire plays with at least a little better velocity. Is he another Barnes? Or is there more there?
    The bat and power of Encarnacion-strand plays. From all reports, the arm is excellent. What I care about is does he have decent feet? Does he have hands of stone, or are they pliable? His range may be limited. But with decdnt feet and a good arm I'd keep him at 3B as long as possible. 
    Drafting 2 catchers in the top 10 with potential is always a good idea to me.
     
  10. Like
    DocBauer got a reaction from Minny505 in Checking in on the Twins 2021 Draft Class: Part 1   
    Thank you for a great write up and wonderful review. Well done!
    What I find so interesting about this draft, which I haven't really heard anyone else talk about, is the Twins first 4 picks all came from northern climate schools. There has long been a prejudice against players from northern climate as they don't have year round opportunities to play, and those schools don't always get the same attention in recruiting from southern prospects. (Petty is a HS kid of course and wasn't a recruit). But I think recent history has begun to change that perspective. Talent is talent and if someone needs an extra half season or so to develop, so what if he's ultimately as good or better.
    Very happy to see 3 LH pitchers selected. I know you don't draft for need, but some solid LH arms ARE a need in the system, really excited about Hajjar and his frame. Guarantee his velocity goes up, and with a great change, I see a ton of potential. Ditto for Macleod, though with a curve and needing a change. Not sure about physical growth and velocity with Povich, but the control certainly seems to be there. He seems to have a nice assortment of pitches it's just a question how well his repertoire plays with at least a little better velocity. Is he another Barnes? Or is there more there?
    The bat and power of Encarnacion-strand plays. From all reports, the arm is excellent. What I care about is does he have decent feet? Does he have hands of stone, or are they pliable? His range may be limited. But with decdnt feet and a good arm I'd keep him at 3B as long as possible. 
    Drafting 2 catchers in the top 10 with potential is always a good idea to me.
     
  11. Like
    DocBauer got a reaction from James in Checking in on the Twins 2021 Draft Class: Part 1   
    Thank you for a great write up and wonderful review. Well done!
    What I find so interesting about this draft, which I haven't really heard anyone else talk about, is the Twins first 4 picks all came from northern climate schools. There has long been a prejudice against players from northern climate as they don't have year round opportunities to play, and those schools don't always get the same attention in recruiting from southern prospects. (Petty is a HS kid of course and wasn't a recruit). But I think recent history has begun to change that perspective. Talent is talent and if someone needs an extra half season or so to develop, so what if he's ultimately as good or better.
    Very happy to see 3 LH pitchers selected. I know you don't draft for need, but some solid LH arms ARE a need in the system, really excited about Hajjar and his frame. Guarantee his velocity goes up, and with a great change, I see a ton of potential. Ditto for Macleod, though with a curve and needing a change. Not sure about physical growth and velocity with Povich, but the control certainly seems to be there. He seems to have a nice assortment of pitches it's just a question how well his repertoire plays with at least a little better velocity. Is he another Barnes? Or is there more there?
    The bat and power of Encarnacion-strand plays. From all reports, the arm is excellent. What I care about is does he have decent feet? Does he have hands of stone, or are they pliable? His range may be limited. But with decdnt feet and a good arm I'd keep him at 3B as long as possible. 
    Drafting 2 catchers in the top 10 with potential is always a good idea to me.
     
  12. Like
    DocBauer got a reaction from Andrew Mahlke in Checking in on the Twins 2021 Draft Class: Part 1   
    Thank you for a great write up and wonderful review. Well done!
    What I find so interesting about this draft, which I haven't really heard anyone else talk about, is the Twins first 4 picks all came from northern climate schools. There has long been a prejudice against players from northern climate as they don't have year round opportunities to play, and those schools don't always get the same attention in recruiting from southern prospects. (Petty is a HS kid of course and wasn't a recruit). But I think recent history has begun to change that perspective. Talent is talent and if someone needs an extra half season or so to develop, so what if he's ultimately as good or better.
    Very happy to see 3 LH pitchers selected. I know you don't draft for need, but some solid LH arms ARE a need in the system, really excited about Hajjar and his frame. Guarantee his velocity goes up, and with a great change, I see a ton of potential. Ditto for Macleod, though with a curve and needing a change. Not sure about physical growth and velocity with Povich, but the control certainly seems to be there. He seems to have a nice assortment of pitches it's just a question how well his repertoire plays with at least a little better velocity. Is he another Barnes? Or is there more there?
    The bat and power of Encarnacion-strand plays. From all reports, the arm is excellent. What I care about is does he have decent feet? Does he have hands of stone, or are they pliable? His range may be limited. But with decdnt feet and a good arm I'd keep him at 3B as long as possible. 
    Drafting 2 catchers in the top 10 with potential is always a good idea to me.
     
  13. Like
    DocBauer got a reaction from tarheeltwinsfan in Checking in on the Twins 2021 Draft Class: Part 1   
    Thank you for a great write up and wonderful review. Well done!
    What I find so interesting about this draft, which I haven't really heard anyone else talk about, is the Twins first 4 picks all came from northern climate schools. There has long been a prejudice against players from northern climate as they don't have year round opportunities to play, and those schools don't always get the same attention in recruiting from southern prospects. (Petty is a HS kid of course and wasn't a recruit). But I think recent history has begun to change that perspective. Talent is talent and if someone needs an extra half season or so to develop, so what if he's ultimately as good or better.
    Very happy to see 3 LH pitchers selected. I know you don't draft for need, but some solid LH arms ARE a need in the system, really excited about Hajjar and his frame. Guarantee his velocity goes up, and with a great change, I see a ton of potential. Ditto for Macleod, though with a curve and needing a change. Not sure about physical growth and velocity with Povich, but the control certainly seems to be there. He seems to have a nice assortment of pitches it's just a question how well his repertoire plays with at least a little better velocity. Is he another Barnes? Or is there more there?
    The bat and power of Encarnacion-strand plays. From all reports, the arm is excellent. What I care about is does he have decent feet? Does he have hands of stone, or are they pliable? His range may be limited. But with decdnt feet and a good arm I'd keep him at 3B as long as possible. 
    Drafting 2 catchers in the top 10 with potential is always a good idea to me.
     
  14. Like
    DocBauer got a reaction from TopGunn#22 in Checking in on the Twins 2021 Draft Class: Part 1   
    Thank you for a great write up and wonderful review. Well done!
    What I find so interesting about this draft, which I haven't really heard anyone else talk about, is the Twins first 4 picks all came from northern climate schools. There has long been a prejudice against players from northern climate as they don't have year round opportunities to play, and those schools don't always get the same attention in recruiting from southern prospects. (Petty is a HS kid of course and wasn't a recruit). But I think recent history has begun to change that perspective. Talent is talent and if someone needs an extra half season or so to develop, so what if he's ultimately as good or better.
    Very happy to see 3 LH pitchers selected. I know you don't draft for need, but some solid LH arms ARE a need in the system, really excited about Hajjar and his frame. Guarantee his velocity goes up, and with a great change, I see a ton of potential. Ditto for Macleod, though with a curve and needing a change. Not sure about physical growth and velocity with Povich, but the control certainly seems to be there. He seems to have a nice assortment of pitches it's just a question how well his repertoire plays with at least a little better velocity. Is he another Barnes? Or is there more there?
    The bat and power of Encarnacion-strand plays. From all reports, the arm is excellent. What I care about is does he have decent feet? Does he have hands of stone, or are they pliable? His range may be limited. But with decdnt feet and a good arm I'd keep him at 3B as long as possible. 
    Drafting 2 catchers in the top 10 with potential is always a good idea to me.
     
  15. Like
    DocBauer got a reaction from ToddlerHarmon in A 21-22 Offseason Idea   
    Levi, this is extremely well thought out and practical! Bless you and your hard work to put this together and being more in touch with some prosoects and lesser known players that I'm just not in touch with, Jose Butto from the Mets as an example. And I agree with Vanimal tbat what you've presented may be better than an "also ran" roster. But I'd like to offer a critique, but not a criticism. Just a few thoughts and questions.
    1] I think you are just about spot-on with Buxton.
    2] Maybe it's just me, but I think Garver, BIG bat, decent defense, experienced, great team control, might be worth more than Sanchez. And then I read where Sanchez is coming off surgery. So with my belief in Garver, even without surgery for Sanchez, I'm thinking a sweetener for someone better and more proven. 
    And while I don't want to move him as I think he bas a great future, if I'm Miami, and building, might I be more interested in Jeffers? Or Jeffers and a sweetener for one of my more proven arms? I'm just thinking being more aggressive for Alcacantara or Lopez, etc, for Garver/Jeffers and a sweetener. Miami may be looking more for youth and potential.
    3] Donaldson to the Mets makes so much sense it's scary. I think you nailed it. I really hate to lose him for 2022, and what he could add to the lineup, but your proposal makes a lot of sense for both teams. Especially if a catcher and other to Miami works out.
    4] Doesn't Seager re-sign with the Dogers? Speculation. Is Story the best 2nd choice? I worry about the Colorado factor. What about Baez? I know there  is some negatives around him, but nothing really bad. He might come a little cheaper.
    5] Cool with Gray. But would Stoman for a few $M be out of reach? It still wouldn't blow your final numbers out of the water and makes sense to me.
    6] LF is kind of a potential wasteland with Rooker and others and I get that! You're looking forward. Larnach could settle that spot, and Rooker could adapt and surprise. Hell, could be be any worse than Young or Willingham if he hits? But work with me here brother, you listed MARTEN as an option by mid-season. I'm ASSUMING you are speaking about Martin and not FA Marte, right? Just want to be clear.
    7]  Love your pen, but head and heart says protect Minaya if you can afford to 40 man wise. 
    Again, just a few questions and a critique. Great job!
  16. Like
    DocBauer reacted to TheLeviathan in A 21-22 Offseason Idea   
    On each point:
    2) I think the conversation with Miami starts with feeling out who they like and who they are prepared to offer.  They clearly want catching and we have it.  They clearly have pitching and we want it.  So the framework is there, how it hashes out from there is pretty hard to predict.  Sixto's injury is worrisome, but what he showed when he first came up was brilliant.  It's a risky move to be sure.
    4) Maybe he does.  If I'm the Dodgers I could see them keeping Turner and Taylor and rolling with those two instead.  But yes, the possibility definitely exists that he is retained by LAD.  I like Story and then Simien in that order.  I like Correa, of course, but this entire plan is based on going under where the heavy bidding starts and sniping guys who won't be number 1 on all the shopping lists.  I see Stroman the same way even though I really like him.
    6) My brain has this weird thing about Austin Martin.  Every time I want to say something about him my brain says "His name isn't spelled how you think!" and then I just make some stupid thing up and confuse myself and others, clearly.  I meant the kid we got for Berrios.  I think he's a future LFer for this team and that is the dude I want there down the stretch.
     
  17. Like
    DocBauer got a reaction from TheLeviathan in A 21-22 Offseason Idea   
    Levi, this is extremely well thought out and practical! Bless you and your hard work to put this together and being more in touch with some prosoects and lesser known players that I'm just not in touch with, Jose Butto from the Mets as an example. And I agree with Vanimal tbat what you've presented may be better than an "also ran" roster. But I'd like to offer a critique, but not a criticism. Just a few thoughts and questions.
    1] I think you are just about spot-on with Buxton.
    2] Maybe it's just me, but I think Garver, BIG bat, decent defense, experienced, great team control, might be worth more than Sanchez. And then I read where Sanchez is coming off surgery. So with my belief in Garver, even without surgery for Sanchez, I'm thinking a sweetener for someone better and more proven. 
    And while I don't want to move him as I think he bas a great future, if I'm Miami, and building, might I be more interested in Jeffers? Or Jeffers and a sweetener for one of my more proven arms? I'm just thinking being more aggressive for Alcacantara or Lopez, etc, for Garver/Jeffers and a sweetener. Miami may be looking more for youth and potential.
    3] Donaldson to the Mets makes so much sense it's scary. I think you nailed it. I really hate to lose him for 2022, and what he could add to the lineup, but your proposal makes a lot of sense for both teams. Especially if a catcher and other to Miami works out.
    4] Doesn't Seager re-sign with the Dogers? Speculation. Is Story the best 2nd choice? I worry about the Colorado factor. What about Baez? I know there  is some negatives around him, but nothing really bad. He might come a little cheaper.
    5] Cool with Gray. But would Stoman for a few $M be out of reach? It still wouldn't blow your final numbers out of the water and makes sense to me.
    6] LF is kind of a potential wasteland with Rooker and others and I get that! You're looking forward. Larnach could settle that spot, and Rooker could adapt and surprise. Hell, could be be any worse than Young or Willingham if he hits? But work with me here brother, you listed MARTEN as an option by mid-season. I'm ASSUMING you are speaking about Martin and not FA Marte, right? Just want to be clear.
    7]  Love your pen, but head and heart says protect Minaya if you can afford to 40 man wise. 
    Again, just a few questions and a critique. Great job!
  18. Like
    DocBauer reacted to bean5302 in A 21-22 Offseason Idea   
    Sixto Sanchez underwent capsule repair shoulder surgery with additional cleanup. There is no timetable on him and the chances he returns at his pre-surgery performance levels are poor if he ever returns to MLB caliber at all. This isn't UCL surgery, this is shoulder surgery which often ruins pitching careers.
  19. Like
    DocBauer reacted to Vanimal46 in A 21-22 Offseason Idea   
    Love it. I’m pretty much in alignment with you with this plan. We need to sign one of the premiere SS free agents long term and let the chips fall later with Martin and Lewis. 
    I think you’re selling this roster short to be honest. Looks like a competitive roster that can compete for at least a wild card to me…Massive upgrade at SS, 3 pitchers who can slot ahead of Ober and Ryan. I give up predicting what relievers are going to do. For all I know that cobbled together group is a top 10 or bottom 10 unit. I’m not a huge fan of Arraez at 3B and Rooker in LF, but we have reinforcements who can end up playing at those positions. And there’s room in the budget to acquire help at the trade deadline if we’re above .500. 
  20. Like
    DocBauer reacted to mike8791 in A 21-22 Offseason Idea   
    Nice work - you have some interesting ideas, particularly picking up Corey Knebel as a potential closer.  Add Ryan Tepera to the pen and you've markedly improved a glaring weakness.
    And you're on the right track in trading Garver to Miami for rotation help, but there's no reason to shoot so low(not that Sanchez is not a top prospect, but we have enough prospects).  We need top-of-the rotation starters, like Alcantara or Lopez, while the Marlins need OF help in addition to catching.   What about Garver(or Jeffers who I think would garner more interest from a young team on the rise) and Kepler(or Arraez).  Throw in one of our top 10 prospects or Larnach, and I think the fish would bite.
    Can't get too excited about Gray as our top FA signing.   Instead of a pricey FA SS like Seager, spend the money on a Rodon or Ray or Stroman or Gausman.  We can fill the shortstop hole with a good fielding SS for a fraction of the price Seager would cost, leaving $25MM/yr for one of the four listed above.  Either Thor, Gray or Pineda(in that order) would slot in  as a solid #3, giving us one of the stronger rotations in the league.
    Of course, if the FO has no intention of contending in 2022, then your plan is more likely(sans Seager)  but do you really think the 2023 Twins would contend for the playoffs?  I just don't have enough faith in this org's prospect development program to count on at least 3 of our young pitchers to all be positive contributors in a 2023 playoff push.  You have to remember that our lineup for the next 2-3 years is competitive with Bux, JD, Sano, Polanco, Kirillof forming a pretty solid core.   Why waste this core in another rebuild?
     
  21. Like
    DocBauer got a reaction from Dave The Dastardly in Did Nick Gordon Do Enough?   
    To answer the question posed in the headline, he did as much as he could with what he was given. 
    Despite impressively transitioning to the OF/CF on the fly, he was still used a bit inconsistently in a losing year. There were absolutely additional opportunities to play he could have been given.
    His offense wasn't great, but was solid enough for a utility type. He showed a little pop and no question the speed he displayed is very welcome. 
    He's always been know for building on his previous experience at a repeat of a level. That should hopefully be the situation here. Additionally, what would a good, healthy 10-15 pounds do for this kid? Sure hope to find out.
  22. Like
    DocBauer reacted to Doctor Gast in What should the Twins offer Byron Buxton?   
    To answer my own ?. It looks like they offered him 70M for  base pay. This I've heard he has no problem with, it's the incentives where there's a problem. To me Buck isn't asking too much.
  23. Like
    DocBauer got a reaction from AceWrigley in Did Nick Gordon Do Enough?   
    To answer the question posed in the headline, he did as much as he could with what he was given. 
    Despite impressively transitioning to the OF/CF on the fly, he was still used a bit inconsistently in a losing year. There were absolutely additional opportunities to play he could have been given.
    His offense wasn't great, but was solid enough for a utility type. He showed a little pop and no question the speed he displayed is very welcome. 
    He's always been know for building on his previous experience at a repeat of a level. That should hopefully be the situation here. Additionally, what would a good, healthy 10-15 pounds do for this kid? Sure hope to find out.
  24. Like
    DocBauer got a reaction from Greglw3 in Did Nick Gordon Do Enough?   
    To answer the question posed in the headline, he did as much as he could with what he was given. 
    Despite impressively transitioning to the OF/CF on the fly, he was still used a bit inconsistently in a losing year. There were absolutely additional opportunities to play he could have been given.
    His offense wasn't great, but was solid enough for a utility type. He showed a little pop and no question the speed he displayed is very welcome. 
    He's always been know for building on his previous experience at a repeat of a level. That should hopefully be the situation here. Additionally, what would a good, healthy 10-15 pounds do for this kid? Sure hope to find out.
  25. Like
    DocBauer reacted to Rosterman in Non-tendering Taylor Rogers Would Be a Huge Mistake   
    If they sign him, they can negotiate long-term once they see how the finger has healed.
     
    He would be a trade chip mid-season if need be.
     
    If he totally lights-out excels, he could also be a qualifying offer candidate for an additional season.
     
    Can you replace him with an equal arm (or two) for the same price.
     
    The Twins really won't be over payroll in 2022. They can afford it.
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