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  1. Like
    Dman reacted to Vanimal46 in Seattle wants Polanco   
    Fun fact, Suarez has led MLB in strikeouts in 3 out of the last 4 full regular seasons. 
  2. Like
    Dman got a reaction from wabene in Movement Among the Twins Top Prospects from 2023   
    Since no one has mentioned him I am interested in Ricardo Olivar.  He was MVP of the complex league and real good year last year in A ball.  A catcher who can play center field is exciting to me.  If he stays at catcher he has good speed and mobility  which is appealing.  Also having a catcher who can play in the outfield seems like nice position flexibility as well.
    Danny De Andrade is also interesting.  Super young for A ball and held his own there.  Seems to be coming into  his power and might be a plus defender. It is going to be interesting to see how well he handles High A where lot's of hitters seem to struggle.
  3. Like
    Dman reacted to Fatbat in Movement Among the Twins Top Prospects from 2023   
    Not my first thought but I am interested to watch how the 2023 pitching draft class progresses. Lots of college arms that may play well in pro ball relatively quick. Who will be the next later round pick to climb thru the system the fastest. 
  4. Like
    Dman got a reaction from Fatbat in Movement Among the Twins Top Prospects from 2023   
    Since no one has mentioned him I am interested in Ricardo Olivar.  He was MVP of the complex league and real good year last year in A ball.  A catcher who can play center field is exciting to me.  If he stays at catcher he has good speed and mobility  which is appealing.  Also having a catcher who can play in the outfield seems like nice position flexibility as well.
    Danny De Andrade is also interesting.  Super young for A ball and held his own there.  Seems to be coming into  his power and might be a plus defender. It is going to be interesting to see how well he handles High A where lot's of hitters seem to struggle.
  5. Like
    Dman got a reaction from Aerodeliria in Movement Among the Twins Top Prospects from 2023   
    Since no one has mentioned him I am interested in Ricardo Olivar.  He was MVP of the complex league and real good year last year in A ball.  A catcher who can play center field is exciting to me.  If he stays at catcher he has good speed and mobility  which is appealing.  Also having a catcher who can play in the outfield seems like nice position flexibility as well.
    Danny De Andrade is also interesting.  Super young for A ball and held his own there.  Seems to be coming into  his power and might be a plus defender. It is going to be interesting to see how well he handles High A where lot's of hitters seem to struggle.
  6. Like
    Dman got a reaction from DocBauer in Movement Among the Twins Top Prospects from 2023   
    Since no one has mentioned him I am interested in Ricardo Olivar.  He was MVP of the complex league and real good year last year in A ball.  A catcher who can play center field is exciting to me.  If he stays at catcher he has good speed and mobility  which is appealing.  Also having a catcher who can play in the outfield seems like nice position flexibility as well.
    Danny De Andrade is also interesting.  Super young for A ball and held his own there.  Seems to be coming into  his power and might be a plus defender. It is going to be interesting to see how well he handles High A where lot's of hitters seem to struggle.
  7. Like
    Dman got a reaction from jmlease1 in Movement Among the Twins Top Prospects from 2023   
    Since no one has mentioned him I am interested in Ricardo Olivar.  He was MVP of the complex league and real good year last year in A ball.  A catcher who can play center field is exciting to me.  If he stays at catcher he has good speed and mobility  which is appealing.  Also having a catcher who can play in the outfield seems like nice position flexibility as well.
    Danny De Andrade is also interesting.  Super young for A ball and held his own there.  Seems to be coming into  his power and might be a plus defender. It is going to be interesting to see how well he handles High A where lot's of hitters seem to struggle.
  8. Like
    Dman reacted to jmlease1 in Movement Among the Twins Top Prospects from 2023   
    It's kind of hard not to get excited about the massive upside of Jenkins, and so far he's been proving it. I'm still a big fan of Lee, but Jenkins does have a higher ceiling.
    Keaschall is pretty interesting and rising in my mind. he had zero problems moving into low A after basically getting an orientation to pro baseball in rookie ball and then got a quick promotion to high A where he had no problems in his short stint there either. He looks like someone who starts in High A in 2024 with an eye towards another early promotion to AA. Sure looks like he has the bat to impress. Looking forward to seeing how his power progresses and defense holds up.
    Kala'i Rosario is definitely a guy to watch as well. The ball explodes off his bat and if he can make enough contact he's going to be a dangerous hitter. He had a great year in Cedar Rapids, he's started punishing the ball in the AFL, and looks very ready for AAA at 21.
    twins have some fun prospects to watch, for sure.
  9. Like
    Dman reacted to Doctor Wu in Movement Among the Twins Top Prospects from 2023   
    I'll be curious so see how Charlee Soto does when he finally throws some pitches. He's young, so I'm guessing he starts at the lowest A level, but don't think he'll move up any or at least too many levels the first year. 
  10. Like
    Dman reacted to tony&rodney in Movement Among the Twins Top Prospects from 2023   
    Really like your list - short and to the point. I'm not too worried about Prielipp now because he will need time to recover and get back to just playing a little baseball. We should check back on Prielipp next August. 
    In the upper minors (guys who played AA or AAA this year) I'm interested to see how David Festa does after a winter to adjust to what he experienced this past year. The ceiling for him looks good. Festa is still inexperienced but could be coming fast. I'm also ready to see what Austin Martin can do at the next level.
    There are a pile of other guys I'm planning to watch and follow next season. Among those I believe could take big steps are: Byron Chourio, Ben Ross, Tanner Hall, Luke Keaschall, C. J. Culpepper, and Cory Lewis. Of course we should be excited to see how Charlee Soto and Brandon Winokur manage in their first full year of pro ball. Finally, next year there will be eyes on two players who Twins fans hope can take a big leap forward: Marco Raya and Emmanuel Rodriguez. I'm hoping both reach and succeed in AAA next season after proving their dominance of AA. 
  11. Like
    Dman reacted to stringer bell in 2023 Awards Season   
    I can't see Royce finishing in the top three in ROY with under 70 games played. I also doubt Sonny Gray gets #2 in Cy Young as a result of his ERA, but he has been outstanding this season. 
  12. Like
    Dman reacted to jmlease1 in Are We Getting Enough Talent From our Drafts during Falvey's Tenure?   
    well, arguably Yunior Severino could be seen as an international free agent, and Emmanuel Rodriguez was an international signing as well. But there hasn't been much in the way of pitching in a while. That said, as much of a crap shoot as the draft still is in baseball, international signings are even more variable, I think.
  13. Like
    Dman reacted to jmlease1 in Twins should act quickly and sign Trey Mancini and dfa Joey Gallo.   
    Yeah, i think this one is half right: move on and DFA Gallo. but Mancini isn't the answer: he's a terrible fielder, and much like Gallo has gotten worse at the plate as the season has gone on (only he didn't have a big first month). Mancini has been one of the worst position players out there this season, and we don't need another 1B.
    At this point, Mancini is really only taking ABs away from Donovan Solano, who has been quite a bit better than Mancini this season. i'd rather run Solano out there if we need another guy at 1B.
  14. Like
    Dman reacted to chpettit19 in Twins should act quickly and sign Trey Mancini and dfa Joey Gallo.   
    I'm with @LA VIkes Fan. I'm all for moving on from Gallo, but Mancini isn't the answer. His defense is significantly worse. He can't play OF. He has an 11th percentile sprint speed this year. For reference, Vazquez is 9th percentile. Could you imagine Vazquez trying to track down a fly ball? He belongs nowhere near an OF. 
    Trey is an absolute class act, and seems like a wonderful dude. But he can't cut it in major league baseball anymore. No thanks on bringing him in.
  15. Like
    Dman reacted to LA VIkes Fan in Twins should act quickly and sign Trey Mancini and dfa Joey Gallo.   
    I had the same thought but then I looked at his numbers since he was traded from Baltimore to Houston at the deadline last year. Here they are:
    With Houston 2022 - .176/.258/.364 (.622) - 7 doubles, 8 home runs, 22 RBIs in 165 at bats, 186 plate apps. (Ouch!)
    With Chicago Cubs 2023 - .234/.299/.336 (.635) - 12 doubles, 4 HRs, 28 RBIs in 235 ABs (263 PAs). (Not Good)
    Against LH pitching 2023 - .223/.306/.351 (.657) - 6 doubles, 2 HR, 15 RBI in 141 ABs (255 PAs) (Still Not Good)
    Id love to upgrade from Gallo, not sure Mancini is much of an upgrade at the plate, probably a downgrade in the field. I would rather call up Larnach or Williams for those ABs. 
  16. Like
    Dman got a reaction from jkcarew in Matt's Top Prospect List (Mid-Season) + Writeups   
    Strikeouts are a concern for me too but I see you put Wallner 4th and he had a higher K rate at an older age at High A and until this year at AAA has had K rates into the 30% range.  Rosario is currently around a 26% K rate and with his 14% walk rate that seems pretty workable to me.  It very similar to Wallner's numbers at AAA this year.  I think Rosario is on that path and might end up slightly better hard to say as he just turned 21 in July.
    I think he has been more focused on working counts this year and not always worried about hitting HR's.  Personally I think his profile looks better than Wallners did at that level and Wallner is at number 4.  That is why I think he is bit low on the list.
  17. Like
    Dman reacted to Matt Braun in Matt's Top Prospect List (Mid-Season) + Writeups   
    Maybe. I can't get over the strikeouts even if they are a career-low for him. Rest assured he will rise if he continues to hit, though. 
  18. Like
    Dman reacted to DocBauer in Matt's Top Prospect List (Mid-Season) + Writeups   
    Always enjoy reflections and opinions on the system. Not sure I'd have included Sabato. And the way this season is going SWR would be lower on my list. I know he's still very young, but where is the velocity? Where is the single out pitch? What on earth has changed so much since last year?
    Agree on liking Headrick but feeling he's going to end up in the pen. Also think Canterino still has a shot, but probably as a reliever now. And if Cardenas can polish his defense, I think his bat will play well. But Cossetti might be even better.
    A few guys not mentioned surprise me. Williams as a late blooming 1B/DH? Winokur, possible 5 tool talent about the same age as some of the IL kids in Florida? And no appearance of Nowlin on your list?
  19. Like
    Dman got a reaction from Aerodeliria in Batting Average is the worst offensive statistic in baseball   
    I like OBP best as the name of the game on offense is not making outs. If you are not making an out you are contributing to the offense. You are putting pressure on the pitcher and give the next man up a chance to do the same.  Doesn't matter if it is a walk, single or HR the bottom line is that it isn't an out. 
    As this article points out slugging is important as well because doubles, triples and HR's either put runners in scoring position or score runs if anyone else is on base.  OPS really is kind of king right now and as the OP pointed out it doesn't really matter how you get there OPS tells a more complete story where offensive contribution is concerned.
    Personally I like both the Arraez and Gallo approaches as teams have been built with high average and power strokes for ages.  There is a reason why your teams HR king bats 4th.  Both types of hitters are important IMO but I do feel the OP is correct that batting average doesn't give you a very complete picture of the true value a player has as it eliminates slugging completely.  OPS is the only way to combine the three aspects to gain a more complete picture.  Still not perfect but far, far better than batting average.
  20. Like
    Dman got a reaction from Cris E in The Luis Arraez trade is getting embarrassing for the Twins (an Article from SI.com by Joe Nelson)   
    With the Arraez trade it just kind of feels like the baseball gods are pissing on us.  Look I always knew he was going to be a .300 hitter and I thought there might be a few years in there where he hit .350 or so but never in my wildest dreams did I see him hitting near the .400 mark 3 months into any season let alone the first season.
    The math for me was he was likely a high  700 to low 800 OPS player.  He had been that the 4 years prior.  Throw in the fact that his knee's were always giving him problems in MN and if he declined physically he had little to no value left.  The positions that the farm was producing in abundance were utility, 2nd, 1st, DH type players which is right where Arraez played.  Someone had to go and Miami targeted Arraez and only Arraez and the Twins as pretty much proven this year needed one more legit starter and Miami threw in a top 10 prospect and a nice lottery ticket DSL player to get the deal done.
    We all loved Arraez there isn't a fan who wouldn't love the hard working blue collar guy he was.  I loved watching him hit we all did and while maybe the Twins couldn't replace all his production it seemed logical that they could come close.  Just look at Donny Solano's numbers right now they are just under what Arraez's were the preceding 4 years.  It didn't seem like the Twins were really giving up something that couldn't be close to replaced OPS wise.  The math made this an almost no brainer trade to me even though I loved Arraez the player
    This trade is only three months in and I have to say it has been unbearably bad to this point.  Arraez is off the charts good right now and in his prime for 4 more years and with his skills probably longer.  Still I am not ready just yet to over react as the season isn't over and who knows how this all turns out in the end.  Just look at Baddoo or any player for that matter and things can change from year to year.
    For now I am willing to admit it looks like the math didn't work out the way I thought it would and Arreaz is making me look really bad.  Still I don't think he keeps this kind of hot streak up forever and yet knowing Arreaz maybe he will.
     
  21. Like
    Dman got a reaction from wabene in The Luis Arraez trade is getting embarrassing for the Twins (an Article from SI.com by Joe Nelson)   
    With the Arraez trade it just kind of feels like the baseball gods are pissing on us.  Look I always knew he was going to be a .300 hitter and I thought there might be a few years in there where he hit .350 or so but never in my wildest dreams did I see him hitting near the .400 mark 3 months into any season let alone the first season.
    The math for me was he was likely a high  700 to low 800 OPS player.  He had been that the 4 years prior.  Throw in the fact that his knee's were always giving him problems in MN and if he declined physically he had little to no value left.  The positions that the farm was producing in abundance were utility, 2nd, 1st, DH type players which is right where Arraez played.  Someone had to go and Miami targeted Arraez and only Arraez and the Twins as pretty much proven this year needed one more legit starter and Miami threw in a top 10 prospect and a nice lottery ticket DSL player to get the deal done.
    We all loved Arraez there isn't a fan who wouldn't love the hard working blue collar guy he was.  I loved watching him hit we all did and while maybe the Twins couldn't replace all his production it seemed logical that they could come close.  Just look at Donny Solano's numbers right now they are just under what Arraez's were the preceding 4 years.  It didn't seem like the Twins were really giving up something that couldn't be close to replaced OPS wise.  The math made this an almost no brainer trade to me even though I loved Arraez the player
    This trade is only three months in and I have to say it has been unbearably bad to this point.  Arraez is off the charts good right now and in his prime for 4 more years and with his skills probably longer.  Still I am not ready just yet to over react as the season isn't over and who knows how this all turns out in the end.  Just look at Baddoo or any player for that matter and things can change from year to year.
    For now I am willing to admit it looks like the math didn't work out the way I thought it would and Arreaz is making me look really bad.  Still I don't think he keeps this kind of hot streak up forever and yet knowing Arreaz maybe he will.
     
  22. Like
    Dman got a reaction from LiamC in The Luis Arraez trade is getting embarrassing for the Twins (an Article from SI.com by Joe Nelson)   
    With the Arraez trade it just kind of feels like the baseball gods are pissing on us.  Look I always knew he was going to be a .300 hitter and I thought there might be a few years in there where he hit .350 or so but never in my wildest dreams did I see him hitting near the .400 mark 3 months into any season let alone the first season.
    The math for me was he was likely a high  700 to low 800 OPS player.  He had been that the 4 years prior.  Throw in the fact that his knee's were always giving him problems in MN and if he declined physically he had little to no value left.  The positions that the farm was producing in abundance were utility, 2nd, 1st, DH type players which is right where Arraez played.  Someone had to go and Miami targeted Arraez and only Arraez and the Twins as pretty much proven this year needed one more legit starter and Miami threw in a top 10 prospect and a nice lottery ticket DSL player to get the deal done.
    We all loved Arraez there isn't a fan who wouldn't love the hard working blue collar guy he was.  I loved watching him hit we all did and while maybe the Twins couldn't replace all his production it seemed logical that they could come close.  Just look at Donny Solano's numbers right now they are just under what Arraez's were the preceding 4 years.  It didn't seem like the Twins were really giving up something that couldn't be close to replaced OPS wise.  The math made this an almost no brainer trade to me even though I loved Arraez the player
    This trade is only three months in and I have to say it has been unbearably bad to this point.  Arraez is off the charts good right now and in his prime for 4 more years and with his skills probably longer.  Still I am not ready just yet to over react as the season isn't over and who knows how this all turns out in the end.  Just look at Baddoo or any player for that matter and things can change from year to year.
    For now I am willing to admit it looks like the math didn't work out the way I thought it would and Arreaz is making me look really bad.  Still I don't think he keeps this kind of hot streak up forever and yet knowing Arreaz maybe he will.
     
  23. Like
    Dman got a reaction from tony&rodney in The Luis Arraez trade is getting embarrassing for the Twins (an Article from SI.com by Joe Nelson)   
    With the Arraez trade it just kind of feels like the baseball gods are pissing on us.  Look I always knew he was going to be a .300 hitter and I thought there might be a few years in there where he hit .350 or so but never in my wildest dreams did I see him hitting near the .400 mark 3 months into any season let alone the first season.
    The math for me was he was likely a high  700 to low 800 OPS player.  He had been that the 4 years prior.  Throw in the fact that his knee's were always giving him problems in MN and if he declined physically he had little to no value left.  The positions that the farm was producing in abundance were utility, 2nd, 1st, DH type players which is right where Arraez played.  Someone had to go and Miami targeted Arraez and only Arraez and the Twins as pretty much proven this year needed one more legit starter and Miami threw in a top 10 prospect and a nice lottery ticket DSL player to get the deal done.
    We all loved Arraez there isn't a fan who wouldn't love the hard working blue collar guy he was.  I loved watching him hit we all did and while maybe the Twins couldn't replace all his production it seemed logical that they could come close.  Just look at Donny Solano's numbers right now they are just under what Arraez's were the preceding 4 years.  It didn't seem like the Twins were really giving up something that couldn't be close to replaced OPS wise.  The math made this an almost no brainer trade to me even though I loved Arraez the player
    This trade is only three months in and I have to say it has been unbearably bad to this point.  Arraez is off the charts good right now and in his prime for 4 more years and with his skills probably longer.  Still I am not ready just yet to over react as the season isn't over and who knows how this all turns out in the end.  Just look at Baddoo or any player for that matter and things can change from year to year.
    For now I am willing to admit it looks like the math didn't work out the way I thought it would and Arreaz is making me look really bad.  Still I don't think he keeps this kind of hot streak up forever and yet knowing Arreaz maybe he will.
     
  24. Like
    Dman reacted to Danchat in The Luis Arraez trade is getting embarrassing for the Twins (an Article from SI.com by Joe Nelson)   
    I have confidence that Lopez will turn around and be a fairly good starter going forward (confidence in Pablo, not the Twins)... but maybe don't trade the reigning batting champion in his prime. The front office wisely sold high on a few guys in early 2022 (Garver, Rogers, Donaldson), but it turned out Arraez didn't reached his ceiling in 2022. 
  25. Like
    Dman reacted to TwinsDr2021 in The Luis Arraez trade is getting embarrassing for the Twins (an Article from SI.com by Joe Nelson)   
    I get it people don't like the trade and love Arraez. But people are dumping on Lopez like he is Archer, Bundy, Shoemaker, and Happ, he isn't, he is a pitcher the Twins haven't had since Berrios, Gibson, and Erv Santana where going out consistently pitching into the 7th or 8th.
    He hasn't pitched like a ace that is for sure. But he is averaging 6 innings per start and just more than half of the time he is going 6 with 3 runs or less, he is and has been healthy, Would I like to see less 4+ runs per start games, yes I would. But with him, Ryan and 5 inning Gray they give any team a chance in a 3 game series.
    It takes giving up something to get something so IMO to get a pitcher like Lopez it was going to take Arreaz, Lewis or Lee (and with the later two probably another top prospect)
    This post isn't meant to defend the FO, I mean it is the lack of actually building a pipeline and terrible other trades that forced their hand yet again into trading for another starting pitcher (Ryan, Gray, Paddock, Mahle). If look at what they gave up to Gray, Mahle and Lopez ts is a gosh darn kings ransom. Looking at each trade independently I was and still am for each because of the situation, taken as a whole this FO should really, really being worrying about their job if they can't turn this season around.
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