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Steve Lein

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  1. Like
    Steve Lein reacted to AlwaysinModeration in The Twins Bought Low on Austin Martin   
    I think they bought low on Simeon Wood-Richardson, not Martin.
  2. Like
    Steve Lein reacted to tony&rodney in The Twins Bought Low on Austin Martin   
    The Blue Jays got exactly what they wanted in Jose Berrios and thus the Twins were able to receive two highly rated prospects in return. Austin Martin may develop, quickly, into a real fine MLB player and we hope he does as soon as next season. However, Martin was not going to play ahead of Bichette or Springer and thus his value was higher for others than to Toronto.  I don't think Toronto was down on Martin as a prospect.
    The Twins could use Austin Martin in LF if Buxton returns to full health. Byron has had a real tough time with injuries but most of them are unrelated and he could, absolutely, bounce back to be a 140+ games per year star. Power in CF allows for a line drive hitter in LF, and Martin could be that player. The Twins still need two pitchers though.
  3. Like
    Steve Lein reacted to jmlease1 in The Twins Bought Low on Austin Martin   
    They're buying low if you agree with FanGraphs downgrade on Martin, I guess? 
    the Twins FO doesn't seem too concerned about his power production this year (he may have adjusted his swing to compensate for a hand injury) and they're right that it's a lot easier to add power to a guy with high bat skills and great control of the strike zone than it is to add average and contact to a player with big power. Small tweaks in elevating his swing, pulling the ball more, using his legs better, adding muscle, etc are all thing that could add additional pop to his bat.
    I heard on Gleeman & the Geek the comp of "Shannon Stewart with more walks" right now. That would be a pretty nice player, as Shannon Stewart was a borderline all-star a couple of times and a quality starter for the better part of a decade. add in more walks and you have a player who is a multiple all-star and a building block for your team.
    I really didn't expect the twins to get a player of this quality and a high-upside pitcher for Berrios, which was part of my resistance to trading him (the other part is I would have preferred to sign him long-term...but I'm increasingly of the belief that absent a substantial overpay the Twins had no shot of extending him. I think the same is true for Toronto: I believe Berrios is serious about wanting to be a free agent and see what happens.)
    Martin is really good as a player. They'll find a position for him defensively; this isn't a case of needing to stash him somewhere where he won't do any damage. 
  4. Like
    Steve Lein reacted to gunnarthor in The Twins Bought Low on Austin Martin   
    I like the Arraez comparison and I think it's a good one, although Martin's bat will be a lot better in the long run. I'm not really worried about him, Toronto is pretty aggressive with their prospects. Most teams probably wouldn't have dropped him in AA to start his career so it made sense that he struggled a bit. He's going to be really good.
  5. Like
    Steve Lein reacted to DFlow in The Twins Bought Low on Austin Martin   
    I think these points are not anything to be too worried about at this point.  
    Contact: I don't think it's overly surprising for Martin's strikeout rate to increase being thrust straight into AA. He's more than held his own at AA as a 22 year old and think his offensive profile as an OBP machine has not changed. Let's get more of a minor league sample size without the injury before we worry too much here. 
    Impacting the Baseball: This to me will be something to keep an eye on, but I think it's still too limited of a sample size (including the hand injury), to overly speculate with. If he can get to Starling Marte level power then he will be a very helpful player. His college exit velos were excellent, and there's no reason one year away should change that perception too much. Keith Law mentioned that his swing with the injury has caused more of an inside out swing, which naturally would create less power. Let's see where things go once the hand injury heals in the offseason.
    Defense: I think we have a tendency to over analyze defense on these forums to the point where we begin playing a player who can't hit just for the sake of SS defense. I think Martin has a lot of utility (like Arraez) to have defensive flexibility at CF/2B/3B/LF. He does not profile well as a corner outfielder, but would still be a great addition for days where Kepler/Larnach need a day off.  Polanco and Arraez will probably be in the ballpark of 3+ WAR players for the forseeable future, but leveraging where they play with Martin could create an incredible top of the lineup. Even if we re-sign Buxton, we know he will miss time so this is a nice player to have who can be a 2-3 WAR swiss army knife who may be a slightly better version of Arraez. 
    In my opinion, Martin (like Arraez) fits a huge need for the future offense in having table setters for our power hitters. The 2020 and 2021 Twins have had issues with having to out-homer there competition, which to me is not good baseball. I think Arraez, Polanco, and Martin will be excellent future compliments to the way Falvine wants to build out the middle of the order, and I don't think these shortcomings listed by scouts are anything to be too worried about at this stage.
  6. Like
    Steve Lein got a reaction from D.C Twins in 5 Free Agent Options for the Minnesota Twins to Replace José Berríos   
    Like all the options to try and replace Berrios. However, I don't think any of them are going to come cheaper than he would have so put the odds of the Twins being able to get one of them at virtually zero.
    I shoot for Stroman as I think he's the one you'd have the best chance at if you're willing to overpay, and they will have to overpay.
     
  7. Like
    Steve Lein reacted to Mike Sixel in 5 Free Agent Options for the Minnesota Twins to Replace José Berríos   
    Because:
    1. Berrios said he wanted to test FA.
    2. Now they can sign a player of Berrios quality, have him here for more than just 1 year, and have two great prospects. Every team should do stuff like this. Every. Single. Team. 
  8. Like
    Steve Lein reacted to Mike Sixel in 5 Free Agent Options for the Minnesota Twins to Replace José Berríos   
    Berrios made it clear he wants to test FA. We have no idea if they'll sign a relatively expensive pitcher or not next year. I'm out of the game of getting mad at the team for not doing something they can't possibly do yet....
  9. Like
    Steve Lein got a reaction from Aerodeliria in 5 Free Agent Options for the Minnesota Twins to Replace José Berríos   
    Like all the options to try and replace Berrios. However, I don't think any of them are going to come cheaper than he would have so put the odds of the Twins being able to get one of them at virtually zero.
    I shoot for Stroman as I think he's the one you'd have the best chance at if you're willing to overpay, and they will have to overpay.
     
  10. Like
    Steve Lein got a reaction from MIke Vendsel in 5 Free Agent Options for the Minnesota Twins to Replace José Berríos   
    Like all the options to try and replace Berrios. However, I don't think any of them are going to come cheaper than he would have so put the odds of the Twins being able to get one of them at virtually zero.
    I shoot for Stroman as I think he's the one you'd have the best chance at if you're willing to overpay, and they will have to overpay.
     
  11. Like
    Steve Lein got a reaction from roger in Twins Minor League Report (8/3) Austin Martin Makes Debut   
    I agree because I actually struggled to pick anyone on this night. But the 6 K's for Sands in his short time was a much higher bar than anyone else. I also watched the Wichita game, and he made some big pitches and was great until the 4th inning. Olson was also good for 5 innings, but then hit a big wall. Nunn has merit on picking up a clean save but really hard for me to give it to a one inning guy in any circumstance.
  12. Like
    Steve Lein got a reaction from roger in Twins Minor League Report (8/3) Austin Martin Makes Debut   
    Yes there is! It's not a single person's list, so it takes a little time to compile with everyone. It will be updated (again) very soon!
  13. Like
    Steve Lein got a reaction from mikelink45 in Twins Minor League Report (8/3) Austin Martin Makes Debut   
    I agree because I actually struggled to pick anyone on this night. But the 6 K's for Sands in his short time was a much higher bar than anyone else. I also watched the Wichita game, and he made some big pitches and was great until the 4th inning. Olson was also good for 5 innings, but then hit a big wall. Nunn has merit on picking up a clean save but really hard for me to give it to a one inning guy in any circumstance.
  14. Like
    Steve Lein reacted to wabene in Twins Minor League Report (8/3) Austin Martin Makes Debut   
    Rooker looked good last year in a short stint then got hit. Started slow this year but is picking it up. More time is needed to see what he can do, like the rest of this season. I could see an average DH next season with room to grow. Larnach's confidence is probably low right now but he needs to battle through it. I would not send either down under any circumstance except if Larnach needs a confidence boost. I would, however, bring up Miranda for any Donaldson absences.
  15. Like
    Steve Lein reacted to roger in Twins Minor League Report (8/3) Austin Martin Makes Debut   
    With Miranda and his two hits a game back in the lineup, the Saints win.  But the story of the night was three hits from Ben Rortvedt, including a double and home run.  I have always thought this young man would have a solid bat once he got to the big leagues.  Still believe that and in hind sight, struggling through a couple months with the Twins without a single game at AAA may have been a blessing.  Sure looks early on that it helped with the pitchers he is seeing with the Saints.
    When the Twins claimed Garcia, I took a look at his numbers and thought he could have a chance.  One night doesn't make a career, but it sure was a nice start and he even got the W!
    What a first game for Martin, expect he had some butterflies on his first night with his new organization.  See that Sisk didn't do as well in his second appearance.  But getting both Sisk and Gant for Happ remains a head scratcher, at least for me.  And Gant seems to be doing better than ok for the Twins.
    Not a lot of hitting for the Kernels.  Even though Javier was 0-2, saw that he picked up two walks and scored a run.  Will be surprised that he has done enough to get added to the 40-man, especially with the addition of Martin, but certainly has taken a step forward after his struggles the past few years.  He will be a minor league free agent this winter, correct?  Hopefully he wants to remain with the organization and give it another year to see if he can turn that last corner at AA next year. 
  16. Like
    Steve Lein got a reaction from Tibs in Twins Minor League Report (8/3) Austin Martin Makes Debut   
    Yes there is! It's not a single person's list, so it takes a little time to compile with everyone. It will be updated (again) very soon!
  17. Haha
  18. Like
    Steve Lein got a reaction from operation mindcrime in Twins Minor League Report (8/3) Austin Martin Makes Debut   
    Yes there is! It's not a single person's list, so it takes a little time to compile with everyone. It will be updated (again) very soon!
  19. Like
    Steve Lein reacted to h2oface in Twins Minor League Report (8/3) Austin Martin Makes Debut   
    Bizarre first game for Martin.
    So what does Miranda have to do to get put on the roster and help the Twins? Or do they just like to see him play in St Paul? Donaldson ain't playing anyway for the last 6 games. We know Rooker can hit...... and strike out like Sano (....and Larnach 48 times in last 105 ABs). But does Rooker really have a future (Did Palka have a future? Does Sano?)
    Is there a reason the Prospect Summary isn't being updated with the new players yet?
  20. Like
    Steve Lein got a reaction from glunn in Twins Minor League Report (8/3) Austin Martin Makes Debut   
    There is more than one new prospect in the Minnesota Twins minor league system after the trade deadline, but perhaps the biggest one that came over made his organizational debut on Tuesday night in Double-A.
    To find out how that debut went, and what all the rest of your favorite Minnesota Twins prospects did on Tuesday night, keep reading!
    TRANSACTIONS
    SS/OF Austin Martin was activated for the Wichita Wind Surge and he led off their game tonight, playing shortstop. RHP John Stankiewicz was assigned from the FCL Twins to Fort Myers. RHP Miguel Rodriguez was activated from the injured list for the Mighty Mussels. SAINTS SENTINEL
    Louisville 4, St. Paul 5
    Box Score
    The Saints utilized a bullpen game in the first game of the week’s series against the Bats on Tuesday, sending out Ian Hamilton as the opener. He went three innings, allowing two runs on two solo homers, and striking out two. He was followed by Kyle Barraclough who went the next two scoreless innings, giving up just one hit and one walk while striking out three batters. Robinson Leyer got the sixth and seventh innings and was charged with a blown save. That’s due to him allowing Louisville to tie the game at three on another solo home run in the sixth, to the rehabbing Mike Moustakas. Edgar Garcia pitched a scoreless eighth inning, picking up his third win in the process, by allowing one hit and striking out one. Nick Vincent finished the game to pick up his fifth save of the season, but made it a little interesting by allowing another solo home run to close the gap to 5-4. He struck out two hitters.
    On offense the Saints got on the scoreboard in the second inning thanks to a Ben Rortvedt home run, his second on the season in Triple-A. They took the lead 3-2 after five innings when Rob Refsnyder and Gilberto Celestino each delivered RBI singles. In the eighth inning it was a two-run single from Twins Daily’s Hitter of the Month for July, Jimmy Kerrigan, that put the game just out of reach for Louisville.
    Jose Miranda (2-for-4, R, 2B, K), Rortvedt (3-for-4, 2 R, 2B, HR, RBI), and Kerrigan (2-for-4, 2 RBI) each had multiple hits for the home team in the win.
    WIND SURGE WISDOM
    Midland 5, Wichita 6
    Box Score
    The story in this game was sure to be the organization debut of prospect Austin Martin, whom the Twins received in their trade of Jose Berrios to the Toronto Blue Jays. It was a bit of a mixed bag as far as offense and defense goes, but he was certainly exciting in his debut.
    Martin reached base twice out of the leadoff spot for the Wind Surge, first with a single in the fourth inning for his first hit in the organization.
    On B.J. Boyd’s double that followed, he came around to score all the way from first, including a nifty slide to avoid the tag at home.
    He reached base again in the sixth after being hit by a pitch in the back of his knee (his 15th HBP of the year), and it looked a lot worse than it actually was at first as he collapsed in the batters box, then seemed to head immediately toward the dugout. But he did stay in the game and on defense later in the seventh, ended a bases loaded threat with a 6-3 double play on a grounder up the middle that kept the Wind Surge in the lead at 6-5.
    Martin was also charged with two errors in the game. The first came in the fifth inning on a hard hit ball up the middle. He made a nice half-dive smother to keep it in the infield, but lost control on the transfer and ended up sailing his throw to first base. The second came in the seventh on a ball he tried backhand in the hole but it bounced off him into the outfield and led to an unearned run before he killed the rally later with that nice double play.
    But enough about the new guy!
    Wichita scored first in this one in the bottom of the first, thanks to B.J. Boyd’s eighth home run of the season, and added a second run in the third on a wild pitch after Spencer Steer clubbed a two-out double. They added three more runs in the fourth on a two-run homer from Aaron Whitefield, and then the double from Boyd to score Martin. Whitefield added a necessary insurance run in the sixth with a sac fly to score Trey Cabbage, who had led off the inning with a double.
    Making the start for the Wind Surge was Cole Sands, who has been on a strict pitch count since returning from injury in the middle of July. To open the game he gave up a triple, but worked around it with a popout and pair of strikeouts to come out unscathed. He finished 3 2/3 innings on the night, and finally got bit in the fourth inning. Overall he was charged with two earned runs on three hits and a walk, while striking out six batters.
    Alex Phillips was the first reliever summoned from the bullpen and went the next 1 2/3 innings. He allowed two earned runs of his own on a homer in the sixth, but also struck out two. The recently acquired Evan Sisk finished the next 2/3 of an inning, fighting his control to allow one run on three walks while striking out one. With the score 6-5 Wind Surge at this point, Mitchell Osnowitz and Chris Nunn finished off any further comeback attempt with a combined three scoreless innings. Osnowitz picked up a hold with two scoreless, allowing three hits and striking out two. Nunn picked up his first save with Wichita with a one-two-three ninth, including a K.
    Boyd (2-for-4, R, 2B, HR, 2 RBI), Spencer Steer (2-for-4, R, 2B, K), and Cabbage (2-for-4, R, 2B, K) had multiple hits for the offense. Whitefield led the way with three RBIs.
    KERNELS NUGGETS
    Quad Cities 8, Cedar Rapids 3
    Box Score
    Cedar Rapids got on the scoreboard first in this one in the second inning after loading the bases with nobody out. Max Smith delivered an RBI single and was followed by a sac fly from Gabriel Maciel and 2-0 lead.
    Starting pitcher Jon Olson held the River Bandits to just one hit through the first three innings, but a single followed by a double in the fourth finally put a runner across in the fourth. After a one-two-three fifth inning Olsen came back out for the sixth, and ran into trouble immediately. He was lifted after loading the bases, and finished five plus innings. He was charged with four earned runs on six hits, one walk, and struck out three batters. 
    He was supplanted by reliever Andrew Cabezas, who promptly gave up a bases clearing triple, then a double for a run allowed of his own. A bit mad at himself probably, he channeled some anger and struck out the next three hitters he faced to end the inning with his team down 5-2. He would add a scoreless seventh inning to keep his team within striking distance.
    The Kernels closed the lead to two in the bottom of the sixth with another sac fly from Maciel, but the lone run was a bit disappointing as they had the bases with nobody out.
    The bullpen duo of Breckin Williams and Melvi Acosta then wasn’t able to keep Quad Cities at bay in the eighth and ninth innings, allowing them to extend their lead to the final of 8-3. Williams gave up one run (unearned) on one hit while striking out one in the eighth. Acosta allowed two earned runs on four hits in the ninth and struck out two batters.
    The loss extends the River Bandits lead in the Central-West Division standings to nine games, but the Kernels remain tied for the second best record in the league.
    MUSSEL MATTERS
    Dunedin @ Fort Myers, Postponed (rain)
    The Mighty Mussels and Blue Jays were rained out on Tuesday. The game will be made up as part of a doubleheader tomorrow afternoon, with righthander Sean Mooney on the mound for Fort Myers in game one.
    COMPLEX CHRONICLES
    FCL Orioles Orange @ FCL Twins, Postponed (rain)
    The FCL Twins were affected by the same rain as their Hammond Stadium friends across the Lee County Sports Complex parking lot, and did not play Tuesday morning. They will make up the game on Wednesday as both teams do not have another scheduled..
    TWINS DAILY MINOR LEAGUE PLAYERS OF THE DAY

    Pitcher of the Day - Cole Sands, Wichita Wind Surge (3.2 IP, 3 H, 2 ER, BB, 6 K)
    Hitter of the Day - Ben Rortvedt, St. Paul Saints (3-for-4, 2 R, 2B, HR, RBI)
    PROSPECT SUMMARY

    #1 - Royce Lewis (rehab) - Out for season (torn ACL)
    #2 - Jhoan Duran (St. Paul) - Injured List (elbow strain)
    #3 - Jordan Balazovic (Wichita) - Did not pitch
    #4 - Matt Canterino (Cedar Rapids) - Injured List (right elbow strain)
    #5 - Jose Miranda (St. Paul) - 2-for-4, R, 2B, K
    #6 - Keoni Cavaco (Fort Myers) - Game postponed
    #7 - Gilberto Celestino (St. Paul) - 1-for-4, RBI, K
    #8 - Josh Winder (St. Paul) - Did not pitch
    #9 - Aaron Sabato (Fort Myers) - Game postponed
    #10 - Matt Wallner (Cedar Rapids) - 0-for-4, 2 K
    #11 - Blayne Enlow (Cedar Rapids) - Out for season (Tommy John surgery)
    #12 - Bailey Ober (Minnesota) - Did not pitch
    #13 - Cole Sands (Wichita) - 3.2 IP, 3 H, 2 ER, BB, 6 K
    #14 - Brent Rooker (Minnesota) - 1-for-4, R, 2B, RBI, BB, K
    #15 - Misael Urbina (Fort Myers) - Game postponed
    #16 - Spencer Steer (Wichita) - 2-for-4, R, 2B, K
    #17 - Wander Javier (Cedar Rapids) - 0-for-2, R, 2 BB, K
    #18 - Alerick Soularie (Complex) - N/A (foot injury)
    #19 - Edwar Colina (rehab) - Injured List (elbow)
    #20 - Chris Vallimont (Wichita) - Did not pitch
    WEDNESDAY’S PROBABLE STARTERS

    Louisville @ St. Paul (1:05PM CST) - LHP Andrew Albers (4-4, 4.44 ERA)
    Midland @ Wichita (7:05PM CST) - LHP Bryan Sammons (2-4, 7.08 ERA)
    Quad Cities @ Cedar Rapids (6:35PM CST) - LHP Tyler Watson (2-1, 1.68 ERA)
    Dunedin @ Fort Myers (Game 1, 3:30PM CST) - RHP Sean Mooney (0-1, 0.56 ERA)
    Dunedin @ Fort Myers (Game 2, 30 minutes after game 1) - TBD
    Please feel free to ask questions and discuss Tuesday’s games!
     

    View full article
  21. Like
    Steve Lein reacted to Brock Beauchamp in Twins Minor League Hitter of the Month - July 2021   
    The September rosters are very different this season. Teams can only add two players for a total of 28.
  22. Like
    Steve Lein reacted to chpettit19 in Miller: Several teams pursuing Berríos   
    I don't think it's been super common, but the game is also changing drastically when it comes to defensive positions. It also wasn't common for a former MVP like Kris Bryant to start playing all over the diamond instead of just sticking him at 3rd. Having Abrams being able to play CF (really no reason to think he couldn't do it) and SS also covers up for Tatis and Grisham when they're hurt. Allows you to sit guys and not have to replace a Buxton with a Cave. If the NL gets the DH like everyone expects them to it allows you to keep Tatis and Grisham in your lineup but not have to play the field everyday. Baseball is becoming more and more about just getting the best hitters together and figuring out positioning later (with the exception of SS and C). If they "ban" the shift things may change again, but at this point if there's not 9 better hitters than Abrams on their roster at some point next season the Pads won't care what position everyone plays, he'll be in their lineup.
    I'm not a big fan of the Pads as a trade partner. Gore has been bad for too long that it is no longer just a blip. He needs to be "fixed," and that's not the type of return I want for Berrios. I like Hassell and Campusano, but not sure that's the return I'd want either. Wish Toronto was more in on things as I think they've got the best pieces to bring back. But Abrams is fun to dream about in this awful season.
  23. Like
    Steve Lein reacted to Rigby in Miller: Several teams pursuing Berríos   
    Gore is an enigma. Can this organization fix him? That also is a real consideration. That's why Lange plus possibly Elliott would need to come back to mitigate the risk. I would be a bit surprised if SD moved on from Gore at this point. If not, you can possibly pivot to Campusano - not a need but makes one of the three catchers a very enticing trade chip. It's all about building assets at the moment.
  24. Like
    Steve Lein got a reaction from chpettit19 in Miller: Several teams pursuing Berríos   
    Fair response, but displacing an established and good veteran like Grisham for the top prospect to play out of position is not as common as you think. 
    They probably have the lineup elsewhere to not care, I just think it'd be a waste of his value and he's more available than people think in a deal ala Yoan Moncada, because of that.
    But again, you're not getting him for Berrios alone so is definitely wishful thinking.
    Otherwise, Hassell & Gore+ like posted above is not bad, but Gore scares the hell out of me for the pitcher coming back.
  25. Like
    Steve Lein reacted to chpettit19 in Miller: Several teams pursuing Berríos   
    I'm all for the Twins trying to get Abrams. The comment I was responding to said "there's no room for Abrams in the long future of San Diego." That is absurd. Him moving to CF (Grisham to a corner) doesn't kill Abrams' value. If he's a plus defensive CFer (should be unless he's simply incapable of judging a fly ball) with his bat he's just as valuable as he'd be at SS. Teams find a place for the #1 prospect in baseball. Not saying it's impossible that they trade him, but they're not trading him because they don't think they can get him on the field on their own team.
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