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mikelink45

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  1. Like
    mikelink45 reacted to cjm0926 in For The Future: A Possible 2025 Roster   
    That was definitely something I thought about when I was writing this. For some prospects I was thinking that it would be better if we traded them, but it would be more of a guessing game if I included that. I think there is a small chance that Rooker could figure something out and become a very solid player, and for Sabato, he is looking like a career DH or fringe first baseman. Hopefully he finds something out too.
  2. Haha
    mikelink45 reacted to ashbury in For The Future: A Possible 2025 Roster   
    We're now past Wait 'Til Next Year mode, and are jumping straight to 2025.
    Plausible roster, though.  Hope some of these arms pan out.
  3. Like
    mikelink45 got a reaction from WyoTwin in Introducing the Head 2 Head Debate Forum!   
    I love it.  One of my pleasures on TD is when I get comments and discussions - and often other opinions.  This could be really fun - Go Eddie Rosario!
  4. Like
    mikelink45 got a reaction from Brock Beauchamp in Introducing the Head 2 Head Debate Forum!   
    I believe the use of RP, the length of SP appearances, who cares about exit velocity and especially how far a HR was hit?  Who are all those coaches and what do they do? Which coaches are the most important.  .How soon should prospects be called up? How do we shorten games?  What needs to be done to get the popularity of the sport back?  Oh the options.
  5. Like
    mikelink45 got a reaction from chpettit19 in Introducing the Head 2 Head Debate Forum!   
    I love it.  One of my pleasures on TD is when I get comments and discussions - and often other opinions.  This could be really fun - Go Eddie Rosario!
  6. Like
    mikelink45 got a reaction from Brock Beauchamp in Introducing the Head 2 Head Debate Forum!   
    I love it.  One of my pleasures on TD is when I get comments and discussions - and often other opinions.  This could be really fun - Go Eddie Rosario!
  7. Like
    mikelink45 got a reaction from wabene in 40-man roster decisions, part 1: position players   
    I followed you until you kept Cave - Celestino can hit as well as Cave and field a lot better.  
  8. Like
    mikelink45 got a reaction from Brock Beauchamp in 40-man roster decisions, part 1: position players   
    Add in the commissioner!
  9. Like
    mikelink45 reacted to Brock Beauchamp in 40-man roster decisions, part 1: position players   
    Oh, in no way am I defending any baseball team owners. I think they're all bastards.
  10. Like
    mikelink45 reacted to beckmt in 40-man roster decisions, part 1: position players   
    I can see keeping Rooker, since he still has options if not traded.  Buxton seems to be OK with long term, let's get it done. Pohlads have always stepped up for long term face of franchise assets, that is how I view Buxton.  If we sign Buxton, can see Kepler and Garver packaged for pitching.  Too many holes to fill there.  Gordon and Arraez and fine for utility players and should be kept and see plenty of AB's.  Cave should be gone.  Can see starting Kirlloff in left field and give Laurach some more AAA time until ready.  He was rushed this year.  
    If you don't resign Buxton this list is going to look a lot different. 
  11. Like
    mikelink45 got a reaction from TopGunn#22 in 40-man roster decisions, part 1: position players   
    I followed you until you kept Cave - Celestino can hit as well as Cave and field a lot better.  
  12. Like
    mikelink45 got a reaction from TopGunn#22 in 40-man roster decisions, part 1: position players   
    I have no idea.  The biggest question for me is who has value to other teams and what can we get from them?  Then there is the FA question - which FAs fall into the list that actually might be willing to sign with the Twins?  The prospects needing to be named are a good group, but too many coming off injury to project them in the majors.
    The only reason I can see for Cave playing during the last few weeks is hoping he hits enough to interest someone else.  He hasn't.  He is my first drop.  Rooker, Refsnyder, Garlick are the kinds of players that fill out the rosters of bad teams - I want something better.
    SS is the biggest puzzle.  I cannot believe that Simmons might come back, but all the discussions eliminate us from the big book boys and say our own players can't play SS.  So what might happen?
  13. Like
    mikelink45 reacted to ashbury in 40-man roster decisions, part 1: position players   
    Keeping Jake Cave isn't a hill I would die on.   I've been on record a long time for not liking his game very much.  If you or someone else want to keep Garlick as the OF place holder instead, it's not terribly consequential, but IMO we have an oversupply of options for the corners.
    Celestino is on the 40-man and I would of course keep him, but I'm not confident he'll be ready on Opening Day - his good AAA numbers are built on a rather high number of hits dropping in.  I drop Refsnyder and Garlick because their bats aren't any better than Cave and they do not have his range - Refsnyder hurt himself trying to play CF, after all.  Dropping Cave too, brings the OF count down to 5 and that's too thin.  The acquisition of someone better than Cave in center will make his departure assured and painless.  We are short on up the middle talent.
  14. Like
    mikelink45 reacted to Squirrel in 40-man roster decisions, part 1: position players   
    I'd say that's definitely true for the backups on the 26-man ... but I'm not so sure that one or two of them could be a good option in AAA for depth? There are a lot of 'it depends' in all of this because, well ... it depends! lol. All I know is that you have to cautious about who you keep with as much as who you drop. Fun and frustrating puzzle to mull over.
  15. Like
    mikelink45 reacted to stringer bell in 40-man roster decisions, part 1: position players   
    I think Refsnyder is a certain drop. He has no minor league options,  did not even hit at replacement level, he's no longer considered an infield option and he's 30. Yes, he hit for a couple weeks, but that appears to be an aberration. If the team can sign him to a minor league contract, he could try his luck in St. Paul again and see if the injuries pile up as they did this year. 
    I haven't mentioned Cave either. He's a capable outfielder, but his hit tool seems broken. To be a backup outfielder who would be penciled in for occasional starts on a corner, you have to be somewhat of a threat with the bat and Cave has hit worse than a backup catcher. 
  16. Like
    mikelink45 reacted to Brock Beauchamp in 40-man roster decisions, part 1: position players   
    Given how this season has gone and the way the roster is built, I wouldn't hesitate to clean house in the outfield. I'd drop Garlick, Refsnyder, Cave, Astudillo, and Rooker. I'd keep Gordon because I think he has real potential as a 10/11 man and he's actually kind of key to my outfield plans...
    If Gordon is a legit CF backup, maybe I keep a right-handed bat like Refsnyder or Rooker (I lean toward Refsnyder due to the glove but Rooker's bat is far more potent). If Gordon is not a legit backup CF, I ditch all the corner guys and go sign a competent defensive backup CF for a million bucks.
    Basically, it's time to move on from no-position corner guys taking up well over half the team's positional roster space. This team needs more balance than it has had in the past and that means sacrificing a little offense for defensive competency on the bench.
  17. Like
    mikelink45 reacted to Vanimal46 in 40-man roster decisions, part 1: position players   
    Most of those players will likely remain with the team. The people most at risk of losing their 40 man spot:
    Simmons - obviously 
    Cave - He’s had a tough go of things in 2020 and 2021. It’s time to find someone better, or use his spot for another prospect. 
    Astudillo - His “positional flexibility” has been reduced to corner IF/OF spots. Rarely as a catcher anymore. I think Gordon’s performance in September gives him the edge as utility guy. 
    Maggi - Just an honorary nomination this year for being a long time minor leaguer. He shouldn’t be considered a short or long term player on the 40 man. 
    People that I wouldn’t be surprised if they were jettisoned from the roster or kept are Garlick, Refsnyder, and Rooker. They’re decent depth pieces. 
  18. Like
    mikelink45 reacted to Squirrel in Saddest sports city   
    The Lynx won the championship in 2011, 2013, 2015 and 2017 ... so, no, it hasn't been since 1991.
  19. Like
    mikelink45 got a reaction from wabene in Average OPS By Position vs. Twins Starters   
    I really enjoyed this.  It is a very constructive way to look at the positions.  I hope you are able to get more up to date data because I think we will look even worse with more current information. 
    I went to fangraphs and wRC -
    1. Garver is #20 on the overall list - our highest twin 154 score.
    It really hurts to see LaMonte Wade at #27!
    Nelson Cruz is the only other Twin (ex) in the top 60.
    2. Josh Donaldson #62 127
    Then there is Akil Baddoo at number 82 - still higher that Twins OF
    3.Polanco is #93 with a 118
    There is Robbie Grossman and Jonathon Scoop before we get to 4.Arraez at #136 - 109
    5. Sano at #169 is 104
    And that completes our over league average group (average 100). 
    Jeffers 97
    Kepler 96
    Astudillo 96
    Kiriloff 94
    Larnach 89
    Simmons 61
    Thanks to Garver these 11 average 104 for the team. 
  20. Like
    mikelink45 reacted to ToddlerHarmon in Average OPS By Position vs. Twins Starters   
    If we attached these OPS+ to specific position averages, my guess is Sano falls to below average, but Jeffers and Astudillo rise to above average? It certainly seems like today's OPS averages are lower than 2006, which meets the eye test
  21. Like
    mikelink45 got a reaction from ToddlerHarmon in Average OPS By Position vs. Twins Starters   
    I really enjoyed this.  It is a very constructive way to look at the positions.  I hope you are able to get more up to date data because I think we will look even worse with more current information. 
    I went to fangraphs and wRC -
    1. Garver is #20 on the overall list - our highest twin 154 score.
    It really hurts to see LaMonte Wade at #27!
    Nelson Cruz is the only other Twin (ex) in the top 60.
    2. Josh Donaldson #62 127
    Then there is Akil Baddoo at number 82 - still higher that Twins OF
    3.Polanco is #93 with a 118
    There is Robbie Grossman and Jonathon Scoop before we get to 4.Arraez at #136 - 109
    5. Sano at #169 is 104
    And that completes our over league average group (average 100). 
    Jeffers 97
    Kepler 96
    Astudillo 96
    Kiriloff 94
    Larnach 89
    Simmons 61
    Thanks to Garver these 11 average 104 for the team. 
  22. Like
    mikelink45 got a reaction from h2oface in Average OPS By Position vs. Twins Starters   
    I really enjoyed this.  It is a very constructive way to look at the positions.  I hope you are able to get more up to date data because I think we will look even worse with more current information. 
    I went to fangraphs and wRC -
    1. Garver is #20 on the overall list - our highest twin 154 score.
    It really hurts to see LaMonte Wade at #27!
    Nelson Cruz is the only other Twin (ex) in the top 60.
    2. Josh Donaldson #62 127
    Then there is Akil Baddoo at number 82 - still higher that Twins OF
    3.Polanco is #93 with a 118
    There is Robbie Grossman and Jonathon Scoop before we get to 4.Arraez at #136 - 109
    5. Sano at #169 is 104
    And that completes our over league average group (average 100). 
    Jeffers 97
    Kepler 96
    Astudillo 96
    Kiriloff 94
    Larnach 89
    Simmons 61
    Thanks to Garver these 11 average 104 for the team. 
  23. Like
    mikelink45 reacted to RonCoomersOPS in Which Pitching Prospect Will Help Twins Next?   
    Charlie Barnes is probably the next in line, but Josh Winder is likely the next one that will really be impactful (not to dismiss Barnes, I think he's probably a #4 guy for a good long while; Winder is a guy who I think could make us all quickly feel better about trading Berrios).
  24. Like
    mikelink45 reacted to Lucas Seehafer PT in Which Pitching Prospect Will Help Twins Next?   
    Jovani Moran and Josh Winder are definitely the closest to MLB ready, in my estimation, and also are pretty much the only two who are healthy at this point (sounds like Winder is going to be ok after taking a ball off the neck in his last start). I'm pretty high on both, but we probably won't see extended looks at either until next summer. 
  25. Like
    mikelink45 reacted to Greglw3 in Which Pitching Prospect Will Help Twins Next?   
    I'm all for it. We’re going nowhere with Happ and possibly Pineda. I think you’re right in that we can’t know who the pitching equivalents of Larnach and Kirilloff are unless we give them a chance. Some really intriguing relievers too! 
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