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JD-TWINS

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  1. Like
    JD-TWINS got a reaction from Blyleven2011 in Reassessing Our Rankings of the Top 20 Twins Assets of 2023   
    I saw somebody commented on Duran’s location on the list. My assumption is that if we offered up Duran as a trade piece we could get back almost anything we asked for in an everyday player. He’s lights out & maybe 25 yrs old at most - 4 more years of control. Pretty valuable!!
    The only real thought I have on the list is what is, in my opinion, a big slight change n Nick Gordon.
    Gordon’s health has been messed up since he got drafted 5-6 years ago. Last year he gained 25lb from January to June. His health is good and he’s getting stronger. He came up as a SS but is limited there - he became our Utility Guy. All good.
    Due to injuries to our outfielders he was forced to move & start in LF every day. He then became the best option in CF He hadn’t played OF in pro ball.
    2022:
    65 starts in LF & 33 other starts in CF. 1st year as an outfielder!
    405 AB’s - .272 BA ………9 HR ………28 doubles.
    With 575 AB’s in ‘23 he has a respectable BA - 40 doubles - 12 HR…………he’s gotta be in the Top 20 assets. 
    Larnach - Walner - Kiriloff haven’t combined for a year that good yet. Gordon is in Left everyday this year unless he’s in CF filling in for Buxton - he’s earned it!!
  2. Like
    JD-TWINS got a reaction from roger in The Twins Need to be Realistic With Max Kepler   
    Agree - the lift of the shift was/is my hope for Kepler to come around. Had not seen the Gallo signing coming!! I think Max hits .255 or more this year.
    Kepler was amongst the 85% of left handed batters that never bunted nor hit the ball to the left side - hence the rule change.
    I was sure Kepler would be traded by now.
    I guess we keep him, at least until the deadline & we can evaluate Gallo, because we can’t trust the  health of Kirilof nor Larnach.
    I like Gallo - Gordon - Kepler left to right against LH starting pitching!!!! Larnach at DH & Kirilof at 1B. Big possibilities! 
  3. Like
    JD-TWINS got a reaction from LA VIkes Fan in The Twins Need to be Realistic With Max Kepler   
    Not sure why Gordon can’t play 135 games in OF in ‘23? He gained 25lb from January - June and played whenever needed & wherever needed last year. Much stronger & more stamina.
    85 starts in LF - 50 starts in CF in ‘23.
    .272 BA in ‘22
    28 doubles - 9 HR - 98 OF starts in ‘22 - 405 AB’s 
    Why wouldn’t he hit 38 doubles & 12 HR in 575 AB’s in ‘23?? I think he’s gotta play daily & deserves to play daily after last season.
  4. Like
    JD-TWINS reacted to Ricky Vaughn in Twins Know Winning Trumps Fun in Dealing Arraez   
    I don't care for it either. Many say he will never be worth more. What is the reasoning? His knee's or power. After spending the winter working out with Nelson Cruz his power numbers went up and he said near the end of the season that his knee's were pain free all season. He pulled a hamstring in the second half, his knee was'nt the problem. I think if he had a full healthy season 40 doubles and 12-15 homeruns are posible. I don't think his value is done going up. In my humble opinion winning a trade should not be the goal. If everyone gets what they traded for, the teams will be much more receptive to dealing with each other again.  All that said I do thik the trade was good and fair deal. I will miss seeing him play and hope he goes on to a long career.
  5. Like
    JD-TWINS reacted to roger in Twins Know Winning Trumps Fun in Dealing Arraez   
    The success of this trade will be based on how two players perform in 2023 and beyond.
    First, will Lopez be at least a solid #2?  
    And second, how will AK perform as hopefully, their starting first baseman?  If finally healthy, he can push the results of this trade onto the positive side of the ledger.
  6. Like
    JD-TWINS got a reaction from Doctor Gast in Miranda, Gordon Focused on Health and Winning in 2023   
    There’s a lot of talk in the various Twins Daily posts regarding Miranda not being good enough at 3B nor Gordon being good enough to play every day.
    Already taking two big success stories from ‘22 & predicting failure for ‘23. Always looking for the next guys to come up and the grass that’s greener on other side of the hill. Miranda will be fine at 3rd and should hit in the line-up playing 3B 60% of the time. There will be opportunities for him at 1B & DH as well. Gordon was the 2nd best bat in the line-up over the course of the year. .272 BA - 28 doubles with limited AB’s. Solid OF defense - durable.
    I see these guys being a real important part of our core in Minneapolis going forward!!!!! Everyday starters!
  7. Like
    JD-TWINS got a reaction from Fatbat in Twins Will Win the Division (An Overly Optimistic Post)   
    That’s a good point!
    I was feeling optimistic.
    I would say though that without Joe Smith, Duffey, & Pagan being core members of our Pen, we still have the opportunity to win 15 more games due to Pen improvements. I get the guys there now aren’t perfect but more reliable on average.
    What we don’t pick up from the Pen, we can gain from a deeper starting group of arms & should handle any injuries with a clear “next man up” option.
  8. Like
    JD-TWINS got a reaction from Blyleven2011 in Could the Twins Still Swing a Deal for an Ace?   
    I’m stuck on the Marlin’s Luzardo! Why - seems really talented & yet completely unproven after only one successful season of 100 innings. Also, less costly than the ACE types.
    Marlins are moving Arraez to 2B - moving 2nd baseman to CF for first time ever in OF. They are in last year of contract with 1st baseman.
    Luzardo to Twins for:
    Celestino (CF with upside & control) - Kepler (starting OF with upside as shift is lifted). These guys address their everyday OF problem - also, lets the Team options on how to get Arraez into line-up. There’s some talk that the former 2nd baseman should move to SS & not CF.
    I’m not a Marlins expert but these two guys help them with issues they have……….if we add Martin it helps with their SS deficiency. I’d add J. Lopez for pitching help as an upside veteran!
    4 players that can contribute - 2 under long control. All for a young Lefty.
    Thoughts??
  9. Like
    JD-TWINS reacted to August J Gloop in What will we get back from the likely impending trade of Kepler   
    But he (probably? hopefully?) is a much better hitter. And he's still a positive value defender, so he's got bigger upside than Max at this point. 
  10. Like
    JD-TWINS got a reaction from Rik19753 in Twins Will Win the Division (An Overly Optimistic Post)   
    That’s a good point!
    I was feeling optimistic.
    I would say though that without Joe Smith, Duffey, & Pagan being core members of our Pen, we still have the opportunity to win 15 more games due to Pen improvements. I get the guys there now aren’t perfect but more reliable on average.
    What we don’t pick up from the Pen, we can gain from a deeper starting group of arms & should handle any injuries with a clear “next man up” option.
  11. Like
    JD-TWINS got a reaction from joefish in Elephant in the Lockeroom.   
    G. Celestino not on roster!! I keep proposing a trade with Kepler - Pagan - Celestino to help us with 3 problems all at once. Sorry!
    Since we got Gallo I assumed we needed to move Kepler. Gordon earned LF & CF back-up as well in ‘22.
    If we can’t move Kepler:
    Gordon in LF 80 games. Larnach in LF 50 games. Garlick/Lewis in LF 35 games.
    Buxton in CF 85 games. Gordon in CF 55 games. Gallo in CF 25 games.
    Kepler in RF 105 games. Gallo in RF 55 games.
    Buxton at DH 45 games. Gallo at DH 25 games. Larnach at DH 55 games. Garlick at DH 25 games. CC at DH 10 games.
    Kirilof at 1B only (trying to keep healthy) & Miranda getting AB’s at 1B in maybe 40 games. Farmer at 3B when we face Lefty’s & when Miranda rests……Farmer, maybe 65 starts at 3rd and 20 starts at SS and 25 starts at 2B.
    I do get, the more I look at the roster, that keeping Kepler may make sense! Have been a big trade proponent since the day we signed Gallo. Want to trade his salary for room for a FA reliever!!!! However, with Buxton - Garlick - Kirilof - Larnach all recently & repeatedly injured, we can’t count on their innings in reality like we can on paper. Keeping Kepler is a much better option than being forced into playing Celestino!
    Gallo/Larnach - Gordon - Kepler is still an exceptional outfield if Buxton goes down with injury.
  12. Like
    JD-TWINS reacted to Unwinder in What will we get back from the likely impending trade of Kepler   
    I want to see a bullpen upgrade before the offseason is over, but I'd rather sign Fulmer or similar, and trade Kepler for prospects than directly trade him for a reliever.
  13. Like
    JD-TWINS got a reaction from Barnacles in Miranda, Gordon Focused on Health and Winning in 2023   
    There’s a lot of talk in the various Twins Daily posts regarding Miranda not being good enough at 3B nor Gordon being good enough to play every day.
    Already taking two big success stories from ‘22 & predicting failure for ‘23. Always looking for the next guys to come up and the grass that’s greener on other side of the hill. Miranda will be fine at 3rd and should hit in the line-up playing 3B 60% of the time. There will be opportunities for him at 1B & DH as well. Gordon was the 2nd best bat in the line-up over the course of the year. .272 BA - 28 doubles with limited AB’s. Solid OF defense - durable.
    I see these guys being a real important part of our core in Minneapolis going forward!!!!! Everyday starters!
  14. Like
    JD-TWINS got a reaction from Wyotwinsfan in Miranda, Gordon Focused on Health and Winning in 2023   
    There’s a lot of talk in the various Twins Daily posts regarding Miranda not being good enough at 3B nor Gordon being good enough to play every day.
    Already taking two big success stories from ‘22 & predicting failure for ‘23. Always looking for the next guys to come up and the grass that’s greener on other side of the hill. Miranda will be fine at 3rd and should hit in the line-up playing 3B 60% of the time. There will be opportunities for him at 1B & DH as well. Gordon was the 2nd best bat in the line-up over the course of the year. .272 BA - 28 doubles with limited AB’s. Solid OF defense - durable.
    I see these guys being a real important part of our core in Minneapolis going forward!!!!! Everyday starters!
  15. Yikes
    JD-TWINS got a reaction from Omgbenji in Could the Twins Still Swing a Deal for an Ace?   
    I’m stuck on the Marlin’s Luzardo! Why - seems really talented & yet completely unproven after only one successful season of 100 innings. Also, less costly than the ACE types.
    Marlins are moving Arraez to 2B - moving 2nd baseman to CF for first time ever in OF. They are in last year of contract with 1st baseman.
    Luzardo to Twins for:
    Celestino (CF with upside & control) - Kepler (starting OF with upside as shift is lifted). These guys address their everyday OF problem - also, lets the Team options on how to get Arraez into line-up. There’s some talk that the former 2nd baseman should move to SS & not CF.
    I’m not a Marlins expert but these two guys help them with issues they have……….if we add Martin it helps with their SS deficiency. I’d add J. Lopez for pitching help as an upside veteran!
    4 players that can contribute - 2 under long control. All for a young Lefty.
    Thoughts??
  16. Like
    JD-TWINS got a reaction from Kipp35 in Taylor Trade Gives Twins Their Best Centerfield Depth in Years   
    I hated the Arraez trade!! Agreed on offense……..just trying to stay upbeat. We needed/need more front line pitching. If he was still in line-up though and we were minus a prospect or two (bird in hand) plus Kepler - Celestino - maybe Pagán, I’d feel a lot better.
  17. Like
    JD-TWINS got a reaction from TNTwinsFan in Could the Twins Still Swing a Deal for an Ace?   
    We are in a deep minority but I agree completely on Gordon! If you take away Buxton’s ability to contribute as DH, it wouldn’t be close. 
    2022: .272BA - 50 RBI batting 7th or lower - 405 AB’s & had 28 doubles. Played OF for first year in career, 2 positions. Gained 25lb from January to June & is getting stronger after overcoming intestinal ailment.
    How do his stats project in a better line-up & him getting 575 AB’s?
    Larnach - Kirilof - Kepler - Gallo all need to Show Me something this year to move Gordon from 80 starts in LF & 50 starts in CF.
    Martin - Lewis are in the wings……..no mention of Celestino is on purpose.
  18. Like
    JD-TWINS reacted to Trov in Could the Twins Still Swing a Deal for an Ace?   
    Personally, I would not want to deal too much of our farm system for a guy that will be here 2 years.  The main reason, is we will have several in our rotation all leaving at the same time.  If they all leave, then we will need to fill those spots with someone.  You would hope we will have a few ready to step in, but we would run into the, untested guys again.  I also am hesitant to trade our top SS prospects, mainly because they can move to other positions at MLB level, and as long as they can hit, which most have shown they can, I do not see a point in giving them up.  
    I am not one that believes that either Gallon or Burns will make the full difference between losing in first round or not.  Yes, it would increase our chances most likely, but how much better are they than what we can put out there?  As long as we have health, we should have a decent 5 man rotation, and I do not think either Gallon or Burns will improve enough to be worth what we would need to give up. 
    I would agree that with a top pitcher pitching top of their game can help carry a team in playoffs.  However, just having the best pitcher in the matchup will not mean you win.  We had Santana for several post season runs, but never won a series.  The year we beat Oakland, many years ago, every one of the starting pitcher match ups very much went to Oakland.  I mean our best pitcher, Radke would not have been slotted better than any of the top 3 for Oakland, but yet we still won.  Yankees have had Cole last few years, but still no ship for them.  
    I believe raising the overall floor is better than having 1 top guy.  Dealing away all your assets to improve a little just does not seem worth it. Sure if you could get Gallon for Ober, Salas or Martin, and a third lower level guy, I would jump at that, but my guess it will take much more.  I do not even think Burns could be had for that. I bet not 1 trade starts without Lee or Lewis being talked about, and most likely both, and more. 
  19. Like
    JD-TWINS got a reaction from roger in Miranda, Gordon Focused on Health and Winning in 2023   
    There’s a lot of talk in the various Twins Daily posts regarding Miranda not being good enough at 3B nor Gordon being good enough to play every day.
    Already taking two big success stories from ‘22 & predicting failure for ‘23. Always looking for the next guys to come up and the grass that’s greener on other side of the hill. Miranda will be fine at 3rd and should hit in the line-up playing 3B 60% of the time. There will be opportunities for him at 1B & DH as well. Gordon was the 2nd best bat in the line-up over the course of the year. .272 BA - 28 doubles with limited AB’s. Solid OF defense - durable.
    I see these guys being a real important part of our core in Minneapolis going forward!!!!! Everyday starters!
  20. Like
    JD-TWINS got a reaction from Monkeypaws in Miranda, Gordon Focused on Health and Winning in 2023   
    There’s a lot of talk in the various Twins Daily posts regarding Miranda not being good enough at 3B nor Gordon being good enough to play every day.
    Already taking two big success stories from ‘22 & predicting failure for ‘23. Always looking for the next guys to come up and the grass that’s greener on other side of the hill. Miranda will be fine at 3rd and should hit in the line-up playing 3B 60% of the time. There will be opportunities for him at 1B & DH as well. Gordon was the 2nd best bat in the line-up over the course of the year. .272 BA - 28 doubles with limited AB’s. Solid OF defense - durable.
    I see these guys being a real important part of our core in Minneapolis going forward!!!!! Everyday starters!
  21. Like
    JD-TWINS got a reaction from Peter in Twins Will Win the Division (An Overly Optimistic Post)   
    If we could move Maeda into Pen for a 2-3 inning bridge guy from middle of the 6th through the 8th & add a FA reliever like Fulmer or Chafin we’d be set!
    27 blown saves last year and if we can get that number down to 12 blown saves……..that’s 93 Wins!!
    We should have ample depth to compete through the year!!
  22. Like
    JD-TWINS got a reaction from mikelink45 in Miranda, Gordon Focused on Health and Winning in 2023   
    There’s a lot of talk in the various Twins Daily posts regarding Miranda not being good enough at 3B nor Gordon being good enough to play every day.
    Already taking two big success stories from ‘22 & predicting failure for ‘23. Always looking for the next guys to come up and the grass that’s greener on other side of the hill. Miranda will be fine at 3rd and should hit in the line-up playing 3B 60% of the time. There will be opportunities for him at 1B & DH as well. Gordon was the 2nd best bat in the line-up over the course of the year. .272 BA - 28 doubles with limited AB’s. Solid OF defense - durable.
    I see these guys being a real important part of our core in Minneapolis going forward!!!!! Everyday starters!
  23. Like
    JD-TWINS got a reaction from NotAboutWinning in Reassessing Our Rankings of the Top 20 Twins Assets of 2023   
    I saw somebody commented on Duran’s location on the list. My assumption is that if we offered up Duran as a trade piece we could get back almost anything we asked for in an everyday player. He’s lights out & maybe 25 yrs old at most - 4 more years of control. Pretty valuable!!
    The only real thought I have on the list is what is, in my opinion, a big slight change n Nick Gordon.
    Gordon’s health has been messed up since he got drafted 5-6 years ago. Last year he gained 25lb from January to June. His health is good and he’s getting stronger. He came up as a SS but is limited there - he became our Utility Guy. All good.
    Due to injuries to our outfielders he was forced to move & start in LF every day. He then became the best option in CF He hadn’t played OF in pro ball.
    2022:
    65 starts in LF & 33 other starts in CF. 1st year as an outfielder!
    405 AB’s - .272 BA ………9 HR ………28 doubles.
    With 575 AB’s in ‘23 he has a respectable BA - 40 doubles - 12 HR…………he’s gotta be in the Top 20 assets. 
    Larnach - Walner - Kiriloff haven’t combined for a year that good yet. Gordon is in Left everyday this year unless he’s in CF filling in for Buxton - he’s earned it!!
  24. Like
    JD-TWINS got a reaction from weitz41 in Twins Will Win the Division (An Overly Optimistic Post)   
    Same & same!
    We’re a FA reliever away from very solid club!!
  25. Like
    JD-TWINS got a reaction from bighat in Miranda, Gordon Focused on Health and Winning in 2023   
    There’s a lot of talk in the various Twins Daily posts regarding Miranda not being good enough at 3B nor Gordon being good enough to play every day.
    Already taking two big success stories from ‘22 & predicting failure for ‘23. Always looking for the next guys to come up and the grass that’s greener on other side of the hill. Miranda will be fine at 3rd and should hit in the line-up playing 3B 60% of the time. There will be opportunities for him at 1B & DH as well. Gordon was the 2nd best bat in the line-up over the course of the year. .272 BA - 28 doubles with limited AB’s. Solid OF defense - durable.
    I see these guys being a real important part of our core in Minneapolis going forward!!!!! Everyday starters!
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