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Mark G

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  1. Haha
    Mark G reacted to VivaBomboRivera! in Max-imizing Kepler's Value   
    You do wonder if he's listening.
  2. Like
    Mark G got a reaction from VivaBomboRivera! in Max-imizing Kepler's Value   
    As we are mulling this over, Max has just hit his 2nd home run in two at bats tonight.  Hilarious.  
  3. Like
    Mark G got a reaction from VivaBomboRivera! in Max-imizing Kepler's Value   
    Until one of the newbies proves themselves to be better, and until we sign Buxton long term (?)  I don't have a problem with keeping Max for awhile.  Work with him on bunting down the third base line when he is shifted on,  and things might open up more.  And the fact he can play both right and center at a pretty decent level is quite the insurance policy for Buxton leaving (?) or the newbies taking more time than anticipated.  I think he is a reclamation project worth working on, especially at his price.  And if the guys coming up beat him out, a trade can be worked out, but what's the hurry?   Now, if we can get a decent pitcher for him...........I will deny I ever wrote this.   
  4. Like
    Mark G reacted to Minny505 in Max-imizing Kepler's Value   
    With the fans, Kepler has more of a perception issue than a performance issue. He is getting paid like a league average player and providing league average value. Fans were hoping for, even expecting, him to overperform that contract and he hasn't...but he has played up to it. 

    From a team perspective, Baldelli keeps treating him in the lineup (until just the last couple of weeks) like one of their core stars. It reminds me of Gardy and Punto. Kepler is better than Punto, but is still getting asked by his manager to provide more value than he can. 

    Bat Kepler somewhere in the 6-8 spot in most years and I think our perception of him changes. In those two or three 90th percentile seasons. like 2019, feel free to move him up...but don't expect that to be the norm. 
  5. Like
    Mark G reacted to PDX Twin in Max-imizing Kepler's Value   
    Kepler came up through the Twins' system during the Terry Ryan era. My recollection is that the Twins were much more focused on hitting the ball hard to all fields in those days, which explains the high average in the high minors. But now he seems to have bought totally into the "hit it as hard as I can to right field" philosophy and it has (IMO) ruined him at the plate in exchange for a few extra HRs each year. Can he go back to his foundations? Should he?
  6. Like
    Mark G reacted to Karbo in Max-imizing Kepler's Value   
    I agree that the shift is killing Max. He is a good athlete that should be able to beat the shift. Yes bunting down the 3rd base line would be one way, but why can't our hitting coaches help him learn to go with the pitch the other way to left field? I really believe if he could improve that he would get more pitches he could pull and use some of his power to right again. I think a .270 avg. with 15-20 homeruns would look a lot better then his present stats, and with a few more base hits to left (or bunt singles) he's shown he has the ability to steal a few bases.
  7. Like
    Mark G reacted to LA VIkes Fan in Max-imizing Kepler's Value   
    Good analysis. This article points out something we all kind of know and supports it with real data. Kepler is an above average fielding corner outfielder with a well below average bat. I don't think moving him to centerfield really helps a lot because tat minimizes his one asset, an above average glove, because he would be an average at best centerfielder. The problem is he just can't hit and for some reason he is unwilling to do anything other than pull the ball on regular basis. He's got to be the easiest guy in the American League to shift against.

    With these flaws, I think it's unlikely that we would be able to trade him for much pitching unless we included an upside prospect with him in a package. Maybe somebody who is not an elite or even strong prospect but projects to be a possible mid to back rotation starter or solid bullpen piece regarding whom there is still some doubt. That might be someone like Winder or Strotman or, if we are willing to take more risk on the return side, maybe someone like Jax or Barnes. 
    I will say that if I'm right on the possible return, Kepler probably has more value to the Twins than he does to anybody else. We are probably still a year away from having a capable replacement given the somewhat gaping hole we presently have in left field. Even if Kirilloff becomes our regular leftfielder and continues his development as a solid or better than that hitter, it's not like we have another outfielder banging on the door to take Kepler's place in 2022. Larnach wasn't quite ready when he came up this year and neither is Celestino or Rooker.
    I think the best thing for Kepler is to continue to work with him on learning to hit the ball to left field while at the same time effectively platooning him with who we think is our best right-handed hitting outfield prospect to give that player a chance to develop. In my view, that's probably Celestino given how well he hit at AAA when he went back down. We use the 1st half to two thirds of 2022 to see if the younger player can develop and/or if Kepler and finally gets a better approach at the plate and each of them and effectively also functions as the backup centerfielder. I just don't think trading him makes sense because of the low likely return and I do think the Twins highest priority in the off-season is to re-sign Buxton
  8. Like
    Mark G reacted to strumdatjag in Max-imizing Kepler's Value   
    Half of the left-handed hitters in baseball should learn to get bunt singles to the third base side.   They either can’t do it or won’t do it.  That’s a shame.  Hits that beat these annoying, ubiquitous shifts are my favorite plays in baseball in this shift-happy era 
  9. Like
    Mark G reacted to tarheeltwinsfan in Max-imizing Kepler's Value   
    Yes ! Exactly what High Heat said. 
  10. Like
    Mark G reacted to tarheeltwinsfan in Max-imizing Kepler's Value   
    Order Kepler to hit the ball to the left side whenever the shift is on him. That will raise his batting average a lot and get him on base to score more runs. I think he hit for high averages in the high minors (.318 in AA and .282 in AAA). Is that because the shift was not used then in the minors? I totally blame the low batting average Kepler's inability and/or unwillingness to bunt toward 3B and to just stroke the ball toward 3b every time the shift is on him.  Maybe Kepler could ask Cruz (after the world series) and Sano for some tips. Sano has been doing hitting to the opposite field much more this season. Thank you very much. 
  11. Like
    Mark G reacted to High heat in Max-imizing Kepler's Value   
    Kepler needs to spend the off-season learning to bunt!  Teams put on this extreme shift because he’s a extreme pull hitter especially in the ground.  Bunt get on base and get teams out of the extreme shift against you.  Take the bunt single when they are just giving it to you. 
    this will also open up the hard ground ball up the middle that is an easy out right now. 
     
    He could go from .210 to .280 from bunting and what that opens in the infield.
  12. Like
    Mark G got a reaction from chpettit19 in Max-imizing Kepler's Value   
    Until one of the newbies proves themselves to be better, and until we sign Buxton long term (?)  I don't have a problem with keeping Max for awhile.  Work with him on bunting down the third base line when he is shifted on,  and things might open up more.  And the fact he can play both right and center at a pretty decent level is quite the insurance policy for Buxton leaving (?) or the newbies taking more time than anticipated.  I think he is a reclamation project worth working on, especially at his price.  And if the guys coming up beat him out, a trade can be worked out, but what's the hurry?   Now, if we can get a decent pitcher for him...........I will deny I ever wrote this.   
  13. Like
    Mark G got a reaction from DocBauer in Max-imizing Kepler's Value   
    Until one of the newbies proves themselves to be better, and until we sign Buxton long term (?)  I don't have a problem with keeping Max for awhile.  Work with him on bunting down the third base line when he is shifted on,  and things might open up more.  And the fact he can play both right and center at a pretty decent level is quite the insurance policy for Buxton leaving (?) or the newbies taking more time than anticipated.  I think he is a reclamation project worth working on, especially at his price.  And if the guys coming up beat him out, a trade can be worked out, but what's the hurry?   Now, if we can get a decent pitcher for him...........I will deny I ever wrote this.   
  14. Like
    Mark G got a reaction from PDX Twin in Max-imizing Kepler's Value   
    Until one of the newbies proves themselves to be better, and until we sign Buxton long term (?)  I don't have a problem with keeping Max for awhile.  Work with him on bunting down the third base line when he is shifted on,  and things might open up more.  And the fact he can play both right and center at a pretty decent level is quite the insurance policy for Buxton leaving (?) or the newbies taking more time than anticipated.  I think he is a reclamation project worth working on, especially at his price.  And if the guys coming up beat him out, a trade can be worked out, but what's the hurry?   Now, if we can get a decent pitcher for him...........I will deny I ever wrote this.   
  15. Like
    Mark G reacted to bean5302 in Sano Sets Strikeout Record   
    Sano has never hit 40 in his career. He'll likely just baaaaaarely get to 30 for the second time this year and I'd say he has an pretty outside shot at 40 once in his career. Kepler has a higher career best home run total than Sano at 36 vs 34.
  16. Like
    Mark G reacted to roger in Sano Sets Strikeout Record   
    Interesting, thanks Seth.
    Not certain that 'games' is the best stat to use in this case.  We don't know if some of those guys played a lot of games where they merely pinch hit for the pitcher in the National League?  Wouldn't at bats, or even better plate appearances be a better judge?  Expect the results would be the same, but the variances may be different...or not!
  17. Like
    Mark G reacted to Whitey333 in Sano Sets Strikeout Record   
    A homerun is a homerun whether it lands in the first row or leaves the park.  Yes Sano can hit them at times.  But his strikeouts have been legendary.  Basically a strikeout is a nothing at bat.  A wasted opportunity to advance or score any potential runners.  Sano leaves them out there a lot.  My question is why would any pitcher throw him a fastball For a strike?  Anything low and on the outside proves he has no chance.
  18. Like
    Mark G reacted to stringer bell in Sano Sets Strikeout Record   
    While it is worth noting that Sanó has struck out a bit less this year (per PA), it is equally important to point out that there has been no overall improvement in his numbers. Apparently, he is what he is—an inconsistent slugger prone to slumps and strikeouts. When he came into the league, I thought he had a chance to be another Frank Thomas, but his profile looks much more like Mark Reynolds or Chris Davis. 
  19. Like
    Mark G reacted to Brandon in Sano Sets Strikeout Record   
    If Sano can stay healthy and play into his 40s, He has a shot at the elusive 3,000th career strikeout.
     
  20. Like
    Mark G reacted to waltomeal in Sano Sets Strikeout Record   
    Yes, that was the joke.  For the record, my pick up lines were much worse.  But thanks for playing along.
  21. Haha
    Mark G reacted to bean5302 in Sano Sets Strikeout Record   
    We're talking about baseball 3rd strikes, not the pick up lines you were using in college. With gems like "Hey, do you like the internet?" or "Your three friends turned me down already so I'll settle for your number, I guess" or "I know we just met, but do you want to meet my parents over there? They're my ride home!" it's no wonder you whiffed so frequently...
  22. Haha
    Mark G reacted to waltomeal in Sano Sets Strikeout Record   
    Don't believe the hype.  I hit 1000 strikeouts at the Fall social my Junior year of college, when I was much younger than Sano.  Watch me build on the real record at the tavern this weekend. 
    Seriously though, nice write-up Seth.
  23. Like
    Mark G reacted to tony&rodney in Sano Sets Strikeout Record   
    Sometimes his uppercut swing is so severe and patently off that one wonders where the hot streaks come from with Sano. He could be a really good DH and become more consistent. 1B is not a good deal for the team when Miguel is over there, despite his decent ability to scoop errant throws. What to do, what to do .... with Sano. There will be some real interest in the Big Man if the NL uses the DH. 
    It has always seemed possible  for Miguel Sano to be more productive and reduce his K-rate and increase his batting average substantially. The number of strikeouts are too numerous and his approach hinders him against the better pitchers.
  24. Like
    Mark G reacted to Rosterman in Sano Sets Strikeout Record   
    Hey, here it comes. Low and outside!
  25. Like
    Mark G reacted to mikelink45 in Sano Sets Strikeout Record   
    I hate it.  What is the pride in this?  Sorry, no congratulations Sano - you would not be on my team. 
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