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Tim

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  1. Like
    Tim got a reaction from Danchat in Projecting the Defensive Future of Minnesota's Top Prospects   
    Thank you dan .. I really have hard time understanding how his value is lost just because he doesn't hit for power. The man is an absolutely fantastic MLB hitter and there really isn't much debate for it.
  2. Like
    Tim got a reaction from wabene in Projecting the Defensive Future of Minnesota's Top Prospects   
    I believe many on this site tend to overlook just how good Luis Arraez has been. 
    Over 3 seasons, age 22-24, Arraez has a career .313 avg / .374 obp / .777 ops
    That's a really damn good major league hitter, that is still developing.
  3. Like
    Tim got a reaction from Mark G in Projecting the Defensive Future of Minnesota's Top Prospects   
    It's not. 
    How do you think a team constructed solely on OPS would do ?? a lineup of 9 Joey Gallo's or 9 MIguel Sano's ... Not really a recipe for success.
    Now what if you were to do that same exercise, but throw in 3 or 4 hitters like Luis Arraez ?? That's a lineup capable of scoring a lot more runs. 
    You cant use one stat to look at a hitter's makeup and skillset.
  4. Like
    Tim reacted to stringer bell in Projecting the Defensive Future of Minnesota's Top Prospects   
    According to BBRef, Arraez profiles pretty close to average as a defender. He has positive numbers in both Total Zone Fielding Runs Above Average and BIS Total Runs Saved Above Average at second base in both 2020 and 2021. He was one run below average in Total Zone Fielding at third in 2021 and zero runs in left field. The BIS numbers are better--three runs saved in left and five at third. Overall Arraez' defensive numbers look decent except for his rookie year. 
    I'll edit to add that Arraez is far from a complete player. He lacks power and speed and has been injured a fair amount, but in the batter's box, he sees a lot of pitches, makes contact at a high rate and gets on base more than any other Twin. 
  5. Like
    Tim got a reaction from Mark G in Projecting the Defensive Future of Minnesota's Top Prospects   
    There's a stat for this called WAR that is essentially used for this exact simulation. Arraez team wins
  6. Like
    Tim reacted to Mike Sixel in Projecting the Defensive Future of Minnesota's Top Prospects   
    Who should he have replaced in the last three years? Not Donaldson. Not Polanco. Not C or 1B or CF or probably any OF position. Certainly not SS. Not Cruz at DH.
    That said, on another team w/o those players (or the guys coming up) he likely has a defensive position. He's not nearly so bad defensively as some think. But he didn't hit as well this year as the previous two....so some think he's a better hitter than he is. Like I said upthread....he's a 2-2.5 WAR player, which is a good player.
  7. Like
    Tim reacted to Mark G in Projecting the Defensive Future of Minnesota's Top Prospects   
    You know, that is a post I totally agree with.  Thanks for putting it in ways we can agree on.
  8. Like
    Tim reacted to Mark G in Projecting the Defensive Future of Minnesota's Top Prospects   
    Are you serious??  .294 and .357 is average?  On what planet?  The OPS is weak, maybe, but an average hitter?  Sorry, my friend, not a chance.  
    As for sub-par defense, at what position?  He hasn't had a firm position since he came up 3 years ago.  How about finding one, and letting him play there full time before deciding once and for all he is sub-par defensively?  
    If you think Arraez is average and sub-par, I guess we will just have to agree to disagree.  Take care, my friend.  
  9. Like
    Tim got a reaction from Mark G in Projecting the Defensive Future of Minnesota's Top Prospects   
    for the record, that's his entire career avg. Are his most recent numbers suggesting he's declining so much to the point that he isn't capable of that again?
    I am making the assumption you don't believe he is a "damn good hitter" because of his lack power, correct?
    can you explain to me why you don't believe he is?
  10. Like
    Tim got a reaction from Mark G in Projecting the Defensive Future of Minnesota's Top Prospects   
    Thank you dan .. I really have hard time understanding how his value is lost just because he doesn't hit for power. The man is an absolutely fantastic MLB hitter and there really isn't much debate for it.
  11. Like
    Tim got a reaction from Mark G in Projecting the Defensive Future of Minnesota's Top Prospects   
    a banjo hitter ? what the hell is that hahaha .. are guys that put the ball in play with a .313 / .374 all of a sudden players you don't want in the lineup? 
  12. Like
    Tim got a reaction from Mark G in Projecting the Defensive Future of Minnesota's Top Prospects   
    I like the part where you completely ignored the .313. avg / .374 obp ... that was a nice touch.
  13. Like
    Tim got a reaction from James in Projecting the Defensive Future of Minnesota's Top Prospects   
    I believe many on this site tend to overlook just how good Luis Arraez has been. 
    Over 3 seasons, age 22-24, Arraez has a career .313 avg / .374 obp / .777 ops
    That's a really damn good major league hitter, that is still developing.
  14. Like
    Tim reacted to Danchat in Projecting the Defensive Future of Minnesota's Top Prospects   
    Well, I wonder what your opinion of Ichiro Suzuki is, owner of a career .757 OPS. While he was more around .780 to .820 in the prime of his career, I think OPS undervalues hitters who usually end up on 1B more often than not.
    It would be nice if Arraez had a defensive home... I think he can handle 2B just ifne, but that is rightly Polanco's spot.
  15. Like
    Tim reacted to Mark G in Projecting the Defensive Future of Minnesota's Top Prospects   
    I am not sure I could disagree with you more.  I recognize that 3 years is only a brief snapshot, and cannot be put up against a 21 year career, but Paul Molitor's stats totaled .306/.369/.817.  Rod Carew's numbers were .328/.393/.822.  Arreaz falls between the two in everything but the OPS, and theirs were from an extraordinary number of triples throughout their careers, not HR's.  Is it the word really that is the sticking point?  Would it be better if one were to say he is a pretty damn good MLB hitter?  Because he is.  He also only strikes out approx. 9% of his plate appearances, and that in and of itself is an accomplishment today.  
    I will meet you half way; how about he is really a pretty damn good MLB hitter.  
  16. Like
    Tim got a reaction from RonCoomersOPS in Is Jorge Polanco the Twins' Most Valuable Trade Asset?   
    a 4 WAR power hitting 2nd basemen with 4 years of team control left at an avg of about 8 mil a year will with out a question get you a haul.
    Mariners do not have a prospect for the position. Like none, not sure where you got that.
    Marlins ownership has expressed their desire to win now and will likely shift Jazz to short. Surplus of young pitching to deal from.
  17. Like
    Tim got a reaction from twinssporto in Projecting the Defensive Future of Minnesota's Top Prospects   
    I believe many on this site tend to overlook just how good Luis Arraez has been. 
    Over 3 seasons, age 22-24, Arraez has a career .313 avg / .374 obp / .777 ops
    That's a really damn good major league hitter, that is still developing.
  18. Like
    Tim got a reaction from DocBauer in Projecting the Defensive Future of Minnesota's Top Prospects   
    I believe many on this site tend to overlook just how good Luis Arraez has been. 
    Over 3 seasons, age 22-24, Arraez has a career .313 avg / .374 obp / .777 ops
    That's a really damn good major league hitter, that is still developing.
  19. Like
    Tim reacted to Wax off in Projecting the Defensive Future of Minnesota's Top Prospects   
    As long as you don't expect much in return. I don't think he moves the needle in a package deal for a significant pitcher either. What's the point of trading him if the return is near zero?
  20. Like
    Tim got a reaction from Karbo in Is Jorge Polanco the Twins' Most Valuable Trade Asset?   
    Giants, Mariners, Marlins, Blue Jays potentially ... If a contending team were to add Polanco, 90% would improve significantly. Check out WAR .. and literally any other stats with 2nd basemen around the league. You'll get a haul.
    Posted about this topic last week, check it out!
     
     
  21. Like
    Tim got a reaction from bean5302 in Is Jorge Polanco the Twins' Most Valuable Trade Asset?   
    This.
    You are spot on, I actually think that Baseballtradevalues has him slightly lower than what he should be.
    He would bring back a bigger return than Berrios IMO
  22. Like
    Tim got a reaction from In My La Z boy in Is Jorge Polanco the Twins' Most Valuable Trade Asset?   
    This.
    You are spot on, I actually think that Baseballtradevalues has him slightly lower than what he should be.
    He would bring back a bigger return than Berrios IMO
  23. Like
    Tim got a reaction from Heiny in Who Can the Twins Deal?   
    I'd really want to hear your rational for trading a former no. 1 pick and top 20 prospect in all of baseball, who missed an entire year with a torn ACL, right now .. I mean you'd be selling at the absolute lowest value. As for Martin, they just traded their "ace pitcher" for him 3 months ago., they clearing see him as apart of their future plans.
  24. Like
    Tim reacted to DJL44 in 3 Free Agent Pitching Additions Who Fit the Twins Offseason Strategy   
    I would look at highly compensated starting pitchers who underperformed in 2021: Yu Darvish, Blake Snell, Miles Mikolas, Garrett Richards. Then there are the players looking at large arbitration awards: Matt Boyd, Chris Bassitt, Sean Manea, Zach Eflin, Kyle Freeland, Jameson Taillon
  25. Sad
    Tim reacted to TheLeviathan in Buyer Beware: Flaws with the Top-5 Free Agent Shortstops   
    First, neither of us can be right pr wrong about Seager's market value because it hasn't materialized.  Second, my point that open market free agent deals have dwindled is correct for a myriad of reasons including extensions.
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