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PseudoSABR

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  1. Like
    PseudoSABR reacted to TheLeviathan in FO's tentativeness is killing the team   
    Worried?  No?
    Increasingly bored and disenchanted?  Yes.
    I think the latter is way, way worse from the Twins' perspective.
  2. Like
    PseudoSABR reacted to TheLeviathan in Berrios signs Extension with Blue Jays   
    I defended the deal on the basis that Berrios was intent on FA.  It appears he was just intent to get a long, rich contract.
    I still like the deal from a talent perspective, but the organization needs to answer why they couldn't have inked this contract.  Berrios is great value for Toronto at this price.  Either Jose wouldn't sign that same deal here (which is a huge indictment) or we refused to offer it (which is also a huge indictment).
  3. Like
    PseudoSABR reacted to bean5302 in Berrios signs Extension with Blue Jays   
    Extension = 6 years and $120MM. Escalators worth $10MM (unreported). Limited No trade protection. Opt out after year 5. The contract includes his arbitration year slated at $11MM for next year. 
    From MLBTradeRumors - https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2021/10/extension-candidate-jose-berrios.html "It should be noted that Berrios has already been vocal about his desire to test free agency.  “[I will have been] waiting six years, almost seven, to get where every player wants to be — a free agent, able to maximize our value….We are in a good position, and we’ll see what the best deal is going to be,” Berrios told The Minneapolis Star Tribune’s Phil Miller back in July.  Berrios turned down extension offers from the Twins in the past and also went to an arbitration hearing with the team to determine his 2020 salary."
    A very similar pitcher (Eduardo Rodriguez) just signed for 5 years and $80MM. Berrios engaged in negotiations with the Twins and Blue Jays rather than just saying "no." The Blue Jays came up with an overpay and Berrios took it. The Twins didn't seem to get any traction with Berrios at all and the way Falvey beat down Kepler and Polanco makes me believe they were probably low-balling the heck out of Jose as well. The total extension was right where I expected Berrios to be in terms of cost and the fact Berrios took it after a career season shows he was still reasonable. It's a great deal for Berrios and Toronto recognized the value of having a very good starting pitcher locked up long term. Something the Twins are completely oblivious to.
  4. Like
    PseudoSABR reacted to Brock Beauchamp in Twins Hire New Hitting Coach David Popkins   
    But if you're not going to account for literally the biggest variable possible in a team aggregate stat - the on-field talent level - it feels like you're using the stats to support the conclusion you had decided beforehand.
    Because "good before, still good now" really doesn't tell us anything if the numbers aren't adjusted for player talent and/or expected results.*
    *which is just one of many reasons why outside evaluation of coaching is mostly a fool's errand, IMO
  5. Like
    PseudoSABR reacted to Brock Beauchamp in Twins Hire New Hitting Coach David Popkins   
    The Twins also reached deep on Wes Johnson (more good than bad thus far) and Tanner Swanson (outstanding results before he was poached by the Yankees) so I'd be a little wary of declaring this "hubris".
  6. Like
    PseudoSABR reacted to Brock Beauchamp in New Offseason Handbook roster creation tool, check it out!   
    I created a new version meant to be shared on the Twins Daily forums. If you're interested in drafting your own 2022 Twins roster, click the link, follow the instructions, and then share with other TD users!
    https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1nGl43AI-uCoLwNJd89vhYi6l3CBD42yBF7tfY2o3A40/copy?usp=sharing
  7. Like
    PseudoSABR reacted to TheLeviathan in My Ideal Twins Offseason   
    I definitely like your thinking, but I think you range from 20-40% low on your price estimates.  There are websites that could help you project those possible salaries as well.
  8. Like
    PseudoSABR reacted to Mike Sixel in MLB teams to provide housing for minor leaguers in 2022   
    It isn't out of the goodness of their heart to pay living wages to employees, but we'll just 100% disagree on that. The players have zero freedom to negotiate their pay (or even their employer).....all the power is on one side, granted by the government in opposition to freedom and capitalism. Ergo, the only way they can get paid fairly (that is, what they are worth).....MLB needs to impose things on them.
    If you think they are paid what they are worth, make them all FAs and see what they are paid.
  9. Like
    PseudoSABR reacted to Squirrel in MLB teams to provide housing for minor leaguers in 2022   
    If you go back to the link I posted of a thread that was started by a woman who organized housing for the team in Pensacola, she said this about housing in her market in summer:
    "In Pensacola...Summer is our high tourist season, so players are competing with condos on the beach which rent for crazy amounts, and every other guy and his dog putting their spare living spaces on Air BnB. That has made it a little harder than most areas to find player housing."
    Not all housing markets are created equal. What might seem 'easy' to you in Witchita is obviously not in other parts of the country, which might be why MLB has stated 'certain minor leaguers'. I'd like to hear the details of it before I start lumping everyone in the same boat, because they aren't. In some areas it just might be a Herculean task and it would be best not to judge it all the same. If there are many players complaining about this, then it isn't just a matter of budgeting and questioning if adult men are working hard enough to find an affordable place to live.
    There are a lot of variables that neither you nor I nor anyone else knows. But I'm glad that MLB will be working to provide some relief.
  10. Like
    PseudoSABR reacted to Brock Beauchamp in MLB teams to provide housing for minor leaguers in 2022   
    This is a fallacy and don’t even think about going here again. Not solving a specific financial issue with one’s own money does not invalidate concern over that issue. It’s a deflection, not a legitimate point about a situation on this scale. 
  11. Like
    PseudoSABR reacted to Brock Beauchamp in Free Agent starting pitchers   
    There are 30 MLB teams and 15 players in those top four tiers. Expecting a single mid-market team to sign 20% of those those 15 players is a pretty unreasonable ask.
    But my expectation is for the Twins to sign one of those top guys (not top four tiers, maybe top three) and then one higher-upside reach on a shorter contract. Then they can go get a filler like Pineda.
    (not that it needs to happen in that particular order but come February, that's what I want to see)
  12. Like
    PseudoSABR got a reaction from annismark in Does MLB need to change way minor league players live?   
    Totally baseless statement.  Frankly, this kind of misinformation and judgment of the poor shouldn't stand around these parts.  
    So the only people who work for under $15/hr don't try? Can you even hear yourself. 
  13. Like
    PseudoSABR got a reaction from Brock Beauchamp in Does MLB need to change way minor league players live?   
    What's the opposite of virtue-signaling? I mean if you're praying to the supply-side gods, or campaigning for a leadership role in Monsanto, or want to represent landlords in eviction causes, well you're signal is Batman bright for all to see.
    Sure, it's freaking possible to live on 20k: in a really depraved way where you have no privacy, no entertainment, no emergency funds, can't build for the future, can't have a family, probably can't go on dates. In other words your mental health is screwed, which would only likely increase your likelihood that you'd depend on public mental health services, or ignore it and cost society in some other way down the road (shall I enumerate?).  But yeah, top notch point that's possible if they could only budget for their misery.
    I mean why is that standard? Why shouldn't we want quality of life for all who work? The market is notoriously awful at valuing employment (human beings, which should be the prize of the end game), hence government interference in such minor things like slavery, child labor, OSHA, and yes, minimum wage.
  14. Like
    PseudoSABR reacted to Mike Sixel in Does MLB need to change way minor league players live?   
    Just curious....but if the pay is fair, how about we make them all free agents every year, and see what they are paid......
  15. Like
    PseudoSABR reacted to Unwinder in Does MLB need to change way minor league players live?   
    There's a weird emphasis in this thread on whether or not minor leaguers can afford to live on what they make when there is no controversy whatsoever over whether MLB teams can easily afford to pay them well.
    If the proposed 3-4 million were to get added to the minor league payroll, is there some corresponding person elsewhere in the organization who then needs to sleep on an air mattress? Is the guy who walks down the aisles selling beer going to be put out on the street? Does it mean the Twins have four million less to spend on free agents next year? Or are we merely depriving Jim Pohlad of his hypothetical third Porsche?
    How come minor leaguers have to make a case for more money, while MLB's case against paying them more money is taken for granted? If MLB can't find any more money for minor league players, maybe they need to learn how to budget.
  16. Like
    PseudoSABR reacted to KirbyDome89 in Does MLB need to change way minor league players live?   
    (1) Player A blows through signing bonus ⇢(2) Player A experiences financial hardship subsisting on MiLB base pay ⇢ (3) The financial situation of many players is the same ⇢ (4) Financial struggles by MiLB players must be due to a lack of money management
    Going from 2 to 3 is a leap, and one we know isn't true. 
    I don't view 4.5 months of part time work trying to supplement a criminally low income as a vacation.
    You introduced the minimum livable wage number as an acceptable income, but now it's just a guess? The goalposts are really starting to move here; we've gone from "the bare minimum income for meeting basic needs and self sufficiency isn't living check to check," to "nobody is guaranteed freedom from living check to check."
  17. Like
    PseudoSABR got a reaction from Mike Sixel in Does MLB need to change way minor league players live?   
    What's the opposite of virtue-signaling? I mean if you're praying to the supply-side gods, or campaigning for a leadership role in Monsanto, or want to represent landlords in eviction causes, well you're signal is Batman bright for all to see.
    Sure, it's freaking possible to live on 20k: in a really depraved way where you have no privacy, no entertainment, no emergency funds, can't build for the future, can't have a family, probably can't go on dates. In other words your mental health is screwed, which would only likely increase your likelihood that you'd depend on public mental health services, or ignore it and cost society in some other way down the road (shall I enumerate?).  But yeah, top notch point that's possible if they could only budget for their misery.
    I mean why is that standard? Why shouldn't we want quality of life for all who work? The market is notoriously awful at valuing employment (human beings, which should be the prize of the end game), hence government interference in such minor things like slavery, child labor, OSHA, and yes, minimum wage.
  18. Like
    PseudoSABR got a reaction from wabene in Does MLB need to change way minor league players live?   
    What's the opposite of virtue-signaling? I mean if you're praying to the supply-side gods, or campaigning for a leadership role in Monsanto, or want to represent landlords in eviction causes, well you're signal is Batman bright for all to see.
    Sure, it's freaking possible to live on 20k: in a really depraved way where you have no privacy, no entertainment, no emergency funds, can't build for the future, can't have a family, probably can't go on dates. In other words your mental health is screwed, which would only likely increase your likelihood that you'd depend on public mental health services, or ignore it and cost society in some other way down the road (shall I enumerate?).  But yeah, top notch point that's possible if they could only budget for their misery.
    I mean why is that standard? Why shouldn't we want quality of life for all who work? The market is notoriously awful at valuing employment (human beings, which should be the prize of the end game), hence government interference in such minor things like slavery, child labor, OSHA, and yes, minimum wage.
  19. Like
    PseudoSABR got a reaction from wabene in Does MLB need to change way minor league players live?   
    This is whackadoodle thinking.  It's recommended that people spend no more than 30% on rent.  And you think 8 adult men living in a 4 bedroom house is reasonable?  
    Maybe you should campaign on that slogan; don't raise the minimum wage, just get someone else to live in your actual bedroom.  
     
  20. Like
    PseudoSABR reacted to Mike Sixel in Does MLB need to change way minor league players live?   
    No one can live on the current minimum wage.
    Are you arguing that minor leaguers are paid a living wage, or that they should not be paid a living wage?
    https://www.foxsports.com/stories/mlb/ben-verlander-minor-league-baseball-player-not-so-glamorous-life-behind-the-scenes
    https://bleacherreport.com/articles/2062307-an-inside-look-into-the-harsh-conditions-of-minor-league-baseball
    https://www.sportingnews.com/us/mlb/news/even-after-overdue-salary-bump-baseballs-minor-leaguers-still-paid-far-below-nba-nhl-counterparts/1gpql94asy7a10uo5nvc3yp4k
    https://www.espn.com/mlb/story/_/id/32172108/can-union-fix-minor-leaguers-say-poverty-level-pay-poor-housing-driving-mental-health-crisis
    that took me all of 3 minutes. 
  21. Like
    PseudoSABR reacted to TheLeviathan in Does MLB need to change way minor league players live?   
    They are minor league professional athletes.  It plainly meets the definition, in the dictionary, for "peers" by way of status.  Good god man.
    I can't imagine feeling so strongly that people should live off Ramen that I'd contort myself this much.  Woof.
  22. Like
    PseudoSABR reacted to Mike Sixel in Does MLB need to change way minor league players live?   
    Such a ridiculous, privileged,, statement. The main reason people can't afford stuff is that pay goes up more slowly than expenses. Not budgeting. They aren't paid enough. The data is literally all over the internet that it isn't budgeting. Not even close. Not even if you use the most powerful telescope in the world to look at it. 
  23. Like
    PseudoSABR reacted to a-wan in Does MLB need to change way minor league players live?   
    The fact that we as Americans seem to be fine with companies treating their employees like crap, I think is one of the underlying reasons why MLB has been able to treat their minor leaguers so poorly. 
    For those that are fine with the way the minor leaguers are treated, and you're fine with them being paid so poorly are you OK with the fact that teams are not putting them in the best possible position to succeed?
  24. Like
    PseudoSABR got a reaction from TheLeviathan in Does MLB need to change way minor league players live?   
    You're presuming they make it to the point of success where those sacrifices pay off.  Only 10% of minor leaguers make the majors. 
    The success of the few who make it needs to spread among those who help hold the system up but will never make it.  
    Demanding that they budget rather than have a good quality of life, is supply-side political nonsense.  There's no apolitical reason they should have to make such choices. 
  25. Like
    PseudoSABR reacted to KirbyDome89 in Does MLB need to change way minor league players live?   
    How did we get from a single player blowing through a signing bonus to "MiLB players' financial illiteracy is a societal problem?"
    25K annually is literally living check to check. You don't budget, you cross your fingers and hope an emergency doesn't come up because you almost certainly can't afford to cover it. 
    The quality of life is being totally ignored here. 
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