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TopGunn#22

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  1. Like
    TopGunn#22 reacted to tony&rodney in Who is in your 2022 Opening Day Lineup?   
    The lineups should probably include the starting pitchers (5 or 6) and a couple of relief pitchers too. I say this because if the Twins are to field a team hopeful of winning half of their games they will need some pitching. The idea that they can trot out their prospects to fill the starting pitching roles and use whatever lineup with one or even two additions to the lineup to make things good will likely result in 100+ losses.
    So ... I'm hoping that Ober and Ryan are good for two spots but I'm adding through trades, although I'm open to good free agent additions. Miami needs C and OF: Larnach, Jeffers, Duffey, and Rooker for Alcantara and Meyer and we can add a couple of lower prospects if needed or just get SA. The Rockies need someone on base and youthful pitching: Arraez, Duran, Cavaco, and Cave for Marquez and we can add more. Milwaukee needs 1B, 3B, and DH: Sano for Lauer. Sign an Alex Wood or so and we have Marquez, Alcantara, Ryan, Lauer, Ober, and Wood, Just do something to bring in somebody that can pitch. I remain excited by the prospects: Winder, Balazovic, SWR, Sands, and Varland but they need space and time.
  2. Like
    TopGunn#22 reacted to DocBauer in Who is in your 2022 Opening Day Lineup?   
    C] Garver/Jeffers/Astudillo 
    1B] Kirilloff/Sano
    2B] Polanco/Gordon
    SS] Galvis
    3B] Donaldson/Miranda/Astudillo/Gordon
    LF] Larnach/Kirilloff 
    CF] Buxton/FA/Gordon
    RR/ Kepler
    DH] Everyone, but especially Arraez, Donaldson and Sano.
    If you paid attention, you will see I cheated and selected 14 players. And that's not just a "someone might be hurt" cheat. I'm thinking one of Larnach or Miranda will start the year at St Paul. Larnach got promoted early, raked and teased, then needed a re-set and will, unfortunately, finish his year on the IL. But he is in so close! Miranda COULD debut as a super utility player. And I'm OK with that. There are very few rookies who just get handed a job from day one. And how is it a bad thing to actually have a quality roster where a rookie has to earn his spot?
    Garver needs to split time between catcher and DH. His bat is too valuable to keep him out of the lineup. He might even play a little 1B.
    Arraez needs to be in the lineup daily. Period! He can play 3 spots and DH. Unless you have an amazing bat to plug in to DH, who ever decided you needed ONE GUY to fill that spot? How about a really good and talented lineup where the DH is just a really good hitter having a half day off? And there is so much belief and hope that the 2022 lineup is that good.
    Spend $ on pitching, a decent SS and a quality 4th RH OF. The player portion of the 2022 team should be fine with good health. But, I am still concerned with the coaches and their instruction. 
     
     
  3. Like
    TopGunn#22 reacted to tony&rodney in Who is in your 2022 Opening Day Lineup?   
    Twins Daily is really looking forward to next year as is expected with our disappointment this Summer. I was #11 on Aaron Gleeman's counter once upon a time and I can't remember such a desperate view towards the next season.
    Assumptions: My expectation is that the Twins will or should complete a number of trades to pull in pitching and thin out redundant position players. Additionally, the free agent market holds promise and must be used.
    DH) Donaldson
    C) Garver
    1B) Kirilloff
    2B) Polanco
    3B) Miranda
    SS) FA - Baez or Story
    LF) FA - S. Marte
    CF) Buxton (open to trade of Buxton for C.J. Abrams which changes SS situation)
    RF) Kepler
    Like everyone else these are off the cuff. Was this supposed to use only current Twins? If not I'm trading anyone to increase talent on pitching staff and see Jeffers, Larnach, Sano, Arraez, and Duffey  as players to trade. The main issue is whether other teams will have an interest in our players.
  4. Like
    TopGunn#22 reacted to Vanimal46 in Who is in your 2022 Opening Day Lineup?   
    I like the call out for Chris Taylor too. Definitely a great fallback option if they aren’t able to attract the Seager/Baez/Story/Semien group. 
  5. Like
    TopGunn#22 reacted to nicksaviking in Who is in your 2022 Opening Day Lineup?   
    But they'll pay that amount for an aging 3B?
    The "Pohlads are cheap" bit is getting old. They obviously don't spend anywhere near the top of the league, but they also don't spend anywhere near the bottom feeders either. Sure, I'd like them to do more, and sure I think they CAN do more, but this organization is VERY reactionary;  to combat the remembrance of a terrible, terrible 2021 season, I think it's almost certain they're going to go hard at a big time free agent even if it's for the wrong reasons.
    Seager may very well not want to come to MN, but there are five elite SS available in free agency, they aren't all going to have the luxury of both getting paid AND being choosey about their destination.
    But my guess:
    C - Garver
    1B - Sano
    2B - Polanco
    3B - Donaldson
    SS - Trevor Story
    RF - Kepler
    CF - Buxton
    LF - Kirilloff
    DH - Cruz
    Arraez will be moved along with some prospects for pitching.
     
  6. Like
    TopGunn#22 reacted to Brandon in Who is in your 2022 Opening Day Lineup?   
    1B Sano / Killeroff
    2B Polanco
    SS Chris Taylor (a free agent signing that has Twins written all over it) / Lewis
    3B Donaldson / Arraez/ Miranda
    C Garver / Jefferies 
    LF Larnarch / Killeroff / Arraez
    CF Buxton / Gordon / Martin
    RF Miranda / Rooker/ Arreaz
    DH Rooker/ Donaldson / Miranda / Arreaz/ Sano
    I can see the Twins trading Kepler.  Chris Taylor is the perfect SS for us to sign.  He can hit, has positional flexibility so he can move if we bring up Lewis for SS, likely a 4 year 60 - 68 million to sign. What is not to love about that signing?
    .bringing Cruz back is 50/50 in my book. You can rotate players through DH with Sano and Donaldson getting a larger share of ABs.  But you still want a bat to put in there around 40-60% of the time.  We could put Rooker in for 350 ABs as a final trial or sign Cruz.
  7. Like
    TopGunn#22 reacted to LA VIkes Fan in Who is in your 2022 Opening Day Lineup?   
    A couple of (I think) safe assumptions - Corey Seager will stay in LA or at least not come to MN, MN will not pay the 15-20m a year necessary to get one of the top FA SS, will lose Simmons, and will pick up an interim guy. With that:
    C - Garver, Jeffers
    1B - Sano
    2B - Polanco
    SS - Galvis or Iglesias
    3B - Arraez/Donaldson
    LF - Kirilloff
    CF - Buxton
    RF - Kepler/Refsnyder platoon
    DH - Donaldson/Arraez
    I see this as the only way to get all of Arraez, Donaldson, Kirilloff and Sano in the lineup. Sano has hit .252/.333/.542 (.855) the last 30 games and I'd wager that's about what he's done the second half of the season as a whole. He's won a 2022 spot. He's got to play 1B and Kirilloff in LF to get Arraez in the lineup by splitting 3d base and DH with Donaldson.  Donaldson is only good for 70-90 games a year in the field so a split there and the DH makes sense. Kepler starts because we (unfortunately) don't have anyone better but he can only play against RH pitching. I'd love to see us get a RH OF FA - Rooker isn't the guy - to be the weak half of the RF platoon, DH against LH pitching with Arraez on the bench,  and DH when Donaldson and/or Arraez is on the shelf.   
     
  8. Like
    TopGunn#22 reacted to DocBauer in 4 Concerns with Josh Donaldson’s Off-Season Trade Value   
    Barring a surprise, I think they keep him. In fact, unless someone picks up about 100% of his deal, his greatest value is keeping him. Actually paying someone to take him doesn't really offer that much salary relief, especially when you consider how little we may get back vs what he can produce if relatively healthy. 
    He MIGHT be an interesting 2022 trade piece if the Twins aren't contending or have a viable replacement in place. 
    I find point #4 regarding his personality to be interesting. I'm not saying he is a bad teamate. In fact, I think it's just the opposite. Since he was signed young players have gravitated towards him and he has responded with leadership and advice as a sort of mentor. But to coin an old expression, he is a "red ass". His team loves him, and opponents hate him. Think AJ back in the day before Mauer took over and just about every team AJ played for.
    He has been quite healthy for this year and has basically produced to career norms. I think he is mature enough in his career to recognize and appreciate his DH usage to keep him fresh. And really, this team could maybe use a little "red ass" to keep everyone sharp and determined.
    I will argue that when he doesn't play 3B the Twins are destitute there, (And yes, I'm hoping for AT LEAST 60% of his games being spent there). Arraez has gotten better there the more he's played there. Not great, but OK. And 3B might be Astudillo's best spot. And this prospect named Miranda may just take over the position at some point in 2022.
    I'd keep Donaldson 100% unless someone picks up his salary and offers something back you can't turn down. 
  9. Like
    TopGunn#22 reacted to Brandon in 4 Concerns with Josh Donaldson’s Off-Season Trade Value   
    We keep Donaldson.  He will be a bargain in the 5th year of his contract.  With 8 million already committed its an 8 million decision.  I bet at that cost they keep him through year 5.  And I expect us to be competetive next year.  We are only 2 starting pitchers away from a rotation with depth.  And maybe a reliever.  Our offense just needs health and we are back to winning. I do want to add we are 20 -22 since the July 31rst trade deadline and that is after we traded Berrios and Cruz.  We are closer than our record appears.
  10. Like
    TopGunn#22 reacted to tony&rodney in 4 Concerns with Josh Donaldson’s Off-Season Trade Value   
    I'm not sure how you arrived at #4, personality. I watch and/or listen to too many Twins games and I do not see any problems whatsoever. Because I have never met JD and do not know him it seems odd to me to include personality in your post. Health is the only item that slows down Josh Donaldson at this time. He and Jorge Polanco are the only two steady figures right now for the Twins lineup. I do wonder if JD can play an effective 1B to add to his play at 3B and use as a DH. There needs to be a place to try Jose Miranda and Alex Kirilloff next season if they are with the team.
  11. Like
    TopGunn#22 reacted to mnfireman in 4 Concerns with Josh Donaldson’s Off-Season Trade Value   
    I think they keep him as a mentor/on field coach for Miranda. I also think they work out some sort of rotation @ 3B, 1B, DH and LF/RF with Sano (who I personally would like to see traded), Donaldson, Miranda, Kirilloff and Larnach. Days off and positional flexibility may help keep everyone on the field and performing. 
  12. Like
    TopGunn#22 reacted to jmlease1 in 4 Concerns with Josh Donaldson’s Off-Season Trade Value   
    I assumed that the 4 points related to concerns about Donaldson's trade value were: 1. His health, 2. His health, 3. the health he is experiencing, and 4. How much health he has.
  13. Like
    TopGunn#22 reacted to Dman in 4 Concerns with Josh Donaldson’s Off-Season Trade Value   
    I don't see the Twins unloading Donaldson.  Most of the teams with high payrolls that could take him are pretty tapped out and or have more pressing needs than an aging 3rd baseman\DH. 
    Having the Twins put in 6 to 10M per year to get rid of him for a decent prospect doesn't make much sense to me either.  Paying another team 6 to 10 per year to watch your player OPS 820 to 850 for them seems like a bad use of money to me and If you are essentially paying a team 15 to 20 million for a prospect it better be a really good one. It also doesn't make the FO look good as they negotiated that deal and no one else will pay it?  That is a bad visual IMO.
    I think if they could unload the full Donaldson contract and then invest that money in one of the good FA SS this year that would make sense.  If they think Miranda is ready to replace him at third they could do that although I doubt Miranda OPS's 800 at the MLB level his first season.
    Like I said I think they keep him as he is providing what he was paid to provide which is 20 some homers an OPS over 800 and  a decent walk rate making him a tough out at the plate.  If a team wants him they need to pony up IMO and if the Twins do move him they need to reinvest that money in top tier pitching or someone who can play shortstop long term. This is a tough offseason to gauge with a new CBA to be negotiated so that might play into things as well.
  14. Like
    TopGunn#22 got a reaction from roger in One Buy Low Candidate to Solve Minnesota’s Shortstop Need   
    I just shake my head at the "approach" many Twins hitters have at the plate.  And by that, I mean they DON'T seem to have any approach.  Kepler is a prime example.  The Twins need a new hitting coach in the worst way.  I'm not saying that will "solve everything" but it's obvious to me the current coach is not up to the task.  I agree with Doc that the offense has the "potential" to be fine next year and the primary focus HAS to be on pitching.  That said, a different hitting coach would help with the current talent that needs "improvement" that being Kepler, Sano (who has been better these last 4-6 weeks) Garver, Kiriloff and Larnach.  I do think a steady vet SS like Iglesias or Galvis as a bridge to Lewis/Martin or whoever,  is a good idea as well as a 4th OF'er who bats RH.  Those are minor moves but should be "on the list."  I like the fact that Torres was suggested.  It makes for a good conversation.  But I would vote "No" as well.  We need a glove at SS and that's not Gleybor.   
  15. Like
    TopGunn#22 got a reaction from LA VIkes Fan in One Buy Low Candidate to Solve Minnesota’s Shortstop Need   
    I just shake my head at the "approach" many Twins hitters have at the plate.  And by that, I mean they DON'T seem to have any approach.  Kepler is a prime example.  The Twins need a new hitting coach in the worst way.  I'm not saying that will "solve everything" but it's obvious to me the current coach is not up to the task.  I agree with Doc that the offense has the "potential" to be fine next year and the primary focus HAS to be on pitching.  That said, a different hitting coach would help with the current talent that needs "improvement" that being Kepler, Sano (who has been better these last 4-6 weeks) Garver, Kiriloff and Larnach.  I do think a steady vet SS like Iglesias or Galvis as a bridge to Lewis/Martin or whoever,  is a good idea as well as a 4th OF'er who bats RH.  Those are minor moves but should be "on the list."  I like the fact that Torres was suggested.  It makes for a good conversation.  But I would vote "No" as well.  We need a glove at SS and that's not Gleybor.   
  16. Like
    TopGunn#22 got a reaction from Aerodeliria in Ranking the 3 Most Underrated Twins Players   
    I agree with Doc.  Why Arraez isn't hitting leadoff EVERY single game is beyond me.  He sets the table.  That's what leadoff guys are supposed to do.  Rocco just can't seem to "get" that.  Speaking of Rocco, what is this obsession with presenting Colome with save opportunity after save opportunity ?  Any Twins fan who was SHOCKED Colome gave up the tying 3-run BOMB to Judge yesterday hasn't been paying attention.  It was INEVITABLE.  All he's done this year is give up HR's late in games.  Why would we expect any other outcome.  Test somebody else rather than just handing the ball to Colome.  
    I will grant Sano his recent production.  I was and still am all for trading him to somehow acquire better pitching.  However, he's such a negative trade asset that we're probably better off keeping him and hitting him 7th.  That kind of power near the bottom of your order can be beneficial.  
  17. Like
    TopGunn#22 got a reaction from DocBauer in One Buy Low Candidate to Solve Minnesota’s Shortstop Need   
    I just shake my head at the "approach" many Twins hitters have at the plate.  And by that, I mean they DON'T seem to have any approach.  Kepler is a prime example.  The Twins need a new hitting coach in the worst way.  I'm not saying that will "solve everything" but it's obvious to me the current coach is not up to the task.  I agree with Doc that the offense has the "potential" to be fine next year and the primary focus HAS to be on pitching.  That said, a different hitting coach would help with the current talent that needs "improvement" that being Kepler, Sano (who has been better these last 4-6 weeks) Garver, Kiriloff and Larnach.  I do think a steady vet SS like Iglesias or Galvis as a bridge to Lewis/Martin or whoever,  is a good idea as well as a 4th OF'er who bats RH.  Those are minor moves but should be "on the list."  I like the fact that Torres was suggested.  It makes for a good conversation.  But I would vote "No" as well.  We need a glove at SS and that's not Gleybor.   
  18. Like
    TopGunn#22 reacted to DocBauer in One Buy Low Candidate to Solve Minnesota’s Shortstop Need   
    Interesting idea. And Torres is a young player with BIG bounceback possibilities.  But too many question marks and seems to MAYBE be Polanco part 2. Complete pass.
    Despite being a fan and believer, I'm grudgingly going to admit the talented and athletic Kepler probably peaked in 2019. That being said, I think a slightly different approach,  through experience, maturity, and a change in the hitting coach that I think is forthcoming, I can still improvement of what he's done lately. Better health would help as well.
    Kepler/Twins need a quality RH hitting 4th OF via trade or FA. This is a MUST overshadowed by pitching needs that far too many dismiss. Barring significant growth/change, Kepler should start 120G, and will probably play in 140 as a PH or defensive replacement. He is good to very good used that way as a RF and backup CF option.
    Call me crazy, but I think the offense is fine for 2022 with what we have, including Kirilloff healthy and Larnach being ready at some point. Not to mention Garver healthy and splitting time between catcher and DH and MAYBE a little 1B. The offensive approach just needs to find a little more consistency. 
    I would be excited, as we all would be if the Twins made a major FA move at SS. But I think they are better served with concentrating on various SP/RP moves...long and short term...and said 4th OF and bringing in a SOLID SS option. Galvin is a guy I'm high on. But I also have to wonder what happened to Iglesias? Did he just suddenly lose it? He could be very interesting. 
     
  19. Like
    TopGunn#22 reacted to DJL44 in One Buy Low Candidate to Solve Minnesota’s Shortstop Need   
    Story only wants 4 years at $20M each? Yes, please. That's a bargain basement price for a 28 year old who has played like an All-Star 3 of the past 4 seasons.
  20. Like
    TopGunn#22 reacted to chpettit19 in One Buy Low Candidate to Solve Minnesota’s Shortstop Need   
    Why would the Twins trade anyone to bring in a lesser version of Polanco instead of just moving Polanco back to short? Strong no. I'm not a huge Kepler fan, but trading him for Torres worsens the Twins defensively without adding anything to the offense. Don't see the fit at all. He hit 13 of his 38 HRs in 2019 off Orioles pitching. He's hit 10 HRs in 152 games over the last 2 years. So I guess I'll change my stance to not only does Kepler for Torres hurt the defense it hurts the offense. Kepler is who he is, but I'll take who he is over the outside chance Torres is a 30 HR/year guy who will suddenly figure out how to play SS. Torres has negative trade value.
  21. Like
    TopGunn#22 reacted to tony&rodney in One Buy Low Candidate to Solve Minnesota’s Shortstop Need   
    Simmons is not a reasonable alternative for 2022. It seems like Polanco is the only in house option and count me among the crowd that wants him to remain as our 2B. Javy Baez or Story on one year make good deals? 
    One thing is clear - there is plenty of work to do this offseason for the young Falvine duo. 
  22. Like
    TopGunn#22 reacted to LA VIkes Fan in One Buy Low Candidate to Solve Minnesota’s Shortstop Need   
    Interesting idea for which you should be congratulated, but I come out as a "No' because I don't see Torres glove work as good enough for a team with a very young starting pitching staff. Freddy Galvis is a better choice. Juan Igelsias also MIGHT be if his work for the Angels this year is an aberration and he rebounds to be the better SS that he has been in the past. 
    Having said that, the idea of trading Kepler for a shortstop and/or pitching help is a good one but I think you guys are smoking crack as to Kepler's value. If we are being generous, Kepler is a good fielding, below average hitting corner outfielder (waaaaay below average in 2021) with occasional power who can play a decent but not great center field in a pinch for a couple of weeks. In other words, he is a good, solid 4th outfielder on a contending team. If we look at his history, this is all he has ever been other than in 2019 and it is becoming more and more clear that his performance in 2019 was an outlier probably assisted by the juice balls used that year. He is not going to be good enough to get a controllable starting pitcher even as the lead player in a package. He is the 2nd or 3rd player in that package. We are going to have to trade somebody better from the farm system, like a young pitcher, to get that controllable starter. Kepler is nowhere near enough.
  23. Like
    TopGunn#22 reacted to Tim in One Buy Low Candidate to Solve Minnesota’s Shortstop Need   
    Torres is not a shortstop .. His power has essentially deteriorated since 2019 ( juiced ball ).
    If anything, I would be really interested in trading for Dansby Swanson. The Braves are thought to be considering going after one of the top SS in this upcoming FA class. Not sure what a package would look like but he is definitely an intriguing option.
    I've seen a few comments now on different forums / blogs about the Twins having internal solutions at SS .. They quite honestly have none. Royce Lewis is not a shortstop and really hasn't done much to prove he has made any strides defensively at the position. 
  24. Like
    TopGunn#22 reacted to mike8791 in One Buy Low Candidate to Solve Minnesota’s Shortstop Need   
    Have to add my No to the chorus here.  Why give up a starting, albeit average, corner OF for a guy who is not a quality SS?  Our list of middle IF prospects who fall short as SSs goes on and on - Polanco, Gordon, Lewis(if scouting reports are accurate), nor do Miranda or Martin seem to fit well at arguably the most important defensive position.  Might as well resign Simmons for another gap year while we hope one of younger SS prospects emerge as a long term answer.  
    If I'm trading Kepler, I want to use him as a key piece in acquiring as young, controlled starter who has already shown potential to be a #1 or, at worse, a #2 next year.  That is a far more pressing need if FO really intends to return to contention next year.
  25. Like
    TopGunn#22 reacted to DJL44 in One Buy Low Candidate to Solve Minnesota’s Shortstop Need   
    I think the Twins still believe in Royce Lewis as the starter for several years but probably want to get him some time in AAA next season since he's coming back from a lost season.
    There is a cheap, glove-first SS option who will be available as a free agent. Freddy Galvis has been as productive as Simmons with a much smaller paycheck.
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