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TopGunn#22

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  1. Like
    TopGunn#22 got a reaction from joefish in Going Forward - Retool or Rebuild?   
    I'm hoping the plan is a re-tool, but still with some major changes.  You've laid the basic premise out nicely Mike8791.  I'm going to go with the easy stuff first:
    Cut bait on Sano.  Either move him at the trade deadline for a bag of baseballs (for salary relief) or simply buy him out for $2.75 million at seasons end and be done with him.
    Look for takers on Max Kepler.  I don't think Max will ever get back to his 2019 form.  I wonder how much of a mirage that was for a LOT of our players.  But he is still a very good defensive RF'er.  He has value and should be moved to a team looking for OF help.
    I would leave our catching personnel alone.  Jeffers and Rortvedt are struggling offensively but should improve.  Garver can be used as a catcher/1B/DH type of bat.
    I'm not averse to moving Donaldson for the right package.  Arraez can hold down 3B and/or Miranda.  
    Cruz COULD be dealt for the right package but I'd be O.K. if we kept him.  It depends what teams would be willing to part with.  I'd be happy to keep Nellie for another year.
    With Donaldson, Sano and Kepler gone that would be about $40-$45 million freed up.  Some of that would be used to re-sign Berrios and Buxton.  The rest, to plug holes.  And there are plenty of holes.
    I don't think Simmons is back with the Twins next year.  I don't think Lewis will be a SS in the future and with him missing the entire season this year he can't be counted on for anything until late next season at the best.  This means serious money needs to be allocated for a long-term SS.  I see Story and Baez as targets.  Polanco belongs at 2B.  If this team hopes to be relevant the next 2-3 years they need a SS !!  
    One other point:  I've finally, after a lot of musing, decided that between Berrios and Buxton if I keep one and part ways with the other, would keep Berrios.  PITCHING is what will make the Twins a playoff-competitive team.  it ALWAYS is.  Look back on Twins history.  In 1962-63 they pitched and finished 2nd & 3rd to the Yankees.  In 1964 they had GREAT hitting, but didn't pitch well and finished 7th !  In 1965 they pitched and won the A.L. Pennant despite missing Killebrew for half the season.  In 1966 & 1967 they pitched and were runner-ups.  In 1969 & 1970 their pitching was good and they won the division.  Fast forward to last year.  They won the division because they pitched much better than they hit.
    We will NOT be better next year, if,  as a team that has pitching issues, we trade Berrios or Rogers.  We could possibly be better without Pineda but NOT without Berrios.
    In the entire time Buxton has been a Twin it seems like he's played in half the games.  We've learned how to play without him and still be good.  Are we better WITH him ??  Clearly, we are.  But if I'm going to make a blockbuster and get an insane return of value for a player, I part with Buxton (who was playing like an A.L. MVP).  We do NOT trade Buxton for anything less than an insane return.  Someone either blows us away, or we give him a 3-year $80 million dollar contract and see what the next 3-years turns out to be.  If we DO deal Buxton, acquire someone like Kevin Kiermaier to play CF if you don't think Celestino will work out.  And you still have Lewis (who I think will end up in CF).
    There has been more disappointment/failure with this front office than successes.  I must admit, I'm not very confident they can turn things around.  The White Sox are crushing the division (as was predicted) despite losing Robert and Jimenez for the entire season to date.  And the White Sox has some young pitchers who are impressive.  Cleveland can flat out pitch.  The Tigers have some very impressive young arms.  This FO has to figure this out or we're looking at another decade of mediocrity.  
    Time will tell.
     
  2. Like
    TopGunn#22 got a reaction from puckstopper1 in Going Forward - Retool or Rebuild?   
    I'm hoping the plan is a re-tool, but still with some major changes.  You've laid the basic premise out nicely Mike8791.  I'm going to go with the easy stuff first:
    Cut bait on Sano.  Either move him at the trade deadline for a bag of baseballs (for salary relief) or simply buy him out for $2.75 million at seasons end and be done with him.
    Look for takers on Max Kepler.  I don't think Max will ever get back to his 2019 form.  I wonder how much of a mirage that was for a LOT of our players.  But he is still a very good defensive RF'er.  He has value and should be moved to a team looking for OF help.
    I would leave our catching personnel alone.  Jeffers and Rortvedt are struggling offensively but should improve.  Garver can be used as a catcher/1B/DH type of bat.
    I'm not averse to moving Donaldson for the right package.  Arraez can hold down 3B and/or Miranda.  
    Cruz COULD be dealt for the right package but I'd be O.K. if we kept him.  It depends what teams would be willing to part with.  I'd be happy to keep Nellie for another year.
    With Donaldson, Sano and Kepler gone that would be about $40-$45 million freed up.  Some of that would be used to re-sign Berrios and Buxton.  The rest, to plug holes.  And there are plenty of holes.
    I don't think Simmons is back with the Twins next year.  I don't think Lewis will be a SS in the future and with him missing the entire season this year he can't be counted on for anything until late next season at the best.  This means serious money needs to be allocated for a long-term SS.  I see Story and Baez as targets.  Polanco belongs at 2B.  If this team hopes to be relevant the next 2-3 years they need a SS !!  
    One other point:  I've finally, after a lot of musing, decided that between Berrios and Buxton if I keep one and part ways with the other, would keep Berrios.  PITCHING is what will make the Twins a playoff-competitive team.  it ALWAYS is.  Look back on Twins history.  In 1962-63 they pitched and finished 2nd & 3rd to the Yankees.  In 1964 they had GREAT hitting, but didn't pitch well and finished 7th !  In 1965 they pitched and won the A.L. Pennant despite missing Killebrew for half the season.  In 1966 & 1967 they pitched and were runner-ups.  In 1969 & 1970 their pitching was good and they won the division.  Fast forward to last year.  They won the division because they pitched much better than they hit.
    We will NOT be better next year, if,  as a team that has pitching issues, we trade Berrios or Rogers.  We could possibly be better without Pineda but NOT without Berrios.
    In the entire time Buxton has been a Twin it seems like he's played in half the games.  We've learned how to play without him and still be good.  Are we better WITH him ??  Clearly, we are.  But if I'm going to make a blockbuster and get an insane return of value for a player, I part with Buxton (who was playing like an A.L. MVP).  We do NOT trade Buxton for anything less than an insane return.  Someone either blows us away, or we give him a 3-year $80 million dollar contract and see what the next 3-years turns out to be.  If we DO deal Buxton, acquire someone like Kevin Kiermaier to play CF if you don't think Celestino will work out.  And you still have Lewis (who I think will end up in CF).
    There has been more disappointment/failure with this front office than successes.  I must admit, I'm not very confident they can turn things around.  The White Sox are crushing the division (as was predicted) despite losing Robert and Jimenez for the entire season to date.  And the White Sox has some young pitchers who are impressive.  Cleveland can flat out pitch.  The Tigers have some very impressive young arms.  This FO has to figure this out or we're looking at another decade of mediocrity.  
    Time will tell.
     
  3. Like
    TopGunn#22 reacted to Greglw3 in Who Is Twins Best LF of All Time - Reopened with 3 new choices!!!   
    Gladden had batting averages in the upper .240s and OPS of .673 and .662 for 1987 and 1991 respectively. I was comparing that to Lyman Bostock w .323 and .336 in ’76 and ’77. However, despite the substandard offense, Gladden was a very strong defensive player, a gritty player and like you mentioned, he did win 2 WS. So, I agree, he deserves to be in the conversation for those reasons.
  4. Like
    TopGunn#22 reacted to Greglw3 in Who Is Twins Best LF of All Time - Reopened with 3 new choices!!!   
    Yep. Bostock is my sentimental favorite as well. He played 60 games in LF in his banner 1977 season, one of the best offensive seasons in Twins history. His two full seasons were .323 and .336 with mega extra base hits.
    I wish Calvin had not been so penurious and I wish he had lived. I think he was so talented that he would have likely been a Hall of Famer. 
    I’m a big time Lyman Bostock fan and a huge fan of that 1977 team. I have a memory of the first time I saw Bostock play with the Twins, in person, probably in Detroit - he hit a scorching liner down the third base line between the third baseman and the bag. I think it was the first at bat I ever saw him in person and I was stunned, thinking or saying, "Wow!".
  5. Like
    TopGunn#22 reacted to Cornholio in Who Is Twins Best LF of All Time - Reopened with 3 new choices!!!   
    Harmon Killebrew. He was the everyday LF from’62-64. Played in 470 games as Twins starting LF. Allison started 472. Harmon averaged 47 hr’s as LF. Of those listed, only Rosario and Allison played more LF.
  6. Like
    TopGunn#22 reacted to jkcarew in Who Is Twins Best LF of All Time - Reopened with 3 new choices!!!   
    I don’t think of several of these guys as Twins ‘left fielders’. Turns out, for good reason. I went back and checked...Shane Mack and Larry Hisle, neither put in more than one season where they played LF in even half of the games. They both moved all over the outfield (they both had big-time arm-strength issues)...and put in time at DH. Meanwhile, Bostock played considerably more CF and RF than LF for the Twins.
    So, to me it comes down to Allison, Rosario, and Gladden (Stewart was good for 2 seasons)
    Bob Allison was pretty clearly the best player in this list, offensively and defensively. Gladden gets consideration for the 800+ OPS across two WS wins. He’d be my number 2.
  7. Like
    TopGunn#22 reacted to Greglw3 in Who Is Twins Best LF of All Time - Reopened with 3 new choices!!!   
    I think Allison is the right choice although Bostock was brilliant, hitting .323 and .336  in his last two years with the Twins with something like 36 doubles, 12 triples and 14 HR in 1977 alone!
     
     
  8. Like
    TopGunn#22 got a reaction from LA VIkes Fan in To Trade or not To Trade (Hitter's Edition)   
    I would do everything I could to move Sano.  SOMEBODY will be intrigued by his power and I'd take ANYTHING as long as they took on the remainder of his contract.  If I could move Sano and his contract I'd consider keeping Donaldson, but if I could get a reasonable return for Donaldson as well (and I wouldn't be looking for much) I'd send him packing as well. I need the Donaldson/Sano money to try to retain Buxton/Berrios.
    Cruz---I love Nellie but it's time to send hi to a contender.
    Happ & Shoemaker--If anyone wants them GREAT.  I doubt they do.  DFA 'em.
    Simmons---Move him.  Play Polanco & Gorden at SS the rest of the year.  maybe give Wander Javier a look in Sept.  In 2022 we either need to spend some serious money on a FA SS or consider bringing Simmons back for cheap.
    Pineda---He could bring something of value back.  Move him and entertain bringing him back in FA.
    Robles---Ditto Pineda.
    BUXTON/BERRIOS----these guys are the absolute key to what the Twins are for 2022, 2023 and maybe 2024.  We either invest in both going forward (in other words pay them handsomely) or move them both in trades that bring back a TON of young potential.  Both of these guys could get some serious talent back, but it put the Twins near the bottom of the division for a minimum of 2022 & 2023.  After winning the last two division titles I'm not sure I'm willing to do that.  We're not as bad as we've shown in 2021, but we certainly have MAJOR roster reconstruction to consider.  Our FO has failed far more than they've succeeded.  We built Target Field to KEEP players like Buxton & Berrios.  It's time for the Pohlad family to UP the payroll to keep this team relevant.  
     
     
  9. Like
    TopGunn#22 reacted to DocBauer in To Trade or not To Trade (Hitter's Edition)   
    Yes to trading Happ, Shoemaker and probably Colome, assuming you can get anything for them. (I say probably on Colome as he's been unusually poor but is showing life as of late. Can he build trade value yet?) I don't WANT to trade Cruz but he may have value to a handful of contending teams and couple bring a decent A level prospect or a AA level pitcher with a live arm transitioning to the pen.
    IMO, nobody will want Donaldson, not because he isn't z fine player, but because of the contract. And by the Twins kick in enough $ to make a trade palatable, I'm not sure the return is better than keeping him. He's actually, probably, more tradeable in 2023 with some cash to cover a potential 2024 buyout. 
    Sano, IMO is a more likely enticement to teams that woukd be willing to gamble on his production and age, 29yo in July, and some upside knowing how good he can be. But like Donaldson, are the Twins better off then just keeping him? Or do they feel enough roster crunch and want to free up some $ for 2022?
    Pineda might actually bring back a decent A or AA prospect of similar nature as Cruz, but only if he gets healthy again.
    Will probably need a SS for 2022. There will be options in the off-season to consider, including bringing back Simmons. If you could get something for him now, take it. 
    Personally, I think re-signing the 30yo Robles for next season will bring greater value than whatever they might acquire via trade.
    In a year where everything that could go wrong and seemingly has gone wrong, the Twins, unfortunately,  don't really have many/any valuable trade assets unless they begin to gut the roster. And even if they wanted to do that, I would expect it to take place in the off-season to allow for better evaluation of the roster and the system. Plus, we still have 2/3 of the season to play. I don't see a gut of the team at this point, if at all.
    I know it's an unpopular position with a lot of people, but considering the total aberration that I feel this season is, I'm pretty much in favor of bringing back anyone not on a 1yr deal while continuing to play the prospects on the roster right now, and continue 2nd half promotions to AAA for a number of players and auditions for at least a handful of pitchers once Happ, Shoemaker and potentially others are gone.
    THEN we consider a couple keybp FA signings and maybe a trade or two if it makes sense.
  10. Like
    TopGunn#22 reacted to mnfireman in To Trade or not To Trade (Hitter's Edition)   
    With Buxton and Kepler due back and Gordon showing (so far) he can handle MLB pitching, and Garver due back in July, I would for sure entertain offers for Cruz and Simmons. I don't think Sano will draw any interest, but DFAing him should also be considered. The everyday line-up could look something like this: C - Jeffers, 1B - Kirilloff, 2B - Arraez, SS - Polanco, 3B - Donaldson, LF - Larnach, CF - Buxton, RF - Kepler, DH - Garver. Bench players would be Gordon, Astudillo, Refsnyder, and take your pick of Garlick/Rooker/Riddle or whoever may have been acquired in one of the trades.
  11. Like
    TopGunn#22 reacted to BK432 in 2021 Minnesota Twins Roster Projection 2.0   
    I think this is where we lose a bit in translation as fans. Categorizing Kirilloff as a guy with no games above AA is both true but also direly in need of context. He did spend the entire summer in St. Paul and got to hit and play simulated games at what was more or less a AAA level. All accounts of that time that I've read is that he was the best player there. We didn't get to see that or evaluate that, but the Twins did.
     
    I have no angst about the decision - they may still decide to manipulate service time. But I also don't see it as a stretch that he very well is the right guy for the job now.
  12. Like
    TopGunn#22 reacted to DocBauer in 2021 Minnesota Twins Roster Projection 2.0   
    Rooker, a talented and younger prospect, should get the selection before Garlik initially.
     
    Not sure when Braxton's opt out takes place. Typically it's a month or so in the season from what I've seen in the past. I'd really like to see him stick around for a while. Tons of talent and still potential, but a good week vs a poor past few seasons doesn't put him above Cave.
     
    Won't find a bigger fan for Thorpe and Dobnak than right here, but not sure there is room for both. But the obvious caveat is the health of Thielbar. Really hope Thorpe gets that 4th option year for both team and player.
     
    I am a HUGE believer in Kirilloff and his future. I think he's going to be a hitting STUD with decent defense regardless of final spot. But regardless it's up to him to earn his spot. And he can. But with no games above AA except for his one playoff game experience when injury practically forced a promotion, I'm still flabbergasted in regard to all the angst that he might spend a little time at St Paul to better transition.
  13. Like
    TopGunn#22 got a reaction from heresthething in Baseball economics   
    Guys, I "think" I'm a little younger than you (graduated college in 1980)  but I appreciate what you're saying.
     
    Bauer will now make more $$$ than 3 MLB teams entire 26 man roster.
    The MLBPA loves the idea that baseball is the only league that doesn't have a salary cap. 
    But the reverse of that is, the owners do not have a mandated "floor."  No league should have one-player making more $$ than 3 of their team's entire 26 man roster.
     
    THAT is the definition of INSANITY !!
  14. Like
    TopGunn#22 got a reaction from mikelink45 in Baseball economics   
    Guys, I "think" I'm a little younger than you (graduated college in 1980)  but I appreciate what you're saying.
     
    Bauer will now make more $$$ than 3 MLB teams entire 26 man roster.
    The MLBPA loves the idea that baseball is the only league that doesn't have a salary cap. 
    But the reverse of that is, the owners do not have a mandated "floor."  No league should have one-player making more $$ than 3 of their team's entire 26 man roster.
     
    THAT is the definition of INSANITY !!
  15. Like
    TopGunn#22 reacted to DocBauer in Roster, financial flexibility says no to Cruz reunion   
    Tom, very articulate and well thought out. So well done, this could easily be a front page article. I agree with every point made in your arguement even if I don't feel it's going to turn out the way you state it.
     
    While I love MLB going to a 26 man roster, I would prefer 27, and I thought the 28 man roster for 2020 was outstanding. I really wish they would bump the final number to one of those for the general good of the players as well as the game. I also want the roster bumped because if Cruz is back, SOMEONE has to be at AAA that I don't want there! LOL
     
    I greatly prefer a 27 man roster split 13/13 with the final spot to be determined by the team as best need/fit.
     
    It's been widely reported the Twins have TWO moves yet to make, though IMO, it should two major moves and two or three additional small moves. While we don't knkw what the FO has in mind I do believe Cruz is one of those. I believe another solid/quality BP is the other. You are correct that we simply don't know what the actual payroll projection is. What we DO KNOW is, INCLUDING projected bonus earnings for Maeda, we now sit just about spot on $112M with the Simons signing. We also can feel pretty certain Cruz will cost somewhere around $13-15M. That puts the Twins just about dead on for the speculated $125M tossed about. But we also know payroll has always escalated somewhat above projections with our current FO. They understand value when it comes their way. Ownership seems to agree. So while I would be extremely happy to see the power arm of Rosenthal brought on board for $7M, I speculate it will be something like Colome or Soria for $4-5M. (Though I hold out hope for Rosenthal).
     
    These two moves still keep payroll right around the $130M mark. But I mentioned two or three smaller moves didn't I? I believe there will remain enough flexibility...plus FA depth opportunity...to add yet another RP, Clippard maybe, and another utility option and potential 5th SP option all at below market value. Maybe there's a milb deal/invite in there somewhere.
     
    Great blog post!! I just think need and opportunity are going to see some additions, including Cruz.
  16. Like
    TopGunn#22 got a reaction from Doctor Gast in Does the Simmons Move Hint at Which SP the Twins Could Target?   
    No Doc, Castillo pitches for the Reds.  Baez and Bryant are Cubs.
     
    Did Jon Paxton sign somewhere?  Did I miss that ?
  17. Like
    TopGunn#22 reacted to Minny505 in Why Are We So Down on Luis Arraez?   
    Huh? I really haven't heard much pessimism in Twins Territory (minus Mr Trueblood) regarding Luis Arraez.
     
    If anything, it's positivity as he is going to make one of the finest leadoff hitters in MLB. That's the buzz I hear.
     
    Fantasy baseball experts are putting him near the top of 2B draft boards because of his BA and the expectation that he'll be leading off and scoring buckets of runs.
     
    Most projection systems have him prorated to 150 games/600 ABs as one of the top 3 position players on the Twins by WAR
     
    Which is where the rub lies. He may be injury prone. I want to give him another season before I hit him with that label.
     
    But even playing injured, he's still been amazing in his very young career. Just think of the upside when we get to see him healthy over a full season!!!
  18. Like
    TopGunn#22 got a reaction from DocBauer in Happ Signing Means Bigger Things to Come...We Hope   
    Allen, you are on the right track.  #4 spot in the rotation filled.
    Now where do they go ?  
    At the end of the season I couldn't imagine them moving on from Cruz.
    Now, I'm much more in favor of spending a little bit more for a slugger whose 10-years younger and is a pretty darn good hitter.
    Marcel Ozuna would look REALLY good in the #3 or #4 hole for the Twins lineup for the next 5-6 years.  
    I'm convinced they need to trade Sano at some point.
    Kiriloff, Rooker and Larnach have 1B and corner outfield positions covered.
    Kepler will be a Twin for several more years.  Sabato is a 1B/DH slugger who looks to make more consistent contact than Sano.
    They SHOULD be looking to improve at SS from a defensive standpoint.
    Polanco and Arraez would be pretty effective as 2B/UT guys.
    I'd LOVE to see them sign Rosenthal and have the makings of a lock-down bullpen.
    But you're right, the Twins just don't spend big on Bullpen.
     
  19. Like
    TopGunn#22 got a reaction from GNess in The Shortstop factory   
    It is odd that the best SS's the Twins have ever had (other than Zoilo) have all been acquired via trade (Cardenas, Gagne, Guzman come to mind).  
    It is also true than Polanco was an A.L. All Star due to his bat, not his glove.
    I want to see the Twins get better "D" up the middle.  That's why I'm not against looking at a FA signing (Simmons, Didi) or a trade for someone like Story.  
    However, if a BIG move was made for someone like Story, I want the Twins to work out an extension much like the Mets did with Lindor.  I don't want a one-year rental.
    I have no superior knowledge, I just see Lewis more as an outfielder.
    I still have hope for Wander Javier but this is pretty much a make or break year for him.  He either stays healthy and puts himself back in the serious SS of the future conversation, or I fear he will never turn the corner and drift into the dust bin of forgotten prospects.  
     
  20. Like
    TopGunn#22 got a reaction from tarheeltwinsfan in The Shortstop factory   
    It is odd that the best SS's the Twins have ever had (other than Zoilo) have all been acquired via trade (Cardenas, Gagne, Guzman come to mind).  
    It is also true than Polanco was an A.L. All Star due to his bat, not his glove.
    I want to see the Twins get better "D" up the middle.  That's why I'm not against looking at a FA signing (Simmons, Didi) or a trade for someone like Story.  
    However, if a BIG move was made for someone like Story, I want the Twins to work out an extension much like the Mets did with Lindor.  I don't want a one-year rental.
    I have no superior knowledge, I just see Lewis more as an outfielder.
    I still have hope for Wander Javier but this is pretty much a make or break year for him.  He either stays healthy and puts himself back in the serious SS of the future conversation, or I fear he will never turn the corner and drift into the dust bin of forgotten prospects.  
     
  21. Like
    TopGunn#22 got a reaction from mikelink45 in The Shortstop factory   
    It is odd that the best SS's the Twins have ever had (other than Zoilo) have all been acquired via trade (Cardenas, Gagne, Guzman come to mind).  
    It is also true than Polanco was an A.L. All Star due to his bat, not his glove.
    I want to see the Twins get better "D" up the middle.  That's why I'm not against looking at a FA signing (Simmons, Didi) or a trade for someone like Story.  
    However, if a BIG move was made for someone like Story, I want the Twins to work out an extension much like the Mets did with Lindor.  I don't want a one-year rental.
    I have no superior knowledge, I just see Lewis more as an outfielder.
    I still have hope for Wander Javier but this is pretty much a make or break year for him.  He either stays healthy and puts himself back in the serious SS of the future conversation, or I fear he will never turn the corner and drift into the dust bin of forgotten prospects.  
     
  22. Like
    TopGunn#22 got a reaction from Doctor Gast in moving the needle   
    I think you right Mike.  The only other move that would really move the needle is a trade that brings Luis Castillo to the Twins.  
    The only way we can do that is by taking Castellanos in the deal.  
    And it would still be expensive and probably mean no Nellie Cruz.
     
    But we need a stud added to our rotation that makes a difference.
    Paxton or Odorizzi would be helpful, but not difference makers in the post-season.
    Only Bauer or Castillo do that.
    And I think after the moves the Padres made, the Dodgers might feel the need to do something BIG.
  23. Like
    TopGunn#22 got a reaction from mikelink45 in moving the needle   
    I think you right Mike.  The only other move that would really move the needle is a trade that brings Luis Castillo to the Twins.  
    The only way we can do that is by taking Castellanos in the deal.  
    And it would still be expensive and probably mean no Nellie Cruz.
     
    But we need a stud added to our rotation that makes a difference.
    Paxton or Odorizzi would be helpful, but not difference makers in the post-season.
    Only Bauer or Castillo do that.
    And I think after the moves the Padres made, the Dodgers might feel the need to do something BIG.
  24. Like
    TopGunn#22 reacted to tony&rodney in Twins Quest for Pitching Becomes Clearer   
    I see what San Diego did yesterday and find it really hard to know what is viable for a trade. Can the Twins trade something like Enlow, Gordon, Cavaco, Holland, Thorpe, Rortveldt, and Urbina for Luis Castillo? I'm just throwing our a crazy idea. I can't put my finger on the market.
     
  25. Like
    TopGunn#22 reacted to Ted Schwerzler in Twins Quest for Pitching Becomes Clearer   
    I don't think the Twins land Bauer, which means I'd agree with you. Ultimately I'd like to see Odorizzi and a trade for Musgrove, Gray, Castillo, or Sonny Gray
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