h2oface reacted to bean5302 in Grading Falvey's Drafts
This is about the results from the front office based on what has been seen up until now, including how well our prospects have performed in the minors. There are exceptions to the rule, but most eventual MLB players do not struggle or even fail to impress in the low minors multiple years after they were drafted. Still, getting to MLB is absolutely worth something and that's reflected in the front office's grade for Larnach.
The front office got a C grade for Larnach because he made it to MLB in the first place. C grade is acceptable. It's average. It's good enough. It's nothing special. Even if Larnach never makes anything out of himself, and I projected him not to, it still gave Falvey a C grade. This isn't an Uber ride where somebody gets fired if you don't give them 5 stars.
Larnach was drafted as a bat only player which means he absolutely has to rake to be of significant value. The front office was behind the 8-ball from day 1 on the Larnach, Sabato, Wallner and Rooker picks because there was nothing to fall back on. The front office made that call and they need to live with it.
Side note, it is not uncommon to see college players in MLB at 3-4 years, and the best college players get to MLB in 1-2 years. 2020 did throw some wrenches into the mix, but Larnach is not particularly young and he participated in the alternate site in 2020. He'll be 25 years old at the start of next season, and that's generally about the cutoff for a "prospect" being considered a prospect. The effects of a lost season diminish over time.
As far as missing context, I'm not writing a book, I'm writing a blog. To deep dive into every conceivable aspect of the draft would take hundreds of hours of work. You're more than welcome to do the digging yourself. :)
h2oface reacted to mikelink45 in Average OPS By Position vs. Twins Starters
I really enjoyed this. It is a very constructive way to look at the positions. I hope you are able to get more up to date data because I think we will look even worse with more current information.
I went to fangraphs and wRC -
1. Garver is #20 on the overall list - our highest twin 154 score.
It really hurts to see LaMonte Wade at #27!
Nelson Cruz is the only other Twin (ex) in the top 60.
2. Josh Donaldson #62 127
Then there is Akil Baddoo at number 82 - still higher that Twins OF
3.Polanco is #93 with a 118
There is Robbie Grossman and Jonathon Scoop before we get to 4.Arraez at #136 - 109
5. Sano at #169 is 104
And that completes our over league average group (average 100).
Thanks to Garver these 11 average 104 for the team.
h2oface got a reaction from jun in Management Caught Looking....elsewhere...the Continued Over Look of Miguel Sano
Management is paying him more, by far, than any of the young "core" that they have signed. That is the ultimate sign of not ignoring him. Right now it is totally wasted money.
h2oface reacted to saviking in Management Caught Looking....elsewhere...the Continued Over Look of Miguel Sano
129 AB .. 58 SO .. .163 BA .. Average fielder and below average speed on the base paths..
I swear to god, if Sano shortened his swing and tried to hit line drives he would end up hitting 40 balls over the fence by accident and strike out significant less ..
h2oface reacted to Cerny13 in Another MLB Rule Change, Another Potential Set Back for the Twins
It's actually 62' 6" as opposed to 61' 6".
h2oface reacted to joefish in Another MLB Rule Change, Another Potential Set Back for the Twins
Leave the game, and the ball, alone.
h2oface reacted to ashbury in Another MLB Rule Change, Another Potential Set Back for the Twins
6 feet 61 inches? Seems a bit extreme, indeed.
h2oface got a reaction from operation mindcrime in Revisiting Falvine Trades: Part 1, Ryan Pressly
Not to continue this tangent, but this and done. It looks like Ynoa isn't too smart, though....
"Ynoa broke his hand after punching the dugout in frustration following a tough outing yesterday against the Brewers, and will now spend approximately two months or more in recovery. It’s a very unfortunate setback for a player who has become an unexpectedly big part of Atlanta’ rotation this season."
h2oface got a reaction from jun in Unthinkable? Let Cruz go after 2020?
This will probably be up to Cruz. I would much rather keep him, even if he does decline. You can always not play him. But you can't put him in the lineup if he is not on your team. One decline year won't hurt the Twins at all. I mean seriously.... they put Astudillo on the roster! Cruz is good for the team.
h2oface reacted to G Lee in What's wrong with Nick's column
"We live in the greatest country on earth" is the laziest possible statement ever. The transfer of money and power to the top 1% has effectively destroyed our democracy and turned us into the equivalent of a banana republic.
We have a president who dispels peaceful protesters with chemical irritants for a fake photo opp. We have an obsolete Constitution that does not allow for modification. We have a policeman with at least 17 complaints of misconduct who murders a handcuffed man in broad daylight, with three of his colleagues watching and doing nothing.
Our country is broken, and far from the "greatest in the world." Anyone who thinks otherwise is delusional.
h2oface reacted to woolywoolhouse in What's wrong with Nick's column
"We live in the greatest country on earth."
I love my country, but statistics just say that isn't true and in many cases it is not close. Here are some rankings to check out from a 2019 study/ranking published in US News & World Report that ranked 80 countries in 75 different metrics (from a survey of 20,000 across the globe) https://www.newsweek.com/worlds-best-countries-us-not-top-five-1300813:
Perceptions of Trustworthiness by other countries - 27
Healthcare - 10
Food - 11
Wine - 7
Citizenship - 16
Quality of Life - 17
Ranked outside of top 20 in: Heritage; Best Countries for Solo Travel; Best Countries to Invest in; Best Countries for a comfortable retirement; Best Countries to start a career.
The only things the USA ranked one in are military strength (of course, when your military budget equals that of the next seven total, it should probably be good); and number of citizens in prison.
It's important to have pride in your country, but the statistics show the United States of America has a lot of room for improvement.
h2oface reacted to diehardbsblfan in Rich Hill Elbow Surgery Discussion
Great insight on a topic not covered by very many. For the right scenario, this surgery is a game changer. Our 17 y/o had UCL internal brace repair surgery in late September performed by an MLB team doctor who has done well over one hundred of this type of procedure. My son had a clean tear on the distal side of his elbow. For 6 months he has rehabbed like crazy to prepare for the end of his HS season and then college. Six months post surgery he is already throwing 5-6 mph harder than before (and we were concerned he might not ever pitch at a high level again). The UCL injury has to be a clean tear to be a good candidate for the surgery and it will take a full year for everything to heal is my understanding. Good luck to those who face this option - there is real hope.
h2oface reacted to Heezy1323 in Rich Hill Elbow Surgery Discussion
I haven't done 100, but I've done a fair number on appropriate candidates. I see many more teenagers than I do professional athletes in my practice, so it is definitely a good tool to have in the toolbox for this age group. Most don't have the cumulative damage to their ligament that someone who is older might.
Good luck to your son! Sounds like he is progressing very well. Being diligent about the rehab is also critical, and it sounds like he has done his part. Nice job!