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h2oface

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  1. Like
    h2oface reacted to bean5302 in Grading Falvey's Drafts   
    This is about the results from the front office based on what has been seen up until now, including how well our prospects have performed in the minors. There are exceptions to the rule, but most eventual MLB players do not struggle or even fail to impress in the low minors multiple years after they were drafted. Still, getting to MLB is absolutely worth something and that's reflected in the front office's grade for Larnach.
    The front office got a C grade for Larnach because he made it to MLB in the first place. C grade is acceptable. It's average. It's good enough. It's nothing special. Even if Larnach never makes anything out of himself, and I projected him not to, it still gave Falvey a C grade. This isn't an Uber ride where somebody gets fired if you don't give them 5 stars.
    Larnach was drafted as a bat only player which means he absolutely has to rake to be of significant value. The front office was behind the 8-ball from day 1 on the Larnach, Sabato, Wallner and Rooker picks because there was nothing to fall back on. The front office made that call and they need to live with it.
    Side note, it is not uncommon to see college players in MLB at 3-4 years, and the best college players get to MLB in 1-2 years. 2020 did throw some wrenches into the mix, but Larnach is not particularly young and he participated in the alternate site in 2020. He'll be 25 years old at the start of next season, and that's generally about the cutoff for a "prospect" being considered a prospect. The effects of a lost season diminish over time.
    As far as missing context, I'm not writing a book, I'm writing a blog. To deep dive into every conceivable aspect of the draft would take hundreds of hours of work. You're more than welcome to do the digging yourself. :)
     
  2. Like
    h2oface reacted to Craig Arko in Saddest sports city   
    A ) Minnesota is not a city.
    B ) Maybe we can use this as leverage to end the sports obsession, at least locally.
  3. Like
    h2oface reacted to mikelink45 in Average OPS By Position vs. Twins Starters   
    I really enjoyed this.  It is a very constructive way to look at the positions.  I hope you are able to get more up to date data because I think we will look even worse with more current information. 
    I went to fangraphs and wRC -
    1. Garver is #20 on the overall list - our highest twin 154 score.
    It really hurts to see LaMonte Wade at #27!
    Nelson Cruz is the only other Twin (ex) in the top 60.
    2. Josh Donaldson #62 127
    Then there is Akil Baddoo at number 82 - still higher that Twins OF
    3.Polanco is #93 with a 118
    There is Robbie Grossman and Jonathon Scoop before we get to 4.Arraez at #136 - 109
    5. Sano at #169 is 104
    And that completes our over league average group (average 100). 
    Jeffers 97
    Kepler 96
    Astudillo 96
    Kiriloff 94
    Larnach 89
    Simmons 61
    Thanks to Garver these 11 average 104 for the team. 
  4. Like
    h2oface got a reaction from Danchat in Falvine's Waiver Claim Game   
    Thanks for this. Awesome stuff.
  5. Like
    h2oface got a reaction from TwerkTwonkTwins in Falvine's Waiver Claim Game   
    Thanks for this. Awesome stuff.
  6. Like
    h2oface got a reaction from jun in Management Caught Looking....elsewhere...the Continued Over Look of Miguel Sano   
    Management is paying him more, by far, than any of the young "core" that they have signed. That is the ultimate sign of not ignoring him. Right now it is totally wasted money.
  7. Like
    h2oface reacted to saviking in Management Caught Looking....elsewhere...the Continued Over Look of Miguel Sano   
    129 AB .. 58 SO .. .163 BA .. Average fielder and below average speed on the base paths..
    I swear to god, if Sano shortened his swing and tried to hit line drives he would end up hitting 40 balls over the fence by accident and strike out significant less .. 
  8. Yikes, Bro
    h2oface reacted to Cerny13 in Another MLB Rule Change, Another Potential Set Back for the Twins   
    It's actually 62' 6" as opposed to 61' 6".
  9. Like
    h2oface reacted to joefish in Another MLB Rule Change, Another Potential Set Back for the Twins   
    Leave the game, and the ball, alone.
  10. Haha
    h2oface reacted to ashbury in Another MLB Rule Change, Another Potential Set Back for the Twins   
    6 feet 61 inches? Seems a bit extreme, indeed.
  11. Like
    h2oface reacted to operation mindcrime in Revisiting Falvine Trades: Part 1, Ryan Pressly   
    Huascar should've watched "Bull Durham". Then he'd have known not to use his pitching arm!
  12. Like
    h2oface got a reaction from operation mindcrime in Revisiting Falvine Trades: Part 1, Ryan Pressly   
    Not to continue this tangent, but this and done.  It looks like Ynoa isn't too smart, though....
    "Ynoa broke his hand after punching the dugout in frustration following a tough outing yesterday against the Brewers, and will now spend approximately two months or more in recovery.  It’s a very unfortunate setback for a player who has become an unexpectedly big part of Atlanta’ rotation this season."
  13. Like
    h2oface got a reaction from DannySD in Are the Twins Preparing a Big Surprise?   
    With only 35 on the 40 man....... there is plenty of room for surprises.
  14. Like
    h2oface got a reaction from jun in Unthinkable? Let Cruz go after 2020?   
    This will probably be up to Cruz. I would much rather keep him, even if he does decline. You can always not play him. But you can't put him in the lineup if he is not on your team. One decline year won't hurt the Twins at all. I mean seriously.... they put Astudillo on the roster! Cruz is good for the team.
  15. Like
    h2oface got a reaction from terrydactyls in Keep Your Unwritten Rules, Let the Kids Play   
    Good for Tatis. Sometimes baseball players are real babies. It is a game, after all.
     
    A good bunt IS a hit. It is a great hit. It is a smart hit. No mater when or in any circumstance. 
  16. Like
    h2oface reacted to mikelink45 in Keep Your Unwritten Rules, Let the Kids Play   
    Can someone please write down all these imaginary rules so we can stop saying unwritten rules and expose them to the sunlight where they might whither like the vampires they are as they suck the life out of the games. 
  17. Like
    h2oface got a reaction from mikelink45 in Keep Your Unwritten Rules, Let the Kids Play   
    Good for Tatis. Sometimes baseball players are real babies. It is a game, after all.
     
    A good bunt IS a hit. It is a great hit. It is a smart hit. No mater when or in any circumstance. 
  18. Like
    h2oface got a reaction from Platoon in What's wrong with Nick's column   
    The Greatest Country in the World? The clean edit.
     

     
  19. Like
    h2oface reacted to G Lee in What's wrong with Nick's column   
    "We live in the greatest country on earth" is the laziest possible statement ever. The transfer of money and power to the top 1% has effectively destroyed our democracy and turned us into the equivalent of a banana republic.
     
    We have a president who dispels peaceful protesters with chemical irritants for a fake photo opp. We have an obsolete Constitution that does not allow for modification. We have a policeman with at least 17 complaints of misconduct who murders a handcuffed man in broad daylight, with three of his colleagues watching and doing nothing. 
     
    Our country is broken, and far from the "greatest in the world." Anyone who thinks otherwise is delusional.
  20. Like
    h2oface reacted to woolywoolhouse in What's wrong with Nick's column   
    "We live in the greatest country on earth."
     
    I love my country, but statistics just say that isn't true and in many cases it is not close. Here are some rankings to check out from a 2019 study/ranking published in US News & World Report that ranked 80 countries in 75 different metrics (from a survey of 20,000 across the globe) https://www.newsweek.com/worlds-best-countries-us-not-top-five-1300813:
     
    Perceptions of Trustworthiness by other countries - 27
    Healthcare - 10
    Food - 11
    Wine - 7
    Citizenship - 16
    Quality of Life - 17
     
    Ranked outside of top 20 in: Heritage; Best Countries for Solo Travel; Best Countries to Invest in; Best Countries for a comfortable retirement; Best Countries to start a career.
     
    The only things the USA ranked one in are military strength (of course, when your military budget equals that of the next seven total, it should probably be good); and number of citizens in prison. 
     
    It's important to have pride in your country, but the statistics show the United States of America has a lot of room for improvement.
  21. Like
    h2oface reacted to diehardbsblfan in Rich Hill Elbow Surgery Discussion   
    Great insight on a topic not covered by very many. For the right scenario, this surgery is a game changer. Our 17 y/o had UCL internal brace repair surgery in late September performed by an MLB team doctor who has done well over one hundred of this type of procedure. My son had a clean tear on the distal side of his elbow. For 6 months he has rehabbed like crazy to prepare for the end of his HS season and then college. Six months post surgery he is already throwing 5-6 mph harder than before (and we were concerned he might not ever pitch at a high level again). The UCL injury has to be a clean tear to be a good candidate for the surgery and it will take a full year for everything to heal is my understanding. Good luck to those who face this option - there is real hope.
  22. Like
    h2oface reacted to Heezy1323 in Rich Hill Elbow Surgery Discussion   
    I haven't done 100, but I've done a fair number on appropriate candidates. I see many more teenagers than I do professional athletes in my practice, so it is definitely a good tool to have in the toolbox for this age group. Most don't have the cumulative damage to their ligament that someone who is older might.
    Good luck to your son! Sounds like he is progressing very well. Being diligent about the rehab is also critical, and it sounds like he has done his part. Nice job!
  23. Like
    h2oface got a reaction from Heezy1323 in Rich Hill Elbow Surgery Discussion   
    Hill could be a bonus, but I, for one, am not planning on him contributing. Thanks for the amazing discussion of the procedure and options, Heezy. I love this stuff.
  24. Like
    h2oface reacted to wabene in UCL Reconstruction Techniques   
    Heezy, the surgery Richard Hill had was different than these techniques, correct? I'd be interested in having that explained!
  25. Like
    h2oface reacted to Heezy1323 in UCL Reconstruction Techniques   
    It was! Quite different, in fact. Let me see what I can put together. 
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