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Bigfork Twins Guy

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  1. Like
    Bigfork Twins Guy got a reaction from USAFChief in Jim Kaat’s last broadcast   
    Congrats to Kitty on a long baseball career and a great broadcasting career.  I'll miss your broadcasts which I feel are second only to Vin's.  You have a wonderful way of explaining the game.  You'll be missed.
  2. Like
    Bigfork Twins Guy got a reaction from JD Green in Jim Kaat’s last broadcast   
    Congrats to Kitty on a long baseball career and a great broadcasting career.  I'll miss your broadcasts which I feel are second only to Vin's.  You have a wonderful way of explaining the game.  You'll be missed.
  3. Like
    Bigfork Twins Guy got a reaction from RpR in Jim Kaat’s last broadcast   
    Congrats to Kitty on a long baseball career and a great broadcasting career.  I'll miss your broadcasts which I feel are second only to Vin's.  You have a wonderful way of explaining the game.  You'll be missed.
  4. Like
    Bigfork Twins Guy reacted to wsnydes in Mahle Day-to-Day   
    I think I'd actually endorse him not making his next start.  Give him a bit of a rest and hopefully they can ride him down the remainder of the season.
  5. Like
    Bigfork Twins Guy got a reaction from LA VIkes Fan in Should the Twins Sign Jose Miranda to a Long-Term Extension?   
    I say yes but after next year.  The FO needs to find that sweet spot for these signings.  For example, we waited too long with Berrios (some might say we were lucky but lots of time left on his contract) and sometimes we may sign them too early like with Dobnak (although much less painful financially).  Polanco and Kepler contracts were at done the exact right time.
    In general, I think signing players who prove their worth very early in their career are good candidates for this approach and are win-win deals for player and team.  This strategy is especially true in the Twins case since they are adverse to long-term / high AAV contracts.
  6. Like
    Bigfork Twins Guy reacted to silverslugger in Bally Sports+ to Launch September 26, Without Twins For Now   
    I've been a Twins fan since the mid-70's as a young boy.  Went through the days of a weekly Saturday game and Monday Night Baseball.  Twins were rarely on either, so had to listen to 'CCO.  Lived out of State when Cable first started telecasting 60ish games a season, so continued to listen to 'CCO and other affiliates from afar.  Enjoyed watching many games a year while Twins were on FSN and I had DirecTV.  Also went to a few games a year despite being 250 miles from Twin Cities.  Cut the cord when DirectTV got up to $170 a month for me and switched to $60 Hulu.  Enjoyed watching FSN on Hulu for a couple years.  Then, poof, a switch to Bally and it's all gone.  Also, I live in some sort of baseball created viewing hell called Iowa where the Twins/Brewers/Royals/White Sox/Cubs/Cardinals all choose it as part of their blackout territory.  So, no baseball on TV for me.
    I watch a few games a year now when the Twins play the Sox and it's on Hulu.  I listen a bit on the radio, not as much as before.  I get my Twins fix here, for the most part, rarely even watch any highlights from anywhere on the 'net.  I haven't gone to a game since this mess began and haven't spent any money on Twins merch...REFUSE.  They will get none of my hard earned $$$.
    As an aside, I'm 57 and grew up worshipping baseball.  The powers that be are absolutely killing the game.  I teach in a High School.  When I started teaching in the late 80's many kids were still interested in baseball.  Now, almost none of them.  The only ones interested are the very few who have grown up as little leaguers/legion ball/school ball.  95% of kids don't have a clue and don't give a care.  30 years from now, MLB and it's fanbase is going to look much, much different than it does now.  Much, Much, Different!
  7. Like
    Bigfork Twins Guy reacted to roger in Should the Twins Sign Jose Miranda to a Long-Term Extension?   
    No problem waiting another year to sign Miranda, but it should be done...soon.
    It is more important this winter to sign/extend Arraez, Gray, and Mahle.  Then get Miranda done next winter while also signing Duran.
  8. Like
    Bigfork Twins Guy reacted to High heat in Should the Twins Sign Jose Miranda to a Long-Term Extension?   
    If he will sign for 50 million or less and buy out a arbitration season it sounds like a good deal. There also isn’t anything wrong with going through his sophomore season especially because I don’t think he will count as a super 2 because he came up late this season. 
     
    Harris isn’t a good comparison because he is 21 3 yrs younger, a top 50 prospect and plays a premium defensive position. 
     
    I’d be more excited about Miranda if we saw him more at 3B and knew he would be the starter there for the next decade. 1B are easy to find and I believe Arraez will be there moving forward.
     
    I would be much more interested in signing Arraez to an extension this off-season.  That bat is the real deal and keeping him at 1B DH and the occasional fill in at 2B has kept the knees healthy.   Defensively I have really liked him at 1B he has learn the position well on the fly and has nice soft hands.  I know he isn’t the traditional 1B with massive power but still can’t deny how good the bat and his eye at the plate is.
  9. Like
    Bigfork Twins Guy reacted to mikelink45 in Ranking the 15 Most Important Twins Players for the Stretch Run   
    I would add Emilio pagan to the list not because he's great but because he's going to be used and we can't afford to have more meltdowns from it. If he can just work his way through lower leverage situations and keep from blowing up that will go a long ways towards helping the season and well
  10. Like
    Bigfork Twins Guy got a reaction from Mark G in Strikeout: 3 Long-Term Bullpen Problems for the Twins   
    I recall hearing veteran pitchers like Blyleven, Morris, and Viola saying that if you never let your starters work through tough innings and always take them out they never learn how to work through them.  I am betting that Gray is of that opinion also after his comments the other day.  He wants a longer leash.
    That may be why pitchers cannot get through the order more than twice.  They've been conditioned that at the first sign of trouble they are gone.
    I also hear as a reason to take them out after two times through the order that the batters review via their iPads between innings and make adjustments.  Are pitchers not allowed by MLB to review an iPad between innings and make the necessary adjustments?
  11. Like
    Bigfork Twins Guy got a reaction from DocBauer in Strikeout: 3 Long-Term Bullpen Problems for the Twins   
    I recall hearing veteran pitchers like Blyleven, Morris, and Viola saying that if you never let your starters work through tough innings and always take them out they never learn how to work through them.  I am betting that Gray is of that opinion also after his comments the other day.  He wants a longer leash.
    That may be why pitchers cannot get through the order more than twice.  They've been conditioned that at the first sign of trouble they are gone.
    I also hear as a reason to take them out after two times through the order that the batters review via their iPads between innings and make adjustments.  Are pitchers not allowed by MLB to review an iPad between innings and make the necessary adjustments?
  12. Like
    Bigfork Twins Guy reacted to Doctor Gast in Strikeout: 3 Long-Term Bullpen Problems for the Twins   
    Agree with your evaluations except Strike 2: Short Starts Mean More Bullpen Innings. From the beginning they knew that Archer & Bundy wouldn't pitch much over 5 innings a game and that Ober, Ryan, Paddack and Winder would far pitch more innings. Many didn't think they'd last as long as they have yet they have pitched more innings than any of those mentioned.
    Every single SP in this rotation has his share of short starts & will continue to have them, that's not the problem. The problem is the many years of absence of long relief and over dependence on short relief which puts too much stress on short relief which in turn puts too much strain on the rotation to pitch beyond their profile which in turn results in injuries & many ineffective innings. This is doubley a problem when you have too many poor short RPs.
    This problem is easy to fix, establish a strong long relief corp and regularly use them. We have many well proven candidates in AAA. The rare times when long relief has been used, we have always had excellent results. You'd think that after these excellent results it'd dawn on them that this the way. But they quickly resort back to abandoning long relief & stay with using 4-5 short RPs to complete a game.
    I do agree with you that the BP is over stretched but the problem isn't the rotations short starts (that is to be expected) but the abandonment of long relief.
  13. Like
    Bigfork Twins Guy reacted to Mark G in Strikeout: 3 Long-Term Bullpen Problems for the Twins   
    Assuming we continue on the overall plan of 5 starters and 8 bullpen guys, we should be seriously looking at who can pitch multiple innings, not just who can pitch multiple days in a row.  Starters pitching deeper is desirable, but is not likely to happen with this management team so long relief specialists and 2 inning guys would bridge the gap between the starters and the closers.  Having to have 4 or 5 pitchers on each and every game is just asking too much of most bullpens, ours very much included.  
  14. Like
    Bigfork Twins Guy got a reaction from Minny505 in Who is the Twins 2022 Rookie of the Year?   
    1) Miranda
    2) Duran
    3) Ryan
  15. Like
    Bigfork Twins Guy got a reaction from flpmagikat in Max Kepler Under Contract for 2023   
    His fielding speaks for itself.  As for his hitting, I recall that he worked in the offseason with Alex Kirilloff's dad trying to hit to left field and he did that at the beginning of the season with some success.  Then I believe pitchers adjusted by busting him inside where it is very difficult to hit the other way, hence the pull happy at bats are back.
    I think his defense warrants keeping him around long enough to see if the shift-rule changes implemented next year open things up for him while waiting for prospects to mature more.  They just are not quite ready to replace Max at this time.
    As for the Sano comparison, you have to include the 162 game avg strike out metric,  Sano-243, Kepler-118 to make a fair comparison.
     
  16. Like
    Bigfork Twins Guy got a reaction from ChineseGandalf in Who is the Twins 2022 Rookie of the Year?   
    1) Miranda
    2) Duran
    3) Ryan
  17. Like
    Bigfork Twins Guy got a reaction from jun in Who is the Twins 2022 Rookie of the Year?   
    1) Miranda
    2) Duran
    3) Ryan
  18. Like
    Bigfork Twins Guy got a reaction from chpettit19 in Max Kepler Under Contract for 2023   
    His fielding speaks for itself.  As for his hitting, I recall that he worked in the offseason with Alex Kirilloff's dad trying to hit to left field and he did that at the beginning of the season with some success.  Then I believe pitchers adjusted by busting him inside where it is very difficult to hit the other way, hence the pull happy at bats are back.
    I think his defense warrants keeping him around long enough to see if the shift-rule changes implemented next year open things up for him while waiting for prospects to mature more.  They just are not quite ready to replace Max at this time.
    As for the Sano comparison, you have to include the 162 game avg strike out metric,  Sano-243, Kepler-118 to make a fair comparison.
     
  19. Like
    Bigfork Twins Guy reacted to DocBauer in Max Kepler Under Contract for 2023   
    I think Kepler has real value as an excellent defensive OF who performs about league average offensively. And with his contract, he's worth keeping around for 2023 no doubt. While defenses will continue to shift and shade in 2023, I would bet his numbers do improve without the exaggerated shifts. What's so frustrating is a lack of adjustment. I agree that early in the year it sure seemed like he WAS making adjustments and was actually spraying a few balls to center and left and it was refreshing. Did he suddenly forget how to do what he was doing? I'm actually wondering if something else has been bothering him before the broken toe as he just wasn't looking the same.
    I've said for some time now that's he's more than acceptable as a good/dangerous hitter lower in the order who plays great defense and should sit once in a while against some LHP. The problem is Larnach and Kirrilloff, while potentially better and more complete hitters, have been battling injuries during their ML introduction which has really killed the lineup at times. 
    It's a shame Kepler hasn't reached the production hoped for because he's got all the physically ability you'd probably wish for in your RF. But I have believed for a while now that Kiriloff will be the primary 1B, while still playing some corner OF here and there, and Larnach would become the primary RF where he has to cover a little less ground and has more than enough arm. I initially thought Martin would become the primary LF and be very Alex Gordon-like out there, but with a little more speed and SB ability. And that might still happen. I'm starting to wonder now if that player in LF might not be Julien. He has some experience there and definitely has the wheels. The bat plays exceptionally there with AVG/OB/POWER and good speed. 
    Random thoughts, but thoughts I think are accurate. I haven't given up on Kepler, and I sure hope he can help down the stretch this year. And I'm looking for SOME improvement in 2023 as a lower in the order bat to make room for better above him. Despite being relatively young still, I'm not sure he figures in beyond 2023.
  20. Like
    Bigfork Twins Guy reacted to FlyingFinn in Max Kepler Under Contract for 2023   
    Max - constantly hitting ground balls to the right side of the infield does not work. You either have to hit a bunch of balls to the left side and, when they shift back, return to pulling the ball OR practice bunting so much that you get on first most times. There isn't anyone near third base. It's an easy single, which is much better than 0 for 29.
  21. Like
    Bigfork Twins Guy reacted to chpettit19 in Sonny Gray not too happy with Rocco...   
    You have some data to back this up? It sure doesn't feel like pitcher compensation is going down. Alex Cobb threw 93.1 total innings last year (just over 5 innings a start) while having an ERA under 4 (3.76) for the first time since 2017 and just got a $20 million contract this offseason at the age of 34. Anthony DeSclafani averaged less than 5.5 innings a start last year while going sub-4 era for just the 2nd time since 2016 and got $36 million. Yusei Kikuchi has never had an ERA under 4.41 and averaged 5.4 innings per start last year and got $36 million. James Paxton has never made 30 starts in a season in his career and he got $10 million after pitching to just over 5.1 innings a start back in 2020 and missing basically all of last season. As has already been pointed out, Sonny Gray hasn't been significantly over 5 innings a start in 3 years and has made 30 starts in a season once since 2015. The Twins aren't hurting Sonny Gray's career, his inability to stay healthy and throw innings for 7 freaking years is hurting his career.
  22. Like
    Bigfork Twins Guy reacted to nicksaviking in Sonny Gray not too happy with Rocco...   
    I didn't hear anything about him not being unhappy with Baldelli. Where was that coming from?
    I'm quite certain Gray knows it's an organizational decision to pull pitchers early, so he may not be happy with the team as a whole. Not sure why Baldelli is the one constantly being thrown under the bus for this though.
    In any case, if you take out his shortened injury start, Gray is pitching the same amount of innings per start this year as he did the last two years in Cincinnati. The guy hasn't thrown 200 IP since 2015.
  23. Like
    Bigfork Twins Guy reacted to Cap'n Piranha in Baldelli needs to break up Bundy and Archer   
    This right here summarizes the problem perfectly.  It's fine to only let your starters go 5 a game...if you have multiple options to eat multiple innings in the bullpen.  It's fine to not have multiple options to eat multiple innings in the bullpen...if you have 7-8 guys you trust in 1 run games in the late innings.
    You have to have one of those 3 things (starters who consistently pitch 7 innings, 3-4 guys who can handle 2-3 innings every 2nd or 3rd day while giving up 0-1 runs most of the time, or 7-8 set-up caliber guys); the Twins have none, which is why the pitching staff is in shambles.  If Falvine is going to continue on the current path with the starters, they better figure out which of the two bullpen options they're going to opt for, and they better have that answer before free agency starts in the fall/winter.
  24. Like
    Bigfork Twins Guy reacted to chpettit19 in Baldelli needs to break up Bundy and Archer   
    Or use Sands/Sanchez/Varland/literally anyone in a long relief role in tandem with at least 1 of them. My guess is they aren't doing that because of game situation and trusting all their 1 inning arms to succeed over Sands being able to hang 3 or 4 0s, but there's definitely ways around blowing through your pen so much. And the odds of Pagan hanging a single 0 can't be any better than Sands hanging 2 or 3.
    I have no problem with pulling mediocre starters after 2 times through the order/5 innings/whatever, but you need to back that up with an adjustment in the makeup of your staff and how you utilize your pen if you're going to manage 3 or 4 of your starters that way. I think they manage their starters pretty reasonably even if I'd prefer an extra inning here or there from them. My problem is the makeup of the pen. Or at least their willingness to use someone like Sands for multiple innings.
    1 inning guys: Lopez, Duran, Fulmer, Jax, Thielbar, Moran
    Multi-inning guys: Sands, Sanchez
    Starters: Mahle, Gray, Ryan, Bundy, Archer
    Split up Bundy and Archer while using Sands and Sanchez in combination with them to get through 7 or 8 innings and let your 1 inning guys get some rest to be able to come out throwing fire in their appearances.
  25. Like
    Bigfork Twins Guy reacted to chpettit19 in Twins Giving Pagan a Leash to Hang Their Season   
    Firing Rocco wouldn't lead to this FO bringing in a non-analytics guy. They hired Rocco because he's an analytics guy. It's what they believe in.
    Tampa wins every year. Dave Roberts is an analytics guy and LA wins more than any team. AJ Hinch is an analytics guy and did alright in Houston. Not sure why being an analytics guy means they aren't managing to "win" when the teams that win the most in baseball are lead by "analytics guys." The difference between managers these days is mostly what analytics they use and the talent they have at their disposal. Chicago has what many would consider a non-analytics, old school guy in La Russa running a team many say is far more talented than this Twins team yet the Twins are percentage points ahead of Chicago in the standings.
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