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roger

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  1. Like
    roger got a reaction from wabene in Twins Minor League Report (8/10): Brooks Lee’s High-A Debut, Schobel Shines   
    Will second, or third those comments above regarding the attack on Miller.  But I am an old Badger state guy and I gotta like him, eh?
    What I am absolutely thrilled with is that Brooks Lee made his Hi-A debut and even got a hit.  Now I know he may be too old for Hi-A, he is only hitting .250 and blah, blah, blah.  I expect he was excited, yet, seemed like a player in that brief clip we saw.  Can he move up the ladder rapidly and appear at Target Field in 2023?  Don't know where he will play with Royce Lewis manning short, but they will find a place if he is special.
  2. Like
    roger got a reaction from Dman in Twins Minor League Report (8/10): Brooks Lee’s High-A Debut, Schobel Shines   
    Will second, or third those comments above regarding the attack on Miller.  But I am an old Badger state guy and I gotta like him, eh?
    What I am absolutely thrilled with is that Brooks Lee made his Hi-A debut and even got a hit.  Now I know he may be too old for Hi-A, he is only hitting .250 and blah, blah, blah.  I expect he was excited, yet, seemed like a player in that brief clip we saw.  Can he move up the ladder rapidly and appear at Target Field in 2023?  Don't know where he will play with Royce Lewis manning short, but they will find a place if he is special.
  3. Like
    roger reacted to ashbury in What the Twins gave up in terms of prospects at the deadline   
    Acquired in the Garver trade, for whatever that's worth.  Certainly not the key piece we received.
  4. Like
    roger reacted to Rosterman in What the Twins gave up in terms of prospects at the deadline   
    The 2022 Twins draft class MAY surprise and replace a couple of these prospects sooner rather than much later.
    Prospects bomb. See Balazovic, Henriquez, maybe Sands and Enlow. Who knows what will happen to Canterino, Woods-Richardson and Varland. Three of the above we couldn't give away. Three of the above we were able to keep and could help the team in 2023 and beyond.
    All will be replaced by mroe names come the 2023 off-season.
  5. Like
    roger reacted to jorgenswest in What the Twins gave up in terms of prospects at the deadline   
    I don’t think teams can be successful without developing and trading good prospects.
    It is a credit to the Twins staff to identify and develop a 90th pick in Steer to the point where they are the headliner of a deal for a controlled playoff quality starter. Only 1 player who signed from the 90th spot has more than 10 career WAR. In second place on the WAR list at 9 is Sean Rodriguez. Cal Raleigh who will probably pass Rodriguez is the only other over 1 at 1.5. Similarly Povich was selected at pick 97. Again only one player with over 10 career WAR in Jack Morris.  Edwin Diaz will likely pass 10. Between the two spots and over 100 players selected only two or possibly 4 players will surpass 10 career WAR. 
    Well done Twins. They turned the 90th and 97th draft slots into headliners for significant deadline additions.
  6. Like
    roger reacted to gil4 in What the Twins gave up in terms of prospects at the deadline   
    I hated losing Povich even more after I saw what he did in first start in the O's system.  
  7. Like
    roger reacted to CRF in What the Twins gave up in terms of prospects at the deadline   
    I have no problem giving up the prospects we did, for the return we got. 
  8. Like
    roger reacted to DocBauer in What the Twins gave up in terms of prospects at the deadline   
    I hated losing Povich, Hajjar, and CES because I think we lost 2 good arms who will be solid ML SP and high quality BP arms at worst. And the system is now, again, short on LH arms. The recent drafting of Priellip covers their losses to a degree because he may be as good or better, drafted just a year later. I keep wondering if CES doesn't turn out to be a "special" bat at 1B/DH. But even still, he's not proven yet, of course. And while Lee is a different type of player, his addition also adds a sort of "replacement" for him as well.
    A couple teenage foreign signings who MIGHT turn out 4-5yrs from now just don't factor in.
    What they got back is absolutely worth what they sent out. Especially if Fulmer is re-signed. He and Lopez are new to the pen, and should continue to be good. Even if Lopez regresses some, he'd still be very good. Fulmer, also  new to the pen, could not only maintain but maybe even improve. He's an easy re-sign potentially. 
    Just a ton of smart and aggressive moves.
  9. Like
    roger reacted to PseudoSABR in What the Twins gave up in terms of prospects at the deadline   
    Fangraphs ranks prospects traded at the deadline
    According to fangraphs.com, the Twins gave up the 8th, 25th, 26th, 37th, 57th, and 66th best prospects of those traded at the deadline. 
    It really seems like the Twins did well in limiting what kind of assets they gave up vis-à-vis what other teams gave up. 
  10. Like
    roger reacted to tony&rodney in What the Twins gave up in terms of prospects at the deadline   
    We will never know if Povich or Hajjar would develop into stars in the Twins system, but the Twins didn't lose anyone that they couldn't afford to trade and the returns were excellent.
  11. Like
    roger reacted to Trov in Twins Minor League Report (8/10): Brooks Lee’s High-A Debut, Schobel Shines   
    Interesting take on prospect rankings.  You talk about CES as a guy that gave hope, assuming because his offense numbers, and attack Noah Miller, because his offense numbers not as good.  What I draw from your determination on prospects is you only care what their offense output is and do not care about anything else that will go into it.  Like age, defensive position, how well they can play defense, projection based on.  I bet going back to 2019 you most likely said Jose Miranda was not a prospect and had no hope of being anything, being his slash numbers were basically the same as Noah Miller.  Miranda was not high on rankings, but he developed.  Much of prospect ranking is projection, not where they are right now.  
    CES is not highly ranked by national rankings.  In part, he is older so less projection there, and many worry when he faces better pitching he will strike out at way to high of rate.  I personally have not watched, unlike the scouts that actually rank him, not sure if you have.  However, the book on him is he will chase too much, and many expect when he faces better pitching that will have less mistakes he will not do as well.  Maybe he proves them wrong. 
    Prospect ranks are subjective and many times people get them wrong.  However, to say Miller is destined for utility guy at best when he is only 19 in A ball right now may be a little premature as well.  Maybe you are right, but only time will tell.  
    Personally though, I was not big on CES because he has no defense and I have seen too many college bats tear up lower minors only to never make majors because in AAA they face good pitching and their holes are exposed.  Maybe they get a cup of coffee or something at majors but again holes get exposed. 
  12. Like
    roger reacted to wabene in Twins Minor League Report (8/10): Brooks Lee’s High-A Debut, Schobel Shines   
    Oh ok. When you talk of CES and Speer you mention hope, implying uncertainty with prospects. Then you go on to sound quite certain about Miller. Which is it? Miller is 19, his older brother who was considered the lesser prospect is in the majors just getting started and might end up fitting your disruption of Noah, a utility guy. He could end up better than that or worse. Noah looked really good to me at short in spring training as a guy a year out of high school, in Wisconsin, playing with major leaguers for the first time. The book is still out. 
  13. Like
    roger got a reaction from PopRiveter in Do the Twins Have Too Many Starting Pitchers for 2023?   
    I see a situation where the Twins need to trade one of the guys towards the end of the list prior to mid-November when they need to make the 40-man adds.  Only problem is we seldom see trades the week or ten days following the World Series.  
    Do we have too much starting pitching, No.  But do we need to add to this group, I also say No.  What I see as a need this coming winter is the addition of a couple good relievers as our pen has five very good relievers and three who most would prefer weren't on the team. 
  14. Like
    roger got a reaction from Dman in Twins Minor League Report (8/9): Kernels Play Rival at Field of Dreams   
    Will second your motion to move Julien up to the Saints.  Kid has so many tools.  Could be exciting.
    So many guys throughout the organization that I just don't know much about.  Nowlin is certainly one, who pitched a heck of a game last night.  Expect like anyone in the lower levels he has lots to work on.  But sure seems like he could be a find for a 19th round draft pick.  Any indication when/if we are going to see Prielipp in a game?  And where?
  15. Like
    roger reacted to bean5302 in MLB is Broken   
    ...and MLB would officially go bankrupt and collapse in 2 years regardless of the revenue share due to annual losses exceeding 20% of league revenue. But yes, players would agree to it.
  16. Like
    roger reacted to nicksaviking in MLB is Broken   
    Most NFL teams are not selling out the stadium every week any longer.  It's all in the TV deals. MLB screwed the pooch about two decades ago in competing with the NFL in TV viewership, but certainly there would be more viewers if they didn't make the average fan jump through hoops to watch their local team.
  17. Like
    roger reacted to USAFChief in MLB is Broken   
    This isn't about single season WL records. That's due to the nature of the two sports and seasons less than 20 games vs 162 games.
    This is about a team in Green Bay being on equal financial feet as a team in Dallas as a team in Los Angeles. Those teams can go up and down in Wins and Losses based on personnel, coaching, and luck.
    That's no longer the case in baseball, where the Yankees last had a sub .500 record during the Clinton administration. Year 1 of the Clinton Administration  BTW. The same top spending teams are at the top of the standings virtually every year.
    The NFL is a MODEL of parity compared to MLB.
  18. Like
    roger reacted to Mike Sixel in MLB is Broken   
    It's isn't about the WS, it is about overall competitiveness. 
    This conversation hasn't even touched on fixing the draft to give bad teams more early picks so they improve faster.... In the NFL and NBA, bad teams can get good fast. Not so in the current MLB structure.
  19. Like
    roger reacted to USAFChief in MLB is Broken   
    Yup, baseball is broken.
    1. Bust the union, like the NFL did, is step one. The union is by far the biggest detriment to competitive balance. Players, BTW, needn't lose much if any money in thr process. A little more can go to the minor leagues, more to the average MLB players, a lot less to the few at the top.
    2. Share the money. Almost all of it. This is one area where ownership needs to show some foresight. Share it among ownership, and the players.
    3. Hard salary cap and hard salary floor. Non negotiable. No exceptions. The Dodgers don't get to spend 1 penny over the cap. The A's don't get to spend 1 penny under. If they're sharing revenues, this is doable. 
     
     
     
  20. Like
    roger reacted to Brock Beauchamp in MLB is Broken   
    The "fix" is really simple but MLB won't ever agree to it. Share television revenue the same way gate revenue is shared. When the Twins go to face the Dodgers in LA, they get a 50% percent cut of 1/81 of the Dodgers TV revenue.
    That way the Dodgers still have a significant advantage - they get 50% of their massive TV contract - but other teams raise their floor while also lowering the ceiling of the Dodgers.
    Then create a salary cap/floor based on 50% of league revenue. Everybody wins. The players receive more money, the league sees more competitive balance, and big market teams still have an advantage.
    Of course, this plan would require MLB to see past their nose for even a moment so this will not happen.
  21. Like
    roger got a reaction from MN_ExPat in Twins Minor League Report (8/9): Kernels Play Rival at Field of Dreams   
    Will second your motion to move Julien up to the Saints.  Kid has so many tools.  Could be exciting.
    So many guys throughout the organization that I just don't know much about.  Nowlin is certainly one, who pitched a heck of a game last night.  Expect like anyone in the lower levels he has lots to work on.  But sure seems like he could be a find for a 19th round draft pick.  Any indication when/if we are going to see Prielipp in a game?  And where?
  22. Like
    roger got a reaction from operation mindcrime in Twins Minor League Report (8/9): Kernels Play Rival at Field of Dreams   
    Will second your motion to move Julien up to the Saints.  Kid has so many tools.  Could be exciting.
    So many guys throughout the organization that I just don't know much about.  Nowlin is certainly one, who pitched a heck of a game last night.  Expect like anyone in the lower levels he has lots to work on.  But sure seems like he could be a find for a 19th round draft pick.  Any indication when/if we are going to see Prielipp in a game?  And where?
  23. Like
    roger got a reaction from D.C Twins in Twins Minor League Report (8/9): Kernels Play Rival at Field of Dreams   
    Will second your motion to move Julien up to the Saints.  Kid has so many tools.  Could be exciting.
    So many guys throughout the organization that I just don't know much about.  Nowlin is certainly one, who pitched a heck of a game last night.  Expect like anyone in the lower levels he has lots to work on.  But sure seems like he could be a find for a 19th round draft pick.  Any indication when/if we are going to see Prielipp in a game?  And where?
  24. Like
    roger reacted to 2wins87 in Twins Minor League Report (8/9): Kernels Play Rival at Field of Dreams   
    I know they signed Nowlin out of junior college and went a little above slot to sign him away from Alabama.  I remember hearing that he was another guy who had added a little bit of velocity this year, so I think he was getting into the mid 90s IIRC. 
    Low A numbers can be a little deceiving for pitchers, but he's having a great season.  Definitely worthy of at least a top 40 consideration for me.
  25. Like
    roger reacted to Steve Lein in Twins Minor League Report (8/9): Kernels Play Rival at Field of Dreams   
    Haven't seen anything official, would guess it would be with the FCL Twins if he does at all this year. Is still working back from injury if I remember right. @Jeremy Nygaard answered the following on Twitter when I asked him if he thought he'd pitch this year:
    "I'd guess not, but it's probably 50/50. Think instructs would probably be more likely, but that's entirely a guess."
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