Jump to content
Twins Daily
  • Create Account

roger

Verified Member
  • Posts

    1,800
  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    3

Reputation Activity

  1. Like
    roger got a reaction from Melissa in The Twins Bought Low on Austin Martin   
    He has played what, three months of AA ball after sitting out a year following college and some are downgrading his potential.  And he is playing while dealing with an injured hand.  Bah Humbug!
    I am amazed that the Twins were able to pry him away from Toronto.  Why you ask?  Looked at Toronto's draft last year.  They paid this kid $7.0M to sign, which was $820,000 over the allotted slot of $6.18M.  That was the second highest bonus paid last year, which ties to some who maintain he was one of the top two prospects in the draft.  The result was that the Jays ended up around 5% over their allotted pool, ie, they paid a hefty tax.  With everything Toronto paid to get this kid, I doubt their opinion slipped, especially considering he is playing with that injury. 
    So why were the Twins able to get this kid and a top notch young pitcher?  Easy, they traded one hell of a great young pitcher who will help the Jays battle for the playoffs this year and next.  Berrios just may be an ACE, but most of us here have nitpicked his talent apart for the past whatever years.  Why, probably in part because the bloody Twins haven't been able to satisfy our yearning for some playoff success.  
    None of us knows what the future holds for this young man.  But odds are pretty darn good that he is gonna be heck of a good one.
  2. Like
    roger got a reaction from wabene in The Twins Bought Low on Austin Martin   
    He has played what, three months of AA ball after sitting out a year following college and some are downgrading his potential.  And he is playing while dealing with an injured hand.  Bah Humbug!
    I am amazed that the Twins were able to pry him away from Toronto.  Why you ask?  Looked at Toronto's draft last year.  They paid this kid $7.0M to sign, which was $820,000 over the allotted slot of $6.18M.  That was the second highest bonus paid last year, which ties to some who maintain he was one of the top two prospects in the draft.  The result was that the Jays ended up around 5% over their allotted pool, ie, they paid a hefty tax.  With everything Toronto paid to get this kid, I doubt their opinion slipped, especially considering he is playing with that injury. 
    So why were the Twins able to get this kid and a top notch young pitcher?  Easy, they traded one hell of a great young pitcher who will help the Jays battle for the playoffs this year and next.  Berrios just may be an ACE, but most of us here have nitpicked his talent apart for the past whatever years.  Why, probably in part because the bloody Twins haven't been able to satisfy our yearning for some playoff success.  
    None of us knows what the future holds for this young man.  But odds are pretty darn good that he is gonna be heck of a good one.
  3. Like
    roger got a reaction from kenbuddha in The Twins Bought Low on Austin Martin   
    He has played what, three months of AA ball after sitting out a year following college and some are downgrading his potential.  And he is playing while dealing with an injured hand.  Bah Humbug!
    I am amazed that the Twins were able to pry him away from Toronto.  Why you ask?  Looked at Toronto's draft last year.  They paid this kid $7.0M to sign, which was $820,000 over the allotted slot of $6.18M.  That was the second highest bonus paid last year, which ties to some who maintain he was one of the top two prospects in the draft.  The result was that the Jays ended up around 5% over their allotted pool, ie, they paid a hefty tax.  With everything Toronto paid to get this kid, I doubt their opinion slipped, especially considering he is playing with that injury. 
    So why were the Twins able to get this kid and a top notch young pitcher?  Easy, they traded one hell of a great young pitcher who will help the Jays battle for the playoffs this year and next.  Berrios just may be an ACE, but most of us here have nitpicked his talent apart for the past whatever years.  Why, probably in part because the bloody Twins haven't been able to satisfy our yearning for some playoff success.  
    None of us knows what the future holds for this young man.  But odds are pretty darn good that he is gonna be heck of a good one.
  4. Like
    roger got a reaction from mikelink45 in Twins Minor League Week in Review: Complex Struggles but Success Everywhere Else   
    Thanks for the weekly update, Seth.
    Couple questions.  Is the pitcher they got from Toronto, Richardson something, going to Wichita along with Martin?  If so, should be heck of a boost to the Wind Surge in their march towards a league championship. 
    Good seeing Balazovic scheduled to start this week.  Will be watching to see if he can get back on track after a couple less than stellar starts.  Have you heard anything about why he was off in those two starts?  I know Winder didn't get a start last week as he was scheduled for an off day/week.  Do you expect he will be one of the TBA starts this week?
    Refsnyder just keeps hitting, whether it is with the Twins or Saints.  Often guys in his situation are released at year end and need to hunt for a job for the next year.  If he keeps this up, do you see the Twins keeping him on their roster for next year?
    Was thinking about reasons why the FCL team has such a terrible record.  I know that most of the team are guys that moved up from the DSL after not playing at all last year.  Do you know, are most of the teams they are playing filled with similar players?  Or are they playing teams with older players with more experience?
    Thanks, Seth. 
  5. Like
    roger reacted to DFlow in The Twins Bought Low on Austin Martin   
    I think these points are not anything to be too worried about at this point.  
    Contact: I don't think it's overly surprising for Martin's strikeout rate to increase being thrust straight into AA. He's more than held his own at AA as a 22 year old and think his offensive profile as an OBP machine has not changed. Let's get more of a minor league sample size without the injury before we worry too much here. 
    Impacting the Baseball: This to me will be something to keep an eye on, but I think it's still too limited of a sample size (including the hand injury), to overly speculate with. If he can get to Starling Marte level power then he will be a very helpful player. His college exit velos were excellent, and there's no reason one year away should change that perception too much. Keith Law mentioned that his swing with the injury has caused more of an inside out swing, which naturally would create less power. Let's see where things go once the hand injury heals in the offseason.
    Defense: I think we have a tendency to over analyze defense on these forums to the point where we begin playing a player who can't hit just for the sake of SS defense. I think Martin has a lot of utility (like Arraez) to have defensive flexibility at CF/2B/3B/LF. He does not profile well as a corner outfielder, but would still be a great addition for days where Kepler/Larnach need a day off.  Polanco and Arraez will probably be in the ballpark of 3+ WAR players for the forseeable future, but leveraging where they play with Martin could create an incredible top of the lineup. Even if we re-sign Buxton, we know he will miss time so this is a nice player to have who can be a 2-3 WAR swiss army knife who may be a slightly better version of Arraez. 
    In my opinion, Martin (like Arraez) fits a huge need for the future offense in having table setters for our power hitters. The 2020 and 2021 Twins have had issues with having to out-homer there competition, which to me is not good baseball. I think Arraez, Polanco, and Martin will be excellent future compliments to the way Falvine wants to build out the middle of the order, and I don't think these shortcomings listed by scouts are anything to be too worried about at this stage.
  6. Like
    roger reacted to Trov in The Twins Bought Low on Austin Martin   
    I think it is hard to say they bought low on a guy that is in his first season of pro ball, and has improved each month in terms of average and OBP.  He is also 2 years younger than average age level he is at.  He also has reduced his K's each month.  May, was 24k to 9 walks.  June was 19K to 13 walks and July was 10K to 15 walks, with a .500 OBP. 
    Yes, slugging is an issue, and lack of clear defensive position, but for a guy that is young for the league, had not played pro ball, with wood bat before, and had long time off, he is making big strides each month.  
    Personally, I would not say this is buying low on a guy.  It is not like he has spent a few years in pro ball and never had a breakout.  Hopefully he can increase his power some, but that OBP is crazy good, and having more walks than K's is always a plus too.  
  7. Like
    roger reacted to Linus in The Twins Bought Low on Austin Martin   
    How do you buy low on the 13th ranked prospect in all of baseball?
  8. Like
    roger reacted to Seth Stohs in Twins Minor League Week in Review: Complex Struggles but Success Everywhere Else   
    Woods-Richardson is on the Wind Surge's temporary inactive list, so yes, that is where the 20-year-old will go. 
    I'm sure Balazovic is fine. 
    I hope Winder gets one of those starts. That is worth watching. Not sure why they haven't announced those yet. 
    Refsnyder won't keep his 40-man spot, but i'm guessing the Twins would be happy to sign him to another minor league contract, and it would seem to be a good match. 
    I haven't looked at other FCL rosters, but I'm sure it's a number of things, primarily that their pitching isn't good. 
     
  9. Like
    roger reacted to Seth Stohs in Twins Minor League Starting Pitcher of the Month - July 2021   
    Most minor leaguers drive Uber or have some sort of offseason job because they don't get paid. The Twins have signed more than a dozen players from independent leagues this year. Just a ton, plus a couple of weeks ago, they signed four guys from the USPBL.  All that and I'm sure they would be absolutely thrilled if any of them gets to the big leagues. 
  10. Like
    roger got a reaction from Twins33 in Fact or Fiction: The Twins Way Didn't Work for Matt Shoemaker   
    None of us have enough first hand knowledge to know the real story.  But thanks for all the information, Matt.
    What concerns me is whether or not the Twins are trying to get all pitchers to focus on some of the same things, ie,, throw X pitch high in the zone, throw more sliders, etc.  Every pitcher is different, would expect the best staff would be one that gets the most out of each pitcher based on his individual strengths.
  11. Like
    roger got a reaction from Eephus in Twins Minor League Hitter of the Month - July 2021   
    After reading what Miranda did, was asking myself how did he not get the award for a third straight month.  But then I saw why.  Didn't realize that Kerrigan was having that kind of month....wow!  Thanks for the background about his not being drafted, play in the Frontier League, etc.  Great story, now does he have a shot at getting added to the 40-man and a callup come September?  Whether it is he or Contreras, would be great for the Twins to find an above average #4 outfielder who can both hit and play center field for next spring.
    Fantastic seeing those three kids from the FCL Twins in your group of Honorable Mention.  Also appreciated seeing Helman's name.  Remember when he was drafted, seems he tore the cover off the ball at every stop he made leading up to the draft.  Wasn't his lowest batting average something like .325 at his various college stops?
     
  12. Like
    roger got a reaction from glunn in The Twins Have Got to Make Their Loaded Farm System Count   
    Love the excitement this week brought to an otherwise dismal season.
    But several have hinted at what may be a problem, ie, can the Twins develop these kids?  Granted, I am unable to watch any of the Twins games this year (tonight on FS1 is an exception), but I have been led to believe that this team makes way too many fundamental mistakes.  And that is a combination of coaching (lack of) and being more interested in analytics than good ole fashioned and boring work on the field.  Remember all those spring training stories about Tom Kelly working with first baseman on some play...over and over and over?
    Hopefully, the Twins will send the message throughout the system that they need to get to work and make these kids the best they can be.  Sounds like the raw talent should be there.
  13. Like
    roger got a reaction from Melissa in Fact or Fiction: The Twins Way Didn't Work for Matt Shoemaker   
    None of us have enough first hand knowledge to know the real story.  But thanks for all the information, Matt.
    What concerns me is whether or not the Twins are trying to get all pitchers to focus on some of the same things, ie,, throw X pitch high in the zone, throw more sliders, etc.  Every pitcher is different, would expect the best staff would be one that gets the most out of each pitcher based on his individual strengths.
  14. Like
    roger got a reaction from glunn in 5 Things to Know About Twins Deadline Centerpiece Austin Martin   
    Thanks for an excellent analysis, Nick.  When comparing Martin to Lewis, is it correct that Lewis has more speed and eventually could be a touch better defensively, especially in center because of that added step?
    On the other hand, it sounds like Martin has the edge with the bat, although Lewis was really good last time out in the AFL.  Is that also an accurate assessment?
    Although Martin is younger (he is, isn't he?), he will probably debut with the Twins sooner because Lewis hasn't played in two years?
  15. Like
    roger reacted to Major League Ready in Week in Review: Deadline Frenzy   
    I am not sure if Rooker is going to be well above average or a bust.  That makes every AB right now fun to watch.  I am pulling hard for Rooker.
    I hope we see Ryan / Winder and maybe even Caterino and Sands.  I just have no faith in Barnes.  I have watched some of his AAA starts and I just don't see it.  Would love to be wrong.  I have a little more hope for Jax based on what we have seen so far but the other guys have higher ceilings so let's get them up here whenever it makes sense.
  16. Like
    roger reacted to Steve71 in The Twins Starting Pitcher With the Most To Prove   
    I am a bit puzzled on the "sub-par stuff" statement.
    He needs to work on more bite on his breaking ball, but the FB plays well, especially up in the zone.  The national announcer for the Cards game mentioned his release point is 1.5 foot closer to the plate than the MLB average, due to his extreme length.  That works out that his FB is reaching the plate the same as an average pitcher throwing 3 mph faster.
    So 92 is 95, etc.  Nothing wrong with that velo as long as he locates it well.
    I like him, hope he continues to improve, and he could develop into a very nice pitcher for the Twins.
  17. Like
    roger reacted to Major League Ready in The Twins Starting Pitcher With the Most To Prove   
    It wouldn't be a problem if he pitched 120 innings last years but that's not the case.  I would hope they were proceeding with caution before the crazy rate of injuries in MLB and Milb.  Now, they must be down right paranoid.
  18. Like
    roger reacted to Dman in The Twins Starting Pitcher With the Most To Prove   
    I don't know what you know about Ober but he has never had a season in MiLB where he hasn't been injured and missed time.  In 2019 he stated he felt horrible for days after starting.  I don't think the Twins thought he would be starting this early this year and likely already had a plan to limit his innings and try to help him to work on ways to get past the soreness he experiences and keep him healthy.  I presume they feel pushing his pitch count closer to 100 is counterproductive at this point.  I have no idea if it makes sense or not but so far he hasn't missed time so looks like the approach is working so far.
  19. Like
    roger reacted to DJL44 in The Twins Starting Pitcher With the Most To Prove   
    Lewis Thorpe should be done with his rehab stint soon. He's going to have to make a good impression or he'll be cut this offseason because he's out of options.
  20. Like
    roger reacted to Dman in Twins Minor League Starting Pitcher of the Month - July 2021   
    Kind of tough seeing no Sands, Canterino, Duran, Winder etc. in these lists but congrats to the guys who made it.  Louie has been outstanding from day one.  His current dominant stretch just adds to the legend at this point.  Not sure how he is doing it with mainly just the fastball and some control issues at least to start the season.  Still he has the best pitching line in the system.  Congrats well deserved recognition.
    Been pretty surprised by Watson as I thought he might be done.  I think a reliever role suits him best and we could really use lefties so would be nice if he can be dominant in short bursts.
    Had already asked Seth about Rozek because of the great success he has had and was stunned he didn't have a fastball in the 90's.  Not sure if he can continue to make his stuff work all the way up but he sure pitched well this month and caught my attention.
    Gross is another guy who exceeded my expectations and I would like to see him move up to AA and see if he can handle some of the best hitters in the minors.  He has been too good to keep at High A.
     
  21. Like
    roger got a reaction from NapoleonComplex in Did the Twins Win or Lose the Trade Deadline?   
    I wonder about those above who are critical for the Twins talking about trading Buxton.  We don't know the context of how that happened.  As I read it, they received calls inquiring about Buxton.  Well, if someone calls you are gonna take it.  Doesn't mean you ever considered moving him which is what the end result was.
    Also agree with the general consensus that I will miss Berrios, a lot.  But after reading a national report that said the Jays got robbed and Nick's piece on Martin, I am excited that the return was big...really big.  
    As for winning or losing at the deadline, is a win for me...big one.  The two pitchers from Tampa for two months of Cruz is a huge return, much bigger than most expected.  Furthermore, it would not be a surprise if at least one of the two is pitching every fifth day at Target Field next spring.
    If the reports I read are true, the Twins won the Berrios trade even though we will miss a special young man.  Who knows, maybe the Twins go out and offer market value a year from this winter and he comes home...although I agree that would be contrary to how they usually do business.
    As for the Happ and Robles trade, I am amazed they got anything for that duo.  Yes, they had to eat an unknown part of their contracts for the next two months, but to get any return is flat out robbery...IMO.  And they got an actual major league pitcher as part of the Happ return.  To be honest, I don't understand either of these deals.
    So for me its a huge win.  Yes, there were others they didn't move.  But did anyone expect them to be able to move Donaldson and his huge contract?  Was a bit surprised that Pineda wasn't traded.  Left me wondering if they will sign him to a two year extension before the year ends.  But not knowing what, if anything, was offered for Pineda and others makes it hard to say they failed by not trading someone because if the offer wasn't adequate it makes sense to say no.
  22. Like
    roger got a reaction from Minny505 in Fact or Fiction: The Twins Way Didn't Work for Matt Shoemaker   
    None of us have enough first hand knowledge to know the real story.  But thanks for all the information, Matt.
    What concerns me is whether or not the Twins are trying to get all pitchers to focus on some of the same things, ie,, throw X pitch high in the zone, throw more sliders, etc.  Every pitcher is different, would expect the best staff would be one that gets the most out of each pitcher based on his individual strengths.
  23. Like
    roger got a reaction from DocBauer in Minor League Report (8/1): Tyler Beck Dazzles for Kernels, Surge Win A Thriller   
    Interesting.  Several lesser known pitchers are doing awfully well this year.  Hopefully one will become that Indian like surprise.
  24. Like
    roger got a reaction from adjacent in Fact or Fiction: The Twins Way Didn't Work for Matt Shoemaker   
    None of us have enough first hand knowledge to know the real story.  But thanks for all the information, Matt.
    What concerns me is whether or not the Twins are trying to get all pitchers to focus on some of the same things, ie,, throw X pitch high in the zone, throw more sliders, etc.  Every pitcher is different, would expect the best staff would be one that gets the most out of each pitcher based on his individual strengths.
  25. Like
    roger got a reaction from DocBauer in Fact or Fiction: The Twins Way Didn't Work for Matt Shoemaker   
    None of us have enough first hand knowledge to know the real story.  But thanks for all the information, Matt.
    What concerns me is whether or not the Twins are trying to get all pitchers to focus on some of the same things, ie,, throw X pitch high in the zone, throw more sliders, etc.  Every pitcher is different, would expect the best staff would be one that gets the most out of each pitcher based on his individual strengths.
×
×
  • Create New...