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roger

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  1. Like
    roger got a reaction from wabene in Twins Daily 2023 Prospect Rankings (Part 1: Honorable Mention)   
    Thanks for doing this, Seth.
    Perhaps your most interesting comment was that there are several future big leaguers in this group.  Would be like going to a casino and rolling the dice to pick out who they are, but yes, there will be a few who will rise to the top and make it.
    Hardest thing I had when reading this was to keep reminding myself that playing at Cedar Rapids and Wichitia didn't mean a player jumped one entire level. 
    Seth, when you mentioned the veteran catchers the Twins signed, didn't they also sign Tony Wolters? He is a 30 year old who had played parts of four or five years with the Rockies.  Great seeing them pick up several to play at St. Paul and are available to be added when/if either Jeffers or Vasquez gets injured.  Also great having veterans in St. Paul to work with all the young pitchers.
  2. Like
    roger reacted to Seth Stohs in Twins Daily 2023 Prospect Rankings (Part 1: Honorable Mention)   
    Correct, and they have had some good successes around all the injuries. Wallner is looking like a good pick. Their 2021 picks netted them Gray, Mahle and J Lopez. Their 2019 Day 2/3 draft picks included Headrick, Varland, and in 2021, they added Festa, Ohl and Nowlin on Day 3. I think their scouts have done well, and I wish there was a good way to truly measure that beyond just how many get to the big leagues or how much WAR a draft class accumulated. A 12th round pick getting to AA deserves notice. A 19th round pick getting to Hi-A ball warrants credit. You could do something with that... However, the other side of that is... Many think that Player X is the logical pick for the Twins at pick 48... but you've watched Player X and realize that he has something that just is unlikely to allow him to be a big leaguer. That scout has to be OK to say not to pick a certain guy. That's stuff we could never quantify because we don't know how much of that happens. 
  3. Like
    roger reacted to Seth Stohs in Twins Daily 2023 Prospect Rankings (Part 1: Honorable Mention)   
    The Twins really haven't signed a lot of veteran pitchers to minor-league deals. They will have several young starters, and there should be some bullpen jobs open for Laweryson and others. They signed Dereck Rodriguez and Jose Bravo and Patrick Murphy. Danny Coulombe is back. They successfully got Oliver Ortega and Blayne Enlow through waivers. Schulfer will be in St. Paul... SWR, Dobnak, Varland, Balazovic will be there. Winder, Sands and Henriquez could all start or come out of the bullpen. So, I think Laweryson will get a chance to compete in spring for a AAA job, but I'd expect he'll start in Wichita. But other guys like Osiris German, Michael Boyle, Jose De Leon and Brock Stewart will be around too. 
    And yes,  I don't have a problem with the Cavaco pick. He's all about upside and tools and talent. he's big, strong, fast, good hands, strong arm... it's all there. I think they should push him up to Cedar Rapids this year. Get him out of the Florida State League. Keep him at third base. And, no reason to not keep him in the organization until he's a free agent. 
  4. Like
    roger reacted to Seth Stohs in Twins Daily 2023 Prospect Rankings (Part 1: Honorable Mention)   
    I definitely think so. They have continued to move him up each year despite the lost time and struggles, and he had a really nice, healthy season in 2022 at Wichita. He is a plus-plus center fielder, with speed and instincts. He's got base stealing speed and triples speed, but he also hit a few home runs a long way! I have him at #29 on my list and I tried to move him up even more. He's very good. 
  5. Like
    roger reacted to Seth Stohs in Twins Daily 2023 Prospect Rankings (Part 1: Honorable Mention)   
    had an incredible season and earned his spring training invitation! 
     
  6. Haha
    roger reacted to Seth Stohs in Twins Daily 2023 Prospect Rankings (Part 1: Honorable Mention)   
    Man... that's not good. I am also getting old!! That doesn't help. I'm surprised I haven't used Rochester more. Or Pensacola, or Chattanooga, or New Britain...
  7. Like
    roger reacted to Seth Stohs in Twins Daily 2023 Prospect Rankings (Part 1: Honorable Mention)   
    Yes, they did sign Wolters too... That is a miss on my part... He will obviously be the guy to come up first if there is an injury. 
  8. Like
    roger reacted to MN_ExPat in Twins Daily 2023 Prospect Rankings (Part 1: Honorable Mention)   
    While I believe I understand your sentiment... injuries are no ones fault.  If you choose to start fashioning a noose for the FO for other picks, that's your call. 
    However, outside of consecutive hard/bad luck injuries, Lewis has done nothing to indicate that he is anything other than a really good baseball player.
  9. Like
    roger reacted to Dman in Twins Daily 2023 Prospect Rankings (Part 1: Honorable Mention)   
    I have to say I was surprised at just how well Lawyerson did at AA.  That is the Texas league a hitters league and he manages a 1.06 ERA and sub 1 WHIP. Wow!  That is domination.  He never had an elite fastball so I assume he has plus secondary's?  I had thought a team might take a chance on him in Rule V but the rest of the league doesn't see him as worthy of roster spot just yet.  Gonna be an interesting year for Cody to be sure. 
    I really like what Cardenas did in A ball.  He was one of the best all around players in that league IMO.  Good bat,  Good Defense. Good eye at the plate.  I think he has a chance to be a really good catcher but there is a looong way to go.
    I  like Mooney and the K's he produces but that WHIP was short of dominant to me. We will see if he passes the AA test and if he does then he looks like a viable reliver to me.
    After the 2019 Season I was ready to say goodbye to Michael Helman.  He looked massively overmatched at the plate to me.  Seth who never gives up on any prospect still felt he could make it.  I guess Seth and that eternal optimism worked out this time around.  Helman looks like a MLB utility player to me.  If he keeps that slugging up he will get a chance somewhere. Maybe not the Twins but some team will want him.
    It is a nice list and I am excited to see the how the 2022 class does in a full season.  Hopefully some of those guys makes some noise and bring the farm system up in the rankings.
    The international class has a lot of players that could already make their way to the FCL in Mercedes, Rodriguez, Nova, DeAndrade, Cruz, and Pena. With Pena and Olivar likely to start in A ball. So lot's of promising young guys to watch at the lower levels this year.
    As Always thanks Seth for the writeup on the prospects who give us hope for the stars to come.
  10. Like
    roger got a reaction from Seth Stohs in Twins Daily 2023 Prospect Rankings (Part 1: Honorable Mention)   
    Thanks for doing this, Seth.
    Perhaps your most interesting comment was that there are several future big leaguers in this group.  Would be like going to a casino and rolling the dice to pick out who they are, but yes, there will be a few who will rise to the top and make it.
    Hardest thing I had when reading this was to keep reminding myself that playing at Cedar Rapids and Wichitia didn't mean a player jumped one entire level. 
    Seth, when you mentioned the veteran catchers the Twins signed, didn't they also sign Tony Wolters? He is a 30 year old who had played parts of four or five years with the Rockies.  Great seeing them pick up several to play at St. Paul and are available to be added when/if either Jeffers or Vasquez gets injured.  Also great having veterans in St. Paul to work with all the young pitchers.
  11. Like
    roger reacted to mikelink45 in Twins Daily 2023 Prospect Rankings (Part 1: Honorable Mention)   
    This was really fun - an introduction to a lot of names without worrying about rank.  It is so hard to get to the majors and I want to see more opportunities for graduation.  It is one of the reason I am never excited about veteran additions that have poor upside - I would rather move through the minors.  
  12. Like
    roger got a reaction from MN_ExPat in Twins Daily 2023 Prospect Rankings (Part 1: Honorable Mention)   
    Thanks for doing this, Seth.
    Perhaps your most interesting comment was that there are several future big leaguers in this group.  Would be like going to a casino and rolling the dice to pick out who they are, but yes, there will be a few who will rise to the top and make it.
    Hardest thing I had when reading this was to keep reminding myself that playing at Cedar Rapids and Wichitia didn't mean a player jumped one entire level. 
    Seth, when you mentioned the veteran catchers the Twins signed, didn't they also sign Tony Wolters? He is a 30 year old who had played parts of four or five years with the Rockies.  Great seeing them pick up several to play at St. Paul and are available to be added when/if either Jeffers or Vasquez gets injured.  Also great having veterans in St. Paul to work with all the young pitchers.
  13. Like
    roger reacted to Doctor Gast in Twins Daily 2023 Prospect Rankings (Part 1: Honorable Mention)   
    Eventhough Helman’s path has been blocked. I still hope he’ll take that extra step and make it to MLB somewhere.
      Interesting that Holland has made that transition like Gordon did. Hope for the same results.
     Still hope that Noah Cardenas can be a starting catcher.
     I guess at this stage that’s all you can do.
     
  14. Haha
    roger reacted to Cris E in Twins Daily 2023 Prospect Rankings (Part 1: Honorable Mention)   
    Minor mistake: Rochester --> St Paul
    You've been doing this a long time Seth, so it's understandable. At least you didn't say Salt Lake or Toledo.
  15. Like
    roger reacted to Beast in Twins Daily 2023 Prospect Rankings (Part 1: Honorable Mention)   
    The prospect write-ups/updates are my favorite part about TD.  No other outlet does it better.
    Man, that Cavaco pick just keeps looking worse.  It’s not really a hindsight thing, either.  I recall it being very questionable at the time.
    I know, it’s how the baseball draft works. But, looking back and seeing Corbin Carrol, Gunnar Henderson and others go after him is painful.  It’s one thing if there’s somewhat of a consensus about a players draft slot (Nick Gordon, for example).  But, when a lot of analysts wonder what the hell you’re doing and it turns out like this…you have to wonder what the hell they were doing.
    Overall their first round/compensatory draft track record leaves a lot to be desired.  Especially if Royce Lewis can’t stay on the field.
  16. Like
    roger reacted to High heat in Twins Daily 2023 Prospect Rankings (Part 1: Honorable Mention)   
    Always love the prospect write ups!! 
     
    as far as this honorable mentioned list goes I’m surprised Michael Helman didn’t get a chance last season when all the injuries happened.  I think his speed and super utility will give him a big league opportunity.  
     
    Chris Williams has a nice bat if he was a decent catcher but playing only a few game behind the plate and less and less each season likely means he isn’t even seen as a big league option.  Hope Isola doesn’t go down the same route. 
  17. Like
    roger got a reaction from glunn in Twins Timeline for Prospects in 2023   
    I believe that Prielipp will be the next Chris Sale.  He didn't play at all in his draft year, thus, it is less likely that he debuts for the Twins this year as Sale did for the Sox in his first full year.  Thus, I see him breaking in early in 2024.  But there is a chance, albeit small, that Connor Prielipp will step onto the Target Field mound late in 2023.
     
  18. Like
    roger reacted to DocBauer in Twins Timeline for Prospects in 2023   
    Ted's OP is prospects to DEBUT for the first time. And that's the key. Even in very SSS we've seen a bunch of the current 40 man do so. And I think Elliot is correct when he states you can pretty much forget anyone not currently on the 40 man roster, barring trades.
    And even without that rather obvious criteria...and the 40 man is pretty well stacked to be honest...the choice is CLEARLY Julien. Signed too late in 2019 to play, and no 2020, college draftee or not, his development and production has skyrocketed him through the system in TWO YEARS. He was great in 2021, dominate in 2022, and was "cheated" out of MVP in the recent AFL season, still earning the nice "breakout player" award.
    Still looking for a defensive "home", you find room for a hitter with all of his potential and ability. Very good chance he, more or less, swaps places with Arraez as an OK defensive player at a few spots, and sess time at DH, so he can be in the lineup most days. He won't hit like Arraez, or have the same uncanny ability to avoid K's like him, but will walk more, and have more power and speed. (Better knees, one would think). 
    I wouldn't be shocked if he broke camp, but I don't see the room for him, as the roster stands today. And I don't think the Twins will want to push him that fast, wanting him to get some AAA time before promotion. But he's just got to be #1 on the list.
    The remaining options, as listed, I don't have a problem with, in general. It all seems to make sense. The exception might be Balazovic. I still have a lot of faith in him after a single nightmare season. The talent is still there, the potential is still there, and sometimes s**t happens and just goes wrong. I wouldn't be surprised if they guarded him a bit and let Winder/SWR/Varland get time before him to just give him all the time he needs to get right.
    DARKHORSE CANDIDATE: Don't sleep on the older Helman to get a shot at some time as a super utility RH bat with pop and speed and some bat ability to be a fill in player at some point in 2023.
     
  19. Like
    roger reacted to TopGunn#22 in Twins Timeline for Prospects in 2023   
    I'm totally in the Julien camp.  If he hits and gets on base in St. Paul at the level he has previously, he will be up whether it's to play 2B or 1B.  He would also be a perfect leadoff guy.  Would love to see Balazovic at some point.  That would indicate that he's made a significant turnaround.  But the Twins have a LOT more pitching depth than before and Winder, SWR and Varland would certainly be up before him.  And if each of THOSE guys are up we've probably suffered another round of pitching injuries. 
    Brooks Lee is a guy I could certainly see up at some point.  The kid can hit and is a switch hitter to boot.  Lewis will need about 3-4 weeks in St. Paul once he's cleared to play to knock off the rust, but he's a lock to be called up.
    Finally, my great white whale of a prospect, Matt Canterino!!  If this guy can EVER stay healthy he could become the lock down closer that allows Duran to start.  OR, the two of them flat out dominate the 8th and 9th innings and they headline one of baseballs BEST bullpen for several years.   
  20. Like
    roger reacted to Doctor Gast in Twins Timeline for Prospects in 2023   
    Julien has to be the 1st one called up depending the need at 1B. The others won’t be called up until Sept.
  21. Like
    roger reacted to jmlease1 in Twins Timeline for Prospects in 2023   
    Julien has to be on this list. He had a monster year at AA, his hit tool is advanced, he's likely to start the year in AAA and if he's crushing it there, then he'll be looked at as an injury replacement if any of the non-SS guys go down for an extended period of time.
  22. Like
    roger reacted to MGM4706 in The Twins Need to be Realistic With Max Kepler   
    WOW! Someone needs to do a little research before authoring articles. With the new shift rule change Kepler's average will jump 30 points! And Larnach? Come on. His Range is 3 feet left and right and he has no clue on how to play the wall! No improvement at all. And the league has figured out he can't hit a cutter. Last 50 at bats were horrible. Much like Sano. So don't count on him.
  23. Like
    roger reacted to Major League Ready in The Twins Need to be Realistic With Max Kepler   
    The Yankees have six 50 FV pitching prospects and two 45 FV pitching prospects.  That is their point of depth.  I would much rather get back someone that has the potential to be a long-term solution instead of hoping Montas will be healthy enough to contribute for two-thirds of a season where we already have a ton of question marks.   
                           Yankees Prospects
     
  24. Like
    roger reacted to sun in The Twins Need to be Realistic With Max Kepler   
    The question of trading Kepler boils down to whether the Twins need him or not. I'm not sure what the answer is but he's a Gold Glove caliber outfielder even though he didn't win the award. You can be sure that he's always working hard to improve which is always possible. Him & Polanco were extended at the same time and Polanco was severely underpaid for his worth. But Jorge's bat compensated for Max's low BA. I imagine that Max is at the crossroads of his career, whether he's going to be bought out or prove his value for another year. I think that he's a favorite with the lady fans, and other players still need to prove themselves. Kepler may be able to increase his value before the trade deadline. He must still be an asset or else the Twins would have dumped him with all of the trade rumors. If no one is willing to pick him up yet then give it some time and maybe things will change. In the meantime I'll be rooting for him to win a Gold Glove so that he can receive a $500K bonus & for Polanco's contract to vest with 550 PA's this year.
  25. Like
    roger reacted to dxpavelka in The Twins Need to be Realistic With Max Kepler   
    Hard to imagine there being 9 guys on this squad better than him when 3 of the guys being counted on to be among said 9 have a combined 1 out of 12 seasons of even being on the damn field as many games as he was last year.  I for one would REALLY love to see  season where we don't have to count on a Garlick or the next incarnation of Jake Cave.
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