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beckmt

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  1. Like
    beckmt got a reaction from Steven Buhr in Sorting Through the BS   
    I am more for using the International bonus pool money (and acquiring more) to sign some the prospects that were released from the Braves for violations.  
    I also am assuming that we cannot get either Darvish or Ohtani (but it does not hurt to dream or try). Braves have many prospects that are higher level and for the Twins (who are a mid market team, not a low market), it would help sustain over the next few years what we have going at this time.
  2. Like
    beckmt reacted to Ted Schwerzler in Five Pieces To Change Minnesota Fortunes   
    The problem here is that you really aren't fixing anything. Relievers at that age aren't generally strikeout guys, which is what the Twins need. You can't continue to run guys out of the pen that just allow the ball being put in play. When you need it, you have to have guys that can blow it by someone.
  3. Like
    beckmt got a reaction from bighat in The Twins Blockbuster Yet To Come   
    Agreed, but Twins would have to fall out of the race, or a team would have to offer a kings ransom for Santana, and the Twins would have to decide that it was still not likely to make a run this year.  It is still early so another 2 months will have to go by and Twins will have to decide at that time.  Early teams out do not seem to have the pitching to trade so it has a while to go.
  4. Like
    beckmt got a reaction from LA VIkes Fan in The Twins Blockbuster Yet To Come   
    Agreed, but Twins would have to fall out of the race, or a team would have to offer a kings ransom for Santana, and the Twins would have to decide that it was still not likely to make a run this year.  It is still early so another 2 months will have to go by and Twins will have to decide at that time.  Early teams out do not seem to have the pitching to trade so it has a while to go.
  5. Like
    beckmt reacted to Rosterman in Mound Squeeze Coming To Minnesota   
    The Twins will most definitely work in the future this season. Yes, we had a hot start, but the next two weeks will put everything into perspective...how well we do in our division. If we play .500 ball in the division, then we have to hope we don't get clobbered in the other divisions.
     
    Pitching is holding its own, and although we should be looking towards the future, no starter is going anywheres yet. Santana might be a valuable trade chip. It would be nice if Hughes is, too. Gibson is derailing, or just an okay guy who will be hard to keep come arbitration deadlines, if push comes to shove. 
     
    At some point, the Twins will have to think TOTALLY about who will be on this team in 2018 & 2019.
  6. Like
    beckmt got a reaction from rikker49 in Twins 2012 Draft   
    There is a lot to like in this class.  It has just taken longer to arrive than we all have hoped. 
    To the haters, one gift from Terry Ryan.  A draft where Twins might have 5-6 players make it and contribute.  That would be an outstanding class.
  7. Like
    beckmt got a reaction from Joe A. Preusser in Twins Brass Setting Up Molitor to Fail?   
    I think what you are seeing here is commitment to fastball command, followed by pitch command.  Not having it is causing pitchers brought up to fail(some in brutal ways) , New FO is giving the pitchers a chance to catch up, without being exposed(read Berrios), to get things done right in the minors(where their stuff can get many of them by) instead on being blown up in the big show. 
    Expected this might happen after the disclosure of the article Neil Allen wrote last year on this subject.  This is why many of the Rays pitchers, where this was practiced seemed to succeed rather than fail when they arrived. 
    Yes this could be tough on Molly, but the 13 man staff is to help give him the tools to succeed instead of pounding square pegs into round holes with his pitching staff use. It just might take longer than he has to get there.
  8. Like
    beckmt got a reaction from Steve Lein in The Next Twins - 2017   
    You are missing Romero from this list.  If he gets off to a fast start in AA, he could be in AAA by midseason and a callup in September. 
  9. Like
    beckmt reacted to DocBauer in The Next Twins - 2017   
    Agree on the rotation candidates, Roster man. While it wouldn't shock me to see Stewart still take a major step forward, he's just too far away, at the moment, and there a couple guys at AAA that would probably be up first.
     
    Also feel Wade, Gordon and Rosario are just too far away, but a September cup of coffee is possible for any and all.
     
    Even though I'm always the optomist, I really like the guys on this list. Very excited about the future of the bullpen and don't believe it's that far away despite the hand wringing taking place about the current one. Love the way Granite plays and approaches the game. Intrigued by Palka a lot and very interested in Vielma as at least a utility infielder. Goodrum, believe it or not, is one of my favorite names on this list. Healthy and being productive now, he, reportedly, can play decent defense at 7 spots and has a decent bat with power and speed. He may never be good enough, or special enough in any area to be a starter, but he could end being what we all hoped DanSan would become.
  10. Like
    beckmt got a reaction from Twins Transplant in Twins 25 Man Roster Projection 2.0   
    Looks very close.  Might swap out Chris Gimenez for Murphy.  Only other flaw I see is Molitor likes DanSan so he might make it,  but still hoping for DFA. 
    Haley might fail in the next 2 weeks, which would give a bullpen spot to Vogelsong or one of the lefties with Rogers moving into the long relief role. 
    This was close.
  11. Like
    beckmt got a reaction from Walter's Whites in Twins In For An Overhaul   
    If Mejia continues to pitch well, I could see a number of us bringing pitchforks if Vogelsong is named the 5th starter.  Use him as a backup in AAA.  If he does not want that let him go, doubt there will be much in the way of takers.  Get ready for the kids this summer, but don't bury us early by having horrible starters in the majors.
  12. Like
    beckmt got a reaction from Oldgoat_MN in Are the Twins on the wrong path?   
    That is even forgetting Jay, Jorge, and Stewart. It will take the full 2 years to evaluate of the these pitchers. It also doesn't include the relievers. As for none of the FA pitchers will come here, money talks as does a young good lineup. Many players live to win a World Series, I would hope this group takes us there. You will get a good FA pitcher to come here with the lineup talent and money. The question will be if it is the correct pitcher.
  13. Like
    beckmt reacted to by jiminy in Are the Twins on the wrong path?   
    I like your main argument that there's no point in starting veterans who will be gone in two years anyway, when all they do is prevent us from seeing which youngsters will be building blocks when the good times come. I'd have no problem trading any veteran for prospects. It's better for the future when they mature, and better for development and evaluation of the young players now.
     
    However I am skeptical that any of the top free agent pitchers will ever come here. They wouldn't want to, but more to the point, Pohlad would never outbid the Yankees for an ace pitcher. Or rather, outbid every single  team in both leagues? Not gonna happen. And probably just as well -- we couldn't afford to eat a contract like that if they failed, which they do almost half the time. So I don't share your sense of urgency in cleaning house to make room for a free agent ace, though I do share your opinion that veterans can clog the openings for youngsters.
     
    But it's not just Molitor that wants to mix in veterans. In that interview with Falvey Myah linked to, he says, "Our goal is to build around that young core," but then says, "So we want to make sure we surround the young players with the right veteran talent and guys that will fit to build the culture we’re looking for" and mentions Belisle and Castro as people who help make "a nice mix."
     
     I'm sure they would happily swap Santana for top pitching prospects though. Realistically, that's their only hope of getting an ace. They're not going to sign someone like Price or Zimmerman or Greinke. And that may be just as well.
     
    Their best bet might be to sign or promote people to the closer role, inflate their statistics with meaningless saves, and swap them for young starters. The mystique of the "proven closer" is one of the last true market inefficiencies, and they should be doing everything they can to exploit that. Maybe they could even swap a mediocre reliever all puffed up with save stats for a  stud young catcher or a starting shortstop. I vaguely remember things like that happening before...
  14. Like
    beckmt reacted to Oldgoat_MN in Alex Meyer Update   
    Kyle Schwerber hit a triple? 
    Did Meyer interrupt nap time for the Angels outfield?
  15. Like
    beckmt reacted to gil4 in A Twins Surprise In Filling Out The Bench   
    Does Murphy still have options? (I know, I could look, but that clicking seems like a lot of work.)
     
    Are you planning on a 13-man pitching staff, or do we get to add one more name?  (Od do you have someone (Vargas?) penciled in as the primary DH?  
     
    Keeping Park would require a 40-man move.  Is Adrianza on the 40-man?  (That clicking thing again.)  I'd hate to dump Escobar and then find out that Adrianza really, really can't hit. 
     
    I also don't want to rush Granite and dump Grossman because I think Grossman is more likely to maintain his performance at the plate (esp vs LHP) than in the field (I don't think he had ever been that bad in the past and might return to being marginal.)
     
     
  16. Like
    beckmt got a reaction from Thrylos in 2017 Twins Off-Season top 60 Prospect List: 1-60 Summary and System Strengths and Weaknesses.   
    It has been a long time since the Twins have had middle infield depth.  Relievers are also fine and probably enough starters will make it to be OK. (Though everyone wants more)  3B/1B types are a long way away, long enough that the new FO tried to sign Mike Napoli to fill for 2 years. (Per reports here and elsewhere).  Outfield should be fine, but see little depth at this time, but have 4 years or more of control to current crop. This year will be interesting as the transition continues.
  17. Like
    beckmt got a reaction from Thrylos in 2017 Twins Off-Season top 60 Prospect List: 6-10   
    If Murphy cannot succeed at the major league level this year, he has the risk of becoming org filler for the rest of his career.  Would guess Murphy gets first shot and if he fails Garver is called up. 
    Interested on how the Twins rotation shakes out.  Lots of candidates and not a lot of MLB success between them.  Maybe with the fastball control mantra, most of them will have an extra minor league season or time to hone this skill.  Seems to be missing among the Twins starters called up the last few seasons.
  18. Like
    beckmt got a reaction from Thrylos in 2017 Twins Off-Season top 60 Prospect List: 11-15   
    I would push Arraez to Chatanooga to start and see how he does.  If he can hit there it might be possible to feel very comfortable trading either Dozier or Polanco for pitching depth.
    I can see Vielma coming up this year also after a Dozier trade. Spring training injuries do happen.
  19. Like
    beckmt reacted to Thrylos in 2017 Twins Off-Season top 60 Prospect List: 16-20   
    I think that Melotakis can play for the Twins right now and likely be an improvement over any lefty in the pen.  Starting pitcher he is not though.
     
    Minier and Stewart are on the same boat:  They do have flaws but they are very young.  Stewart's issues are mechanics and with the right coaching, he will improve.   He is very immature as a baseball player, because, even though he was a 2-way player at high school, Football was his focus.   So the Twins need to really do some extra work with him and quit rushing him.   
     
    Minier is a former SS who I think can stick to a corner OF position.  He has a big arm and that will play well at the OF, but still needs some instruction in the position and commitment by the Twins.  You cannot have a kid play all over the place and expect him to improve his fielding.  The worst thing one can do for someone who is not a good fielder is to move him from position to position during a season.
     
    Rortvert might actually be on the top 10 next season, if he can show that he can hit with the wooden bat... 
  20. Like
    beckmt got a reaction from Thrylos in 2017 Twins Off-Season top 60 Prospect List: 31-35   
    All these guys are relievers Pitchers that is.
  21. Like
    beckmt got a reaction from tarheeltwinsfan in A Total System's Failure - Part II   
    It is way too early to judge this front office at this time.  That is a 2-3 year thing.  Improvements to the pitching staff will make a big difference.  We shall see where it goes.
  22. Like
    beckmt got a reaction from HitInAPinch in A Total System's Failure - Part II   
    It is way too early to judge this front office at this time.  That is a 2-3 year thing.  Improvements to the pitching staff will make a big difference.  We shall see where it goes.
  23. Like
    beckmt reacted to Rosterman in Does Minnesota Trust What's Next?   
    2017 will be a tough year. The rotation needs to be figured out, as there are some old bodies there that MAY not play longterm (Hughes and Gibson, not to mention a reliable but unnecessary Santana). The bullpen is a mess, but there is too much potential on the farm to bankrupty the team with $6 million reliever contracts.
     
    The tell is where do the new guys go from here. We have Murphy that needs to prove he can be a staple for a few years, if even in a parttime role. We have to figure out the need for Vargas or Park, one but not both. Is Polanco the best for second, then who plays short until Gordon. Can Sano handle third. Is the outfield of Kepler/Buxton/Rosario the one for the future? Where does Granite and Palka and even Michaels fit into the plans. Who are the next BIG looksee rookies that couldchallenge the current crop.
     
    Polanco may strikeout less that Dozier. But the Twins will still need to replace the power of Plouffe AND Dozier if Dozier is moved. Overall, the batters have to strike out less and runners have to be advanced, especially to home.
     
    But all is kinda moot if you have a staff that is 4.50+ for the seson in the least. 
     
    There is a rebuild, and the Twins have a good time to looksee at a lot of folks...especially if they can advance them faster to the upper minors rather than fill the bill with free agents.
  24. Like
    beckmt got a reaction from Platoon in Why Minnesota Must Trade Brian Dozier   
    I agree, you have to add 2-3 new arms(with higher ceilings) then the Twins currently have(not counting Romero, who seems to have the biggest upside).  I would be very surprised if the Twins won more that 75 games this year, even with Dozier.  To me the difference between 70 and 75 does not exist.  The only chance to compete is to add, pitching, pitching and more pitching.  Twins have enough position players to compete at this level, and you can use money to fill holes next offseason.  Price of pitching is only going up and if Twins cannot get it cheap, they will not be able to contend by 2018-2019, with Pohlad giving 1-2 massive contracts to top of the line starters(very unlikely in my opinion).
  25. Like
    beckmt reacted to diehardtwinsfan in Falvey Has To Fix A Massive Minnesota Flaw   
    I'm not sure the problem is with identifying talent nearly as much as it is developing it.  Too many guys do well in the minors only to get destroyed in the majors. I expect that to an extent, but the volume makes me wonder what is going on in getting these guys ready.
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