Jump to content
Twins Daily
  • Create Account

21bdp21

Verified Member
  • Posts

    41
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Reputation Activity

  1. Like
    21bdp21 reacted to Sconnie in New CBA - What's good for the game   
    I’d move Tampa to Charlotte (instead of adding a team to the Carolinas) and add a team to San Antonio instead to draw additional Mexico fans and take advantage that San Antonio only has the Spurs
    agreed on 1 & Montreal, & 3
  2. Like
    21bdp21 got a reaction from ashbury in New CBA - What's good for the game   
    So because I could I looked up the top 50 Metro Areas in North America, ignoring any outside Canada, USA, and Mexico. I then Figured out how far away they were from the closest MLB team. Here is what I found.

     
    Metropolitan area Country Population Has  Team Closet Team Distance Mexico City Mexico 20892724 N Houston 750 Guadalajara Mexico 4887383 N Houston 800 Monterrey Mexico 4689601 N Houston 420 Montreal Canada Canada 4045877 N Boston 250 Puebla Mexico 2941988 N Houston 750 Vancouver Canada Canada 2509942 N Seattle  120 Charlotte United States 2426363 N Atlanta 230 Portland United States 2389228 N Seattle  140 Orlando United States 2387138 N Tampa Bay 80 San Antonio United States 2384075 N Houston 190 Sacramento United States 2274194 N San Francisco 80 Toluca Mexico 2202886 N Houston 770 San Juan Puerto Rico Puerto Rico 2196538 N Miami 1000 Las Vegas United States 2114801 N Las Angeles 220 Columbus United States 2021632 N Cleveland/Cincinnati 100 Austin United States 2000860 N Houston 100 Indianapolis United States 1988817 N Cincinnati  150 San Jose United States 1976836 N San Francisco 45 Tijuana Mexico 1840710 N San Diego 15

    Notes:
    -Mexico City, Puebla, and Toluca are all really close to each other.
    -The Houston Asterisks  might suffer the most here. 
    -I am not sure that Ohio could support a third team.
    -Same goes to the Bay area with 2 teams within 80 miles
    -Orlando will not happen because of Tampa, although I could see a move if Orlando built a stadium for the Rays. 
  3. Like
    21bdp21 got a reaction from Brock Beauchamp in New CBA - What's good for the game   
    So because I could I looked up the top 50 Metro Areas in North America, ignoring any outside Canada, USA, and Mexico. I then Figured out how far away they were from the closest MLB team. Here is what I found.

     
    Metropolitan area Country Population Has  Team Closet Team Distance Mexico City Mexico 20892724 N Houston 750 Guadalajara Mexico 4887383 N Houston 800 Monterrey Mexico 4689601 N Houston 420 Montreal Canada Canada 4045877 N Boston 250 Puebla Mexico 2941988 N Houston 750 Vancouver Canada Canada 2509942 N Seattle  120 Charlotte United States 2426363 N Atlanta 230 Portland United States 2389228 N Seattle  140 Orlando United States 2387138 N Tampa Bay 80 San Antonio United States 2384075 N Houston 190 Sacramento United States 2274194 N San Francisco 80 Toluca Mexico 2202886 N Houston 770 San Juan Puerto Rico Puerto Rico 2196538 N Miami 1000 Las Vegas United States 2114801 N Las Angeles 220 Columbus United States 2021632 N Cleveland/Cincinnati 100 Austin United States 2000860 N Houston 100 Indianapolis United States 1988817 N Cincinnati  150 San Jose United States 1976836 N San Francisco 45 Tijuana Mexico 1840710 N San Diego 15

    Notes:
    -Mexico City, Puebla, and Toluca are all really close to each other.
    -The Houston Asterisks  might suffer the most here. 
    -I am not sure that Ohio could support a third team.
    -Same goes to the Bay area with 2 teams within 80 miles
    -Orlando will not happen because of Tampa, although I could see a move if Orlando built a stadium for the Rays. 
  4. Like
    21bdp21 reacted to Monkeypaws in International Player Profile: Bryan Acuña   
    Brothers of stars always make me think of Ozzie Canseco, or Keith Gretzky.
     
    Perhaps Bryan will fare better.
  5. Like
    21bdp21 reacted to Dman in International Player Profile: Bryan Acuña   
    I am pretty excited about Bryans hit tool.  Not sure why he is ranked so low unless scouts see his future speed and power limiting him.  I wonder how you evaluate 16 year olds?  So much more growth projection from even 16 to 18 let alone 18 to 21.  
    I see him as a potential Arraez type player but he has a long ways to go.  I always get excited about these guys but you literally have to wait 6 to 8 years before they make it to MLB ball and that is a long time to wait.  Still I wish him the best and am glad he is a Twin.
  6. Like
    21bdp21 reacted to mnfireman in Could the Twins Weather the Blowback of a Luis Arraez Trade?   
    Arraez should be traded this off-season before any trade value he has goes away. He has no power, no speed. no defensive position and he has been injured too often. He could be easily replaced by any one of several players with more upside as a defender or hitter or both. I don't think he will be one of those players that we (the fans) will look back on and say "if only the Twins had kept him."
  7. Like
    21bdp21 got a reaction from h2oface in Is David Ortiz a Hall of Famer?   
    The thing is Barry Bonds should already be in the HOF. The cancerous is he supposedly (never tested positive)  started using PED's after the '98 season.
    In Bond's first 13 years of playing is stats look like:
    BA .289 OBP .408 SLG .557 OPS .965 AVG OPS+ 163 WAR 99.9 8X AS 3X MVP, 5X 2-10 in MVP voting and 12th in MVP voting once 8x GG 7X SS 411 HR (Averaged 31.5/year) Led the League in HR  1X, BB 5X, OBP 4X, SLG 3X, OPS+ 4X. If you gave that resume to a HOF voter and said hey should Jon Doe be in the HOF. The answer would be yes. 
     
  8. Like
    21bdp21 reacted to bean5302 in Is Jon Doe a HOFer   
    Bonds tested positive for amphetamines in 2006. Amphetamines are considered "Stimulants" by baseball, but in 2006, it just triggered additional testing rather than a suspension. Under the current testing rules, Bonds would have been suspended. Bonds was also highly likely to have tested positive in 2000 for steroids and other PEDs, but that was before the MLB drug testing program was in place. The evidence was pretty compelling when it was presented at trial, but it wasn't absolutely a lock due to possible tampering.
    Look, Bonds absolutely 100% used. The argument he might not have is absolutely dead on arrival. When it comes to Roger Clemens, it's a little murkier, but there are still some fairly strong connections there. Arguing they didn't use doesn't help their case, it just hurts the case.
  9. Like
    21bdp21 got a reaction from tony&rodney in Is David Ortiz a Hall of Famer?   
    The thing is Barry Bonds should already be in the HOF. The cancerous is he supposedly (never tested positive)  started using PED's after the '98 season.
    In Bond's first 13 years of playing is stats look like:
    BA .289 OBP .408 SLG .557 OPS .965 AVG OPS+ 163 WAR 99.9 8X AS 3X MVP, 5X 2-10 in MVP voting and 12th in MVP voting once 8x GG 7X SS 411 HR (Averaged 31.5/year) Led the League in HR  1X, BB 5X, OBP 4X, SLG 3X, OPS+ 4X. If you gave that resume to a HOF voter and said hey should Jon Doe be in the HOF. The answer would be yes. 
     
  10. Like
    21bdp21 reacted to bean5302 in Is Jon Doe a HOFer   
    The issue with Bonds is not whether he was good enough to be in the Hall of Fame. The evidence for Bonds using became extremely convincing in 1998, but what's the likelihood he was using before that when we know the steroid era dates back to the late 80s? The issue is how players like Bonds, who absolutely used PEDs, hurt MLB's fanbase and the reputation of the entire sport. The PED scandals in baseball were shocking to the public and it undermined MLB's credibility. The PED cheaters like Bonds stand out like Shoeless Joe Jackson and Pete Rose. Their actions had the potential to undermine the entire sport's business viability. 
    The strongest argument for PED cheaters to get into the Hall of Fame, in my opinion is we don't know who cheated. We have the names in the Mitchell Report and cowardly leaked confidential testing results from prior to MLB's testing policy. We don't have all the names of the players who were promised their information would remain private. Just some. Did Fred McGriff use PEDs? It doesn't seem likely based on his physique, but maybe he did? There are players in the HoF who cheated by using PEDs. We just don't know which ones.
    Also, how much of the blame for PED use goes to MLB, the commissioner, front offices and owners looking the other way as the home run races filled their pocketbooks? They knew. They knew it was pervasive and let it continue because it was big money, especially after the strike crushed the sport. The owners and commissioner were all too happy to profit from PED use and then scapegoat the players while they passed the buck along when the scandals hit.
    The Hall of Fame is viewed as maybe the public's only option to "punish" the cheaters since MLB didn't and America is a very vengeful society. Furthermore, baseball fan demographics really hit hard when it comes to that vengefulness.
  11. Like
    21bdp21 got a reaction from Dantes929 in Former Twins Cooperstown Case: AJ Pierzynski   
    No, he is boarder line hall of very good. He had 2 AS appearances over 19 years with only one year of  WAR over 4 (4.5). He was durable yes and played average offence over his career with good defense. Now I am not necessarily a small hall kind of guy, but even for a big hall he doesn't make the cut. 


    For reference AJ career 23.8 WAR in 19 years
    Yadier Molina 42.1 WAR in 18 years
    Joe Mauer 55.2WAR in 15 years 
  12. Like
    21bdp21 got a reaction from h2oface in Former Twins Cooperstown Case: AJ Pierzynski   
    No, he is boarder line hall of very good. He had 2 AS appearances over 19 years with only one year of  WAR over 4 (4.5). He was durable yes and played average offence over his career with good defense. Now I am not necessarily a small hall kind of guy, but even for a big hall he doesn't make the cut. 


    For reference AJ career 23.8 WAR in 19 years
    Yadier Molina 42.1 WAR in 18 years
    Joe Mauer 55.2WAR in 15 years 
  13. Like
    21bdp21 got a reaction from DocBauer in Former Twins Cooperstown Case: AJ Pierzynski   
    No, he is boarder line hall of very good. He had 2 AS appearances over 19 years with only one year of  WAR over 4 (4.5). He was durable yes and played average offence over his career with good defense. Now I am not necessarily a small hall kind of guy, but even for a big hall he doesn't make the cut. 


    For reference AJ career 23.8 WAR in 19 years
    Yadier Molina 42.1 WAR in 18 years
    Joe Mauer 55.2WAR in 15 years 
  14. Like
    21bdp21 got a reaction from Hunter48 in Former Twins Cooperstown Case: AJ Pierzynski   
    No, he is boarder line hall of very good. He had 2 AS appearances over 19 years with only one year of  WAR over 4 (4.5). He was durable yes and played average offence over his career with good defense. Now I am not necessarily a small hall kind of guy, but even for a big hall he doesn't make the cut. 


    For reference AJ career 23.8 WAR in 19 years
    Yadier Molina 42.1 WAR in 18 years
    Joe Mauer 55.2WAR in 15 years 
  15. Like
    21bdp21 got a reaction from James in Former Twins Cooperstown Case: AJ Pierzynski   
    No, he is boarder line hall of very good. He had 2 AS appearances over 19 years with only one year of  WAR over 4 (4.5). He was durable yes and played average offence over his career with good defense. Now I am not necessarily a small hall kind of guy, but even for a big hall he doesn't make the cut. 


    For reference AJ career 23.8 WAR in 19 years
    Yadier Molina 42.1 WAR in 18 years
    Joe Mauer 55.2WAR in 15 years 
  16. Like
    21bdp21 got a reaction from Mauer4HOF in 3 Moves To Help Twins Maximize Upside In 2022   
    Gotta mix in MoneyBall to watch the Twins win an postseason game also. 
  17. Like
    21bdp21 got a reaction from PDX Twin in Finding MLB Draft Changes that Stop Tanking   
    I did some digging on baseball reference.
    https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/19VfDcfllzN6AsgZouf829ldQ9eO3ZGRU/edit?usp=sharing&ouid=113796250486978022042&rtpof=true&sd=true
    It appears the # 1 pick is roughly worth twice what the #5 pick in terms of WAR. In addition is roughly has a 20% increase in odds of making the major leagues. 
    I am still compiling data and eventually I will maybe might do an blog post here on what I find.
     
  18. Sad
    21bdp21 reacted to dxpavelka in Back in the Saddle: My Twins Offseason Blueprint   
    You keep thinking that and dreaming of duckies and bunnies and beautifully unique sparkleponies.
  19. WTF
    21bdp21 reacted to dxpavelka in Back in the Saddle: My Twins Offseason Blueprint   
    That's so cute.  Thinking that Verlander's gonna sign here.  Counting on neither Kiriloff or Larnach to flame out.  Thinking that Buxton's gonna settle for 5 years $84 million.  (Up  that $84 by 50% to $126 and he MIGHT answer the phone.  Don't know if he'd sign but at least he'd take the call.) Guess I shouldn't be surprised.  considering we're talking about a team whose Pitcher of the Year plays for another team.  P.S.  That's the pitcher we should be throwing $20 million a year at but if we want to go with the 39 year old guy who am I to object.  At least we might get Kate Upton in the stands.
  20. Like
    21bdp21 got a reaction from Doctor Gast in Back in the Saddle: My Twins Offseason Blueprint   
    From what was said about the last offer it wasn't the base garmented salary that Buxton balked at. It was the incentive package, Base of 14/y with a total of 35-40 with incentives would get the job done. 
     
     
  21. Like
    21bdp21 got a reaction from chpettit19 in Back in the Saddle: My Twins Offseason Blueprint   
    From what was said about the last offer it wasn't the base garmented salary that Buxton balked at. It was the incentive package, Base of 14/y with a total of 35-40 with incentives would get the job done. 
     
     
  22. Like
    21bdp21 reacted to KirbyDome89 in Deja Vu - Buxton Extension and Mauer Extension   
    Barring perennial MVP finishes, a certain percentage of the fanbase assuredly will. Twins fans have been conditioned to hate spending, and rather than question the tight pockets of ownership or even how FO(s) allocate available funds, it's easier to blame Player X for whatever holes the team has. There's certainly risk with signing Buxton long term, and a logical argument to be made for not going that route, but IMO the potential reward, and most importantly for me, not having to watch miserable baseball (hopefully) for another 3-4 years is worth that risk. 
  23. Like
    21bdp21 reacted to Doctor Gast in Deja Vu - Buxton Extension and Mauer Extension   
    I think the difference between the two is  that Buxton's contract would have conditions baked into it where Mauer's contract did not because he got hurt unforeseen  after the contract. Buxton's contract should be much more reasonable. 
  24. Sad
    21bdp21 reacted to Aerodeliria in Projecting the Defensive Future of Minnesota's Top Prospects   
    The problem at SS does not magically disappear in any of these scenarios. The position requires range, speed, a good glove, a strong arm and mental toughness. I suppose the closest is Lewis, but his arm is being questioned in MiLB, so it seems unlikely that it will play well in MLB. As much as I disliked Simmons bat, I still liked his play at SS. He had the highest defensive WAR on the team outside of Buxton (I believe). My hope is to go get an all-star SS who can hit a bit better than Simmons, but if the plan is to stick a sub-par SS there who can hit, I think we're spinning our wheels. I'd rather sign Simmons to another one-year deal in that scenario.
  25. Like
    21bdp21 reacted to Doctor Gast in Scouting Twins Prospects: Gilberto Celestino   
    Remember when I saw that, I could see that Broxton had a bead on that ball and could have also caught that ball but saw Celestino had the best shot. And yielded to Him. Like you said he was just as happy that Celestino made that catch as if he had made that catch himself. That's a player I'd like to play on my team.
     
     
×
×
  • Create New...