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21bdp21

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  1. Like
    21bdp21 reacted to chpettit19 in 3 Options for Royce Lewis When Carlos Correa Returns   
    Option 4: combine options 2 and 3.
    He's currently one of the 9 best hitters on this team and if they're serious about contending this year you keep him up because he gives you a better chance to win games. Correa was already getting regularly scheduled off days before the hand injury so there's no reason to think that will change. Lewis is their best SS after Correa so it makes sense to give him a couple starts a week there when you DH or sit Correa. Put him at 3B for 2 other starts a week and LF/CF (I assume he could handle LF without any issue and we've seen him play CF very well in the AFL) for another 2 starts a week. He's getting everyday ABs and gets to work with Correa on the side for his SS defense.
  2. Like
    21bdp21 reacted to chpettit19 in Chris Paddack UCL   
    How are they supposed to get to the opportunity for 60 good high impact innings without starting pitching? Twins bullpen is currently #2 in all of baseball in Win Probability Added. So to this point the doomed pen without Rogers has provided 118.2 innings of good high impact innings. I suppose you could argue they'd be #1 in baseball if they still had Rogers, but I'm a simple guy who thinks #2 is probably good enough to win a division and maybe even a playoff game or 2.
  3. Like
    21bdp21 reacted to Tim in Chris Paddack UCL   
    Take a look how teams allocate $ in free agency between "average starting pitching" and "high end relievers".
    How teams value pitching prospects, who are more likely to end up relievers rather starters in trades.
    That will tell you how front offices, people much smarter than you and i, value what impacts winning games and where millions of dollars go.
  4. Like
    21bdp21 got a reaction from Longdistancetwins in NYT Article about Byron Buxton   
    I'm sure most of you have seen the article, but if not here is the link:
    https://www.nytimes.com/2022/05/08/sports/baseball/byron-buxton-twins.html
  5. Like
    21bdp21 got a reaction from Richie the Rally Goat in NYT Article about Byron Buxton   
    I'm sure most of you have seen the article, but if not here is the link:
    https://www.nytimes.com/2022/05/08/sports/baseball/byron-buxton-twins.html
  6. Like
    21bdp21 reacted to chpettit19 in The Next Twins Prospect Promotion   
    With Lewis' ability (he looked good in the AFL) to play CF I'd think he'd be the perfect player to keep around knowing Buxton is always 1 play away from a 2 month trip to the IL. If Lewis reaches his ceiling he's far better than an "above average 3B or a skilled outfielder." He's Ronald Acuna Jr who is a part time CFer, but has spent most of his career in a corner OF spot. Or Mookie Betts who plays RF. Now if you don't think he reaches his superstar ceiling then trading him could make some sense. But if you think he's going to reach his ceiling you don't even consider trading him until you can't pay him to stay.
  7. Like
    21bdp21 reacted to roger in The Next Twins Prospect Promotion   
    I don't know what to think about Correa, other than recent reports that he really likes it here and would be open to a longer term deal.  As for the specifics you mention, none of us know what might happen just as none of us thought there was any possibility he would be playing shortstop for the Twins at the start of this season.
  8. Like
    21bdp21 reacted to Trov in Let's Cut Miguel Sanó Some Slack   
    First, I am all for sitting him, cutting him or whatever.  I get the writers point that his numbers should be higher overall, but he had an at bat where he never swung.  So he did not chase or whiff, but he struck out on 3 pitches.  Hard to whiff or chase if you never swing, but hard to get hits too.  
    However, I would point out Sano actually did not have a bad base running play, it was Urshella that did.  Why do I say that?  Sano reacted to the throw to plate, he was assuming either a runner was going home or had already.  It is smart to follow the runners in this situation.  Also, there is no 1st baseman behind him so he can get almost to 2nd with no issue of getting back.  He was not going to get into a run down.  Was he thinking this?  Maybe, maybe not.  It was Urshella who took off to third when he should not have.  He should have stayed on 2nd and told Sano to run back to 1st, instead he thinks Sano is forcing him to 3rd and never realizes until he is almost to 3rd that Larnach is standing there.  
    Who made the worst decision of them all in this case?  The catcher for Detroit.  Other than the terrible throw, he was not going to get the lead runner out, and tying run in Larnach as he was on 3rd alone.  So maybe he can get Urshella in a run down, and get him out, but that could have left Larnach a path to get home, to at least drawing a throw home.  Yes, getting that 2nd out would have been good for Detroit, but the catcher should have just let the runners return to their bases and play it safe.  Thankfully he tossed the ball to middle of left field letting 2 runs score. 
  9. Like
    21bdp21 reacted to roger in 5 Bold Twins Predictions for 2022   
    I may be in the minority, but I do not want to see Max traded.  I want to see him in right field for the Twins every day.
  10. Like
    21bdp21 reacted to adorduan in Ryan Jeffers Will Justify Front Office's Belief   
    Letting Tortuga go was the right decision. He was a terrible catcher.
  11. Like
    21bdp21 reacted to Mike Sixel in Twins Daily 2022 Draft Coverage, March 31   
    Let's hope they don't keep taking bat first corner players in round 1.....
  12. Like
    21bdp21 got a reaction from LoveMyPug in Twins Daily 2022 Draft Coverage, March 31   
    And with the 8th pick the MN Twins pick a slugging college hitter below average fielding 1B.
  13. Like
    21bdp21 got a reaction from Dman in Twins Daily 2022 Draft Coverage, March 31   
    And with the 8th pick the MN Twins pick a slugging college hitter below average fielding 1B.
  14. Like
    21bdp21 got a reaction from glunn in FiveThirtyEight Article on the Twins   
    https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/al-central-preview-the-twins-are-looking-for-a-bounce-back/
    It is a part of series they are doing.
    Form 538:
    "In honor of the 2022 Major League Baseball season, which starts April 7 — and is actually a thing! — FiveThirtyEight will be focusing our attention on the most intriguing team in each division. Today we take a look at the American League Central, which had a new champ last season but whose old champ isn’t quite ready to give up the crown for good."
     
     
  15. Like
    21bdp21 got a reaction from The Mad King in Correa Gives Twins a Best in Baseball   
    The only issue I have with this deal is it is essentially 1 year 35.1 mil. We will need a SS next year and if Lewis isn't the one we are in a bind again.
  16. Like
    21bdp21 got a reaction from Minny505 in 2022 PECOTA Standings: The 2022 Twins can be Great   
    Probably because 11 games is only 6.7% of a season so say you get 5% less out of a team than expected that would be a hair over 8 games worse. So even with worse pitching and some downgrades I would expect what happened is last year was a lot worse than expected so you have some reversion to mean performance and last years team did a lot worse than expected and we lost Berios and Cruz at the trade deadline so it isn't as if we had the whole team the entire year.
     
  17. Like
    21bdp21 got a reaction from se7799 in 2022 PECOTA Standings: The 2022 Twins can be Great   
    Probably because 11 games is only 6.7% of a season so say you get 5% less out of a team than expected that would be a hair over 8 games worse. So even with worse pitching and some downgrades I would expect what happened is last year was a lot worse than expected so you have some reversion to mean performance and last years team did a lot worse than expected and we lost Berios and Cruz at the trade deadline so it isn't as if we had the whole team the entire year.
     
  18. Like
    21bdp21 reacted to 4twinsJA in Ranking the Twins Top-5 Hit Tool Prospects   
    What does someone have to do to get a 70-75 rating, Miranda hit .340 at top 2 levels of MiLB last year and only 50/55 rating?
  19. Like
    21bdp21 got a reaction from Dozier's Glorious Hair in Assessing the Donaldson and Kiner-Falefa Trade With the Yankees   
    Catcher is a lot tougher on the body than 3rd.. 
  20. Like
    21bdp21 got a reaction from ashbury in New CBA - What's good for the game   
    So because I could I looked up the top 50 Metro Areas in North America, ignoring any outside Canada, USA, and Mexico. I then Figured out how far away they were from the closest MLB team. Here is what I found.

     
    Metropolitan area Country Population Has  Team Closet Team Distance Mexico City Mexico 20892724 N Houston 750 Guadalajara Mexico 4887383 N Houston 800 Monterrey Mexico 4689601 N Houston 420 Montreal Canada Canada 4045877 N Boston 250 Puebla Mexico 2941988 N Houston 750 Vancouver Canada Canada 2509942 N Seattle  120 Charlotte United States 2426363 N Atlanta 230 Portland United States 2389228 N Seattle  140 Orlando United States 2387138 N Tampa Bay 80 San Antonio United States 2384075 N Houston 190 Sacramento United States 2274194 N San Francisco 80 Toluca Mexico 2202886 N Houston 770 San Juan Puerto Rico Puerto Rico 2196538 N Miami 1000 Las Vegas United States 2114801 N Las Angeles 220 Columbus United States 2021632 N Cleveland/Cincinnati 100 Austin United States 2000860 N Houston 100 Indianapolis United States 1988817 N Cincinnati  150 San Jose United States 1976836 N San Francisco 45 Tijuana Mexico 1840710 N San Diego 15

    Notes:
    -Mexico City, Puebla, and Toluca are all really close to each other.
    -The Houston Asterisks  might suffer the most here. 
    -I am not sure that Ohio could support a third team.
    -Same goes to the Bay area with 2 teams within 80 miles
    -Orlando will not happen because of Tampa, although I could see a move if Orlando built a stadium for the Rays. 
  21. Like
    21bdp21 got a reaction from TopGunn#22 in Twins Mariners Trade proposal   
    Thanks happy to share;  because of my current location I get the SEA news and because I have been and will always be Twins fan whenever a Twins/Mariners article is published it pops up in my news feed. 
  22. Like
    21bdp21 got a reaction from Dman in Twins Mariners Trade proposal   
    Thanks happy to share;  because of my current location I get the SEA news and because I have been and will always be Twins fan whenever a Twins/Mariners article is published it pops up in my news feed. 
  23. Like
    21bdp21 got a reaction from VOMG in Twins Mariners Trade proposal   
    Thanks happy to share;  because of my current location I get the SEA news and because I have been and will always be Twins fan whenever a Twins/Mariners article is published it pops up in my news feed. 
  24. Like
    21bdp21 got a reaction from Doctor Gast in Twins Mariners Trade proposal   
    Thanks happy to share;  because of my current location I get the SEA news and because I have been and will always be Twins fan whenever a Twins/Mariners article is published it pops up in my news feed. 
  25. Like
    21bdp21 reacted to 4twinsJA in Twins Mariners Trade proposal   
    I would put Arraez high on the list of potential trade candidates. I would be in favor of a trade for a pitcher that can be in rotation next year and a couple of good prospects.
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