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Matthew Taylor

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  1. Like
    Matthew Taylor reacted to Seth Stohs in Ranking Every Player on the 2020 Minnesota Twins from 59 to 1   
    First, it's your list, so my point isn't to say it's right or wrong, but that's the beauty of lists is that there can be disagreements and discussions. 
     
    While I'm incredibly high on Jeffers and was before anyone else, Telis hit .330 in AAA last year. So, maybe Jeffers is better now, but Telis is really good and has MLB time. 
     
    Regarding Hill... with the "If Healthy" part, yes, his stats in the last 5 years put him above those guys, probably by quite a bit. Now, at 40 and with the return from surgery, we'll see. That could drop him a bit. He's been over Maeda with the Dodgers. 
     
    Dobnak is so good, by the way... I underestimated him in rankings and in Cedar Rapids. I underestimated him last year. I probably underestimate him in the prospect rankings even this year. May not be as exciting, but dude just keeps gettin gthe job done. 
  2. Like
    Matthew Taylor reacted to Seth Stohs in Ranking Every Player on the 2020 Minnesota Twins from 59 to 1   
    This is about the 2020 season? Then the top prospect types should all be much lower. Guys like Smeltzer, Bailey,Thorpe and especially Dobnak need to be significantly higher. I'd personally have Thielbar way higher because he should pitch in the big leagues. While it probably doesn't matter, I'd have Telis well above Graterol and Jeffers (Again, as it relates to likely contribution in 2020). Romero can't even get into the country, so he could be #59. 
     
    I'd have Rich Hill higher since - if he stays healthy, he's probably their top pitcher, right there with Berrios. 
     
  3. Like
    Matthew Taylor reacted to ashbury in Ranking Every Player on the 2020 Minnesota Twins from 59 to 1   
    Until they prove something, the relievers as a group are ranked too high. There isn't evidence yet that the group is upper echelon. In 2019 their collective OPS-against was .740. Oakland, Houston, and Tampa Bay all had relief corps with an OPS-against below .699. Maybe Taylor Rogers strikes a little fear in the other teams - maybe. No one else.
  4. Like
    Matthew Taylor reacted to theBOMisthebomb in Ranking Every Player on the 2020 Minnesota Twins from 59 to 1   
    I don't know if I would change anything. Or, even care too much since I believe most guys will see some time if the virus keeps players off the field for weeks at a time. I would like to see #60 - Brian Dozier.
  5. Like
    Matthew Taylor reacted to bighat in Ranking Every Player on the 2020 Minnesota Twins from 59 to 1   
    "The best bullpen in baseball?"  - uh, no.
     
    "A serviceable bullpen that might be decent if nobody regresses?" - more like it.
     
    How about Nick Gordon on that list? The guy was supposed to be the Next Big Thing and just can't seem to make it past that last step. Is development stalled? Will he ever be an MLB regular?
  6. Like
    Matthew Taylor reacted to bighat in Ranking Every Player on the 2020 Minnesota Twins from 59 to 1   
    How crazy is that that Eddie Rosario hit 30+ HR and drove in 100 RBI and he's 13th on this list....and that's exactly where he should be.
     
    How depressing is it that this is the best Twins team, possibly ever, and they are going to miss getting a shot at a memorable season due to a once-in-a-lifetime world pandemic?
  7. Like
    Matthew Taylor got a reaction from glunn in A Closer Look at the Minnesota Twins' 2020 Schedule   
    Alas, baseball is here. Finally, we can talk about real rosters, real games, and real schedules. In the midst of all of the announcements regarding the upcoming 60-game season, we have learned how the MLB schedule will look and who the Twins will be facing in 2020.While we still don’t know the exact dates of the games or the order in which the series will be played, Jayson Stark of The Athletic provided fans with the nuts and bolts of what the baseball schedule will look like in 2020. Here’s how the schedule will break down:
    All teams will play 10 games against each of their divisional foes, making up 40 of the 60 total games. The remaining 20 games will be played against the corresponding interleague division. In the case of the American League Central, this will mean playing 20 games versus the National League Central. Six of the interleague divisional games will be played against a team’s closest natural “rival”. In the case of the Minnesota Twins, this will be the Milwaukee Brewers. The remaining 14 interleague divisional games will be split between the four remaining teams in series of three or four games. The way that the schedules shook out for the 2020 season is about the best scenario that the Minnesota Twins could have asked for. The American League Central was the worst division in baseball in terms of winning percentage in 2019. While the White Sox should be improved with the offseason additions they made, the Cleveland Indians have potential to go the other way as they parted with their ace pitcher, Corey Kluber and have been rumblings of them potentially looking to deal Francisco Lindor. Additionally, the American League Central is home to two of the worst teams in baseball in the Detroit Tigers and the Kansas City Royals. 
     
    All in all the Minnesota Twins were 50-26 against the American League Central in 2019. Being able to play 60% of their games against a division that they had so much success against last season spell success for the Twins heading into the 60-game super-season.
     
    Another advantage that the Minnesota Twins have with the way the 2020 schedule shook out is that they avoid playing the American League East and American League West altogether. It’s no secret that the Twins have struggled against the New York Yankees, but additionally the Twins avoid having to face the Houston Astros, Oakland Athletics, and Tampa Bay Rays. All four of those teams are arguably better than the second best team in the American League Central.
     
    Switching to their interleague divisional foes, the Minnesota Twins once again came up fortunate by getting to face the National League Central, the weakest division in the National League in 2019 according to 2019 winning percentage. While the Cincinnati Reds made some strong offseason additions, the Pirates figure to be one of the worst teams in baseball, and none of the Cardinals, Cubs and Brewers were projected to have more than 87 wins according to PECOTA’s March projections. Further, by facing the National League Central the Twins avoid having to face the juggernauts in the National League of the Braves, Mets, Nationals and Dodgers.
     
    In addition to avoiding the best teams in baseball on the American League and National League sides, the Twins will also avoid having to face the best pitchers in baseball. With the way the schedule shook out, the Minnesota Twins will not have to face any of the top-seven pitchers in the MLB according to fWAR, evading the likes of Gerrit Cole, Justin Verlander and Charlie Morton in the American League, and Jacob DeGrom, Max Scherzer, and Stephen Strasburg in the National League.
     
    While all of this sounds great in theory for the Minnesota Twins’ outlook in 2020, an easier schedule doesn’t promise a divisional title. The Cleveland Indians and Chicago White Sox will have the same schedule as the Minnesota Twins, and the amount of parity that will exist in a 60-game season has been well documented. The games still need to be played, and the Twins still need to perform, but with the schedule they’ve been given, they’re starting off on the right foot.
     
    How do you feel about the way the 2020 schedule shook out for the Minnesota Twins? Who do you think will be their toughest opponent? Leave a comment below and start the conversation!
     
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  8. Like
    Matthew Taylor got a reaction from Shaitan in 60(ish) Games Isn't a Real Season...but It's Going to Be Epic   
    Haha I appreciate the feedback. Meant it in the informal way, "particularly impressive or remarkable"
  9. Like
    Matthew Taylor reacted to Shaitan in 60(ish) Games Isn't a Real Season...but It's Going to Be Epic   
    I hate to grammar police because this is well-intentioned and I know you mean that a 60 game season will be exciting, but I still feel I should point out that a short season is literally the opposite of what "epic" means.
  10. Like
    Matthew Taylor reacted to howeda7 in 60(ish) Games Isn't a Real Season...but It's Going to Be Epic   
    Our over-reaction in game day threads will no longer be over-reactions.
  11. Like
    Matthew Taylor got a reaction from In My La Z boy in 60(ish) Games Isn't a Real Season...but It's Going to Be Epic   
    All indications are that MLB will not prorate suspensions, so Pineda will serve the same suspension in a 65 game season that he would serve in a 162 game season. Definitely not a great situation for Pineda or the Twins.
  12. Like
  13. Like
    Matthew Taylor reacted to Nick Nelson in The Show Must Go On: Dancing for the Division   
    Option 1: Press "Like This" on this comment (or voice your support below) if you want us to stick with the current plan and have each rotation member make 3 starts in the season's remaining 15 games.
  14. Like
    Matthew Taylor got a reaction from renabanena in Honey, I Shrunk the Season: A Definitive Timeline of Every MLB Proposal So Far   
    This makes my head hurt.
  15. Like
    Matthew Taylor got a reaction from Heistyman in Twins Select Aaron Sabato with the 27th Overall Pick   
    I really like the pick. As others have mentioned, with the shortened draft I'd like to take as safe of a pick as possible. While no pick in the MLB Draft is safe, I feel like this dude has such a dangerous bat that he's making the big leagues no matter what. Buy your season tickets in the bleachers now, because the bombas won't stop any time soon.
  16. Like
    Matthew Taylor got a reaction from jbissell in Twins Select Aaron Sabato with the 27th Overall Pick   
    I really like the pick. As others have mentioned, with the shortened draft I'd like to take as safe of a pick as possible. While no pick in the MLB Draft is safe, I feel like this dude has such a dangerous bat that he's making the big leagues no matter what. Buy your season tickets in the bleachers now, because the bombas won't stop any time soon.
  17. Like
    Matthew Taylor got a reaction from MN_ExPat in Twins Select Aaron Sabato with the 27th Overall Pick   
    I really like the pick. As others have mentioned, with the shortened draft I'd like to take as safe of a pick as possible. While no pick in the MLB Draft is safe, I feel like this dude has such a dangerous bat that he's making the big leagues no matter what. Buy your season tickets in the bleachers now, because the bombas won't stop any time soon.
  18. Like
    Matthew Taylor reacted to Doctor Gast in Mike Trout and 3 Other Stars the Twins Passed On in the MLB Draft   
    I wish Sabato all the luck in the world & I believe he`ll achieve the vast majority  of his expectations. My choice was Carmen Mlodzinski, South Carolina. I saw he was chosen 31st by the Bucs, that strengthen my choice since PIT has a great eye on past pitching talent but sadly not able to develop it. 
  19. Like
    Matthew Taylor reacted to mikelink45 in Mike Trout and 3 Other Stars the Twins Passed On in the MLB Draft   
    This is why I do not follow the draft - who knows - think about it. Trout was passed by 24 teams - not just the Twins.  Yelich was passed over by 22 teams.  I do not know these players and obviously MLB doesn't either.  The lottery is not easy to predict and that is why they used to need so many rounds in hopes that someone would work out.  Now we have skipped all the extra rounds and the percent of washouts will continue, but those who might have made it will never be known.
     
     
  20. Like
    Matthew Taylor reacted to jimbo92107 in Mike Trout and 3 Other Stars the Twins Passed On in the MLB Draft   
    Calling the MLB draft a "crap shoot" is a wild understatement. Try predicting a random number between one and 150. Even with scouting, you can't tell who is going to shine and who is going to flop after a draft. 
     
    The Twins doubtless scouted Trout, and had him assessed as an athletic outfielder with not much power. How were they to know he would turn into baseball Hulk? Same with all these flop picks. Scouting will always be limited, and nobody can predict injuries. Wimmers went down from injuries. Gibson almost flopped from injuries. You just. Can't. Tell. 
  21. Like
    Matthew Taylor reacted to Trov in Mike Trout and 3 Other Stars the Twins Passed On in the MLB Draft   
    The Doc Gooden one stings because maybe if he was living in mid-west he could have stayed clean, not saying he would have but being in different environment could have helped. 
     
    Big Mac does not hurt, for two reasons.  We many not have got bert back to win the 87 series, and Big Mac most likely would have been traded as well because he would have been blocked by Hrbek. 
     
    Trout hurts a ton.  Of course may pass on him, but when you miss on best of all time it will sting.  At least Gibson did make the majors unlike the first and last on your list.
     
    Think about Trout and Yelich on the same team?  Well in reality no way would Twins have signed both to the contract they have gotten, but for a few years man that could have been a nice lineup. Of course, we never know if the Twins would have made them develop the same way. 
  22. Like
    Matthew Taylor got a reaction from ashbury in What does MLB History Say about the 27th Pick?   
    Harnisch was probably the better overall player. He has more career WAR than Jones. Threw Jones in there because of his 2000 season when he finished 5th in Cy Young voting. Also because of his ties to the Twins. Harnisch is another example. 
  23. Like
    Matthew Taylor got a reaction from glunn in What does MLB History Say about the 27th Pick?   
    Harnisch was probably the better overall player. He has more career WAR than Jones. Threw Jones in there because of his 2000 season when he finished 5th in Cy Young voting. Also because of his ties to the Twins. Harnisch is another example. 
  24. Like
    Matthew Taylor got a reaction from glunn in What does MLB History Say about the 27th Pick?   
    The MLB draft is quickly approaching and the Minnesota Twins are slotted to select 27th. In preparing for the much anticipated event, let’s take a look at how the 27th pick in the MLB draft has performed historically.Since the first MLB amateur draft was held in 1965, there have been 55 players selected with the 27th overall pick. Of those 55 players, 56% of them played in the majors. Overall, the number 27 pick in the MLB draft has produced a combined bWAR of 122.8, which ranks as the lowest combined bWAR of any single draft position of the first 30 picks. Further, the number 27 draft position has produced an average of 4.0 bWAR per major leaguer which also ranks last among draft positions in the 1st round.
     
    Download attachment: war.png
     
    Minnesota Twins and the 27th Overall Pick
     
    The Minnesota Twins have twice had the 27th overall pick in the amateur draft. In 1991 the Twins selected first baseman, Scott Stahoviak. Stahoviak joined the Minnesota Twins big league club in 1993, and over his 5-year tenure with the Twins played in 334 games, posting a career .256 batting average with 27 home runs.
     
    In 2008 with the 27th pick, the Twins selected right handed pitcher Carlos Gutiérrez. While an intriguing prospect, Gutiérrez struggled as he worked his way through the Twins minor league system, posting a 4.59 ERA in AAA. Gutiérrez never made it to the majors, instead being released to waivers where he was claimed by the Cubs, playing in their minor league system for one season before retiring in 2013.
     
    Top 3 Players Drafted with the Number 27 Pick
     
    1. Vida Blue
    1969-1986
    3.27 career ERA
    44.9 career bWAR
    6x All-Star, 1971 AL MVP, 1971 AL Cy Young
     
    Vida Blue had a long 17-year career in the major leagues, highlighted by his time in the Bay Area where he played nine seasons with the Oakland Athletics (and won three rings) and six seasons with the San Francisco Giants. Blue was consistently a top-flight pitcher during his career, earning 6 all-star bids and 5 top-10 Cy Young finishes. Blue’s best season was in 1971 when he pitched 312 innings and led baseball with a minuscule 1.82 ERA. His performance was enough to win him the AL MVP and Cy Young Award in the same season, a feat that has only been done nine other times in MLB history.
     
    2. Rick Porcello
    2009-current
    4.36 career ERA
    19.7 career bWAR
    2016 AL Cy Young
     
    Porcello joined the Detroit Tigers in 2009 as a top-25 prospect, expected to form a dynamic pitching duo with teammate Justin Verlander. While Porcello certainly didn’t live up to his top-prospect billing in Detroit, he was a solid pitcher with the Tigers — consistently putting up 170+ IP with an ERA hovering around 4.00. In 2014, Porcello was traded to the Boston Red Sox in a trade centered around Yoenis Céspedes. Porcello peaked in his second year with the Red Sox in 2016 when he won 22 games with a 3.15 ERA and was voted the AL Cy Young winner. Porcello went on to win a World Series with Boston in 2018 before his contract ran out after the 2019 season. Porcello was signed this offseason with the New York Mets.
     
    3. Todd Jones
    1993-2008
    3.97 career ERA
    10.3 career bWAR
    1x All-Star
     
    Another Tiger, Todd Jones had an astonishingly effective 16-year career as a relief pitcher in the majors. Jones had his best season in 2000 when he saved a league high 42 games with a 3.52 ERA for the Tigers. Jones was voted an American League All-Star and ended the season fifth in Cy Young voting. In his 16 year career, Jones played for 8 different teams, even making a pit stop in Minnesota in 2001 after he was traded for pitcher, Mark Redman. Jones pitched a total of 19.1 innings for the Minnesota Twins, posting a 3.26 ERA and saving two games.
     
    What are your thoughts on the history of the 27th pick? Are you confident that the Twins will come away with a difference-maker with their first round selection next week? Leave a comment below and start the conversation!
     
    MORE FROM TWINS DAILY
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