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amjgt

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  1. Like
    amjgt got a reaction from Brandon in PECOTA Projecting a Three-Peat   
    Seems to me that generally, PECOTA dislikes young players. So that's one thing going against Chicago. 
     
    I can't say that I know Chicago's depth very well, but that tends to be a big variable with PECOTA based on how they dole out playing time. IP or AB isn't a variable that they consider in their percentile outcomes. Maeda pitches 150 innings in his 5th percentile season and 150 innings in his 99th percentile season (or whatever his IP number is). It's a flaw that if they had a great answer for, they would've implemented it. This indirectly forces depth to be more of an issue than it might be. So, if your depth is young guys and PECOTA doesn't like young guys.... that's one way to get the CWS to 83 wins
  2. Like
    amjgt got a reaction from woolywoolhouse in PECOTA Projecting a Three-Peat   
    Seems to me that generally, PECOTA dislikes young players. So that's one thing going against Chicago. 
     
    I can't say that I know Chicago's depth very well, but that tends to be a big variable with PECOTA based on how they dole out playing time. IP or AB isn't a variable that they consider in their percentile outcomes. Maeda pitches 150 innings in his 5th percentile season and 150 innings in his 99th percentile season (or whatever his IP number is). It's a flaw that if they had a great answer for, they would've implemented it. This indirectly forces depth to be more of an issue than it might be. So, if your depth is young guys and PECOTA doesn't like young guys.... that's one way to get the CWS to 83 wins
  3. Like
    amjgt got a reaction from mikelink45 in 2021 Minnesota Twins Top 15 Prospects   
    Re: Jeffers 
     
    I agree with the poster about top 3 (or maybe 4), because of the reasons he laid out. Some people had him as high as 6 last offseason, and while I agree a 26 game sample isn't enough to tell us much about his offense, what we saw from him as a catcher is less reliant on small sample size flukes. The above average defense, the team showing very high confidence in him, and the small sample of good offense in MLB is enough for me to push him above Larnach for sure.
  4. Like
    amjgt got a reaction from Doctor Gast in High Spin Rate Pitching   
    If you listen to the Patreon version of the Gleeman and the Geek podcast, their last show they talked with Glen Perkins and spin rate came up. Specifically that he would mess with grips and stuff to get higher spin rates. Also that it's so much more real time that it was for him, just a decade ago. Back then he'd throw a session, then check the data. Now they can check it after every pitch.
     
  5. Like
    amjgt got a reaction from ashbury in Lollygagging?   
    I'd say the gas was off, then he decided to turn it on once he realized it was going to be close. 
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