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se7799

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  1. Like
    se7799 reacted to Seth Stohs in Twins Daily 2023 Top Prospects: #10 Austin Martin, SS   
    I ranked him #11. But I could just as easily make a case for him at #5-12. 
    The tools are still there... at least, if you believe hat he can hit for some average. I think his approach at the plate helps with that. Maybe the power doesn't show up and he's just an 7-10 homer guy, but if he's getting on-base, that's OK. 
    Probably not a SS, but could play 3B, 2B, 1B, and all around the outfield, wherever the Twins may have a need. 
    In organizations that don't already have guys like Lee and Lewis, the chances for Martin to  be an option at 3B and 2B would be higher. 
  2. Like
    se7799 got a reaction from wabene in Twins Daily 2023 Top Prospects: #11-15   
    I feel these are really quality prospects.  Three high round draft picks, a large bonus international signing and Canterino was higher this time last year....for our 11-15 prospects is solid.  In my opinion anyway.  We shall see how they fair though.
  3. Disagree
    se7799 reacted to MarcF in Analyzing Carlos Correa's Current and Future Hall of Fame Case   
    He's an arrogant cheater to begin with. He isn't even 30 yet, and his ankle could very well lead to a much shorter career. And with reduced production caused by it. The Twins signed him again out of desperation, while better, smarter teams and organizations wouldn't touch the guy after his medical exam.
    Additionally, he had a very good last season and couldn't even help get the Twins to .500. He doesn't make things happen like other HOFers do. He plays solid defense and is an above average hitter. But a superstar? I think not.
    Since this story is incredibly premature, I'm wondering who's next on the HOF possibles list? Max Kepler? Let's stick to 2023 and see if this team can even win the division, which is once again set up to be the weakest in all of baseball. Not having Arraez is going to be far more consequential than bringing back Carlos. Bad moves.
  4. Like
    se7799 got a reaction from roger in Twins Daily 2023 Top Prospects: #11-15   
    I feel these are really quality prospects.  Three high round draft picks, a large bonus international signing and Canterino was higher this time last year....for our 11-15 prospects is solid.  In my opinion anyway.  We shall see how they fair though.
  5. Like
    se7799 got a reaction from roger in Twins Daily 2023 Top Prospects: #11-15   
    Great question.  While I have been very high on Rodriquez and believe he will be a top 20 prospect this time next year.  I've been able to watch him play alot and his Latin coaches speak very highly of his character leadership and tools.  I havne seen or met  Mercedes yet but have heard great attributes of him as well.  We should have a much clearer view of them both this time next year considering they both stay healthy.  However neither of them quite have a Buxton ceiling yet. We should see a big year from Emma.
  6. Like
    se7799 reacted to Dman in Twins Daily 2023 Prospect Rankings (Part 2: Prospects 21-30)   
    I wasn't particularly happy with the Noah Miller pick myself but it is a bit early to label him as just a utility infielder or a bust. Right now if you go to MLB.Com you will see he is rated 17th and I don't think they are too embarrassed about it. Fangraphs has him ranked 4th in 2022 they don't have 2023 out yet so they have to be crazy embarrassed about what grade they gave Miller.
    I don't know if you got to see Miller in Spring training last year but his defense looked essentially MLB ready to me. He looked poised for 19 years old, gobbled up grounders and set his feet well for good solid throws.  I don't think defense will be an issue for him.
    His bat was problematic in A ball last year with a .211 average quality contact was lacking. Slugging of .279 anemic.  The .627 OPS far from ideal.  Positives on Offense were his walk rate was excellent and having a good eye at the plate usually leads to better pitches to hit.  His K rate at 23% was not a huge issue either so he can make contact unfortunately it was weak contact.  His .348 OBP is really good for the league but with little to no power and lots of easy outs he didn't have a quality year on offense last year.
    Here's the rub though.  A ball is generally where all the recently drafted college kids start out and they have had two years of college ball to help them adjust to that level.  They are bigger and stronger and have more experience at higher levels of competition than Miller played against especially in a cold weather state.  The odds of him hanging with those players was slim to begin with.  He will only be 20 next year with a full year of pro ball behind him. I think we can expect better things from him next year.  He should be stronger and there should be fewer surprises for him next year.  He doesn't have contact issues and has a good eye at the plate.  There is still reason to be bullish on his future.
    Yep I know Rodriguez killed that league at 19 last year and he has a bright future but that doesn't mean Miller can't come around and figure things out yet.  It was his first year of pro ball and he was up against more experienced competition.  Let's give him another year or two and see how much his offense improves before worrying about ranking him too high or too low.
    FWIW he has dropped in the rankings from around top 10 to lower teens so there is some concern among evaluators. 
  7. Like
    se7799 reacted to tarheeltwinsfan in Twins Daily 2023 Prospect Rankings (Part 2: Prospects 21-30)   
    Outstanding article Seth. Your reporting on the Twins' prospects is very detailed and interesting. I enjoy the fact that you weave some personal information into many of your evaluations. Your efforts are appreciated.
  8. Like
    se7799 got a reaction from Drew in Pablo Lopez's Elite Changeup Could Take Him to the Next Level   
    I know I can be very optimistic.  But I honestly believe one of our starters will establish themselves as a solid number 1 this season.  Plenty of options and opportunities arise.
  9. Like
    se7799 got a reaction from Heiny in Pablo Lopez's Elite Changeup Could Take Him to the Next Level   
    I know I can be very optimistic.  But I honestly believe one of our starters will establish themselves as a solid number 1 this season.  Plenty of options and opportunities arise.
  10. Like
    se7799 got a reaction from wabene in Pablo Lopez's Elite Changeup Could Take Him to the Next Level   
    I know I can be very optimistic.  But I honestly believe one of our starters will establish themselves as a solid number 1 this season.  Plenty of options and opportunities arise.
  11. Like
    se7799 got a reaction from Karbo in Pablo Lopez's Elite Changeup Could Take Him to the Next Level   
    I know I can be very optimistic.  But I honestly believe one of our starters will establish themselves as a solid number 1 this season.  Plenty of options and opportunities arise.
  12. Like
    se7799 got a reaction from Barnacles in Pablo Lopez's Elite Changeup Could Take Him to the Next Level   
    I know I can be very optimistic.  But I honestly believe one of our starters will establish themselves as a solid number 1 this season.  Plenty of options and opportunities arise.
  13. Like
    se7799 got a reaction from Fatbat in Pablo Lopez's Elite Changeup Could Take Him to the Next Level   
    I know I can be very optimistic.  But I honestly believe one of our starters will establish themselves as a solid number 1 this season.  Plenty of options and opportunities arise.
  14. Like
    se7799 got a reaction from joefish in 2023 Twins Top 10 Prospect Rankings: Where Does Jose Salas Fit?   
    Yikes!  I mean in a good way.  Hard to pick out the best of this group.  But I personally love Emma Rodriguez.  That being said...lots of high end talent here.
  15. Like
    se7799 got a reaction from joefish in Pablo Lopez's Elite Changeup Could Take Him to the Next Level   
    I know I can be very optimistic.  But I honestly believe one of our starters will establish themselves as a solid number 1 this season.  Plenty of options and opportunities arise.
  16. Like
    se7799 got a reaction from D.C Twins in 2023 Twins Top 10 Prospect Rankings: Where Does Jose Salas Fit?   
    Yikes!  I mean in a good way.  Hard to pick out the best of this group.  But I personally love Emma Rodriguez.  That being said...lots of high end talent here.
  17. Like
    se7799 reacted to BsuNemo in Pablo Lopez's Elite Changeup Could Take Him to the Next Level   
    I think if Gray stays healthy and is allowed to go deeper into games he will be that guy. He knows how to pitch and he can throw. 
  18. Like
    se7799 got a reaction from Lou Hennessy in Pablo Lopez's Elite Changeup Could Take Him to the Next Level   
    I know I can be very optimistic.  But I honestly believe one of our starters will establish themselves as a solid number 1 this season.  Plenty of options and opportunities arise.
  19. Like
    se7799 got a reaction from tarheeltwinsfan in Pablo Lopez's Elite Changeup Could Take Him to the Next Level   
    I know I can be very optimistic.  But I honestly believe one of our starters will establish themselves as a solid number 1 this season.  Plenty of options and opportunities arise.
  20. Like
    se7799 reacted to MN_ExPat in 2023 Twins Top 10 Prospect Rankings: Where Does Jose Salas Fit?   
    I’d have to concur. I understand that it’s a bit more work, but the list should almost be pitchers and fielders (2 lists). 
     
    I think Seth started to do that some last year, mostly because because we all perceive the two very differently. 
  21. Like
    se7799 reacted to Nine of twelve in 2023 Twins Top 10 Prospect Rankings: Where Does Jose Salas Fit?   
    I can learn to love a good player received in trade too.
  22. Like
    se7799 reacted to Cris E in 2023 Twins Top 10 Prospect Rankings: Where Does Jose Salas Fit?   
    I think Lee will be ready for MLB well before Correa is ready to move off SS so he may end up manning 3B for a couple years.  And honestly I expect him to slide in nicely there, so over the next 3-4 years I expect an infield of Lee, Correa, Polanco/Lewis/Julien and Miranda/Kirriloff. They should be good, and when the time comes to move Correa the parts may move in ways we wouldn't expect today. There may be another younger, better SS ready to go, someone like Salas, and then who knows what happens next. Don't get too far ahead, just let it unfold and enjoy the ride.
  23. Like
    se7799 reacted to tarheeltwinsfan in 2023 Twins Top 10 Prospect Rankings: Where Does Jose Salas Fit?   
    Really nice attachment showing the franchise position starters since the beginning. Brings back lots of memories. Back to when I first started loving baseball and the Washington Senators in 1954 visiting my grandparents in Washington. Eddie Yost (the "walking man"), Mickey Vernon, Wayne Terwilliger, Pete Runnels, on and on for 68 summers. Every year I get excited as spring training approaches. And 2 years out of 68, I got to celebrate my team being the world champion. But in all of the 68 years, I have been able to celebrate baseball., except the season of 68 when I was overseas in the army.  I'm ready for another season to begin. And hopefully some of you will able to be with me in Ft. Myers to see the Twins play the Tigers and the Orioles and the Dominican all stars. Play ball. 
  24. Like
    se7799 reacted to Brandon in 2023 Twins Top 10 Prospect Rankings: Where Does Jose Salas Fit?   
    I would start with the fact that Salas is a top 100 prospect.  I would likely slot him behind our last top 100 prospect.  That would put him 4th in the top 10 rankings.  I suppose if you think Prielipp could be ranked higher.  But I won’t.  Salas is 4th on our list.  I wonder how that affects our farm systems ranking with another top 100 prospect. Are we now higher then 15 or even 12 now?
  25. Like
    se7799 reacted to Cris E in 2023 Twins Top 10 Prospect Rankings: Where Does Jose Salas Fit?   
    As much fun as a list like this is, a decent amount of the value some of them is going to provide will only come in the form of a trade. Don't fall in love, because we don't have room for all these guys to play here.  
    With that in mind, I'm all in on @tarheeltwinsfan plan of going and getting Vazquez' heir via trade. AZ and TOR swapped stud young players a few weeks ago to fill organizational needs and we should consider it as well. Some things are very hard to do, so not everyone does everything equally well. We are cranking out the middle infield prospects these days and so we are trading from that wealth to buy things we haven't been creating in-house, mostly pitching. But it's also been a long time since we drafted and developed a non-Mauer catcher that anyone else thought highly of.  I just checked: it was a 32 year gap between Jeffers leading the team in games caught in 2020 and Tim Laudner in 1988 with only Mauer in between. There is no indication that we're even trying to figure this out, so we may as well get shopping.   
    BTW, out of nine positions last year, the Twins featured starters  Polanco, Miranda, Gordon, Kepler, Arraez and Celestino coming up with the Twins and only Correa, Sanchez and Urshela debuting elsewhere. It was the same number in 2021 too, which is pretty darn good development and one more cool thing buried within  https://www.baseball-reference.com/teams/MIN/pos.shtml   
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