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SomeGuy

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  1. Like
    SomeGuy got a reaction from operation mindcrime in GAME THREAD: Minnesota Twins at Kansas City Royals, 6/3/2021, 7:10 PM CDT   
    6 of the last 9 outings for duffey have been hitless.  8 of the last 9 outings have been scoreless. 
  2. Like
    SomeGuy got a reaction from Danchat in GAME THREAD: Minnesota Twins at Kansas City Royals, 6/3/2021, 7:10 PM CDT   
    6 of the last 9 outings for duffey have been hitless.  8 of the last 9 outings have been scoreless. 
  3. Like
    SomeGuy got a reaction from bighat in 5 Most Disappointing Minnesota Twins Players in May   
    On the plus side Mitch Garver had a tremendous May.
    .281 ave/.428 On base%/.579 Slug%/1.017 OPS
     
    Also shout out to the new bullpen additions Hansel Robles and Alex Colome. Even though both were outperforming their underlying numbers in May.
    Robles
    2.51 ERA 10.05 K/9  (horrendous 6.28 walks per 9,    3.89FIP 4.54 xFIP)
     
    Colome 
    1.74 ERA 9.58 K/9 (4.67 FIP, 3.98 xFIP)
  4. Like
    SomeGuy got a reaction from Nine of twelve in On July 20th, what record makes you buy at the deadline?   
    I would base it on the landscape of the league more than how many wins we are above or below .500.  We are currently 7 games back of a wild card spot.  If we can trim that to 5 and pass a few more teams ahead of us, I would say there would be a reason to attempt to grab that last spot.  
  5. Like
    SomeGuy got a reaction from Eris in 5 Most Disappointing Minnesota Twins Players in May   
    Colome gave up 2 earned runs and was credited with 0 blown saves in May.  His Left on base% was 97.2%. He allowed 0 inherited runners to score besides the runner on 2nd rule for extra innings which happened once.
    He was responsible for 1 loss which was a walk off homerun in the 10th inning against Cleveland.
     
    He was our best bullpen pitcher in May.
  6. Like
    SomeGuy got a reaction from Dman in 5 Most Disappointing Minnesota Twins Players in May   
    On the plus side Mitch Garver had a tremendous May.
    .281 ave/.428 On base%/.579 Slug%/1.017 OPS
     
    Also shout out to the new bullpen additions Hansel Robles and Alex Colome. Even though both were outperforming their underlying numbers in May.
    Robles
    2.51 ERA 10.05 K/9  (horrendous 6.28 walks per 9,    3.89FIP 4.54 xFIP)
     
    Colome 
    1.74 ERA 9.58 K/9 (4.67 FIP, 3.98 xFIP)
  7. Like
    SomeGuy got a reaction from blindeke in 2021 is an Outlier for the Minnesota Twins   
    I would be happy with a deadline similar to 2018.  I doubt we get any true difference maker for who we are going to trade but probably some decent value.  The main question for the deadline is how young are the returning prospects going to be?  We might not be improving the 2022 or '23 team with this deadline if we maximize our returns.
    Cruz to the Blue Jays would be fun to watch.  That would be a powerhouse offense.  I seriously doubt there is any chance to get Nate Pearson or Alek Manoah from them.  Toronto might be interested in Pineda too but I still don't see them parting with a great prospect.  We will probably have to settle for younger or less talented prospects.
  8. Like
    SomeGuy got a reaction from glunn in 2021 is an Outlier for the Minnesota Twins   
    I would be happy with a deadline similar to 2018.  I doubt we get any true difference maker for who we are going to trade but probably some decent value.  The main question for the deadline is how young are the returning prospects going to be?  We might not be improving the 2022 or '23 team with this deadline if we maximize our returns.
    Cruz to the Blue Jays would be fun to watch.  That would be a powerhouse offense.  I seriously doubt there is any chance to get Nate Pearson or Alek Manoah from them.  Toronto might be interested in Pineda too but I still don't see them parting with a great prospect.  We will probably have to settle for younger or less talented prospects.
  9. Like
    SomeGuy got a reaction from Twins33 in Has Jorge Polanco Returned to Form?   
    Runners in scoring position this season
    .296 batting average and .382 on base%  11 RBI
  10. Like
    SomeGuy got a reaction from twinbythebay in Has Jorge Polanco Returned to Form?   
    Runners in scoring position this season
    .296 batting average and .382 on base%  11 RBI
  11. Like
    SomeGuy got a reaction from flpmagikat in Has Jorge Polanco Returned to Form?   
    Runners in scoring position this season
    .296 batting average and .382 on base%  11 RBI
  12. Like
    SomeGuy got a reaction from Danchat in Has Jorge Polanco Returned to Form?   
    Runners in scoring position this season
    .296 batting average and .382 on base%  11 RBI
  13. Thanks
    SomeGuy got a reaction from DocBauer in Has Jorge Polanco Returned to Form?   
    Runners in scoring position this season
    .296 batting average and .382 on base%  11 RBI
  14. Like
    SomeGuy got a reaction from mikelink45 in 5 Players the Twins Can Deal Before the Trade Deadline   
    Toronto would be a great fit for Cruz.
  15. Like
    SomeGuy got a reaction from SwainZag in What Kind of Return Would You Need to Trade Byron Buxton?   
    When he breaks out you can pretend that he "figured it out" or speculate on what changed but the numbers were there all along.
  16. Like
    SomeGuy got a reaction from SwainZag in What Kind of Return Would You Need to Trade Byron Buxton?   
    Based on 2021 batted balls
    Polanco's expected batting average is .271 and expected slugging is .462
     
    compare that to 2019
    polanco's expected batting average was .267 and expected slug was .457
     
    BABIP comparison
    2019- .328
    2021 - .247
     
     
  17. Like
    SomeGuy got a reaction from Otto von Ballpark in Who’s Responsible for the Twins Failure?   
    Not predicting a WS win just saying its not over 30 games into the season.  If this were a football game there would still be time left in the 1st quarter.  
     
    First 25 games
    Division winners after bad starts
    9-16: 2015 Rangers (finished 88-74)
    9-16: 2006 Twins (finished 96-66)
    10-15: 2006 Padres (finished 88-74)
    10-15: 2005 Yankees (finished 95-67)
     
    Wild Card winners
    8-17: 2001 Athletics (finished 102-60)
    10-15: 2014 Pirates (finished 88-74)
    10-15: 2009 Rockies (finished 92-70)
    10-15: 2007 Rockies (finished 90-73)*
     
    First 50 games
    Division winners
    22-28: 2013 Dodgers (finished 92-70)
    22-28: 2012 Athletics (finished 94-68)
    22-28: 2007 Cubs (finished 85-77)
    22-28: 1996 Cardinals (finished 88-74)
    23-27: 2018 Dodgers (finished 92-71)
    23-27: 2015 Blue Jays (finished 93-69)
    23-27: 2012 Tigers (finished 88-74)
    23-27: 2006 Twins (finished 96-66)
    23-27: 2006 Athletics (finished 93-69)
     
    Wild Card winners
    18-32: 2005 Astros (finished 89-73)
    19-31: 2019 Nationals (finished 93-69)
    20-30: 2009 Rockies (finished 92-70)
    21-29: 2007 Yankees (finished 94-68)
    21-29: 2003 Marlins (finished 91-71)
    21-29: 1995 Yankees (finished 79-65)
    23-27: 2014 Pirates (finished 88-74)
    23-27: 2008 Brewers (finished 90-72)
    23-27: 2007 Rockies (finished 90-73)
     
    Add to the fact that our division still looks pretty weak.  The Indians look really weak on offense(26th in offense just ahead of Baltimore and Seattle). the good 2/3 of the White Sox outfield are going to miss most if not all of the season.  I think the Twins are better than they are playing and I don't think anyone is capable of running away with the division.
  18. Like
    SomeGuy got a reaction from Minny505 in Who’s Responsible for the Twins Failure?   
    It has only been 30 games....I wouldn't write them off yet.  I'm in the bad luck camp especially on offense.
     
    Donaldson BA .262 XBA .337 Slug .426 xSlug .602
    Polanco BA .206 XBA .271 Slug .304 xSlug .465
    Kepler BA .200 XBA .247 slug .343 xSlug .398
    Arraez BA .291 XBA .324 Slug .372 xSlug .494
    Garver BA .205 XBA .220 Slug .493 xSlug .540
     
    Pretty low BABIPs
    Donaldson .275 (career .298)
    Cave .262 (career .344)
    Polanco .247 (career .310)
    Kepler .245 (career .252)
    Garver .243 (career .299)
    Kirilloff .192 
    Sano .148 (career .334)
  19. Like
    SomeGuy got a reaction from bighat in What Kind of Return Would You Need to Trade Byron Buxton?   
    Buxton is in a little bit of a slump at the moment now that I look at it.  I didn't expect him to be the monster he was in April but not as bad his May has been either.  Its still too early to take stats too seriously.
     
    April 68 at bats  (74% of his at bats)
    .426/.466/1.363 8 HR 20.5K% wRC+ 279
     
    May 24 at bats (26% of his AB)
    .208/.240/.417 1 HR 32.0K% wRC+ 81
  20. Like
    SomeGuy got a reaction from bighat in What Kind of Return Would You Need to Trade Byron Buxton?   
    Imagine the comment threads if we did resign him long term two seasons ago.
     
    It shouldn't come as a surprise that the Twins did not work out a contract for Buxton.  He would have been really dumb to accept a team friendly deal given his ability.  The Twins would have been really dumb to give him a player friendly deal given his past performance and especially injury history.  Neither side would have met in the middle of what they perceived the value to have been 2 years ago because there was good reason for both to be so far off.
     
    For as good as he has been we are still waiting to see if he can get his second season with 100+ games. He has been injured twice already this season but luckily both appear to be minor.
  21. Like
    SomeGuy got a reaction from ashbury in What Kind of Return Would You Need to Trade Byron Buxton?   
    I did mean far off as in how far apart the two sides likely were, not to suggest that either side was wrong. 
     
    Yeah a rich team would be more willing to make that bet.  Realistically the Twins probably wouldn't have gone much further than what they gave Kepler for a Buxton deal.  I think both sides came to the conclusion that the early re-sign was not in the cards, both sides needed to see/do more to get what they wanted.
  22. Like
    SomeGuy got a reaction from Mike Sixel in What Kind of Return Would You Need to Trade Byron Buxton?   
    When he breaks out you can pretend that he "figured it out" or speculate on what changed but the numbers were there all along.
  23. Like
    SomeGuy got a reaction from Danchat in MLB Team affected by Covid, getting in the whole season   
    And then there is Juan Soto with 6 negative tests since he was tested positive but still can't play because no 2 of those tests were back to back.
     
     
  24. Like
    SomeGuy got a reaction from ToddlerHarmon in Opinion - Is the way to fix baseball implementing a 60 game season?   
    I disagree with whole "the sport is fading away" take.  The sport generated a record $10.7 billion in 2019, MLB broke 10 billion for the first time in 2017, and took 10.3 in 2018.
     
    I also disagree with the 1 game in June or July doesn't matter.  When teams are missing the playoffs by a game or 2 it turns out those games in June and July did matter.  The playoff picture has been mostly competitive right up to the end since they added a 2nd wildcard with numerous teams getting eliminated in the last week.  And at the end of the season the last 10 teams standing earned their way there. 1 hot streak doesn't mean a whole lot with a full season.
     
    How would you build a team around a 60 game season? If the timeframe remains April/May to September then you are playing a couple games per week.  There would be no need for 4th or 5th starters.  There would be no need for 12-13 relievers. There would be no need for 25 people on a team.  This would swing the team aspect of baseball into more of an individual sport where the absolute elite pitchers win championships.
     
    If the season is condensed like 2020 with the normal weekly schedule, a common arm injury like a forearm strain suddenly takes a guy out for most of the season if not all of the season like it just did with Verlander.  What would have been about 1/3 of the season without one of the best players is suddenly most of the season.
  25. Like
    SomeGuy got a reaction from Dozier's Glorious Hair in Max Kepler and the Cost of Silence   
    Max Kepler didn't do anything wrong.  You are still allowed to support police officers with things like the thin blue line.  This doesn't mean you don't want justice for George.  I think you will find police officers themselves are baffled and appalled by what happened.   And Kepler claims he doesn't know what that mask means (I still don't think he knows what it means) and was just wearing a freebie.  That is fine too, he is a foreign citizen after all.
     
    The thin blue line has nothing to do with race.
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