Jump to content
Twins Daily
  • Create Account

bean5302

Verified Member
  • Posts

    2,279
  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    8

Reputation Activity

  1. Like
    bean5302 got a reaction from TwinsDr2021 in Can We Rely on Trevor Larnach?   
    Larnach is still a big question mark. I'm not as concerned with his durability... yet, but I am concerned about how changeups and sliders are both kryptonite against him and he struggles against sinkers, too. The only pitch Larnach can reliably square up is a four seam fastball, though he's passable against curveballs, too. It all boils down to that ugly high whiff rate. Larnach's hit tool was horribly inflated.

    Larnach's "power" is gap power, much like Joe Mauer. Mauer had a lot of strength and hit a lot of balls very hard, but he didn't hit them in the air high enough to generate a lot of home runs. Larnach is not, and outside of a single year in college, has not ever demonstrated plus home run production. Fans expecting Larnach to 25+ home runs a year are either unaware of the fact he's really never hit a lot of home runs or hoping he changes his plate approach/swing style to generate more loft. Larnach is probably a 10-15 HR per year kinda guy right now. I'd say he does need to make an adjustment if he's going to swing and miss at as many balls at Miguel Sano does. If you miss on so many pitches, when you connect, it needs to be for more than a double or single. Larnach certainly has the power to regularly put balls in the seats if they're hit the right way.

    Defensively, Larnach definitely worked on something conditioning related this past off season because he was faster this year. Measurably faster and that played nicely for his defense. Larnach is credited with good instincts and a good feel for the game and a great read and jump off balls in the outfield can make up a lot for a lack of true speed.

    In regard to something like Larnach's impressive WAR in 51 games... I'll take it with a big grain of salt. Larnach got very lucky against sliders early in the season so I felt he may have turned a big corner and learned to adapt. Unfortunately, after April, Larnach was once again totally inept against them. It was just a flash in a pan... probably. Nick Gordon and Trevor Larnach are very different players, but of the two, I'd rather have Nick Gordon starting every day as the left fielder because of Larnach's weak arm and Gordon's more proven results at the plate. That said, I don't think that's a question which needs to be asked since Gordon is much more likely to replace Max Kepler in my opinion.

    Would I want to "rely" on Trevor Larnach? No way. His injury history, limited versatility, poor performance against most pitches at the MLB level, extreme whiff rates and limited power production are all at odds with high expectations. A couple difficult but successful adjustments and Larnach could be a very valuable every day starter, but attempts at significant adjustments don't seem to be very successful at the MLB level.
  2. Haha
    bean5302 got a reaction from DJL44 in Guardians 4, Twins 3: Cold Offense, Defensive Miscues, Cost the Twins the Game   
    Perhaps you're not aware of this, but Rocco Baldelli has a binder of printed spreadsheets created by FedEx Office before every game delivered to the dugout. The paper is harvested from illegally poached, rare California Redwoods because the paper they create is also water resistant from his sweaty palms and fingers. It takes 2 - 50 foot tall redwoods to make one binder because Rocco rejects most of the wood he inspects, and if he suspects his secret harvesting location has been compromised, he lights another "wildfire" to cover it up. Baldelli's printed spreadsheets are the biggest cause of California's de-forestation problems.

    It's also why most of the pitchers take so long. Rocco literally has to flip through hundreds of pages to see what pitch to throw and where to throw it at what count, then relay it with hand signs to the catcher who relays it to the pitcher.
  3. Like
    bean5302 got a reaction from DJL44 in Guardians 4, Twins 3: Cold Offense, Defensive Miscues, Cost the Twins the Game   
    That was a damn tough call on Gordon getting an error there. Running away from first to field the ball, pivoting 120*, throwing off balance while still running and the throw didn't beat the runner anyway. When the ball hits the glove at 1B, the runner's foot was on the bag already as shown in the image. Not a routine play. I would have scored it an infield hit.

  4. Haha
    bean5302 got a reaction from Dave The Dastardly in Guardians 4, Twins 3: Cold Offense, Defensive Miscues, Cost the Twins the Game   
    Perhaps you're not aware of this, but Rocco Baldelli has a binder of printed spreadsheets created by FedEx Office before every game delivered to the dugout. The paper is harvested from illegally poached, rare California Redwoods because the paper they create is also water resistant from his sweaty palms and fingers. It takes 2 - 50 foot tall redwoods to make one binder because Rocco rejects most of the wood he inspects, and if he suspects his secret harvesting location has been compromised, he lights another "wildfire" to cover it up. Baldelli's printed spreadsheets are the biggest cause of California's de-forestation problems.

    It's also why most of the pitchers take so long. Rocco literally has to flip through hundreds of pages to see what pitch to throw and where to throw it at what count, then relay it with hand signs to the catcher who relays it to the pitcher.
  5. Like
    bean5302 got a reaction from SanoforMVP in Why Haven’t the Twins Called Up Matt Wallner?   
    You watched all of them and know they were drops rather than throwing errors, right? He also has 2 errors in his last 68 games, both fielding. His only fielding errors this year. Every single other error this year (none in the past 68 games) has been a throwing error.

    Billy Hamilton, again, is not an MLB caliber player. He's barely good enough to play at AAA.
  6. Like
    bean5302 got a reaction from MN_ExPat in Why Haven’t the Twins Called Up Matt Wallner?   
    Not service time. Options and talking about why Wallner wasn't called up earlier rather than now. Varland and Wallner (if he was called up today) wouldn't be eligible for the playoffs no matter how well they play. Considering how badly the Twins needed an outfielder and a bat (they went out and got... Billy Hamilton), Wallner would have been a reasonable choice just like Varland was a reasonable choice considering how badly they needed a starter.

    Instead, the Twins waited until the month turned over so they wouldn't burn an option.
  7. Like
    bean5302 got a reaction from SanoforMVP in Why Haven’t the Twins Called Up Matt Wallner?   
    I was at the game. Billy Hamilton is a AAA player. Hamilton is a total and complete utter black hole at the plate. One of the worst hitters in the history of MLB.

    I'd rather have Matt Wallner in the lineup playing shortstop than Billy Hamilton in the lineup playing center field.
  8. Like
    bean5302 got a reaction from SanoforMVP in Why Haven’t the Twins Called Up Matt Wallner?   
    Right. I'd rather have Gilberto Celestino and Billy Hamilton taking Matt Wallner's at bats.
  9. Like
    bean5302 got a reaction from SanoforMVP in Why Haven’t the Twins Called Up Matt Wallner?   
    I don't see the same struggles. I just see some rough luck when Wallner started off in AAA. He was still taking walks and his K rate didn't skyrocket or something. We're talking about Wallners first 10 games just being rough on the balls finding openings.

    As the plate appearances have piled up, Wallner has shown off his arm, his surprising (and poorly documented) speed and his power.

    Why haven't the Twins called him up? They wanted to manipulate his options. Same as Varland.
  10. Like
    bean5302 got a reaction from KnoblauchWasFramed in Why Haven’t the Twins Called Up Matt Wallner?   
    Right. I'd rather have Gilberto Celestino and Billy Hamilton taking Matt Wallner's at bats.
  11. Like
    bean5302 got a reaction from Steve Lein in Martin, Julien Lead Twins Prospects Heading to the Arizona Fall League   
    Martin definitely just going for the added playing time. Julien will be interesting if he's being sent there for defensive play. It's no guarantee he'd be playing positions the Twins would like him to get more experience playing.
    Having Isola take some steps forward would be huge for the organization so thin at catcher.
  12. Like
    bean5302 got a reaction from roger in Martin, Julien Lead Twins Prospects Heading to the Arizona Fall League   
    Martin definitely just going for the added playing time. Julien will be interesting if he's being sent there for defensive play. It's no guarantee he'd be playing positions the Twins would like him to get more experience playing.
    Having Isola take some steps forward would be huge for the organization so thin at catcher.
  13. Like
    bean5302 got a reaction from 3balls2strikes in Why Haven’t the Twins Called Up Matt Wallner?   
    I was at the game. Billy Hamilton is a AAA player. Hamilton is a total and complete utter black hole at the plate. One of the worst hitters in the history of MLB.

    I'd rather have Matt Wallner in the lineup playing shortstop than Billy Hamilton in the lineup playing center field.
  14. Haha
    bean5302 got a reaction from 3balls2strikes in Why Haven’t the Twins Called Up Matt Wallner?   
    Right. I'd rather have Gilberto Celestino and Billy Hamilton taking Matt Wallner's at bats.
  15. Like
    bean5302 got a reaction from 3balls2strikes in Why Haven’t the Twins Called Up Matt Wallner?   
    I don't see the same struggles. I just see some rough luck when Wallner started off in AAA. He was still taking walks and his K rate didn't skyrocket or something. We're talking about Wallners first 10 games just being rough on the balls finding openings.

    As the plate appearances have piled up, Wallner has shown off his arm, his surprising (and poorly documented) speed and his power.

    Why haven't the Twins called him up? They wanted to manipulate his options. Same as Varland.
  16. Like
    bean5302 got a reaction from glunn in Déjà Vu: Can the Twins Surge Back in 2022?   
    This stretch of 5 games against the Guardians may well decide the Twins' season. The Twins are 4.0 games back of Cleveland and 1.0 games back of Chicago. If the Twins were to sweep the Guardians (exceedingly unlikely), they'd almost certainly be in the division lead.

    If the Twins were to get totally swept, they'd be 10 games back and fried extra crispy. How I like my chicken... not my favorite MLB team.

    1-4, Twins are 1% playoff potential.
    2-3, Twins are 5-10% playoff potential.
    3-2, Twins are 20-30% playoff potential.
    4-1, Twins are 30-50% playoff potential.
    5-0, Twins are 50%-70% playoff potential.

    There's a range because of what the White Sox might do in addition to the Guardians. In order to give the team a good shot at winning the division, the Twins really need to take 4 of 5 here.
  17. Like
    bean5302 got a reaction from Vanimal46 in Take Notes, MLB   
    Personally? I don't care much at all about metrics while I'm at the game.

    I'd love to see replays of catches and throws telling me how fast guys were running or how fast their throws were. I think that'd be fun and engaging, but that doesn't happen. Maybe I wouldn't care much if it happened all the time? 

    That brings up the thought maybe I'd like advanced metrics way more while watching the game on TV. I think I probably would.
  18. Haha
    bean5302 got a reaction from RpR in Why Haven’t the Twins Called Up Matt Wallner?   
    I was at the game. Billy Hamilton is a AAA player. Hamilton is a total and complete utter black hole at the plate. One of the worst hitters in the history of MLB.

    I'd rather have Matt Wallner in the lineup playing shortstop than Billy Hamilton in the lineup playing center field.
  19. Like
    bean5302 got a reaction from gunnarthor in Randy Dobnak put on waivers   
    This all seems like a like of strong opinions for a guy earning $2MM on average over the next 3 years. I actually advocated DFA'ing Dobnak before the season even began. Was the front office mistaken on Dobnak? Yes. Was it a huge mistake? Obviously not, just because of the small dollar amounts. I think the bigger issue was the roster space. Dobnak stuck on the roster longer than he should have because of the contract. Did Dobnak cost Wade or Baddoo or Wells? Meh. Who knows?

    Then again, what seems like a small dollar amount of $2MM a year would go a long ways to in regard to increasing MiLB salaries, wouldn't it? LOL
  20. Like
    bean5302 got a reaction from MplsFan in Hanging by a thread   
    Polanco is expected to return any day now. 
    Buxton is supposedly right behind him.

    Both could be back against the Guardians from the last news I saw.
  21. Like
    bean5302 got a reaction from ashbury in Take Notes, MLB   
    Personally? I don't care much at all about metrics while I'm at the game.

    I'd love to see replays of catches and throws telling me how fast guys were running or how fast their throws were. I think that'd be fun and engaging, but that doesn't happen. Maybe I wouldn't care much if it happened all the time? 

    That brings up the thought maybe I'd like advanced metrics way more while watching the game on TV. I think I probably would.
  22. Like
    bean5302 got a reaction from flpmagikat in Randy Dobnak put on waivers   
    What does this have to do with Dobnak being DFA'd? LOL
  23. Like
    bean5302 reacted to Alex Schieferdecker in Minor League Report (9/15): Trevor Larnach Rehabs; Keoni Cavaco Hits Clutch Grand Slam   
    Brooks Lee is obviously going to Wichita next spring. I think the Twins were smart to start him lower down, instead of doing the thing the Jays did with Austin Martin, where moving him directly to AA seemed to be a bit too aggressive and possibly even set him back.
    But for Lee, it's clear where he belongs now. He's gotten his feet wet, now it's time to really dive in.
  24. Like
    bean5302 got a reaction from heresthething in Can We Rely on Trevor Larnach?   
    Larnach is still a big question mark. I'm not as concerned with his durability... yet, but I am concerned about how changeups and sliders are both kryptonite against him and he struggles against sinkers, too. The only pitch Larnach can reliably square up is a four seam fastball, though he's passable against curveballs, too. It all boils down to that ugly high whiff rate. Larnach's hit tool was horribly inflated.

    Larnach's "power" is gap power, much like Joe Mauer. Mauer had a lot of strength and hit a lot of balls very hard, but he didn't hit them in the air high enough to generate a lot of home runs. Larnach is not, and outside of a single year in college, has not ever demonstrated plus home run production. Fans expecting Larnach to 25+ home runs a year are either unaware of the fact he's really never hit a lot of home runs or hoping he changes his plate approach/swing style to generate more loft. Larnach is probably a 10-15 HR per year kinda guy right now. I'd say he does need to make an adjustment if he's going to swing and miss at as many balls at Miguel Sano does. If you miss on so many pitches, when you connect, it needs to be for more than a double or single. Larnach certainly has the power to regularly put balls in the seats if they're hit the right way.

    Defensively, Larnach definitely worked on something conditioning related this past off season because he was faster this year. Measurably faster and that played nicely for his defense. Larnach is credited with good instincts and a good feel for the game and a great read and jump off balls in the outfield can make up a lot for a lack of true speed.

    In regard to something like Larnach's impressive WAR in 51 games... I'll take it with a big grain of salt. Larnach got very lucky against sliders early in the season so I felt he may have turned a big corner and learned to adapt. Unfortunately, after April, Larnach was once again totally inept against them. It was just a flash in a pan... probably. Nick Gordon and Trevor Larnach are very different players, but of the two, I'd rather have Nick Gordon starting every day as the left fielder because of Larnach's weak arm and Gordon's more proven results at the plate. That said, I don't think that's a question which needs to be asked since Gordon is much more likely to replace Max Kepler in my opinion.

    Would I want to "rely" on Trevor Larnach? No way. His injury history, limited versatility, poor performance against most pitches at the MLB level, extreme whiff rates and limited power production are all at odds with high expectations. A couple difficult but successful adjustments and Larnach could be a very valuable every day starter, but attempts at significant adjustments don't seem to be very successful at the MLB level.
  25. Like
    bean5302 got a reaction from Karbo in Who Benefits Most from Baseball’s New Rules?   
    I know everybody hates Gary Sanchez because he had the audacity to not be an MVP while stealing plate appearances from uber elite dreamy Ryan Jeffers... but Sanchez is at 32% caught stealing this year vs. MLB average 25%. He's above average in pop time and throwing strength and his throws are on target. Sanchez is a bit above average for his career as well. He throws out quite a few base runners.

    That aside, I like the pitch clock the most. It's so desperately needed at this point. Picking up the base at MLB games will make them a lot more fun to watch and attend.
×
×
  • Create New...