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bean5302

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  1. Like
    bean5302 got a reaction from farmerguychris in A Possible Pitcher Trade Target: Luis Severino   
    Severino is a legit #1. He's an Ace and that's how NY views him. His shoulder/lat issues in 2019 were a concern and his long return from TJ have been rough. That said, he's proven his dominance in back to back years at the MLB level.
  2. Like
    bean5302 got a reaction from Minny505 in Royce Lewis: the Man, the Leg Kick, the Shortstop?   
    That's not exactly true. He hasn't been getting to the plate in formal competition, but he was competing at the Alternate Site last year and he was taking batting practice late this season. Obviously, we can't see whether or not there is actually an improvement because of the lack of competition, but there should be the expectation he's not quite that rusty.
  3. Like
    bean5302 got a reaction from Minny505 in Royce Lewis: the Man, the Leg Kick, the Shortstop?   
    I've been pretty critical of Lewis' numbers in AA in the past, but it's just not possible to know what he's going to become with so little track record on him. It's tough to decide he doesn't have what it takes after playing AA at age 20.
  4. Like
    bean5302 got a reaction from Minny505 in Royce Lewis: the Man, the Leg Kick, the Shortstop?   
    Running 2 miles with a completely ruptured ACL may be an example of that, though he said it didn't really hurt, haha.
  5. Like
    bean5302 got a reaction from Sconnie in Royce Lewis: the Man, the Leg Kick, the Shortstop?   
    That's not exactly true. He hasn't been getting to the plate in formal competition, but he was competing at the Alternate Site last year and he was taking batting practice late this season. Obviously, we can't see whether or not there is actually an improvement because of the lack of competition, but there should be the expectation he's not quite that rusty.
  6. Like
    bean5302 reacted to Doctor Gast in Royce Lewis: the Man, the Leg Kick, the Shortstop?   
    One thing you can't fault him is determination.
  7. Like
    bean5302 reacted to Sconnie in Royce Lewis: the Man, the Leg Kick, the Shortstop?   
    Lewis certainly has the maturity, work ethic, intelligence and physical tools to become an MLB superstar, over a long enough time horizon.
    He hasn’t hit a ball in two years, and has 150 plate appearances in AA.
    learning and development are rarely linear. He’s bound to hit more speed bumps before he makes his Ml debut, and will again hit speed bumps as a rookie.
    Lewis needs to be protected for Rule 5 this December and will be added to the 40 man Nov 19, 2021
    2022 will be a bit of a restart for Lewis, he probably won’t start up at AA, and may struggle in his first return to action.
    After 2023 he needs to be called up or he becomes a free agent.
    Would his age and contract status prevent a minor league demotion in 2023/24? Could he get stuck on the bench rather than get an opportunity to work through some mechanics against lesser opponents?
  8. Like
    bean5302 reacted to Doctor Gast in Royce Lewis: the Man, the Leg Kick, the Shortstop?   
    I'm a big fan of Lewis, there's no doubt in my mind that he has what it takes to be a super star. 2021 was very important for Lewis, to finally get his chance at the Bigs at some time and to be mentored by the best was euphoric. To me no injury was so traumatic in 2021 for the Twins as was his. 
    Part of his undoing was his over exuberance  in his training. I think part of his maturation is to be able to discipline himself, much like Rosario needed to. I hope he comes back completely healthy, but I think it'll be a long process to get back in the groove and learn his position and to be adequate there. I don't know if a year is long enough with even a chance it might not ever happen. So I think looking at more than a year for a temporary SS might be prudent.
     
  9. WTF
    bean5302 got a reaction from Ski U Mah Gopher in What should the Twins offer Byron Buxton?   
    The Twins should offer Buxton... the opportunity to play somewhere else while the Twins focus on players who play full seasons.
  10. Like
    bean5302 got a reaction from ToddlerHarmon in A 21-22 Offseason Idea   
    Definitely a lot of work put into stuff like this and I can appreciate it, I just don't think it's realistic for the Twins to spend $140MM in a season they don't expect to compete (by your words).
  11. Like
    bean5302 got a reaction from Doctor Gast in A 21-22 Offseason Idea   
    Definitely a lot of work put into stuff like this and I can appreciate it, I just don't think it's realistic for the Twins to spend $140MM in a season they don't expect to compete (by your words).
  12. Like
    bean5302 got a reaction from Danchat in A 21-22 Offseason Idea   
    Definitely a lot of work put into stuff like this and I can appreciate it, I just don't think it's realistic for the Twins to spend $140MM in a season they don't expect to compete (by your words).
  13. Like
    bean5302 got a reaction from Tim in A 21-22 Offseason Idea   
    Definitely a lot of work put into stuff like this and I can appreciate it, I just don't think it's realistic for the Twins to spend $140MM in a season they don't expect to compete (by your words).
  14. Like
    bean5302 got a reaction from Tim in A 21-22 Offseason Idea   
    Sixto Sanchez underwent capsule repair shoulder surgery with additional cleanup. There is no timetable on him and the chances he returns at his pre-surgery performance levels are poor if he ever returns to MLB caliber at all. This isn't UCL surgery, this is shoulder surgery which often ruins pitching careers.
  15. Like
    bean5302 got a reaction from DocBauer in A 21-22 Offseason Idea   
    Sixto Sanchez underwent capsule repair shoulder surgery with additional cleanup. There is no timetable on him and the chances he returns at his pre-surgery performance levels are poor if he ever returns to MLB caliber at all. This isn't UCL surgery, this is shoulder surgery which often ruins pitching careers.
  16. Yikes, Bro
    bean5302 got a reaction from TwinsDr2021 in What should the Twins offer Byron Buxton?   
    The Twins should offer Buxton... the opportunity to play somewhere else while the Twins focus on players who play full seasons.
  17. Like
    bean5302 got a reaction from GV14218 in What should the Twins offer Byron Buxton?   
    The Twins should offer Buxton... the opportunity to play somewhere else while the Twins focus on players who play full seasons.
  18. Like
    bean5302 got a reaction from mike8791 in Did Nick Gordon Do Enough?   
    I'm not saying Nick Gordon is Ehire Adrianza's clone. I'm saying Nick Gordon fills the typical profile for a utility player. Cheap. Not somebody you think you want to start, but still has some potential upside. Able to cover a lot of defensive positions.
    The Twins made it clear they don't trust Nick Gordon at shortstop at the MLB level; however, they also made it clear they viewed him as a shortstop by playing him the vast majority of his time across 4,500 MiLB innings. Some utility players are viewed as defensive wizards, but not all of them. Danny Santana and Eduardo Nunez were horrible shortstops and Adrianza was mediocre. Yes. If Gordon cleared waivers on a DFA, analysts and fans would be stunned.  Gordon hasn't hit left handed pitching well as a lefty, but platoon players are generally players who do not hit effectively against both righties and lefties. I don't see the Twins platooning Arraez with anybody next year. With Donaldson on the roster and Miranda pounding at the door, the need for Arraez to cover 3rd is neglible. He can't play shortstop or cover center field making Arraez a poor option for utility, not to mention he's proven to have the talent to be a starter and has a ton of trade value. Arraez is certainly not pushing Polanco off 2nd base and what a debacle it would be to move Polanco back to shortstop. Bottom line, Arraez/Polanco/Donaldson/Miranda are an incompatible, not complimentary group.
  19. Like
    bean5302 got a reaction from Minny505 in Josh Donaldson Crushed Baseballs in 2021   
    I honestly believe the league batting average is a function of the focus on drafting and developing 3 outcome hitters. It leads to more fly balls, which typically have low batting averages associated with them rather than factors which are outside the hitters control like pitchers or shifts. That's why I chose to compare Donaldson to himself rather than mention the league trend :)
  20. Like
    bean5302 got a reaction from tony&rodney in Non-tendering Taylor Rogers Would Be a Huge Mistake   
    Rogers is a no-doubter to sign if his finger has recovered, and based on the timeline... it really should be provided he doesn't need surgery after all. Since surgery was an option, but not an absolute requirement, I'm taking a wild guess that Rogers was dealing with a pretty serious Grade III pulley strain issue.
    https://theclimbingdoctor.com/pulley-injuries-explained-part-2/#:~:text=6-8 weeks is the,ROM exercises after immobilization phase.
    Grade III – Complete A2 or A3 rupture (Most common pulley injury – A2)
    3 months are recommended for a return to FULL climbing activities due to the biomechanical implications of an A2/A3 pulley rupture. Immobilization for 10-14 days is necessary to protect the pulley and after the immobilization/splinting process, you will use a thermoplastic pulley ring provided by a doctor instead of tape (more on the ring later). Passive ROM exercises following immobilization. Functional exercises will begin at the full 4 week mark, and EASY climbing will commence after a 6-8 week period from injury onset. At 3 months you can begin full climbing activities, and you’ll wear the pulley ring (or tape) for roughly 6 months after climbing begins again. In the linked website from The Climbing Doctor, it says full climbing can resume in about 3 months with taping... that was a month ago for Taylor Rogers, and full and complete recovery around 6 months. I haven't heard a thing about Rogers throwing recently. Just that he was scheduled to see a specialist in September, which should have been about where he could resume full normal physical activities.
    Obviously, pitching is different than climbing, but the stresses on the finger from climbing would be greater than that of a typical pitcher throwing, I'd assume. Why? Because the finger strain seems to be relatively common for climbers and very rare for pitchers. Just a guess though.
    If Rogers hasn't recovered from the strain, it's a bad sign he'll need to go the surgical route and now we're starting to get to the point where his 2022 is in clear danger. It's worth noting, articles on the surgery indicate it's not always fully successful in that pain can persist and range of motion can be impacted, requiring potentially another surgery.
    If Rogers is going to need surgery, the Twins' situation becomes a lot murkier and I'd pass on signing Rogers.
  21. Like
    bean5302 got a reaction from AChase in Non-tendering Taylor Rogers Would Be a Huge Mistake   
    Rogers is a no-doubter to sign if his finger has recovered, and based on the timeline... it really should be provided he doesn't need surgery after all. Since surgery was an option, but not an absolute requirement, I'm taking a wild guess that Rogers was dealing with a pretty serious Grade III pulley strain issue.
    https://theclimbingdoctor.com/pulley-injuries-explained-part-2/#:~:text=6-8 weeks is the,ROM exercises after immobilization phase.
    Grade III – Complete A2 or A3 rupture (Most common pulley injury – A2)
    3 months are recommended for a return to FULL climbing activities due to the biomechanical implications of an A2/A3 pulley rupture. Immobilization for 10-14 days is necessary to protect the pulley and after the immobilization/splinting process, you will use a thermoplastic pulley ring provided by a doctor instead of tape (more on the ring later). Passive ROM exercises following immobilization. Functional exercises will begin at the full 4 week mark, and EASY climbing will commence after a 6-8 week period from injury onset. At 3 months you can begin full climbing activities, and you’ll wear the pulley ring (or tape) for roughly 6 months after climbing begins again. In the linked website from The Climbing Doctor, it says full climbing can resume in about 3 months with taping... that was a month ago for Taylor Rogers, and full and complete recovery around 6 months. I haven't heard a thing about Rogers throwing recently. Just that he was scheduled to see a specialist in September, which should have been about where he could resume full normal physical activities.
    Obviously, pitching is different than climbing, but the stresses on the finger from climbing would be greater than that of a typical pitcher throwing, I'd assume. Why? Because the finger strain seems to be relatively common for climbers and very rare for pitchers. Just a guess though.
    If Rogers hasn't recovered from the strain, it's a bad sign he'll need to go the surgical route and now we're starting to get to the point where his 2022 is in clear danger. It's worth noting, articles on the surgery indicate it's not always fully successful in that pain can persist and range of motion can be impacted, requiring potentially another surgery.
    If Rogers is going to need surgery, the Twins' situation becomes a lot murkier and I'd pass on signing Rogers.
  22. Like
    bean5302 got a reaction from DocBauer in Josh Donaldson Crushed Baseballs in 2021   
    I honestly believe the league batting average is a function of the focus on drafting and developing 3 outcome hitters. It leads to more fly balls, which typically have low batting averages associated with them rather than factors which are outside the hitters control like pitchers or shifts. That's why I chose to compare Donaldson to himself rather than mention the league trend :)
  23. Like
    bean5302 reacted to AceWrigley in Josh Donaldson Crushed Baseballs in 2021   
    Good work. Another thing to consider is league batting averages have declined significantly too.  JD's line drive rate was down and flyball rate up. Still, an OPS+ of 127 was higher than Polanco (125) even.
    JD at 3B-DH for the Twins next year is not a problem that needs fixing.
  24. Like
    bean5302 got a reaction from wabene in 40-man roster decisions, part 1: position players   
    I don't think they would. Tampa generally doesn't trade their players until they have 2 or fewer years of team control. The Twins have 4 more years of control so Tampa would never actively push that move.
    Sano, Garver, Berrios, Rogers, Buxton and Kepler would be gone by the 2022 trade deadline.
  25. Like
    bean5302 got a reaction from wabene in 40-man roster decisions, part 1: position players   
    Dude has an xOPS of .775 this year and is in the top 15-20% of MLB hitters for exit velocity, barrel rate and hard hit rate on BaseballSavant. 0.00% chance he slips through waivers.
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