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RaoulDuke

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  1. Like
    RaoulDuke reacted to JD-TWINS in Twins Acquire Gold-Glove Outfielder from Royals   
    I’d completely agree, essentially I do, but I have to see how he hits at DH vs. CF - can’t imagine any difference though. How the team hits - how many wins we get when he’s DHing or in CF should drive the playoff line-up choices.
    Maybe seems to be knit picking here but you can be sure someone in organization will have the data on these variables.
    The one thing that’s difficult to do is to admit we love watching Buck in CF but we don’t need him with Taylor’s World Series experience AND his 2021 Gold Glove. IMO, our need for Buxton in CF is a bit emotional. Definitely NEED him in the offensive line-up!!
    Potential play-off line-up v. Lefty pitcher:
    Vazquez - Farmer - CC - Polanco - Miranda
    Gordon - Taylor - Gallo/Kepler (whichever is on roster)
    DH - Buxton
    BENCH:
    Kirilof - Larnach - Lewis - Jeffers 
    Also, IMO, to make room for Lewis late July……..either Kepler is traded at deadline or Gallo is traded or more likely DFA’d. If Kepler isn’t traded before season it will be fun to watch the competition with Gallo for RF innings & AB’s!
     
  2. Like
    RaoulDuke got a reaction from Fred in Twins Acquire Gold-Glove Outfielder from Royals   
    I like it solid depth move for a minimal price.  Sisk and Cruz are both real wildcard prospects with major control issues that weren't viewed as close enough for anyone to claim in rule 5.
    Up to 4 gold glove caliber outfielders now, they have clearly worked to raise the floor of this team so they don't bottom out again like the 2nd half last year.  Taylor/ Farmer/ Larnach/ Jeffers is a very solid bench.  This also allows Lewis time to get right and ready when he comes back, allows Wallner/ Celestino/ Martin/ Julien time to earn their call ups in AAA.   
    Kepler has to be traded at this point, right?
  3. Like
    RaoulDuke got a reaction from TopGunn#22 in Elephant in the Lockeroom.   
    I am going to assume Buxton stays healthy but with a reduced workload with days off and at DH, this seems to be the goal and how they are building the roster.
    An outfield of Gallo/ Buxton/ Kepler is an insane defensive outfield, that is 3 gold glove caliber guys. 
    They will be reluctant to use them there but both Gallo/ Kepler can play center well.  You don't want them there daily but both can eat some games.
    Gallo/ Kepler as the corner guys can also make up for some CF weaknesses.  Celestino/ Gordon have much more support if they need to be run out there for long stretches of time.
    Adding a RH bat that can play center is ideal but until that happens this seems to be the path. 
    I have been wondering why Kepler hasn't been moved but considering Buxton's uncertainty made me think how much they are valuing his defense.  I still think they move him but it shows maybe why they are holding out for the best return?
  4. Like
    RaoulDuke got a reaction from wabene in Twins Acquire Gold-Glove Outfielder from Royals   
    I like it solid depth move for a minimal price.  Sisk and Cruz are both real wildcard prospects with major control issues that weren't viewed as close enough for anyone to claim in rule 5.
    Up to 4 gold glove caliber outfielders now, they have clearly worked to raise the floor of this team so they don't bottom out again like the 2nd half last year.  Taylor/ Farmer/ Larnach/ Jeffers is a very solid bench.  This also allows Lewis time to get right and ready when he comes back, allows Wallner/ Celestino/ Martin/ Julien time to earn their call ups in AAA.   
    Kepler has to be traded at this point, right?
  5. Like
    RaoulDuke reacted to PatPfund in Twins Acquire Gold-Glove Outfielder from Royals   
    AJ Alexy was DFA'd to clear a 40 man spot. 
    It cracks me up a bit to hear Taylor compared to Celestino. One has a World Series ring, a Gold Glove, and leads the majors in CF defensive runs saved over the last three seasons. The other is a raw in-over-his-head player whose hitting pales even to 'light-hitting' Michael Taylor, and whose sometimes passable defense is often wrecked by his trouble remembering how many outs there are, or where he should throw the ball. (Not to mention the dreadful base-running.)
    Not sure Gilberto will ever be ready for MLB, but for sure he needs a chance to develop his game in St Paul, and both he and the Twins will be better for it.
    Taylor will be great in the field, and as electric wheels coming off the bench. Solid move.
  6. Like
    RaoulDuke got a reaction from Dman in Twins Acquire Gold-Glove Outfielder from Royals   
    I like it solid depth move for a minimal price.  Sisk and Cruz are both real wildcard prospects with major control issues that weren't viewed as close enough for anyone to claim in rule 5.
    Up to 4 gold glove caliber outfielders now, they have clearly worked to raise the floor of this team so they don't bottom out again like the 2nd half last year.  Taylor/ Farmer/ Larnach/ Jeffers is a very solid bench.  This also allows Lewis time to get right and ready when he comes back, allows Wallner/ Celestino/ Martin/ Julien time to earn their call ups in AAA.   
    Kepler has to be traded at this point, right?
  7. Like
    RaoulDuke reacted to Brad.dahlen in Elephant in the Lockeroom.   
    Here's what I would do. Let Kepler, Gallo, and Gordon backup CF. And when Royce is back in July/August he becomes the primary CF backup, while splitting time as a backup LF & SS. Basically an everyday player who gives Correa and Buxton a day off when needed. Starting in LF/RF for a full-strength lineup. 
  8. Like
    RaoulDuke got a reaction from Cris E in Elephant in the Lockeroom.   
    I am going to assume Buxton stays healthy but with a reduced workload with days off and at DH, this seems to be the goal and how they are building the roster.
    An outfield of Gallo/ Buxton/ Kepler is an insane defensive outfield, that is 3 gold glove caliber guys. 
    They will be reluctant to use them there but both Gallo/ Kepler can play center well.  You don't want them there daily but both can eat some games.
    Gallo/ Kepler as the corner guys can also make up for some CF weaknesses.  Celestino/ Gordon have much more support if they need to be run out there for long stretches of time.
    Adding a RH bat that can play center is ideal but until that happens this seems to be the path. 
    I have been wondering why Kepler hasn't been moved but considering Buxton's uncertainty made me think how much they are valuing his defense.  I still think they move him but it shows maybe why they are holding out for the best return?
  9. Like
    RaoulDuke got a reaction from chpettit19 in Elephant in the Lockeroom.   
    I am going to assume Buxton stays healthy but with a reduced workload with days off and at DH, this seems to be the goal and how they are building the roster.
    An outfield of Gallo/ Buxton/ Kepler is an insane defensive outfield, that is 3 gold glove caliber guys. 
    They will be reluctant to use them there but both Gallo/ Kepler can play center well.  You don't want them there daily but both can eat some games.
    Gallo/ Kepler as the corner guys can also make up for some CF weaknesses.  Celestino/ Gordon have much more support if they need to be run out there for long stretches of time.
    Adding a RH bat that can play center is ideal but until that happens this seems to be the path. 
    I have been wondering why Kepler hasn't been moved but considering Buxton's uncertainty made me think how much they are valuing his defense.  I still think they move him but it shows maybe why they are holding out for the best return?
  10. Like
    RaoulDuke got a reaction from chpettit19 in Who Will Be the Twins' Opening Day DH?   
    I think they are hoping Larnach or Wallner claim a Mlb spot in the spring and then they can cycle through everyone at DH.  There is a lot of positional flexibility with Farmer/ Gordon/ Miranda/ Kirilloff/ and Kepler/ Gallo maybe taking a day in center here and there.  DH is the half work day to keep defenders fresh and bats in the lineup.
    That being said I wouldn't mind a cheap Reyes or Gurriel signing but they shouldn't be full time or have a long leash.  In the end they are playing the Garlic role as lefty masher.
     
     
  11. Like
    RaoulDuke got a reaction from Fatbat in What will be Twins Lineup?   
    This becomes much more interesting minus Arraez, he really held the 1-4 together.
    The 4th spot is the biggest question to me, its hard to slot a young bat there but Miranda/ Kirilloff/ Larnach are who you want ideally.  I think Polanco might be the best early option but you kinda need him in the 1-3 spots.
    There is a lot of strikeout to this lineup so strings of Kiriloff/ Larnach/ Gallo/ Miranda are scary, they can be real boom or bust.
    1-11 or 12 hitters this team just doesn't have a lot of obp, they are going to have to hit and have young bats grow and play a large role.
  12. Like
    RaoulDuke reacted to OptimisticTwinsFan in What will be Twins Lineup?   
    I think there will be a lot of platoon type of lineup moves to insert players like Farmer/Lewis (eventually)/Gordon into the lineup so I don't think Kirilloff, Kepler, or Gallo will play 'full-time' unless they start playing like their peak years or in Kirilloff's case his potential. That being said, I'm guessing it looks something like this: 
    Polanco (2B)
    Correa (SS)
    Buxton (CF)
    Kirilloff (1B)
    Gallo (RF)
    Miranda (3B)
    Larnach (DH)
    Vazquez (C)
    Kepler (LF)
    The bottom of the order I just tried to do L/R/L/R splits as I know the Twins seem to like that. I wouldn't be surprised to see the Twins put Polanco in the #4 spot and go non-traditional in the #1 spot and use Gallo or Miranda or Kirilloff especially if Gallo or Kirilloff hits like their potential. 
  13. Like
    RaoulDuke got a reaction from Cris E in The Twins cannot trade Arraez   
    I love watching Arraez but he is very tradeable and partly because of the batting title his value is higher than it ever will be.  I am not saying sell low on him, I wouldn't do 1 for 1 for Lopez, but they should certainly be entertaining offers.
    His best position is 1b or DH, but he is 5'9 and won't top 10-12 homeruns.
    His knees have and will be a continuing issue going forward.
    As a bat first player with limited power and speed his value is always ready to tank as soon as he slumps.  If he isn't hitting .310+ and drawing walks he is a below average 1b/ DH.
    Correa/ Arraez/ Miranda/ Kirilloff/ Lee/ Lewis/ Farmer/ Gordon/ Martin/ Julien.  That is a log jam of infield talent under control for years and some pieces need to be used to upgrade the roster where it is weaker.
  14. Like
    RaoulDuke got a reaction from chpettit19 in The Twins cannot trade Arraez   
    I love watching Arraez but he is very tradeable and partly because of the batting title his value is higher than it ever will be.  I am not saying sell low on him, I wouldn't do 1 for 1 for Lopez, but they should certainly be entertaining offers.
    His best position is 1b or DH, but he is 5'9 and won't top 10-12 homeruns.
    His knees have and will be a continuing issue going forward.
    As a bat first player with limited power and speed his value is always ready to tank as soon as he slumps.  If he isn't hitting .310+ and drawing walks he is a below average 1b/ DH.
    Correa/ Arraez/ Miranda/ Kirilloff/ Lee/ Lewis/ Farmer/ Gordon/ Martin/ Julien.  That is a log jam of infield talent under control for years and some pieces need to be used to upgrade the roster where it is weaker.
  15. Like
    RaoulDuke got a reaction from Dman in The Twins cannot trade Arraez   
    I love watching Arraez but he is very tradeable and partly because of the batting title his value is higher than it ever will be.  I am not saying sell low on him, I wouldn't do 1 for 1 for Lopez, but they should certainly be entertaining offers.
    His best position is 1b or DH, but he is 5'9 and won't top 10-12 homeruns.
    His knees have and will be a continuing issue going forward.
    As a bat first player with limited power and speed his value is always ready to tank as soon as he slumps.  If he isn't hitting .310+ and drawing walks he is a below average 1b/ DH.
    Correa/ Arraez/ Miranda/ Kirilloff/ Lee/ Lewis/ Farmer/ Gordon/ Martin/ Julien.  That is a log jam of infield talent under control for years and some pieces need to be used to upgrade the roster where it is weaker.
  16. Like
    RaoulDuke reacted to DocBauer in Pablo Lopez update via Ken Rosenthal   
    Hey, I'm right there with you. There is no reason to not have middle/long relief with the arms on hand and let them push for rotation spots. The Cardinals are an example brought up often where they will use young SP in the pen to add, while getting their feet wet and move to the rotation.
    And I'm not saying the Twins should extend Gray or Maeda. But I think there's a lot of life still in Gray's arm, even at 33, as long as he puts the work in to keep his hamstrings solid. Not sure about Maeda being traded. Maybe. I think if the Twins are at the top of the ALC, Maeda is kept unless one of the kids are proving they are ready. I think Mahle is the wild card. Just my opinion, but I think they see him just about to hit his career high. I believe they traded for him with the idea of an extension. 
    I'm just saying...and I think we're mostly on the same page...extensions are possible. And I think all hands on deck are possible. But I think Mahle is the #1 target. I'm just not certain a trade of talent for a mid rotation SP like Lopez for 2yrs is the right move with what's available and coming up.
  17. Like
    RaoulDuke reacted to tony&rodney in What's the Appeal? What's the Deal? Exploring Trades for Starting Pitching Help   
    Emmanuel Rodriguez is untouchable. Period. There isn't any pitcher available that would shake that tree.
    It is unlikely that the Twins trade either Brooks Lee or Royce Lewis. 
    The Yankees are not trading Cortes and it is unlikely that either Gallen or Woodruff are available. 
    The focus of trades and numerous posts have been repetitively about the Marlins pitchers because Miami has expressed that all of their pitchers except for Sandy Alcantara and Eury Perez can be acquired if the return to Miami consists of the right collection of bats. Pablo Lopez is considered more highly by national baseball writers and evaluators than any of the Twins starters. I favor Edward Cabrera or Jesus Luzardo over Lopez due to cost, years of control, and upside.
    I would rather see the Twins go into 2023 with the pitching they currently have than to see trades of prospects or signings of washed up arms. I really want to see a trade for Cabrera, which might be nuts, but am fine to watch all of Ober, Winder, Varland, and Woods Richardson get an opportunity if the young Marlin cannot be acquired.
  18. Like
    RaoulDuke got a reaction from IndyTwinsFan in Chris Paddack Agrees to Contract Extension with the Minnesota Twins   
    I really like this move.  Lot of upside while being a real gamble on health, but at a significantly reduced cost.   Continues the trend of paying less for upside by assuming risk of getting nothing.
    This team in the next couple years is going to be a real dice roll, but if they hit on a couple in the same year it could look really good.  Previously they were capped at first round exit because they didn't/ couldn't sign the big contracts, now they have the potential to make real noise if things break right, but could also completely fall apart to injury.
    Missing addition is an ace upside starter that has massive question marks lol.
     
  19. Like
    RaoulDuke got a reaction from Dman in Chris Paddack Agrees to Contract Extension with the Minnesota Twins   
    I really like this move.  Lot of upside while being a real gamble on health, but at a significantly reduced cost.   Continues the trend of paying less for upside by assuming risk of getting nothing.
    This team in the next couple years is going to be a real dice roll, but if they hit on a couple in the same year it could look really good.  Previously they were capped at first round exit because they didn't/ couldn't sign the big contracts, now they have the potential to make real noise if things break right, but could also completely fall apart to injury.
    Missing addition is an ace upside starter that has massive question marks lol.
     
  20. Like
    RaoulDuke got a reaction from In My La Z boy in Chris Paddack Agrees to Contract Extension with the Minnesota Twins   
    I really like this move.  Lot of upside while being a real gamble on health, but at a significantly reduced cost.   Continues the trend of paying less for upside by assuming risk of getting nothing.
    This team in the next couple years is going to be a real dice roll, but if they hit on a couple in the same year it could look really good.  Previously they were capped at first round exit because they didn't/ couldn't sign the big contracts, now they have the potential to make real noise if things break right, but could also completely fall apart to injury.
    Missing addition is an ace upside starter that has massive question marks lol.
     
  21. Like
    RaoulDuke got a reaction from weitz41 in Chris Paddack Agrees to Contract Extension with the Minnesota Twins   
    I really like this move.  Lot of upside while being a real gamble on health, but at a significantly reduced cost.   Continues the trend of paying less for upside by assuming risk of getting nothing.
    This team in the next couple years is going to be a real dice roll, but if they hit on a couple in the same year it could look really good.  Previously they were capped at first round exit because they didn't/ couldn't sign the big contracts, now they have the potential to make real noise if things break right, but could also completely fall apart to injury.
    Missing addition is an ace upside starter that has massive question marks lol.
     
  22. Like
    RaoulDuke got a reaction from wabene in Chris Paddack Agrees to Contract Extension with the Minnesota Twins   
    I really like this move.  Lot of upside while being a real gamble on health, but at a significantly reduced cost.   Continues the trend of paying less for upside by assuming risk of getting nothing.
    This team in the next couple years is going to be a real dice roll, but if they hit on a couple in the same year it could look really good.  Previously they were capped at first round exit because they didn't/ couldn't sign the big contracts, now they have the potential to make real noise if things break right, but could also completely fall apart to injury.
    Missing addition is an ace upside starter that has massive question marks lol.
     
  23. Like
    RaoulDuke got a reaction from Steve Lein in Let's see your best trade with the Marlins for pitching...   
    I think Cabrera is the one I covet, Luzardo/ Rogers are close and both look good. 
    Lopez is by far the more established product, you know you are getting a 3 starter for 2 years.
    They are probably looking for the established type but I would be way more into trading Arraez/ Polanco for the upside guys.  Pablo Lopez secures a mid rotation spot for another year but isn't that much better than Gray/ Mahle/ Maeda. 
    Pay the extra cost to get Cabrera/ Luzardo/ Rogers if you are spending Arraez.
     
  24. Like
    RaoulDuke got a reaction from Steve Lein in Let's see your best trade with the Marlins for pitching...   
    I don't really want Lopez, pay the price to get someone with more upside locked in for longer. 
    Arraez is the clearest fit for them so start there, love him but he is one dimensional and at peak value in what has suddenly become a crowded infield.  Add a LH corner outfield prospect Larnach/ Wallner/ Kirilloff?.  Then add a pitching prospect which is the hardest part to come by, does Balazovic still carry enough value?   Still probably takes another good prospect piece.
    I do wonder if the Sale trade is slightly more possible now, Boston could sure use a Polanco/ Farmer/ Gordon type with Story going under the knife.
  25. Like
    RaoulDuke got a reaction from Dozier's Glorious Hair in What to Make of Carlos Correa's Ankle Issue   
    It's certainly a risk but a degenerative problem with his leg is much more worrisome for a 10+ year contract than a 6.  The vesting option years and pretty team friendly, if he is hitting those he is still playing well and they will happily sign that check.
    Somewhat like the Buxton deal they are eating injury risk to get "dior" at an outlet price. They do seem to see it as a market inefficiency they can exploit.  So far it has netted them Cruz as an incredible signing and Donaldson that didn't really work out.  Buxton and Correa are more extreme cases on great deals, results tbd. It has also blown up in their faces on multiple pitcher trades.  It is a gamblers strategy but if they hit and get a healthy year out of multiple pieces they have top level talent that would not have otherwise been available to them.  
    Honestly I am amazed the Met's did not match or beat this offer.  I think either they got cold feet realizing they had signed him to play 3rd already decreasing his value or tin foil hat time, the other owners told Cohen to knock it off and stop making them look bad.
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