The above graph shows stolen base attempts and successfully stolen bases for each major league team along with the MLB average. A few notes:
- The Twins have the fewest stolen base attempts in the league with 20 and are tied for the fewest successful steals at 13.
- 76 percent of steal attempts have been successful in the league in 2022. The Twins, in their limited attempts, have been successful in 65 percent of attempts.
- The AL Central is not especially active on the base paths. Only the Royals and Guardians are more active than the average MLB team, and not by much.
So how much meat are the Twins leaving on the bone by being the most conservative MLB team on the base paths? If they were as aggressive as the average base-stealing team, they would have attempted an additional 25 steals. At their current success rate, they would have taken 16 additional bases with the increased aggressiveness (and ran into 9 more outs!).
Currently, the Twins are 7th in the majors in OPS at 0.733. Including walks, they have taken 1,160 bases offensively. Stolen bases are an exceedingly small fraction of any team's offensive output. If you added 16 bases to their Twins' output, their OPS would increase to 0.740, good enough for 6th in the majors. Is that worth the 9 additional outs from the additional runners who get caught?