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Showing content with the highest reputation on 07/17/2021 in all areas

  1. First time post. Long, long time Twins fan. Re Buxton, 5/70 plus $2mm for every 10 games played above 100. So that’s $100MM over 5 years if 130 games played/year, with the chance to go to $26MM in any year he plays 160 games. Add in $2MM for MVP, $500k for top 2/3, $250k for top 4/5, and $500k for All Star starter, $250k for sub. This is a fair deal to both sides. Twins take injury risk up to $14MM/year. If Buxton plays 50-100 games/year, he is well worth that. Twins pay up for Buxton being on the field. Buxton gets his $100MM deal if he plays 81% of the games each year. Buxton should be a priority. He is a potential game changer every time he plays.
    9 points
  2. The chances that Buxton’s health issues correct themselves and he becomes a superstar > than the chances the Twins sign a superstar free agent. And no chance the base offer is 7 years. Not only is it a no brainer rejection from Buxton, but there’s no chance the Twins want to guarantee 7 years to him at this time. There’s probably incentives for games played and then option years of some kind.
    7 points
  3. Buxton is already on the record stating he would prefer to only play for one team his whole career and that money isn't the most important factor to him. Berrios has never ruled out an extension but hasn't felt the Twins have come up with an offer that is acceptable just yet. He has always been positive about getting a deal done and has never said he wants out of Minnesota. Honestly I think for most players they just want to play the game. They generally want to stay with the organization they grew up in. The organization where they know the coaches, grew up with the players they have played with their whole career. It is home. It is comfortable but, they also realize it is a business. Some players prioritize maximizing making the most money they can while they can. Some are more risk averse willing to sign deals early to make sure they at least get one good payday and don't have to worry as much about injury. Everybody is different. Sure players want to win but they want to win with the guys they came up with. They believe in each other. Trust each other. Have each others backs. When it comes to the business side if the home team will offer close to what another team is offering the players usually stay. Some will take a home town discount just to stay. I don't think either player thinks the Twins are a depressing team and or are worried about playoff wins. They are there to fix those issue's. They believe in themselves and their team. Sometimes things don't go your way in life that doesn't mean you quit it means you try harder to get better. Both of these players will stay if they get paid what they think they are worth on the market or close to it. If not then they have no choice but to head to the market and see what they really are worth. That is pretty much it end of story.
    7 points
  4. I was happy to see Charlie pitch well. I watched some of the game on MLB.com. He looked good. I think the lack of K's unfortunately tells the story that he is going to have a hard time breaking into MLB. He only K'd one player in 4.2 innings so his stuff is pretty hittable. Would be nice if he had a put away pitch in his back pocket and hopefully he finds one. Still was very pleased with how well he did his first time out and he has to be happy he put the team in a position to win they just didn't come through for him.
    4 points
  5. The FO is in a very tough position. These are clearly not the "cheap Twins" of the past. There are only a handful of teams willing and able to pay someone $30M+ per year over more than 3 years. The Twins not being one of those teams doesn't make them cheap. The article doesn't give any details at all, other than an offer is being made, and they are seriously considering trading Buxton now or in the off season if they can't work out a deal. The only truly newsworthy point is that the Twins are negotiating during the season, which they NEVER do. Everything else is speculation and analysis.
    4 points
  6. I don't see the article as being a problem. I think we all want to know the Twins are trying to put together a deal with Buxton. The problem is people drawing conclusions based on nothing but completely unsupported assumption. We don't know if the offer was 3/7 or 7/70. We also don't know any details regarding the bonus parameters so why would anyone have an opinion on quality of the offer. For all we know, Buxton's agents and the Twins FO have been involved in a very cooperative collaboration trying to come up with terms both sides can live with. So, I just don't think this article poses any problem if approached with even a modest degree of reason. .
    4 points
  7. It would have been nice to see Barnes pitch longer, but the Twins have a microprocessor with bent pins for a manager. Pulling a rookie pitcher at that point shows a total lack of confidence, which is a terrible message to send, regardless of what your f$#king spreadsheet says.
    3 points
  8. For what it's worth ... I was listening to MLB radio / Dan Duquette shortly after the story broke. Of course, he did not know the number of years either but he did say (paraphrasing) that Buxton was nuts if he did not accept an offer with a $70M guarantee, especially if the escalators were as significant as suggested. He was quite animated in citing Buxton's injury history and the fact that he does not have a long track record of performing anywhere near his numbers this year. Obviously, he has had multiple GM jobs so his opinion has some credibility. Will another team go "a minimum of 100 million over 4-5 years" as you suggest? IDK but I don't think any of us can speak intelligently to that point today. His health and performance over the next year and a half are going to have significant influence on what he gets if he rejects the Twins offer. Perhaps the takeaway here is that at least one industry exec / insider feels a $70M guarantee at this time is a quality offer.
    3 points
  9. You will be surprised at 11th round pick Brandon Birdsell. Projected to go possibly late first round early second round before injury. He may be first one of this draft for the Twins to reach MLB.
    3 points
  10. For sure, Donaldson's potential return depends almost exclusively on the money the Twins would send. So it would be extremely difficult to cover that whole scope.
    3 points
  11. While I would agree our self scouting failures have been big missed opportunities (Anderson, Wade, etc.) I can hardly fault the team for not protecting Baddoo in the Rule 5 draft. Struggled at High A ball in 2019 and had TJ. No play time last year. Just shrug your shoulders at that one. I also hate how much people overrate things like Escobar or Pressly in those trades. Escobar was traded from a non playoff team (with 0 additional years of control!) for what is now one of our global top 100 pitching prospects. Pressly refused to make the changes the Twins asked him to do but did so once Houston traded for him. 1.5 years of him for 6-7 years of Alcala and Celestino. I've would do both of those trades again in a second and so should every other Twins fan. Any production they have AFTER they sign extensions SHOULD NOT be counted as part of their production after they are traded.
    3 points
  12. In my rapidly failing system of brain cells, signing a contract with a lot of incentives is the definition of "betting on yourself." Signing a guaranteed money contract is not betting on yourself but rather letting someone else bet on you. It's not a bet if there isn't a risk.
    3 points
  13. With the trade deadline looming, the Minnesota Twins are acknowledged sellers. And for Benjamin Mason, the awful dread of which future former Twin will become an All-Star in 2023 is consuming his every waking moment. “I’m resigned to Jose Berrios winning the Cy Young next year for someone else,” said Mason, a Glenwood native and licensed pre-owned pontoon dealer. “But it’s the one you don’t see coming that’s going to hurt more. Who is the Akil Baddoo or LaMonte Wade that we’re going to throw in for three pitching prospects who tear the ulnar nerve in their throwing elbows all at once? That’s the one that keeps me up at night.” With a pitching staff in desperate need of, well, everything, Mason is mentally readying himself for the unforeseen kick in the shins that has tormented Twins fans for generations. “My grandpa remembers the Graig Nettles deal,” said Mason. “I think the Rod Carew trade is what finally did him in. My dad quit watching baseball after David Ortiz won a World Series and mom left because he wouldn’t stop swearing to himself in the garage. I was minding my own business on Tuesday night, watching the All-Star Game, and there’s Liam Hendriks and Kyle Gibson. It’s the circle of life and you know what, I hate it.” While Mason agrees that the team must do something, the fact that everyone knows they’re a seller probably impacts any potential return. “We’re not going to get Wander Franco from the Rays,” said Mason. “We’re going to get his roommate. And the Rays will get our 38th best prospect, who will enter Cooperstown in 2047 after leading Tampa to seven straight titles in front of 259 delirious fans at Tropicana Field. He’ll have his own breakfast cereal, videogame, and talk show. I hate baseball, I really do.”
    3 points
  14. Excellent post. And despite all of those advantages for Donaldson.....he still had to wait out a 4 year deal. I don't think people really have context for just how unreliable Buxton is or how risky an investment he is. We see the awesome dude with the awesome skillset who was an awesome prospect for us who really impacts the team. But we aren't seeing the fact that he's 27, he has literally missed hundreds and hundreds of games, and his best skills are the ones most likely to erode the fastest by all historical comps. GMs have to be sober in their decisions.
    3 points
  15. Lots of great posts and interesting thoughts. I'm not going to get in to a debate on this, but I am most certainly going to comment. I will repeat a few other opinions/thoughts already shared by others as well as repeat a couple things I've said in another OP recently. Sue me! LOL! 1] $70M with incentives is all we know. Just a little thought and logic woukd state the deal is probably 4 or 5yrs. Makes the most sense for both parties. Buxton receives $14M per AT MINIMUM each year (based on 5yrs) and I'm willing to bet incentives would push him to the $18-20M area (Again, based on 5yrs). This deal could easily hit the $100M mark with just a little logical speculation. Assuming no opt out clauses, he hits FA again around 32-33yo. With good health, he makes a ton of $ and can still sign yet another deal. Thus he gets PAID by the Twins, gets PAID even more with the incentives, and can still get PAID yet again. This gives guaranteed $ and STILL allows him to "bet on himself". But speculation of 7yrs and a low AAV is pointless right now. 2] I 99.9% believe any "take it or leave it or your gone" are pure speculation if not pure trolling. GM's and FO use "coach speak" all the time! They are masters, generally, of "political" comments made publicly but in a sports environment. Not only are making public mandates a poor way to negotiate, but when have you ever heard a GM announce to the world that someone is on the market and just gone when offers and negotiations are just beginning? Come on man! 3] Buck's recent comments about staying a Twin seemed honest. And I don't think we've ever heard him not speak honestly. He didn't offer up some vague "we'll just see what happens" comment. Not even close. Further, if there was any lingering drama about his lost service time a few years back, again, his recent comments wouldn't seem to indicate that there was, indeed, any lingering animosity. 4] Buxton, and his agenency, we can easily presume are not unintelligent. Buck knows how talented he is. His reps know how talented he is. The Twins and everyone else in MLB know how talented he is. But he, his reps, the Twins, and everyone else also know his history. So NOBODY is blind or uninformed or unintelligent concerning his ability or his career history at this point. Again, NOT knowing all the terms and potential of this offer, there doesn't seem to be anything "insulting" or "low ball" with this offer. There is speculation Byron may just want to bet on himself. Fine. He can take a GUARANTEED $70M and bet on himself to make even more with the incentives and look for yet another deal in his early 30's, as previously mentioned, OR, he COULD take 2022 to bet on 120+ games played and hit the market hoping for a larger deal. Betting on himself is NOT a one-way street here folks! It is completely unfair and non-productive to pretend to be in Buxton's shoes, or those of his reps and family, and try to speculate on a decision. But I can tell you, not as a Twins fan but as an adult, as a father, as someone who is just smart enough to look at the big picture of things, if your words about staying with the Twins ring true, TAKE the guaranteed $ while STILL betting on yourself and the extra $ to be earned and ANOTHER potentially at least decent deal in your early 30's. Betting on yourself and believing in yourself is good. Hoping and betting that everything just coalesces in ONE YEAR to offer up an even bigger payday...how much better?....just might not be worth the gamble. It's up to him to decide, of course. 5] I want Buck to stay. The Twins are ALSO betting on him, Do we just forget that? I want lady luck to smile on him and he suddenly gets healthy, stays healthy, doesn't have more freak injuries, etc, and can be the very best be can be. But just playing devil's advocate, at some point, you also have to look at the cards on the table and decide you've pushed enough in to the pot that you just can't risk any more. I hope we don't get to that point.
    3 points
  16. The Twins got impressive debuts from both Charlie Barnes and Beau Burrows in their return from the All Star break on Saturday. However, the bats were still on break as the team mustered only two hits in Game 1. Box Score Charlie Barnes: 4.2 IP, 3 H, 1 ER, 1 BB, 1 K Home Runs: None Bottom 3 WPA: Trevor Larnach (-0.127), Josh Donaldson (-0.121), Nelson Cruz (-0.113) Win Probability Chart (via FanGraphs) Barnes’ Debut It’s almost unfortunate that Hall of Famer Bert Blyleven wasn’t in the booth with Dick Bremer during Game 1. The first batter that Charlie Barnes faced as a big leaguer was former Twin Robbie Grossman and he hit a lead-off home run. We know that Blyleven would have said that put him in good company and reminded us he had given up a home run to the first batter he faced in the big leagues, Lee Maye. The next batter was Jonathan Schoop, and he hit a bounding single through the left side of the infield on a two-strike pitch. After that, Barnes retired the next nine batters he faced, until a leadoff Josh Donaldson error in the fourth inning. He responded by getting Miguel Cabrera and Jeimer Candelario to fly out and line out. Isaac Parades singled, but Barnes retired Zack Short on a fly out and he got out of the fourth inning. In the fifth inning, he gave up a single and a four-pitch walk. After a Wes Johnson visit, he was able to get a unique 4-6-5 double play before his day came to a close. Barnes threw just 68 pitches and 43 were strikes. As the team's 27th man, he is sent back to St. Paul following the game (though I would hope he would be able to stay in Detroit to watch Game 2). Burrows Impressive in Twins Debut Too The Twins claimed Beau Burrows after the Tigers DFAd him recently. He made a couple of appearances with the Saints, and he was called up to the Twins prior to the Saturday game. He replaced Barnes with two outs in the fifth inning and gave up an end-of-the-bat single before getting the third out. He looked strong in the bottom of the 6th inning. He certainly had his struggles in his brief opportunities with the Tigers, but he has enough stuff for the Twins to give him a shot in the second half. Bats Still on Break When you lose 1-0, it’s not on the pitching. Simply put, the Twins hitters just didn’t provide much of anything in Game 1. Tigers starter Jose Urena lasted just three innings. Daniel Norris came on and dominated for two perfect innings. Kyle Funkhouser struck out the side in the sixth inning. And, Gregory Soto got the ninth inning, and unlike Sunday when the Twins jumped all over him, he made easy work of the middle of the Twins lineup in the seventh inning. Luis Arraez and Jorge Polanco each had a single, but that is it for the Twins offense in Game 1. Postgame Interview Bullpen Usage Spreadsheet TUE WED THU FRI SAT TOT Thielbar 0 0 0 0 0 0 Duffey 0 0 0 0 0 0 Rogers 0 0 0 0 0 0 Robles 0 0 0 0 0 0 Colomé 0 0 0 0 0 0 Burrows 0 0 0 0 32 32 Coulombe 0 0 0 0 0 0 Alcala 0 0 0 0 0 0 View full article
    2 points
  17. Couldn't help noticing that all our hits in game 2 were from guys who might be gone by the end of the month, with the exception of Polanco, while all the o-fers were guys discussed to be the future/young core, with the exception of Kepler. Going with the kids could be rough the rest of the way.
    2 points
  18. Yawn. I am having trouble waking up after the all-star break. I had this weird dream, that lots of our players were getting injured and nobody knew how to pitch, and that we were in the bottom of the standings. Anyway, time to stretch out those disused baseball commentary muscles, throw the ol' ball around, and settle back into the season. Let's check the line ups... Minnesota: 0. Charlie Barnes (L) P 1. Luis Arraez (L) LF 2. Josh Donaldson (R) 3B 3. Trevor Larnach (L) RF 4. Nelson Cruz (R) DH 5. Alex Kirilloff (L) 1B 6. Jorge Polanco (S) 2B 7. Max Kepler (L) CF 8. Ben Rortvedt (L) C 9. Andrelton Simmons (R) SS Detroit: 0. Jose Urena (R) P 1. Robbie Grossman (S) RF 2. Jonathan Schoop (R) 1B 3. Eric Haase (R) LF 4. Miguel Cabrera (R) DH 5. Jeimer Candelario (S) 3B 6. Isaac Paredes (R) 2B 7. Zack Short (R) SS 8. Jake Rogers (R) C 9. Derek Hill (R) CF That seems almost normal... in my nightmare, looking at Detroit line up was like looking into a bizarro Twins team. 2 old Twins players i can stomach. And the standings... What!? We're at the bottom with Detroit and Kansas City?! How can this happen to the Bomba Squad? No! It's not possible. I must be on candid camera, or crank yankers, or some other crazy joke world.... I'll be right back.
    2 points
  19. Ah, but can they sustain it? Tune in tomorrow to find out. (Same batless time, same batless channel?)
    2 points
  20. Classic. Back to Twins 2021 baseball. That's OK. 7-inning games and runners on second in the extra inning(s) aren't real MLB baseball anyway. And Gordon isn't a center fielder. And Rogers was tired from not playing on Tuesday. Classic.
    2 points
  21. 100% agree. And you're getting hardly anything - maybe nothing - for someone taking Donaldson's entire contract. (Might have to throw a prospect in with him.) He's more valuable to the Twins.
    2 points
  22. Yep, that’s a 2021 Twins way to end it. Looosah
    2 points
  23. I doubt that Baddoo has any grudges. He went from being 7 or 8 on the OF depth earning peanuts to being on MLB roster making MLB minimum with all the benefits of being in the majors.
    2 points
  24. I was thinking the same thing about Maggi. Giving him some games at MLB the last month would be a really cool thing to do. He is an old Twin, Pirana, Punto type player who never quite made it but is having a great year. I do hope they give him some at bats with the big club. I like your Contraras pick as well. It wasn't that long ago his numbers were not that much different than Rookers and Contraras is a gold glove player at his position. Was wondering if he was going to pass Rooker and then recently Roooker stepped on the gas and had like 5 HR's in three or four games and his OPS is 100 point higher now. Seth is gonna tell me I am crazy but I could see someone grabbing Mark in the Rule V. Especially if he keeps hitting HR's If the Twins get rid of Simmons I really think they should add Palacios to the 40 man. They likely will need to protect him anyway and it would let them see how close or far away he is. If he looks ready tat short that could change their plans for the offseason. Whitefield I never thought he would hit enough but he has hung in there this year. Honestly I like his bat better than Celestino right now. His speed is probably better as well. Again I hope this FO can self evaluate their players because he could be another good rule V pickup if not added. Same with one of my favorite players De La Trinidad. He has been a real tough out this year and while he is small he has hit for power this year. I think he was injured recently and he slowed down since the injury but he looks like a nice 4th outfielder type. I really like how he plays the game, He was the other player that came over in the Escobar trade. It is a good list. I think the Twins do need to decide who to add and again I think they are going to lose some guys to rule V. Hoping that they keep the right guys this time though.
    2 points
  25. Is there a correlation here that you have the same last name?
    2 points
  26. I hate to be the one to break it to you but the Twins lost 1-0. Complaining about pitching usage may be barking up the wrong tree in this specific instance.
    2 points
  27. Why the F are both teams going with bullpen games after a full five days off (9 for some)? And then you bring in two guys making their Twins debuts in Game 1, meanwhile taking out the first guy who was sailing along. I swear everything Falvey, Levine, and Baldelli do is with the sole purpose of p1ssing me off.
    2 points
  28. Maybe one of the three develop into a top 30 prospect. If your best return includes getting a top 25-type prospect catching prospect, you don't pass on that cause you drafted three college catchers.
    2 points
  29. I would say these two quotes need to be ignored. The Twins making low ball offers to save face is baloney.
    2 points
  30. BREAKING NEWS---BREAKING NEWS---BREAKING NEWS Alexander Pena did not have 2 or more hits yesterday for the FCL Twins. He did get one (1-4), dropping his batting average all the way down to .500. Also checked Cedar Rapids and saw Javier had another 0-5. Come on Wander, the Twins need you at shortstop in 2023. Did see that Miranda did get two hits and agree with today's first comment above. Could the Twins possibly move Donaldson over the next two weeks and open a spot for this young man? Or with only a week or whatever at AAA, is it too soon?
    2 points
  31. Telis is 30 years old and has basically never hit in several stints in the majors. In five different seasons he's put together an OPS of .565. He's an organizational depth player with very little upside and he's not on the 40 man roster, so he's not coming up unless things really go sideways at catcher. Useful to have at AAA and work with our young pitchers, but not a prospect. Should he get one more shot to show he can hit in MLB before being consigned to this kind of role? Maybe, but it's hard to say he should be playing for MN over Jeffers and Rortvedt who are significantly younger and have a better chance to stick. Yes, Rortvedt can't hit a lick right now, but the D is excellent and getting him the ABs now in a lost season is good to see if he can be a legit platoon/backup option in the future. The platoon aspect is important, because Jeffers looks like he might be a guy who abuses LHP and gets taken to school vs righties.
    2 points
  32. For perspective we need to look at who left, not just who came. I like Puckett Pond's ten worst Twin Trades - 10 worst trades as an example or how difficult it is to make these trades work. To be fair here are the 10 best from him - 10 best trades. None of these trades are associated with our front office. If we look at Escobar and Pressly, both have been very productive and we are still waiting for production on our side of the ledger. Acala has been here two years and we are still waiting to see him turn the corner. I am not against trades, but the team really has to have a good scouting report on the prospects that they get. But even more important we have to know our own depth - Wade, Baddoo, Anderson... we have a lot of productive ex-prospects playing significant time and doing well for other teams. The nice shiny toy that the neighbors have is not always better than what you already own.
    2 points
  33. If you look back to 2018 when the Twins made five or six trades, they didn't acquire any big name prospects. Aside from Forsythe, DeJong and Austin, no one even made big league contributions until Smeltzer came up. Three years later, there have been a bunch more who have debuted. Alcala was probably the best prospect at the time of the trades. Celestino has a chance to be ok. Duran is one of the best prospects in the organization. Luke Raley was used in the Maeda move. I also think the Twins have enough depth, if - and it's a HUGE if - healthy that they can focus more on the high-risk/high-reward prospects that may payoff in four or five years. That might be an unpopular opinion, but if you're out of it and can get anything that provides value beyond this season, you do it. Donaldson is interesting. I would prefer to keep him.
    2 points
  34. Love this piece. The season is lost....let's get weird and hope we get lucky!
    2 points
  35. Donaldson's playing history included a pretty solid track record on games played. 2013 - Full season (158) 2014 - Full season (158) 2015 - Full season (158) 2016 - Full season (155) 2017 - 113 games 2018 - 52 games 2019 - Full season (155) In my opinion, Byron Buxton's track record on games played doesn't look much like Donaldson. I also think it's a disservice to Donaldson's value added to compare Buxton to him in terms of how much a team might pay or expect in production. Donaldson's top 5 bWAR seasons are all higher than any season Buxton has ever had while Donaldson also collected an MVP, and was a 3x All Star.
    2 points
  36. I personally think the signings of Happ and Shoemaker were the nails that put the twins in the coffin this year. I think they need to see what these youngsters have, I mean they already know that they can compete in the minors, so bring them up and let them make a few starts this year and see what they bring to the table. Then in the off season they need to sign one real good pitcher to go with Berrios and Maeda, to make a quality top 3 and then let these guys like Balazovic, and Duran, and Dobnak, etc.... All compete for the 4th and 5th spots in the rotation. Obviously you'll need a 6th and probably 7th too along with a bullpen. But let's see what these kids can do now, I definitely agree.
    2 points
  37. Many of you must be reading a different report than I saw. I saw no reports of final offers, gauntlets, ultimatums or certain trades. I read that they are negotiating with him and made an offer in excess of 70 million. It is good news to me that they are negotiating. It is also good news to me that the Twins will consider trading him if Buxton chooses to bet on himself having a big healthy year next year leading to a massive contract.
    2 points
  38. Well you're contradicting yourself a little here. If he's worth 100+ "for almost certain" then he's worth a pretty big prospect haul, too. Either he's wanted by the other teams or he isn't.
    2 points
  39. I'm staying on the bandwagon to re-sign Cruz and keep Simmons. Unless we can get major league or major league ready pitchers for both of them (and that probably won't happen), I would re-sign them both for next year. You can always trade them if next year fails (though you could also convince them to re-sign after the season). I'd rather trade Sano and Kepler than Simmons and Cruz. But that's why I am not the GM.
    1 point
  40. "A ghost from Kenta Maeda’s last start came back to haunt him, as he failed to retire the leadoff hitter, issuing a walk." A walk that was a missed called strike three. A perfect pitch. One that the batter can't make himself swing at, and was right on the bottom corner of the zone. That would have been 3 outs before the hit, HBP, and the triple. That would have changed quite a bit.
    1 point
  41. TRANSACTIONS Minnesota Twins promote LHP Jovani Moran to Triple-A St. Paul from Double-A Wichita SAINTS SENTINEL Columbus 5, St. Paul 3 Box Score Josh Winder, fresh off his MLB Futures Game appearance, had a good outing, but the Clippers came back against the bullpen late to take this game 5-3. The Saints got the scoring started in the bottom of the second inning. Willians Astudillo legged out an antics-laden double and advanced to third on a Mark Contreras groundout. Then, Tomas Telis came to the plate, and one catcher drove in the other to give the Saints a 1-0 lead. Drew Maggi added to the lead in the fourth inning with a two-run homer into the bullpen in left. The blast was Maggi’s seventh (!) of July. Josh Winder went into the game knowing he was on a pitch count, but he cruised through four innings, blanking the Clippers. Twins Daily’s #8 prospect really only made one mistake in this one, allowing a two-run homer to Ryan Lavarnway that chased him from the game in the fifth. In 4 1/3 innings, he gave up two runs on five hits. He struck out two and didn't walk a batter. Lavarnway’s blast made the score 3-2. However, Winder’s replacement, Joe Harvey, fared no better, and immediately allowed a solo homer to Connor Marabell and the game was tied. The game stayed at three-all until the eighth. Columbus took their first lead with a run each on a sacrifice fly and a seeing-eye single to bring the score to the decisive 5-3. After Winder came out, Harvey allowed one run and got two outs, but left the game with an apparent injury. Toby Gardenhire was likely counting on multiple innings from Harvey, so that early exit put the Saints’ already-thin bullpen in a tough spot. Ian Gibaut managed to go three innings for St. Paul and allowed two earned runs. Nick Vincent covered the ninth with an inning of scoreless work. Jose Miranda got his typical two hits in this one and Tomas Telis also had a multi-hit game. WIND SURGE WISDOM Wichita 7, Tulsa 2 Box Score Bryan Sammons was solid on the bump for the Surge, and the bats were just as solid, leading Wichita to a comfortable 7-2 victory. On a night in which – spoiler alert – slow starts will become a theme, both teams failed to score in the first three innings of this one. Tulsa grabbed the first two runs of the game in the top of the fourth with an RBI double from Carlos Rincon and a RBI single from Romer Cuadrado. The Surge got one back in their half of the fourth on a solo shot from Andrew Bechtold, his 11th of the season. The Wichita bats came alive again in the fifth when they loaded the bases with no outs. After a short flyout, Spencer Steer ripped a single into left to drive in two runs. Then, with men on first and third, Steer took off towards second with the pitch. Tulsa catcher Stevie Berman faked a throw toward second, and whipped the ball towards third to keep Aaron Whitefield there. Unfortunately for Berman, the Tulsa third baseman wasn’t there and the ball bounded down the left field line, allowing both Whitefield and Steer to score, 5-2. The Surge loaded the bases again in the sixth inning. Tulsa pitcher Aaron Ochsenbein buckled down to strikeout Aaron Whitefield, but Berman allowed a passed ball on the third strike which allowed B.J. Boyd to score the sixth run for Wichita. Ochsenbein buckled down again and struck out Ernie De La Trinidad to get out of the inning and limit the damage to one run. The Surge added one more run in the seventh on a B.J. Boyd single to make the final score 7-2. KERNELS NUGGETS South Bend 6, Cedar Rapids 5 (10) Box Score The Kernels will be checking the calendar to make sure Groundhog’s Day is still in February as they’ve seemingly repeated three days in a row. They lost another game in 10 innings on a walkoff from the South Bend Cubs. The first time through the order went quietly for both teams in this one and the first three innings went by with no score. In the fourth inning, the Kernels finally put one on the board when DaShawn Kiersey led off the inning with a triple and scored on a Jair Camargo single in the next at-bat. South Bend’s offense stayed quiet against Kernels starter Jon Olsen until the fifth, but when they broke through, they did so in a big way. After a double and a walk put two runners on base, D.J. Artis took Olsen deep to steal the lead for South Bend, 3-1. The Kernels surged back in the seventh inning, when the first three batters of the inning reached and two runs came in. The RBIs went to Max Smith on a double and Daniel Ozoria on a groundout that scored the tying run. South Bend took the lead back with a two-run inning of their own in their half of the seventh. After a fielding error and a single, Tyler Durna drove in a run with a groundout and Nelson Velazquez doubled in another to make the score 5-3 Cubs. In the top of the ninth, with the score still at 5-3, Edouard Julien came to the plate with a man on and two men down. With a 3-2 count, Julien curled a drive around the foul pole in right to bring Cedar Rapids back from the death and tie the game at five. Unfortunately, after the Kernels threatened but failed to score in the top of the tenth, Ryan Reynolds drove in D.J. Artis on a bloop single to earn a third-straight walk-off win for South Bend. MUSSEL MATTERS Jupiter 9, Fort Myers 1 Box Score Bobby Milacki was decent to start this game for Fort Myers, but that’s about all that went well for the Mussels tonight. Both Milacki and his Jupiter counterpart, Yeremin Lara, won the vast majority of their early matchups in this one, and the game stayed scoreless until the top of the fifth, when Jupiter got a couple up on the board. The Hammerheads got three straight singles off Milacki, allowing Marcus Chiu to score on a Jan Mercado knock. Then they took a 2-0 lead when Yunior Severino couldn’t handle a ground ball, allowing Nasim Nunez to score. Jupiter added another in the sixth on a Javeon Cody RBI single. With Milacki gone after the sixth, it only got worse. The Hammerheads got three more in the seventh and another three in the ninth. All six runs came off Bradley Hanner. Jesus Feliz kept the Mussels from getting shut out with his solo homer in the eighth, his first in Single-A ball. That homer is likely more important to Feliz’s career than it was in this game; the Mussels lose a blowout, 9-1. Milacki’s final line is solid. He gave up three runs (2 earned) on eight hits over six innings. He struck out four without issuing a walk. Hanner went 2 1/3 innings and allowed six earned on five hits and three walks. He did have four strikeouts. Matthew Swain got two uneventful outs to close out the ninth. The Mussels were barely a multi-hit team tonight (they had two), so there were no multi-hit players. COMPLEX CHRONICLES FCL Red Sox 6, FCL Twins 3 Box Score The FCL Twins did a good job turning their hits into runs, but they only managed four base knocks and lost to the FCL Red Sox 6-3, to drop to a 4-9 record on the season. The Twins struck first in the fourth inning and took a two-run lead off two pitches to the backstop from Red Sox hurler Henry Nunez. Kala’i Rosario and Wander Valdez scored the runs. However, the Red Sox struck back with a run in each of the fourth, fifth, and sixth innings, then put up three runs in the seventh inning on a bases-clearing double from Jonathan Diaz. The Twins had added a run in the top of the seventh on an Alexander Pena RBI groundout that tied the game at the time, But, Diaz’s clutch hitting deemed that run all but irrelevant. On the bump, Landon Leach started the game for the FCL Twins and pitched three scoreless while adding three strikeouts. He gave way to Sean Gilmartin, who allowed a run in his only inning of work. Rafael Feliz fared much worse, however, as he pitched 2 2/3 innings and allowed the remaining five earned runs of the games. He struck out three batters but allowed five hits and walked four. John Wilson took over for Feliz in the seventh and got final four scoreless outs. The FCL Twins only had four hits so, unsurprisingly, no hitters had a multi-hit game. TWINS DAILY MINOR LEAGUE PLAYERS OF THE DAY Pitcher of the Day - Bryan Sammons (Wichita) 5 IP, 2 R, 2 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 5 K Hitter of the Day - B.J. Boyd (Wichita) 3-for-4, R, RBI PROSPECT SUMMARY Take note that we have finished our midseason update, so there is a new list! Here is a look at how the Twins Daily Midseason Top 20 Prospects performed: #1 – Royce Lewis (Rehab) – Out for season (torn ACL) #2 – Jhoan Duran (St. Paul) – Injured List (elbow strain) #3 – Jordan Balazovic (Wichita) – Did not pitch #4 – Matt Canterino (Cedar Rapids) – Injured List (right elbow strain) #5 – Jose Miranda (St. Paul) – 2-for-4 #6 – Keoni Cavaco (Fort Myers) – Did not play #7 – Gilberto Celestino (Minnesota) – Games Postponed #8 – Josh Winder (St. Paul) – 4.1 IP, 2 R, 2 ER, 5 H, 0 BB, 2 K #9 – Aaron Sabato (Fort Myers) – 0-for-4, 2 K #10 – Matt Wallner (Cedar Rapids) – Injured List (wrist sprain) #11 – Blayne Enlow (Cedar Rapids) – Out for Season (Tommy John surgery) #12 – Bailey Ober (Minnesota) – Games Postponed #13 – Cole Sands (Wichita) – Did not pitch #14 – Brent Rooker (St. Paul) – 0-for-4, 2 K #15 – Misael Urbina (Fort Myers) – 0-for-4 #16 – Spencer Steer (Wichita) – 1-for-4, 2 R, 2 RBI, BB, 2 K #17 – Wander Javier (Cedar Rapids) – 0-for-5, 3 K #18 – Alerick Soularie (Complex) – N/A (foot injury) #19 – Edwar Colina (Rehab) – Injured List (elbow) #20 – Chris Vallimont (Wichita) – Did not pitch SATURDAY’S PROBABLE STARTERS Columbus @ St. Paul (7:05PM CST) – RHP Matt Shoemaker (0-0 0.00 ERA) Tulsa @ Wichita (7:05PM CST) – RHP Chris Vallimont (2-4 3.96 ERA) Cedar Rapids @ South Bend (6:05PM CST) – TBD Jupiter @ Fort Myers- (6:00PM CST) – RHP Miguel Rodriguez (2-2, 3.62 ERA) MORE FROM TWINS DAILY — Latest Twins coverage from our writers — Recent Twins discussion in our forums — Follow Twins Daily via Twitter, Facebook or email
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  42. A little late posting to this thread, but can anyone explain how Juan Minaya and/or Beau Burrows is more deserving of a promotion than Ian Hamilton?? Hamilton has got to be more than a tad peeved today seeing these 2 guys moved up over him. For those that argue that Hamilton's command (walks) are the issue, that is no longer the case as evidenced by the following facts since June 1st: GP: 10 IP: 18.67 Hits allowed: 9 BB: 9 WHIP: 0.96 ER allowed: 2 ERA: 0.96 I have nothing against Burrows or Minaya, but there's NO WAY either has pitched even remotely better than Hamilton over this time span.
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  43. Good news, everybody! THE BASEBALL SEASON IS NOT OVER YET. That's... good news, right?
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  44. Spot on Doc ! They need to start matriculating these arms up the ladder in their system. "Arms" are funny things. Some can throw for years and years, and some burn out relatively early. I'm of the philosophy that a pitcher doesn't need to be "completely" polished before you move him up to the big team. Blyleven wasn't completely polished when the Twins called him up in 1970. Neither was Don Sutton for the Dodgers in 1966 or Jim Palmer in 1966 for the Orioles. Those are 3 HOF'ers who "made it" so I know I'm being biased. (none of them were Eddie Bane). But sometimes you have to just pull the trigger and stop worrying about "perfection."
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  45. Can someone please tell me why Tomas Tellis never seems to be in the conversation whenever the Twins are in need of another catcher?
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  46. I don't think it's a big issue, but just for the sake of accuracy, Buxton has had migraines since childhood. Here's an article with a quote about it. https://www.mlb.com/news/twins-byron-buxton-sidelined-with-migraines-c244651028. I'm not saying concussions couldn't have influenced the severity or frequency of migraines, but it's not something which can be directly attributed to concussions.
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  47. Lots of guys should have bet on themselves. Acuna should have bet on himself, Ooops he just got injured. Has to be nice to know he is covered no matter what happens in his recovery. It all depends on how you want to look at it I guess. If he likes being in Minnesota and playing with the guys he came up with and the Twins offer is in the ballpark why not take it? If he never plays another game or gets too many concussions he is covered and guaranteed that money. Only he can decide but I don't always think betting on yourself is as easy as we think it is.
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  48. I agree with you. He has said in the past that he believes in himself so I just don't see him selling himself short. For me I kind of like the Hicks comp. Hicks has been hurt quite a bit as well but Buxton is the greater talent. At least they are trying to do something but I think it falls far short of what Buxton's agents expectations are. I get the Twins concern though. Buxton will be on the wrong side of thirty soon and will be more injury prone not less as time goes on. With all the freak injuries he has lost most of his prime production years. From the outside looking in as a fan it seems like a fair deal but in the baseball world I think this deal falls far short. I don't think he signs.
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  49. Essentially BA counts twice in OPS, once in OBP (glossing over the different denominators) and once as the foundation for SLG. So OPS is just another acknowledgement of the importance of the hit "tool". A player batting .296 has a huge head start toward getting the same .720 as your .199 walk-and-homer-a-lot batter, and unless he hits with no power to speak of he will get there. Few high OPS scores are built on phenomenal walk rates - it's hard to think up how it could be done except in combination with the other batting skills of contact and power. Nobody believes walks are as good as hits. The complaint that walks come at the expense of swinging the bat and getting hits is misplaced. With most players it's pretty likely the walks come at the "expense" of silly outs from swinging at garbage.
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  50. Critique of a front office is easy to make in the midst of a deeply disappointing season. While many fans are languishing over the incoming July trade deadline, I've heard a lot of complaints about the lack of waiver claims made this season by the Minnesota Twins. Why are the Twins continuing to trot out the likes of Colomé, Happ, and (formerly) Shoemaker, when the front office can claim replacement-level players from other teams for essentially nothing? The outright waiver transaction process is a deeply complicated one. Whenever a team wants to remove a player that is already on the 40-man roster, that player must first be offered to each of the other 29 major league teams. If another team claims that player, the player goes on that new team's 40-man roster. The full definition from MLB can be found here. Because I'm insane, and this season is awful, I decided to compile a list of every player that the Falvey/Levine front office has claimed from other organizations, in addition to players they've lost via waiver claims. How have they fared in the waiver claim game? Should they pick up the pace, now that they have nothing to lose? Do these claims actually amount to anything? These questions are important... but so is the trip down memory lane, once you read some of these names. Players Acquired Via Waiver Claim Date of Claim Player Claimed Position Team Claimed From fWAR in Minnesota 2/6/2017 Ehire Adrianza UTL IF San Francisco Giants 2.1 5/10/2017 Adam Wilk LHP New York Mets -0.2 6/7/2017 Chris Heston RHP Los Angeles Dodgers 0.0 3/24/2018 Kenny Vargas 1B Cincinatti Reds - 4/26/2018 David Hale RHP New York Yankees -0.2 5/28/2018 Taylor Motter UTL Seattle Mariners -0.3 8/3/2018 Johnny Field RF Cleveland Indians 0.1 8/3/2018 Oliver Drake RHP Cleveland Indians 0.2 10/31/2018 Michael Reed CF Atlanta Braves - 11/26/2018 C.J. Cron 1B Tampa Bay Rays 0.3 10/29/2019 Matt Wisler RHP Seattle Mariners 0.6 10/30/2020 Ian Gibault RHP Texas Rangers - 10/30/2020 Brandon Waddell LHP Pittsburgh Pirates -0.3 2/5/2021 Ian Hamilton RHP Philadelphia Phillies - 2/11/2021 Kyle Garlick RF Atlanta Braves 0.3 6/22/2021 Beau Burrows RHP Detroit Tigers - Total fWAR 2.6 The Twins have claimed a total of 16 players from opposing organizations since Falvey/Levine took over after the 2016 World Series. Of these 16 claims, their most consequential claim was their very first one. Ehire Adrianza was never a star, but a very productive role player for a number of contending Twins teams. After that, the list isn't so impressive. Matt Wisler was great at slinging sliders in the bullpen during the pandemic-shortened 2020 season, but the Twins cut him last offseason in a puzzling move. C.J. Cron and the currently-injured Kyle Garlick have been the largest "successes" outside of Adrianza and Wisler, each account for 0.3 fWAR as right-handed hitters that were acquired to mash left-handed pitching. Most of these players did not remain on the 40-man roster for a long time. Quite a few were lost to waivers shortly after the Twins acquired them, which include Kenny Vargas, Johnny Field, Oliver Drake, and Brandon Waddell. Such is the life on the waiver wire for many MLB players. Players Lost Via Waiver Claim Date of Claim Player Position Team Claimed By fWAR after Minnesota 11/18/2016 Adam Brett Walker LF Milwaukee Brewers - 8/26/2017 Tim Melville RHP San Diego Padres -0.2 9/14/2017 Engelb Vielma SS San Francisco Giants -0.1 11/3/2017 Randy Rosario LHP Chicago Cubs -0.3 11/3/2017 Daniel Palka OF Chicago White Sox -0.7 11/6/2017 Nik Turley LHP Pittsburgh Pirates 0.2 1/22/2018 Buddy Boshers LHP Houston Astros 0.1 2/23/2018 JT Chargois RHP Los Angeles Dodgers 0.5 3/22/2018 Kenny Vargas 1B Cincinatti Reds - 7/9/2018 Ryan LaMarre CF Chicago White Sox 0.4 10/10/2018 Juan Graterol C Cincinatti Reds -0.2 11/1/2018 Johnny Field RF Chicago Cubs - 11/1/2018 Oliver Drake RHP Tampa Bay Rays 0.4 1/11/2019 Aaron Slegers RHP Pittsburgh Pirates 0.4 5/26/2019 Austin Adams RHP Detroit Tigers -0.1 7/20/2019 Adalberto Mejia LHP Los Angeles Angels 0.0 8/14/2019 Ryan Eades RHP Baltimore Orioles -0.2 9/16/2019 Marcos Diplan RHP Detroit Tigers - 11/4/2019 Stephen Gonsalves LHP New York Mets - 9/5/2020 Ildemaro Vargas 2B Chicago Cubs -0.5 10/1/2020 Sean Poppen RHP Pittsburgh Pirates -0.1 5/8/2021 Brandon Waddell LHP Baltimore Orioles 0 5/14/2021 Travis Blankenhorn 2B Los Angeles Dodgers -0.1 6/5/2021 Dakota Chalmers RHP Chicago Cubs - 6/18/2021 Shaun Anderson RHP Texas Rangers - Total fWAR -0.5 You'll immediately notice this list of players lost via waivers during the Falvyey/Levine regime is a lot longer than the list of players they've acquired via waivers. All together, they have lost 25 players, which is 9 more players than they've claimed from other teams. The good news for the organization, is that this cumulative list has not come back to bite them. 10 of the 25 claimed players provided negative value for their new teams, after departing Minnesota. Daniel Palka's 2017 season really sunk this group, as he posted a -1.4 fWAR in only 93 plate appearances for the White Sox (after he provided 0.7 fWAR and a 109 wRC+ in 2018). The largest losses from this group have definitely been in the relief category, highlighted by JT Chargois, Oliver Drake, and Aaron Slegers. However, most of these players have had inconsistent careers, injuries, or both, in their time after playing for Minnesota. Even when factoring in some bullpen pieces this organization might regret losing, the total fWAR from these players after departing the Twins is -0.5 fWAR. The current front office has been right far more than wrong, when deciding how to churn the 40-man roster. Yearly Trends And Overall Takeaway Year Players Claimed From Other Teams Players Claimed By Other Teams 2016/2017 3 6 2018 7 7 2019 1 6 2020 2 2 2021 3 4 Total Players 16 25 Total fWAR 2.6 -0.5 fWAR Difference 3.1 Overall, the Twins have gained 3.1 fWAR from their decisions to gain and lose players from the waiver wire. That's a pretty decent result for a type of front office transaction that is often overlooked. It averages out to about 0.69 fWAR per season, factoring in the 4.5 seasons of the Falvey/Levine regime. Most of that waiver activity came in 2017 and 2018, when the front office was still adjusting to their inherited players from the previous front office. Successful teams don't always gamble roster spots on players exposed to outright waivers, which is evident in the 2019 team. One major caveat to point out across the yearly trend is that teams were probably hesitant to claim players from other organizations during the COVID-19 pandemic, so 2020 and early 2021 should be viewed through that lens. However, that didn't stop the Twins from claiming 3 bullpen arms (Ian Gibault, Brandon Waddell, and Ian Hamilton), and Kyle Garlick this offseason. The jury is still out on these claims, but Waddell did not go well. The most interesting thing about 2021 is that the Twins lost 4 players during their early season free-fall (Brandon Waddell, Travis Blankenhorn, Dakota Chalmers, and Shaun Anderson), before claiming Beau Burrows a few weeks ago from the Detroit Tigers. Is former first-round draft pick Beau Burrows the tip of the iceberg? Now that 2021 is officially kaput, will the front office be more aggressive? I sure hope so. Moves will be made in the next few weeks, and this 40-man roster will be significantly different as we approach the trade deadline. The 40-man roster will likely be smaller, and the Twins will be in front of the line when contenders have to cut players to account for their deadline additions. Waiver claims are rarely sexy transactions, but sometimes you stumble into a Ehire Adrianza or a Matt Wisler. The Twins have proven to be more successful than not when it comes to their waiver claim game. It's time to play, because there's simply nothing to lose.
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