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Showing content with the highest reputation on 06/26/2021 in all areas

  1. A lot of Twins fans mention Rod Carew when they see Arraez, but I'm going to stick with my Tony Gwynn comp. His stout body and thick forearms are made for driving balls to the gaps, and sometimes over the fence. What we saw today should be what we see for most of his career. Line drives to the gaps, driving in tons of runs.
    9 points
  2. I really enjoyed the game tonight ... had great seats behind the Twins dugout. When Kepler comes to the plate Ramirez plays a deep shortstop against him and then with the first strike he moves back on the grass about ten feet to the left of second base. Kepler needs to bunt until he gets the infield to move because 100+ mph at the 2B in short right field isn't a good plan. The entire left side of the infield is open. The situation doesn't matter at this point; Kepler needs to bunt. I thought Jax battled decently.
    7 points
  3. I have an idea for a novel trade deadline thread with a few simple ground rules that will make it different from all other trade deadline threads. The ground rules are: No bashing the front office. No bashing the manager. No belittling of other opinions. The purpose of this thread is for presenting your ideas about what should be done between now and the trade deadline. And to keep this from becoming another long debate about whether or not to extend Berrios and Buxton, the only assumption to follow is that both will refuse an extension and go to free agency in 2022. So I’ll begin. I am going to approach this on a position by position basis. No reason for this but it helps me think. Catcher Leave this position alone – except if someone approaches me with an overwhelming offer for Garver. Then trade him. First Base This is Kirilloff’s home. Trade Sano for whatever you can get. Package him with Berrios or Buxton and Kepler for the best package. Second Base Arraez, Polanco, Gordon??? I would keep Arraez and Gordon, and see if anyone offers anything of value for Polanco. He could also be part of a Buxton or Berrios package to increase the return. Shortstop I’m wavering on this. If someone wants Simmons, then trade him. Gordon or Polanco (if not traded) can fill in for the rest of 2021 and Lewis or Palacios could be the shortstop in 2022. Third Base Trade Donaldson for the best offer. Arraez or (Miranda as a tryout for 2022) takes over. Left Field This is now Larnach’s to have and to hold from this day forward. Center Field If no trade partner is found, Buxton remains as the center fielder. If he is moved, Celestino gets a four-month tryout. Right Field Offer Kepler as an additional piece in a major trade (see the First Base comment). If no one wants him, then he plays right field the rest of the year. If he is moved, Ernie de la Trinidad gets a tryout. Designated Hitter Say good bye to our best hitter for the last three years. Brent Rooker is now the DH. Starting Pitching Trade Pineda if an offer is made. Trade anyone for that matter. Relief Pitching Trade everyone that another team asks about. The only exceptions are Taylor Rogers and Tyler Duffy. Keep both players unless a great offer is made. Final Comment All of the trades above are designed to bring to the Twins pitching, pitching, pitching, one or two short stops, and a center fielder. And it frees up about $60M in salary that can be used for additional pitching, pitching, pitching and maybe a shortstop. And yes, I realize that the remainder of 2021 might really suck, but hasn’t the first 40% already sucked?
    5 points
  4. Twins were sloppy but Cleveland was sloppier. Kirilloff with an HR and Gordon yet again making it hard to sit him down. Arraez is the guy on this team we should be thinking about extending... Lots of disappointing efforts. Kepler is just a shell of what he was two years ago. Sano isn't even a regular anymore. Robles, yikes. But hey, Twins win and we can all sleep well. Thanks for this great write up Theires!
    5 points
  5. So far I’ve read up to 10 players that people would like to trade. That’s AJ Preller level of turnover for the MLB roster. Can’t see Falvey and Levine doing that. I think it will be underwhelming for those who want to tear it all down. The expiring contracts will be flipped and nothing after that. If Nelson Cruz only has 1 or 2 interested teams giving A ball long shot prospects I would keep him for the rest of the season. This winter is where the Buxton, Berrios, Rogers, Sano, Donaldson trades potentially happen.
    4 points
  6. Tim

    Trading Taylor Rogers

    First time poster, long time lurker. Howdy! So this was a comment I recently had on John Bonnes's piece on trading Taylor Rogers. I wanted to expand on my thoughts and lay out my opinion for everyone... Taylor Rogers has more value than we think. Left handed relievers who over the course of the last 3 years (aside from covid shortened season), have averaged 60-70 games, with a 10.5/K9, and a 2.63 ERA don't grow on trees. He also has another year of control on his deal. Take a look at what guys like Zach Britton, Andrew Miller, and Aroldis Chapman have brought back in recent years at the deadline. Teams overpay for lockdown arms at the deadline. Deploying these late inning guys has been the blueprint to success in the postseason. While Rogers is not on the same level as Chapman and Miller, the packages are interesting to examine. The Yankees received Clint Frazier, the no. 15 prospect in baseball, and Justus Sheffield, the no. 78 prospect in baseball for Andrew Miller, who at the time had a reasonable contract with 2.5 years remaining. I suppose that's what 1.39 ERA and 77k's in 44IP gets you. Aroldis Chapman on an expiring deal was able to net the Yanks Gleyber Torres, the no. 17 prospect in baseball. That said, he had a 2.01 ERA with an absurd 15.8/K9 that season. Zach Britton, on an expiring deal, brought the Orioles the no. 7 prospect (Tate) and no. 17 prospect (Carroll) from within the Yankees farm system in 2018. He also had only pitched 15 innings that season to the tune of 3.45 ERA. Rogers should bring a return better than that. My point is that teams will overpay for relievers who have proven track records of being dominant. Rogers is not getting you the return that Chapman and Miller got the Yankees, but he certainly can get you more than what Britton got the Orioles. A top 100 prospect is certainly not out of the question. This front office does not pay for relievers. Yes, Addison Reed and Colome are exceptions, but those signings, well, lets not revisit them. They also seem to view relievers as expendable. Letting Trevor May walk in free agency and trading away Ryan Pressley in 2018 when he was in a similar situation with 1.5 of control. Rogers will most likely command somewhere in the range of a 3/30mil deal on the open market. He'll also be turning 32 going into the 2022 season. If I had a crystal ball, I say no way they go for that. Teams that make sense? I'd look at the Mets, Blue Jays, Yankees, Rays, Padres, and Dodgers as potential fits. _______________________________________________________________ What does a package looks like? Personally, the Mets really intrigue me. Cohen has been very vocal that the front office is in "win - now" mode and that's apparent with the the recent moves the front office has made. Currently leading the NL East, the pitching staff has an MLB leading 2.64 ERA (!!!) from their starters.. Recently they've been rumored to be in the market for bullpen help. baseballtradevalues.com, a great site for evaluating a players value is typically fairly spot on. Not so much with relievers. They currently have Rogers worth 5mil, which frankly is not right at all. Furthering that point, the Willy Adames trade validates that, check it out here - https://www.baseballtradevalues.com/trades/trade-46556/ Trevor Rogers projected ZIPS projection for the remainder of the season places him worth about .9 in WAR, roughly 8.8mil in value. The projected WAR for Rogers in 2021 is about 1.1 so lets estimate that's about 9,1mil in value. Factor in the demand aspect and teams overpaying in the past for lockdown relievers, I'd anticipate Rogers being worth somewhere in the 18-21 mil range. So, using baseballtradevalue.com to look at the Mets farm system, here's my proposed package: Mets - Taylor Rogers LHP - 20mil value Twins - Matt Allan RHP, Robert Dominguez RHP, Jordany Ventura RHP - 17.20mil value Allan being the headliner, currently out for the season having Tommy John this past spring. Ranked as the No. 59 prospect in baseball per MLB.com prior to the season, Allan projects as a middle of the rotation starter with a 96mph fastball and really great spin rate numbers. I've seen a few reports that he looked fantastic against double and triple A talent at the Mets alternate site last season. If we can secure a 20 year old starter with a clean delivery and projectable frame, I'm comfortable waiting until 2022-2023 to see it. Dominguez No, 11 and Ventura No. 19 in the Mets farm system, both are upside assets. Solid scouting reports with projectability to develop and stick as starters. So this being my first ever post, it was a bit too long. But would love to hear your guys thoughts and comments. Cheers
    4 points
  7. Gordon has been a really pleasant surprise. He made a dumb base running mistake last night, but overall he has been impressive. It’s good to see him driving balls to the gaps and using his wheels.
    4 points
  8. Tom Hall He looked so promising ages 20-23. I was so disappointed when they traded him for Wayne Granger. The Twins trade Granger to a year later for What looked to be nothing, They received back a 26 year old outfielder who a year earlier wasn’t good enough to crack the historically bad (with the exception of Carlton) Phillies roster. The Phillies traded him to the Dodgers for Tom Hutton who then traded him to the Cardinals for Greg Millikan. Larry Hisle made up for the loss of Tom Hall but they could have had both. … and two for Seth that never got the chance. Chuck Weatherspoon and Ollie Brantley were cited by Rod Carew in his book as being a great help getting through the minors. Both started out in the negro leagues in the 50s. Both were in the Twins system from years playing and mentoring several future Twins including Rod Carew, Jim Kaat, Zoilo Versailles, Tony Oliva, Cesar Tovar, Bert Blyleven and Tom Hall.
    4 points
  9. I initially agreed and now I'm thinking: Good lord, we're so browbeaten and traumatized by Twins pitching that we say it's "decent" when a guy gives up 3 runs on 3 hits and 2 walks in just 4.1 innings. That's like an ERA of 7.50 or something. If a Yankee pitcher did that he'd be booed off the field, yet here in Minneapolis we're giving the kid medals for throwing batting practice. We've got to raise our standards. As for Jax, I guess it's noble of him to go out there and get crushed night after night, but at some point we should expect a bit more or give someone else a try. He's been disappointing and at this point isn't up to facing MLB talent.
    4 points
  10. Entering play on Saturday, Cedar Rapids shortstop Wander Javier has gone hitless in his past four games (0-for-13). However, over his previous 14 games, Javier had hit a cool .333/.379/.683 (1.062) with two doubles, two triples and five home runs. As important, the quality of the plate appearances has greatly improved. With the help of Kernels coach Jairo Rodriguez translating, Javier said that when the season started, he didn’t feel good about his swing. “It was slow,” stated Javier. However, he added, “Right now, I feel much better and more comfortable with my swing. I have worked hard in the cage and on the field. My swing feels better now, quicker.” Kernels manager Brian Dinkelman pointed out recently, “Wander’s at-bats have been getting better. Not chasing as much. Squaring balls up more and hitting the ball hard. He and Bryce (Berg, Kernels hitting coach) have been working hard in the cage on his approach and getting good pitches to hit. Hopefully he can build off these (recent games), and keep it going for himself.” Let’s go back in time. In 2015, Javier was a well-known prospect in the Dominican that many teams wanted to sign. The Twins signed a 16-year-old Wander Javier to a $4 million signing bonus. It was the largest in team history for an international signing, topping the $3.15 million bonus that Miguel Sano got in 2009. At that time, Javier was ranked among the Top 10 international prospects. So were Vlad Guerrero, Jr. (Toronto, $3.9 million), Christian Pache (Atlanta, $1.4 million) and Gilberto Celestino (Astros, $2.5 million). Also among the Top 30 were Juan Soto who signed for $1.5 million with the Nationals, and Fernando Tatis, Jr., who signed for $700,000 with the White Sox. Growing up, Javier noted that he began playing and working with several professional baseball players when he was 11, 12 years old. He said, “It was a good experience to practice with a lot of guys who play professional baseball.” At that time, Javier noted that he was a big fan of Derek Jeter, “but now I like Francisco Lindor. I think he plays very well.” With that type of signing bonus comes notoriety and attention, and with it, very high expectations for such a youngster. Javier made his pro debut in the Dominican Summer League in 2016 and hit .308/.400/.654 (1.054) in nine games. He had three doubles and two homers before an injury ended his season. In 2017, he came to the States and hit .299/.383/.471 (.855) with 13 doubles and four homers in 41 games at Elizabethton. Unfortunately, he missed the 2018 season due to a shoulder injury. It also cost him a couple of months at the start of the 2019 season. He then went to then-Low A Cedar Rapids where he hit just .177/.278/.323 (.601) with nine doubles and 11 homers in 80 games. If there was anyone who wanted or needed a 2020 season, it was Javier. Unfortunately, with the COVID pandemic, there was no season. However, he continued to work. Javier noted, “When the quarantine started, I just worked out at home in the Dominican for a couple of months. After that, I went to Santo Domingo and worked with a coach every day.” No one should question Javier’s work ethic. Occasionally he posts some video of his offseason workouts, and it is impressive. He has grown and gained strength. Javier admitted, “I worked a lot on offense because I didn’t have a good year in 2019. It was very important to be a better hitter this year.” When the 2021 minor league season began, Javier returned to Cedar Rapids. However, the Kernels are now the Twins High-A affiliate. He got off to a slow start. Through the season’s first 13 games, he was hitting just .143/.208/.224 (.432). In 29 games since then, he has hit .254/.304/.500 (.804) with six doubles, two triples and six homers. His manager said, “Confidence is part of it…. Once you start swinging well and have confidence in what you’re doing, stick to your plan and stay in the strike zone, he can do damage on a lot of pitches.” Javier says, “I try to hit line drives in the games every day, but I do have the ability to hit for power too. But I’m looking to hit more line drives.” His goals for the remainder of the season are to continue to make hard contact and reduce his swing-and-miss percentage. On defense, Javier has been quite good. Some have described his shortstop defense as “plus-plus.” Dinkelman says, “He’s solid out there at shortstop and makes the plays.” Javier noted, “When I started playing baseball, I played shortstop all the time. I continue to work every day there, and I feel good about it.” On Friday night in Cedar Rapids, Javier got a game off. The Kernels’ eight-game win streak came to an end, but he has enjoyed his time with this team. “Everybody plays together. Everybody is a good teammate in the clubhouse. Everybody’s working together every day. It’s very good because it helps us play better on the field.” 2021 is a big season for Wander Javier. At season’s end, he could become a minor league free agent if not added to the Twins 40-man roster. It seems as though Javier has been in the organization forever, but at the same time, he will not turn 23 until the end of December. The Twins haven’t given up on him, and neither should Twins fans. Dinkelman said, “He’s young, and he shows the skills that he has with the defense and with his bat. He’s been playing with a lot of confidence after a slow start the first couple of weeks. Now he’s playing well, playing better defense too. He’s only 22, it’s not old by any means in baseball. We continue to work with him and help him get better, and hopefully he can move up the ladder sometime this year and become the major-league baseball player that everybody’s hoping he will be.” Javier wants to join his good friends Juan Soto and Fernando Tatis, Jr., in the big leagues. “They certainly motivate me, but I need to continue to work hard every day because I want to play in the big leagues next year… or this year. Soon!” Wander Javier has found some confidence in his game. Now, he (and Twins fans) will have to continue to be patient.
    3 points
  11. Danny Thompson (called up to replace an injured Rod Carew). This was the year I started listening to the Twins. John Castino for his defensive hustle.
    3 points
  12. Balazovic is still in Wichita and Duran is on the shelf right now, unfortunately. That may have been what the other poster was referring to.
    3 points
  13. One comment about Jax. He has pitched less than 300 innings since leaving college (fulfilling his military commitment and COVID). He is still learning. Don't give up on him yet.
    3 points
  14. Yeah. But...Scott Leius? Never was a regular but hit at least one game-winning HR in ‘91 post season. Retired and raised his family in MN and coached youth baseball in Wayzata.
    3 points
  15. How about Jim Eisenreich, local (St. Cloud) kid who overcame a lot to play pro ball. Found this on Wikipedia: Eisenreich has Tourette syndrome (TS),[4] which caused him to go on to the voluntary retirement list between 1984 and 1987 while undergoing treatment. Eisenreich was replaced on the Twins roster by Kirby Puckett. In 1990, he was the first recipient of the Tony Conigliaro Award, which is given annually to a Major League Baseball player who has overcome a significant obstacle in life.[5] Eisenreich was inducted into the Baseball Reliquary's Shrine of the Eternals in 2009.[6] Eisenreich resides in the Kansas City area and runs the Jim Eisenreich Foundation for Children with Tourette's Syndrome whose goal is to help children with TS to achieve personal success.[4]
    3 points
  16. Cesar Tovar. All 5'9" 155lbs. Roamed center field '66-'72. Just saying his name is fun. 1970 was perhaps his best year. If you don't know who his is, check him out!
    3 points
  17. Have not seen Bob Darwin mentioned, so I’ll recall those long HR’s.
    2 points
  18. Thanks for this piece, Seth. The biggest surprise for me this year is his power. Never expected to see him hit four home runs in a week like he did. Now he needs to make certain this slump doesn't extend for weeks and get back to consistently getting on base. Although it is taking longer than his friends, hopefully, he can join them at an all-star game four or five years from now.
    2 points
  19. I like Kepler as the backup CF and starting RF..... Yes, he's struggling, but I think he can be a league average CF..... So if they can't sign Buxton, I keep Kepler for sure..... Also, I just don't think Rooker is the answer, but I'd be willing to give him a shot if there are not other options.
    2 points
  20. Balazovic is still in Wichita and Duran has arm trouble. 40 man is full 4/5 at best types Thorpe/Ober/Dobnak/Jax et all won't move the needle. Yes - They both have 1/2 potential. Get Winder up quick he is breaking out. We are no pitcher churning out factory like Cleveland I guess was the lament.
    2 points
  21. I agree with a lot of what you say. I think Donaldson’s trade value is increasing and Miranda definitely deserves a look and could become the long term fixture at 3B. I’d like to keep Arraez, Polanco and Gordon and trade Simmons. Play Gordon for the rest of the season at 2B. Polanco at SS and Arraez still floating. I like your idea of trading Kepler or at least making him the 4th OF and giving De La Trinidad a chance, The other option when Buxton’s out would be Larnach, Whitefield and Kirilloff. I envision injecting a speed element into this team and Whitefield, Gordon and eventually Buxton could give the Twins offense an additional dimension for scoring runs. If Kirilloff plays 1B, then an OF of Larnach, Whitefield, De La Trinidad may be the way to go with Buxton retaking CF when he returns but Whitefield and De La Trinidad staying on 26 man roster. Whitefield 15 SB in 21 attempts and Gordon 10 for 10 including SPS and Twins would really make a difference, IMO.
    2 points
  22. Sad situation really. Our better arms are in Wichita and below. Looks like all we have in Minnesota are potential 4th or 5th starters at best. And Cleveland keeps churning out pitching. I've never heard of most of Cleveland's pitchers. Look at their injured list. Yet they churn out pitching.
    2 points
  23. Geoff Zahn. Couldn’t break a pane of glass. 700 K’s in 1850 career innings. Wouldn’t make his HS team in today’s game. All he did was eat innings and get guys out.
    2 points
  24. Above the game logs at Baseball Reference is a nice summary of RBI opportunities: https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/gl.fcgi?id=rosared01&t=b&year=2021 RBIs in 278 PAs 41 Actual Runners on Base 165 (85-54-26) Avg. MLBer w/ 278 PAs 31 Avg. Runners on Base 167 (84-54-28) Rosario has done well this year in RBI, with +10 over the average player. But note that, despite being on a poor hitting team, his RBI opportunities are about the same as an average player too. That's probably due to batting 4th/5th behind a good hitter or two (and the poor Cleveland hitters may be failing in their own RBI opportunities and leaving those baserunners for other players like Rosario?). FWIW, Kirilloff has the exactly the same positive RBI rate, with average opportunity, just in fewer PA: RBIs in 161 PAs 24 Actual Runners on Base 98 (47-35-16) Avg. MLBer w/ 161 PAs 18 Avg. Runners on Base 96 (49-31-16) Larnach on the other hand has a low RBI total compared to average, but even more opportunities than average too. Not a large sample yet, of course: RBIs in 152 PAs 12 Actual Runners on Base 116 (57-41-18) Avg. MLBer w/ 152 PAs 17 Avg. Runners on Base 91 (46-29-15)
    2 points
  25. The Yankees paid oft-injured and not as good Aaron Hicks 7/70....they'd pay twice that to Buxton, at least. They and other big-market teams CAN take the risk that Buxton plays more than 120 games a year.....I just don't know if the Twins can. Like, I don't know the answer for a team like the Twins. The Twins paid sometimes injured Donaldson 4/92.....Anyone think Buxton is worth less than that? I doubt the Twins or Byron do.....
    2 points
  26. Not a lesser known, but Earl Battey. Played against my dad who thought very highly of him.
    2 points
  27. Bill James said it best about Brian Harper. "Harper should have had a much better career than he did. He lost a lot of his career to other people's stupidity. He was drafted by the Angels in 1977, hit .293 with 24 homers, 101 RBI at Quad Cities in 1978, then hit .315 with 37 doubles, 90 RBI at El Paso in 1979. The Angels at that time were building entirely around free agents and veterans, in no mood to give a young player a chance. At Salt Lake City in '81 he hit .350 with 45 doubles, 28 homers, 122 RBI. The Angels traded him to Pittsburgh. The Pirates already had Tony Pena and Steve Nicosia; they needed another catcher like they needed a first baseman. Harper tried to convert to the outfield or first base. He wasn't fast enough to play the outfield; nobody was sure he would hit enough to play first. He bounced over to St. Louis, Detroit, Oakland, Minnesota. He was (28) by the time he got a chance to play."
    2 points
  28. Really thought it was neat when Allan Anderson won the ERA title in 1988.
    2 points
  29. It feels kind of lazy and easy to say this but Greg Gagne.
    2 points
  30. How about a tip of the cap to Matt Lawton? He was a bright spot on some pretty bad Twins teams for a couple years.
    2 points
  31. Danny Ford and Lyman Bostock. I thought Bostock was superman. He could really jump and steal HR's. Was good with the bat too. I was mad when the Twins couldn't keep him and then he was tragically killed in Oakland. He was an amazing player and left an impression on me.
    2 points
  32. Buxton. Buxton will have a year where he plays 140 or more games and leads his team to success in the playoffs. I hope it is the Twins. The Twins really need to pay for both. It might mean trying to unload Donaldson’s contract. It might mean paying up starting in 2022 and needing to let go of Rogers contract as well as not replacing a Cruz. if only one it has to be Buxton. He is the difference maker.
    2 points
  33. Dear Falvey: Please Dont.
    2 points
  34. The team (if healthy) has depth at second base, corner outfield and right handed hitting catcher. Trading Garver, Polanco or Arraez and Kepler would seem to be prudent depending on the return they could get. Sano or Donaldson wouldn't be easy to move. Players with expiring contracts probably all should be on the table.
    1 point
  35. Gary Wayne was very nice to my one year old daughter at a Spring Training Game. My favorite lesser known Twin. Bombo Rivera deserves to be remembered as a much better player.
    1 point
  36. Jim Holt would be my pick also. Rich Reese close second. It was highly suspected Holt didn't make the 25 man roster in 1972 as that would make an odd number of African-American players on the roster and Calvin Griffith wouldn't allow black and white players room together on the road. He came up in September and hit over .400!
    1 point
  37. What if he's not getting anything close to that kind of term? Teams have shifted to being willing to pay higher AAV at the expense of term because they've started to realize large, short contracts are less likely to become franchise-killers. I could see someone giving Buxton a healthy "make good" contract with a shocking AAV. What I can't see is anyone want to budge on keeping the term incredibly short because of the enormous risk he carries.
    1 point
  38. Bobby Randall. They raved about the way he turned the double play.
    1 point
  39. Rosario has been good for 10 days. The rest of the year he has sucked by ever measure except RBI. He hits 4th and he has played almost every game. Cleveland has played 72 games or 44.44% of the season which means he is on place for 92 not 100 RBI and that's not even close to the top of the league for a corner OFer. Add to that the stupid base running mistakes and I am extremely happy to have Larnach or Kirilloff in LF. Actually, I would prefer to have Rob Refsnyder or Garlick and $10M to spend on free agents it's not even close. Also, the retort that Larnach and Kirilloff were not on the opening day roster is an absolute failure to accept common sense. The team knew they were both ready and either one would be available for 90+% of the season.
    1 point
  40. Thats exactly what I think he should do. I mean if I were the Twins, I'd maybe offer 2/50, for what he's done and on the off chance 2023 looks better than it does today.
    1 point
  41. Jason Tyner! Did something kind for me for no reason, when some other guys were acting more like immature brats. (many players are; never meet your heroes, etc)
    1 point
  42. The Twins are in a really interesting position with Buxton. We all saw the incredible spring he had, really on pace for MVP. If that truly was a glimpse of what we he has developed into, then yes. Extending Buxton, regardless on injuries, should be the priority for this organization. Yeah, the injuries are a major red flag, but how many guys can do what he is able to do, when healthy, in MLB? Trout, that's it. If the Twins do decide to let him walk, then becomes the 2nd coming of Willie Mays and stays healthy, we all will scream "cheap Pohlads" , blah blah... It really comes down to potential. Buxton is a generational, organization changing talent. If it comes down to he or Berrios in terms of getting paid, lets go with upside in Buxton. We know what Berrios is now and I'm not quite sure he has the true no.1 upside he wants to get paid like. Gamble on the perennial MVP that Buxton could become, it's the Twins, how many times does a player like this come along?
    1 point
  43. Found this to be an interesting argument/discussion point so wanted to look up some numbers (baseball reference was my source for this data). Batters faced per season by Berrios from 2016-today: 281, 616, 797, 842, 271, 338. Total: 3145 Plate appearances per season by Buxton from 2016-today: 331, 511, 94, 295, 135, 110. Total: 1476 Fielding "Chances" (putouts + assists + errors) per season by Buxton from 2016-today: 249, 400, 70, 224, 105, 71. Total: 1119 PA and Chances total for Buxton: 2595 So Berrios has influenced 3145 "events" on the field since his debut and Buxton has influenced 2595. Don't know what you, or anyone else, wants to draw from that, but I found it interesting. *Obviously a very basic way of looking at this concept that doesn't include Berrios fielding data or Buxton steals, effect on positioning by other fielders because of his range, etc. etc. etc.
    1 point
  44. Nice write up. I'd lean toward keeping Arraez. I think the guy that should be shopped around his Jorge Polanco. Ankle seems to have healed up and he's back to hitting well from both sides of the plate. He's turning 28 in a few weeks and entering the prime of his career.. Though the shift to 2nd probably hurt his value, since May 1st, Polanco ranks 6th among 2nd basemen OPS at 841. His contract is also extremely reasonable, only owed 35mil through 2025. I'd prefer to keep Arraez, whos younger, matches up with the next wave of talent coming through, and in arbitration for 4 more years.. Not to mention an absolutely fantastic hitter and on base machine.. Flip Polanco for a haul in the winter.
    1 point
  45. Berrios is 100% worth 5/100, and if he'd sign for that, I'd bet he'd be signed this summer.......I'm thinking he's looking for 6/140+. Buxton, of course, is much trickier. He's just not been on the field in any season for close to the full season. Not once. On the other side of the coin, he's a great player at this point. Some wealthy team can take the chance he's hurt again....I'm not sure the Twins can. Also, it is much easier to find CFers than SPs......Frankly, I have no idea what I'd do with him at this point. I don't think he even considers 5/100 at this point. He's looking for at least $25MM per year, I'd guess. IF they can get 2 prospects they really believe in for him, I'd consider dealing him (SP, SS, CF types only....no more bat first corner players, please).
    1 point
  46. Some, even many, or most injuries are just an instance of bad luck. But over eight seasons, the number...and the number of different types of injuries... I’m sorry, but over the long haul, the ability to be available...as Bud Grant famously said, the most important ability is availability. It’s an ability just like being fast or having power. And Buxton doesn’t have it.
    1 point
  47. With Buxton and Kepler due back and Gordon showing (so far) he can handle MLB pitching, and Garver due back in July, I would for sure entertain offers for Cruz and Simmons. I don't think Sano will draw any interest, but DFAing him should also be considered. The everyday line-up could look something like this: C - Jeffers, 1B - Kirilloff, 2B - Arraez, SS - Polanco, 3B - Donaldson, LF - Larnach, CF - Buxton, RF - Kepler, DH - Garver. Bench players would be Gordon, Astudillo, Refsnyder, and take your pick of Garlick/Rooker/Riddle or whoever may have been acquired in one of the trades.
    1 point
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